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Mexico > Ascenso MX > Clausura 2018


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Tomorrow, 13 Jan - Clausura 1 X 2 B's
             
03:00 Atlante - Zacatepec 2.29 3.20 3.75 33
03:30 Venados - Murcielagos 1.98 3.76 4.33 33
04:36 Cimarrones de Sonora - Cafetaleros de Tapachula 2.48 3.35 2.90 33
14 Jan 2018 - Clausura 1 X 2 B's
             
01:00 Juarez - Atl. San Luis 2.08 3.40 3.84 26
02:00 Alebrijes Oaxaca - Correcaminos 1.93 3.60 4.00 25
03:00 Tampico Madero - Celaya 2.46 3.45 2.90 25
04:00 Dorados de Sinaloa - Zacatecas Mineros 2.57 3.40 2.77 26
19:00 Leones Negros - UAEM Potros 2.41 3.38 2.96 25
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Cimarrones Sonora vs Cafetaleros Tapachula

2018, January 13, 04:36

Ascenso MX 

Cimarrones Sonora

A great start in round 1 of Ascenso MX, with an away victory 1-3 against Murcielagos FC. Great sensations for the team, and despite the defeat against Morelia in Copa MX, the team was able to hold them in what that could have been easily a huge margin defeat.  The team needs to improve in defense against Liga MX teams if they expect to be able to proceed in Copa MX. 

For Ascenso MX level the team should confirm their good start on this match. At home the team closed last season with three matches without victory, still many changes to the squad since then. Last match between them, Cimarrones Sonora claimed the victory on Tapachula home by 1-2 back in July. 

Cafetaleros Tapachula

After a good end of last season where they obtain 5 victories  on last 6 matches, the team open this season with a home defeat against Atlante, now on away the team encounters a difficult fixture and might return to victory in next  Ascenso MX home match against Muercielagos.  Remarks that despite controlling the match and having better scoring chances, Atlante claimed the victory with just two scoring chances, and relay on defending and not allowing another goal to Cafetaleros.

Still they would like to achieve a good result as new appointed coach Gabriel Caballero defines an offensive play style that the team uses leave them weak to counterattacks, something that in this match might be absence as both teams are offensive and will propose a very attractive match.

Prediction

Expect scoring chances from both teams, both display an offensive  playmaking which might provide open spaces for both teams. A very attractive match, with both teams looking to score which means that the match can go either way, still I expect Cimarrones Sonora to return to victory and confirm the good sensations of the opener. Meanwhile Tapachula has still work pending.

Cimarrones Sonora 0 AH with 6 units @ 1.77 at 1XBet

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Albrijes Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT

2018, January 14, 02:00 hrs

Ascenso MX

 

Alebrijes Oaxaca

A great start of the season for the current champion, a two victory streak. On the opener at San Luis winning comfortably 0-2, and then in Copa MX a victory 1-0 against Cruz Azul that boost them in national media.

The objective of the team is to repeat the title and obtain direct promotion to Liga MX (if they fulfill the administrative requirements Liga MX has uphold), for that the team let some players go and obtain players with more experience, but the base remains, a move that until now has been the right one as the last results have shown that.

Remarks that they did not allowed a single goal from Cruz Azul or  San Luis, and at home they are keen to keep this like that.

 

Correcaminos UAT

After last season, where the team fall in the quarter finals against Celaya by a draw in the overall score, but thanks to Celaya being top of the league kicking them out.

Correcaminos is strong at home, draw 1-1 on the opener against Leones Negros due to a last minute goal, then received Dorados for Copa MX match and obtain a good result with a 2-1 victory, still their defense has a lot to work to be done, as it was the fourth consecutive match receiving at least a goal, and despite three of those matches being at home.

For this match the team goes on the road, where things are looking bleach with 4 matches without victory and five matches allowing at least a goal, the team does not seems to have the arguments to put a strong stand in this match.

Match

Alebrijes will focus the match in maintaining the ball and generating scoring chances, I do not expect Correcaminos to relay on defending and just counterattacking, they will also try to generate and will be an interesting match.

Prediction

Albrijes Oaxaca currently dominates Ascenso MX and after beating Cruz Azul the morale of the team is very high, meanwhile Correcaminos also won, but they struggle a lot on away. Therefore Alebrijes Oaxaca with AH is the best value.

