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BillyHills

Racing Chat - Saturday Jan 13th

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325 Wetherby

Crown Hill 7/2 Betfair

So many nice races on Saturday! I'm napping Crown Hill at Wetherby because he looks over priced at 7/2 and should be favourite in my eyes. Has been running over hurdles of late but his chase form is quite progressive and should be up to winning in this 0-120 class. Had a nice spin at Exeter last time and has Newberry New to beat who finally got off the mark for his trainer after slipping 30lbs in the handicap. I'm not sure he is certain to reproduce that and rates poor value to me.

 

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2:10 Punchestown  Mengli Khan  11/8 Coral, William Hill

Look set for victory last time but run out at the 2nd last. Grade 1 Novice Hurdle. won Grade 1 Novice Hurdle event time before by 5 1/2L  and should gain compensation in this Grade 2 race.

6:15 Wolverhampton  Favourite Royal  15/2 Bet365

Should find this race a little easier and she likes it around here. She was found out by a steady pace last time in a class 3. Won a class 4 event in November after trying her hand in Listed. Back in Calmer waters on Tapeta could get her back to winning ways

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1.25 Lingfied

Boom The Groom 3/1 B365

The horse has been running in better class to these. Runs well at this track and has also contested in Listed class on this track. I think at this time this is the best horse in the race.

Edited by godofhorses
Spelling

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Triple Chance ..... 3 selections for big field Jumps handicaps of 12 plus runners based on early price favourite at time of posting, Racing post Verdict selection and my EW shot at bigger odds, generally a horse with course form which might outrun it's odds. Between those 3 selections we get lots of winners and placed horses.

Few races today ! ....... selections with current odds

Kemp 2.40

EP Fav - Diese des Bieffes 5/1

RP Verdict - Spiritofhtegames at 16/1

My EW - Bags Groove at 16/1 - CD winner, won last two races, on the upgrade and lightly raced - just the type for a valuable handicap

Warw 12. 40

EP Fav - Equus Millar at 6/1

RP Verdict - Destined to Shine at 17/2

My EW - Peppay le Pugh at 14/1 - bit tricky this race as none of the bigger priced ones have course form. Picked this one as ran well last time after a break and should come on for the run in which case will be thereabouts

Warw 2.25 

EP Fave - Black Ivory 9/2

RP Verdict - Black Ivory 9/2

My EW - Kris Spin at 10/1 - bit of an old timer now but thorough stayer, CD winner, should be plugging at the end of 3 miles on soft ground

Warw 3.35

EP Fave - Missed Approach at 5/1

RP Verdict - Missed Approach at 5/1

My EW - Goodtoknow at 14/1 - 2nd in this race last year, Unseated 2nd on seasonal debut then pulled up in the Becher after running prominently for a long way,. This represents a drop in class and hopefully he'll come on for that Aintree run. 

Let's see how we get on !

 

 

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16 hours ago, godofhorses said:

1.25 Lingfied

Boom The Groom 3/1 B365

The horse has been running in better class to these. Runs well at this track and has also contested in Listed class on this track. I think at this time this is the best horse in the race.

Mmm thought I had it for a moment!!!

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