Alebrijes Oaxaca -0.25AH with 8 units @ 1.83 at BetVictor

Edited by Xcout
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Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros
2018, January 20, 02:00 hrs (CET Time)
Ascenso MX

Mineros Zacatecas
After the opener victory against Venados FC the team has a streak of three matches without victory, still the away draw 2-2 to Toluca in Copa MX was a great result as despite the defeat against Santos Laguna at home, maintains them with opportunities to proceed to next stage.

In Ascenso MX the team is unbeaten, with the opener victory and a good away draw against Dorados. Last season the team was not the best at home, but was fair winning more than 50% of their matches there.

Leones Negros
Winless, but also unbeaten in this opener of the season, but their rivals have not been the best, both teams did not achieve playoffs and Potros UAEM was almost the last place of the league. Now the team hits the road to encounter one of the prime forces of Ascenso MX.

At away the team as not very bad, as they where able to claim a victory, and obtain some draws, still not very powerful on away, but here they have a chance to change that, and their main focus will be their defense as they have been doing in the start of this season and the end of last one.

Prediction
Mineros should dominate the actions and confirm the good sensations obtain from their double encounter with Liga MX sides, that despite now winning, they made it very hard for the rivals. Meanwhile Leones Negros has the advantage of now playing Copa MX to plan better each Ascenso MX match. Expect Leones Negros to focus on defense and from there try to get something. Mineros Zacatecas should return to the winning lane, still it will be a close encounter as Leones Negros will focus on defending.

Mineros Zacatecas with 8 units @ 1.85 at Betcity

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Potros UAEM vs Alebrijes Oaxaca
2018, January 20, 02:00 hrs (CET Time)
Ascenso MX

Potros UAEM
Last season the team avoid being last place thanks to their performance at home as they won the last match 2-1 to a Mineros that had already they mind on playoffs. This season the team has not yet seen a victory, with a home defeat against Dorados on the opener and then a scoreless  draw against Leones Negros, which not exactly the best opposition, as both did not qualify for playoffs last season.

Still the team has showed they are focus on changing things as they have only allowed one goal, still they have yet to score, which is alarming, as last season they where able to so, and only where unable to score in 5 of 19  matches, thats they where able to score in 74% of the matches.

Alebrijes Oaxaca
Last season the team fare better in home than away, but was able to clinch a place for playoffs where they went on to claim the title. And despite champions teams having difficult at the start of the following season, for Alebrijes this is far from true, as they have  won their first three matches, two in Ascenso MX and the Copa MX clash against Cruz Azul.

They have not allowed a single goal, and have show offensive power on all of them. Great sensations and a great form that will motivate them to continue in that tendency. This match on away will be another important test, they where able to overcome their visit to San Luis, is yet to see if they will take this one, as their last visit they carry a defeat 2-1.

Prediction
The match seems level, despite the recent form it is an important test for Alebrijes, Potros UAEM will not put it simple and more now that they are focus on defending more than ever. I sense a close match, with a very fought middlefield. A tight match where the need of Potros UAEM appears to deliver a simple match for Alebrijes, I sense the value to be with Alebrijes, still I find it on the level ball handicap, it could be a low scoring match.

Alebrijes Oaxaca 0 AH with 6 units @1.87 at Marathonbet

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Cafetaleros de Tapachula vs Murcielagos FC

2018, January 21, 02:00 (CET Time)

Ascenso MX

Cafetaleros de Tapachula

One of the teams that appears to have improve the most in Ascenso MX in this season start with an away victory to Cimarrones Sonora, and above that the victory in Copa MX against Leon by 2-1.

Cafetaleros has good sensations from both matches, and now returns home, where they have not won in Ascenso MX as they lost the opener against Atlante. After this they will have a double encounter with Venados FC first Copa MX and then Liga MX. They will return for a home match until February, therefore they know they have to obtain a good result here.

With coach Gabriel Caballero, the team seems better in their playmaking than last season. The players are in tone with their coach and are confident of searching for the victory in this match.
Christian Bermúdez, Víctor Neves and Adolfo Domínguez have shown the way with goals and should keep on that.

Murcielagos FC
The team did not finish on the last place last season as they where able to obtain a victory at home in the last round of Ascenso MX, with a very bad performance the team is a the bottom of the relegation table, and they need a very good tournament to avoid it, which does not seem like it considering last season performance and how they have open this season, with two defeats at home 1-3 to Cimarrones Sonora and 3-1 to Venados FC, which are not exactly the powerhouses of Ascenso MX.

Murcielagos knows that the first step will be to avoid getting goals, as they have allowed at least 3 goals per match in the last three matches, a total of 9 goals, which is a very bad start, and does not help in the overall table to avoid relegation as one of the untying factors is precisely that, and they are for the moment -13 goals and 7 points behind.Match

Prediction

This clash normally goes to the home side, and despite Murcielagos wanting to change that, this one should also be dominated by the home side. The first task for Murcielagos is not to allowed a goal, so a team focus first on defense might be expected. Cafetaleros momentum is excellent and they should confirm that at home and obtained a good result, I do not see much opposition from Murcielagos.

Cafetaleros Tapachula with 8 units @ 1.81 at 1xBet

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  • 2 weeks later...

Cimarrones Sonora vs Correcaminos UAT
2018, February 3, 04:36 hrs (CET Time)
Ascenso MX

Cimarrones Sonora
After an irregular start of the season, the team has improved  greatly, and now  has a streak of three matches winning. Highlights the home victory against Queretaro on Copa MX, which maintains them alive on that competition and with possibilities to advance to next stage, for which the following match will be crucial, advantage for them to encounter it at home.

First they have to encounter Correcaminos UAT in Ascenso MX, the team has had three matches at home, the mentioned victory in Copa MX, and in Ascenso MX a defeat against Cafetaleros and a victory against Celaya.

For this match the team is expected to take advantage of playing at home and mantain their unbeaten streak going.

Correcaminos UAT
After a start that looked promising, a home draw in Ascenso MX and a victory in Copa MX against Dorados but their defense where lacking and that was just confirmed in the following matches with five matches without victory, three of those defeats (all of them in away).

Now the team hit the road again, first in Ascenso MX against Cimarrones and then in Copa MX against Dorados (key match in that competition if they are to achieve qualification to next stage).

With seven matches without victory on away team will try to change that, their defense has been the main thing preventing them from taking points on the road as they have allowed at least a goal more to the rival, therefore their possibility does not seem so strong. And more due to the pressure of getting points as they are very near the bottom of Ascenso MX overall table.

Prediction
Correcaminos UAT as Cimarrones  Sonora could be focus on their next Copa MX more than this match, that is one thing to consider. Expect Correcaminos to try to focus on defense, and leave the control of the match to Cimarrones Sonora that might take the chance to field some youth players that have been providing a good performance for the team. Cimarrones  Sonora is on the upper part of the table thanks to recent good results, but is yet to see if they will remain there, this match is a very good opportunity to show against a rival that does not seem to be in their level, but below them.

Cimarrones Sonora -0.25 AH with 8 units @ 1.73 at 18Bet

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Result:

Cimarrones Sonora 0 - 1 Correcaminos UAT

-8 units

Cimarrones completely nulified in the middlefield by Correcaminos that was able to take the lead and then laid back to defend, altought in second half Cimarrones Sonora was completely on Correcaminos UAT field they where unable to even shoot to try to equalize the match.

 

 

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  • 2 weeks later...

Atlante vs Dorados
2018, February 15, 02:00 hrs (CET Time)
Ascenso MX

Atlante
Unbeaten at home, with two victories and a draw, the team looks strong at home, and are riding a streak of four matches without defeat, two victories at home, two draws at away. Which has help them climb up to the fourth position of the league.

The team took advantage of teams from the bottom part of the table and then obtain a very good away draw against Mineros Zacatecas. At home team has showed solid defending allowing only 2 goals in their three matches there.

The arrival of Pedro Arce from Paraguay has been very beneficial to the team, as he has scored in last two matches at home, due to the playmaking of the team he has not played in last two away matches.

Dorados
Despite their  bad performance in Copa MX, where they where eliminated last midweek losing 0-1 at home to Correcaminos, their form in Ascenso MX has them on the top five of Ascenso MX, still it has to be remark that is a very irregular form, mixing defeats together with victories and the casual draw.

At home the team has two defeats, which is a stark contrast with their away performance where they are unbeaten and had only allowed a single goal. The team focus mainly on not allowing goals when they are at away, and for this match I do not see that changing.

Prediction
Atlante will be more offensive than when they are away still defense is the main focus, as well as Dorados, with both teams being the best defenses in the league together with Tampico Madero the match looks to be very close, and thats the reason why I go with the draw, I think both teams are at the same level and will be reflected on the field.
 

Draw with 4 units @ 3.32 with MarathonBet

Under 2.5 with 2 units @ 1.66 with MarathonBet

Edited by Xcout
Fix the betting house a letter was missing.
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Juarez vs Alebrijes Oaxaca
2018, February 15, 03:00 hrs (CET Time)
Ascenso MX

Juarez
After a great start of the season with three victories in a row, the team has now 8 matches without a win, with some draws at home to mid level teams, but three matches away losing, the team welcomes the return to home, still their rival is not an easy treat, quite the opposite.

The team remains unbeaten at home, providing good defending having allowed only two goals in three matches. The teams needs to break the negative streak and here they have a good chance, and the odds consider them favorites, as they won the second leg of the final last season against Alebrijes 2-1 to send the final to penalties, where Oaxaca claimed the title.

Alebrijes Oaxaca
The leader of Ascenso MX prior to the start of this round, unbeaten at away the team has has a great season so far, top of his Copa MX Group, which is shared with two Liga MX squads, top of Ascenso MX with 5 victories in seven rounds.  With the best offensive with 16 goals in those seven rounds, with Luis Madrigal and  Carlos Acosta leading their attack, the team looks strong.

With an streak of five away matches without defeat, the team bounce back to victory after their home defeat against Leones Negros, beating 1-0 Venados, for this match the team looks like an underdog due to the previous result between them, but I sense they posses the upper hand here, as the needed here is Juarez and provides Oaxaca with a great position to take advantage of counterattacks.

Prediction

 

Alebrijes Oaxaca should continue with their good performance on the league and sustain their position at the top, for this match the asian handicap is where I see the value, as I sense a draw is possible as the focus will be on defense.

Alebrijes Oaxaca +0.25 AH with 8 units @ 1.88 with Bet365

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Alebrijes Oaxaca vs Tampico Madero
2018, February 18, 02:00 hrs (CET Time)
Ascenso MX

Alebrijes Oaxaca
Continues at the top of Ascenso MX, with a good performance at home, despite losing one match against a weaker side,  a good reminder to never underestimate a rival team, but in the next match home return to the winning side,

Besides that defeat the team has not lost another match this season, with 6 victories and 3 draws the team is alive in Copa MX and leading Ascenso MX, during the midweek, in a repeat of last season final, the team visit FC Juarez, and thanks to a great display of GK Edgar Hernandez the team claimed a point to continue on as leader of the competition.

With the best attack and one of the best defences the team is taking advantage of their good forma and should continue to do it.


Tampico Madero
An irregular season, still thanks to the many draws is only three points from the top five of Ascenso MX. If there is a good quality the team has shown is their defense, with only seven goals allowed in 8 matches, in away only 1 goal in four matches, still they have not been able to score there.

Won at home to Leones Negros, precisely the team that have awarded Oaxaca with its only defeat, in a match where goals where easy to come by, with a 4-2 scoreline where Tampico Madero show that when things flow their way, they can take advantage of that. The victory provide a good motivation for this away match.

Prediction
Tampico Madero has shown a defined play style on away and that is not to allow goals, and I sense they will continue with that trend, proving the gameplay to Alebrijes Oaxaca, which together with Mineros Zacatecas are the best home teams in the league.. Next midweek will be key for both teams as they are still alive in Copa MX and with good chances to proceed to next stage if they can obtained the needed results. First they have to encounter this match, and here Alebrijes Oaxaca is stronger at home, Tampico Madero good defending will not make things easy, still I see the value on the home team due to their best performance at home.

Alebrijes Oaxaca with 6 units @ 1.92 at 5Dimes

Under 2.5 with 3 units @ 1.76 at BetCity

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  • 2 weeks later...

Alebrijes Oaxaca vs Cimarrones Sonora
2018, March 03, 00:00 hrs (CET Time)
Ascenso MX

Alebrijes Oaxaca
Achieved qualification to the next stage of Copa MX with an scoreless draw against Puebla, on that match the team was able to score, but due to a previous foul the goal did not got up to the score.  Still thanks to the previous results the team remain at the first position of the group and qualified to the knockout stage.

The qualification to next stage is positive note, because they have not won in the last five matches, with four draws, three of them scoreless, as their defense has been up to the task. It is the attack which is not performing as they should.

Coming back home, the team will look to return to the winning side as they normally perform well at home, despite the two defeats against Tampico Madero and Universidad de Guadalajara.  As showed against Puebla they can dominate the match and generate the scoring chances, and against Cimarrones they should impose the quality they posses that has seen them beat the first place of Ascenso MX, Mineros Zacatecas by 4-1.

Cimarrones Sonora
After a beginning of the season that see them lost three in a row, the team went to win the next three, two of them at home. And exactly when things start to look positive, they went down, with five matches without victory in Ascenso MX,  four consecutive defeats 0-1 and allowed a late goal for a 21-2 draw against Leones Negros.

The team has lacked offensive power, and that has seem the match fall to almost the bottom of the general table, which are not good news, as they are just 9 points above Murcielagos in the relegation table, if they do not get points soon, things will get very difficult for them, to their advantage is that Murcielagos is underperforming and the most likely to be relegated.Match

Prediction

A tight match, both teams will try to avoid losing, therefore a typical match of Ascenso MX where defense is the first objective and scoring goes second, still Alebrijes likes to play offensively and have the players to do so, it will not be easy, Cimarrones tends to give surprises when least expected, but on away that is less possible, together with the frustration of last minute drawing in last home match.

Alebrijes Oaxaca comes as favorites, still both teams have negative streaks goings, both have not won in the last five. I sense that Alebrijes Oaxaca with the boost of proceeding to the next stage in Copa MX and being at home should give them the edge against a Cimarrones that have lost the way.

Alebrijes Oaxaca with 5 units @ 1.96 at 1xBet

Under 2.5 with 2 units @ 1.65 at Marathonbet

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Mineros Zacatecas vs Atletico Zacatepec
2018, March 03, 23:00 hrs (CET Time)
Ascenso MX

Mineros Zacatecas
Top of Ascenso MX, the team put a fierce stand against Santos Laguna in their last match of Copa MX despite being already eliminated, and will provide a boost to the team as they hold a Liga MX to an scoreless draw, and that after a very intense match against Toluca, where the team came from 1-3 behind to draw the match 3-3, still Toluca was too much and defeat them 3-4 to have them eliminated from Copa MX.

Now the team focus all their efforts in Ascenso MX, where they have six matches without defeat, with a streak of three victories at away, and two home draws, which considering the opposition they face on them, more was expected.

At home the team has 9 matches unbeaten, stretching to the last season. This season the team has played five matches of Ascenso MX, and obtained 3 victories and 2 draws, the last two matches have been the draws.  With the scorer leader G. Martinez, together with R. Nurse, Mineros Zacatecas attack should continue producing the necessary goals.

Atletico Zacatepec
Proceed in Copa MX to the next stage as first place after beating 1-0 Murcielagos to get to three victories and with 9 points claim the first place. The team has four victories in the last five matches, three of them at away, and their lone defeat at hands of Atletico San Luis at home 0-2.

After an irregular start, the team has been able to climb to the 6th position. And this will be a fierce test to their aspirations. After three matches winless on away, the team has now two matches winning, against Celaya and Correcaminos, not precisely the best opposition, and that is why they are focus on this match.

Prediction
Mineros Zacatecas feels good at home, and despite the two previous draws, the team should go back to get a good result. Zacatepec will focus on defense to continue their good step on away, but it will be difficult as Mineros is a very good team at home.
The image display by Mineros against Toluca was of a contending team and now with only Ascenso MX on their minds, obtaining victory here is everything for them. They have the offensive power and Zacatepec is a great rival to show it.  Zacatepec will try, but the home side has the edge.

Mineros Zacatecas with 7 units @1.84 at 1XBet

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Dorados va Cafelateros
2018, March 04, 04:00 hrs (CET Time)
Ascenso MX

Dorados
With only one defeat in the last five matches, the defeat was in last group match of Copa MX, where the team was unable to claim a single point from his four group matches, besides that the team is looking strong as after a very irregular start of Ascenso MX, with every probable result possible, the team now has five matches unbeaten, with four consecutive victories, two at home and two away. With a very remarkable performance, scoring at least a goal, and not allowing a single one against. The performance of GK Cristian Campestrini has been one of the key things to this good form of the team.

That great streak has seen the team move up to the second place of Ascenso MX overall table, and now will encounter a rival that has seen better recent times.

Cafelateros Tapachula
Won 2-0 to Venados Mérida in their last group match of Copa MX to be able to proceed as first place of group A, a great performance, which will for sure be a boost for this match against Dorados.  Still that has been its only bright side in their last five matches, where the team has three defeats, two of them at away and one draw at home, and has seen them fall to the 8th position.

This is in clear contrast to the beginning of the season, where after a home defeat against Atlante, the team went 9 matches without losing, only drawing four time, and winning five, some important victories as those in Copa MX, but that time seems behind, and neither home or away performance seems remarkable, last two defeats in Ascenso MX has been for the same scoreline 2-1, against weak Potros UAEM and competition leader Mineros Zacatecas, now takes a team that is in a great form but has allowed some home defeats in the past.

There is feeling for revenge as Gaspar Servio, together with coach Caballero where in Dorados, but now are in Cafetaleros.

Prediction
Expect a typical Ascenso MX match, with focus on the defense and from there look to obtain something. Dorados has been showing great defense and it is expected to continue. Dorados great form should be ratified here, Cafetaleros has seen betters times and the surprise they provide at the start of the tournament has now been seen and now they are expected and they have not been able to perform in that. Therefore Dorados should take the points here and if Mineros blink, then take the first place in Ascenso MX.

Dorados with 6 units @ 1.77 at AsianOdds
Under 2.5 with 3 untis @ 1.70 at BetCity

 

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Results:

Alebrijes Oaxaca 5 - 2  Cimarrones Sonora

+ 4.8 units

Alebrijes Oaxaca 5 - 2  Cimarrones Sonora = 7 goals

- 2 units

Mineros Zacatecas 4 - 1 Atletico Zacatepec

+5.88

Dorados Sinaloa 3 - 2 Cafetaleros Tapachuca

+ 4.62 units

Dorados Sinaloa 3 - 2 Cafetaleros Tapachuca = 5 goals

-3 units

Day Result: + 10.3 units

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Atlante vs Tampico Madero
2018, March 10, 02:00 hrs (CET Time)
Ascenso MX

Atlante
The team has had a very irregular step this season, combining victories with defeats, had a small interesting moment when got two home victories against Potros UAEM and Atletico San Luis, still both teams at the bottom of the table.

The team achieved an away victory against Juarez last weekend, saw the return of the goal thanks Giancarlo Maldonado and Federico Fernandez double, which helped them climb the general table to the 6th position, After having gone through important rivals like Dorados, Mineros de Zacatecas and Alebrijes Oaxaca, achieving two points from two goalless draws, only lost against Dorados. The team will close with home matches that seems where they can claim the points to get to the playoffs.

Tampico Madero
The season of Tampico Madero is being acceptable, the team managed to advance to the second round of the Copa MX, but could not win at home against Santos Laguna of Liga MX and was eliminated from the competition, it should be noted that the team only allowed one goal of the best offense and leader of Liga MX. It should be noted that in the group stage they achieved two important away wins against Liga MX teams, such as Atlas and Veracruz, not the strongest teams, but it highlights the result obtained.

His home performance has its ups and downs, however at away has only lost one game this season, against Dorados last February, from there on out an important victory at Alebrijes home and three goalless draws to start the Ascenso MX. If something has stood out Tampico Madero is in his compact defense, with 9 goals allowed in 11 games, highlighting of visit with 1 goal allowed in 5 games, he lacks offensive power at away, since he has only scored 1 goal more, with two goals in 5 games, although those two fell in the last game. Oscar Uscanga's performance in the midfield will be key to the team's aspirations.

Prediction

A risqué match is expected, both teams focus first on being defensively solid before going on the attack, so destruction will be the main focus. Possibly there are few scoring chances.

A consistent match that seems to indicate that could end up draw, especially that the offensive reinforcements of Atlante already scored, so the Asian handicap favorable to the away is where I find the value for the match. Tampico strives not to leave points at away, and seek to recover from the elimination of the Copa MX.

Tampico Madero +0.25 AH with 8 units @ 1.78 with 5 Dimes

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Murcielagos vs Alebrijes Oaxaca
2018, March 10, 05:00 hrs (CET Time)
Ascenso MX

Murcielagos FC
In the bottom of Ascenso MX, the team is close to being relegated, is 9 points behind when only 12 are still in play, for which this match is critical, as if they fail to collect points, they then will need to win the reaming three matches, and two of those are away.  Therefore a lot of pressure, or they will have to dispute matches knowing that there will be nothing in them.

Still their performance is one lacking, with four consecutive matches losing, two of them at Copa MX, and two in Ascenso MX, the team has been unable even to score a goal, despite coming from an away draw 2-2 against Mineros that had provide them with a morale boost.

The team has been able to collect some points at home, still it was not against powerful opposition, and infront they have a team that is looking to recover their sensations from being kickoff of Copa MX.


Alebrijes Oaxaca
Still unbeaten at away, regarding only Ascenso MX matches, the team remains on the third position, only 3 points behind first placer Mineros, and with three points of advantage from 4th place Leones Negros. The team has had a good season to this moment.

This year, the team has only one defeat at away, against Toluca 2-0 in the knockout stage of Copa MX, the team was able to advance from group stage once again, despite sharing the group with two Liga MX teams, Cruz Azul and Puebla, but was not able to proceed further. Still their last two matches has been scoreless draw, and if they want to aspire to remain with the leading group they should start collecting more points on away, as they did in the first part of this season with wins against Dorados or San Luis.

With forward Luis Madrigal, which scored a hat trick in the previous Ascenso MX match against Cimarrones Sonora, they need to replicate that performance at away. As in the defense they clearly do.

Prediction
Everything will relay on how the match develops, Murcielagos FC is the needed team here, time is running out for them, therefore as the match proceeds and there is no advantage for them, they might be prepense to go looking for the goal and leave open spaces that a killer as Luis Madrigal will not let to waste. A tight match that will loosen up as the time proceeds. If Alebrijes somehow allows a goal, expect Murcielagos to focus on defending that short lead.

Even thought Alebrijes has not been able to win in their three matches against Murcielagos FC, with two draws and a defeat, they arrive to this match with a great momentum, despite the elimination from Copa MX, and will take advantage of the need of Murcielagos, which encounters this match in the worse possible moment.

Alebrijes Oaxaca -0.25 AH with 6 units @ 2.04 at Unibet

 

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Cafetaleros Tapachula vs Leones Negros
2018, March 10, 03:30 hrs (CET Time)
Ascenso MX

Cafetaleros Tapachula
Important match for Cafetaleros, in Copa MX the team managed to advance to the next round, after winning by a bulky 4 - 2 to Morelia of Liga MX. The team has been scoring goals in a simple way, in the last five they have averaged at least two goals per game. Additionally, his defense has left much to be desired and in the games in which if he is up to it, he wins victories as against Venados and Morelia, both in Copa MX, but when not, he takes defeats as against Miners or Dorados, in Ascenso MX.

In league of Ascenso MX the team has four matches without victory, after a streak of six matches without defeat that caused that it was considered him like one of the contenders of Ascenso MX, but by the lack of results in the last matches it is outside of playoff spots, still has them at hand but to continue like this will not be able to reach them.

Leones Negros
The team of the University of Guadalajara has taken advantage of not playing the Copa MX and in the last five games has only one away loss to Tampico Madero by a score of 4-2, out of it, a 2-2 draw against Cimarrones and four victories, three of them at home, with one against Alebrijes Oaxaca.

After a hesitant start, at home he has four consecutive victories, but it is at away where they have to work more, they won the match against Alebrijes, but he has not won on next two away, this was after he opened the season with two visiting games in which he could not win either, it costs him a lot, although if something the team can do is score goals, in five of the last six games, the score has ended over 2.5 goals.

The advantage of being in a better position than Cafetaleros should give you a game in which they can handle the situation and get a good result, still their recent away form does not provide much for it.

Prediction
The doubt is not whether they scored, which according to the precedent seems most likely to happen, it is if the defenses will be up to the task, when the home side is Leones Negros, the last two fullfill, but when it was Cafetaleros, it was only a low 1-0, that in 2016. But I think that with the need that Cafetaleros have and the simplicity with which they score, this game has goals.

Over 2.5 Goals with 6 units @ 1.85 at Bwin

Cafetaleros Tapachuca with 3 units @ 1.73 at 1xBet

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Santos Laguna vs Monterrey
2018, March 12,  02:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

Santos Laguna
Before this round, the leader of Liga MX, with a good form, three victories in five matches, alive in Copa MX, the team has provided good sensations in overall. Considering Liga MX the team has only two defeats in 10 matches, with six victories. With a great performance at home, with four victories in five matches, remaining unbeaten there, only against Tijuana the team was unable to score. Their defense has perform at a great level, with three clean sheets in those five matches.

The team will be without Cris Martines and Liga MX scoring leader Djaniny, which was injured and will have some weeks out, but the team is not without scoring players, as Furch will be again on the attack, and the team want to show they are not dependent of Djaniny.

Monterrey
With two consecutives matches without victory, the team was kickoff of Copa MX by Queretaro in penalties. Considering only Liga MX the team has only won once in last five matches with three defeats, two of them away and the last weekend 1-3 to Puebla at home, consider by the media de surprise of the season, it seems the media has not observed Puebla this season.

Monterrey at away has had a better performance recently than at home, with three victories in the last five matches. As in home last five had deliver only one victory, against Leon, and three draws with two defeats.  The team has showed in some matches good defending, that has allowed them to get some victories, but on other matches, the team is just lost at away, as showed against Toluca and Necaxa. For this match it is yet to see how they will perform, but will like to recover from Copa MX elimination.

Monterrey have offensive players with which to generate scoring chances, as Aviles Hurtado, Rogelio Funes More, Carlos Sanche, their only negative point is that they tend to miss penalties. Coach Mohamed will field an alternative team, as he will be without Jonathan Gonzalez, Jose Maria Basanta, Leonel Vagioni and Jonathan Urretaviscaya, still the team will remain with offensive power as stated before.

Prediction
I expect a match where Santos Laguna should dominate, and attractive match where both teams will enjoy scoring chances, still Monterrey will focus more on defending. Both teams are looking to qualify to the playoffs, now that Monterrey was kick out of Copa MX, the team will put more emphasis on Liga MX, meanwhile Santos Laguna continues in Copa MX which provides them with a boost for this match. Both posses offensive elements that will deliver a very attractive match. From last ten matches, seven has been over 2.5 goals, when playing at Corona Stadium,  five out of five have been over 2.5 goals.  I will back up the trend of goals in this match as I for see the value of this match in the over in that market.

Over 2.5 with  8 units @ 1.84 with 5Dimes

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Dorados vs Celaya
2018, March 18, 05:00 hrs (CET Time)
Ascenso MX

Dorados
In second place of Ascenso MX, with only one point behind leader Mineros Zacatecas, the team has the best defense of the tournament, with only 8 goals allowed in 12 matches, more fond of defending at away than at home. The team performance is also better away than at home, with four victories against there at home. Still a good performance that have them at the top of the league, looking to get to the first position.

Their recent results go against the latter, as their away match was a defeat against Atletico Zacatepec by a lone goal, meanwhile at home the team has three matches winning, after the opener opening this season with a streak of two consecutive defeats, which if considering Copa MX goes to four matches at home losing, still the have worked hard and change things around and now they have a good recent form at home. Which they will be pleased to come back to ace this match.

Previous to last defeat, the team had accumulated six matches without losing in Liga de Ascenso, therefore that defeat come as a reminder to keep the focus.

Celaya
At away Celaya has just one victory this year in Ascenso MX, and one in Copa MX, where the team was kickoff two weeks ago by losing 4-1 to Leon and being eliminated, so now with only Ascenso MX to focus went home and make it count as they won 2-0 to Ascenso MX leader Mineros Zacatecas to provide them with a good boost for the competition. The team climb to fifth position and nows they need to continue focus on that as they are just 3 points above the 11th place.

In Ascenso MX, Celaya has a great performance at home, where they have won four out of six matches, still at away the team has just one victory in six matches, still remarks that they obtained that victory in their current streak of three matches without victory at away, a great improvement from four defeats in their previous five matches.

Prediction
I expect a tight match, both teams have improved and are looking to continue on that trend, still I sense Dorados returning home will be a good point for them to perform well and claim a good result..

For this match the asian handicap for Dorados is where the value resides as in case of Draw we cover half stake, Celaya will put a good stand as they seems to be finding their way at away, still I consider Dorados at home will be to strong for them.

Dorados -0.25 AH with 7 units @ 2.03 at 188Bet
Under 2.5 with 3 units @ 1.76 at BetCity

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