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Darran

Non-League Predictions > Jan 13th

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Right I’m typing this on my phone so it will be very brief. At big odds I think Hendon and heybridge are worth backing in the Fa Trophy. Havant are over priced especially given their away form in the big game in the NLS. Hampton look a great bet at odds against as more than happy to continue to oppose Eastbourne. Whitehawk worth another go at long odds and the very much in form leatherhead are worth backing in the bostik premier.

Hendon 1pt

Heybridge 1pt

Havant 1pt

Hampton 3pts

Whitehawk 1pt

Leatherhead 3pts 

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FA Trophy...got done answering a question I'd always wondered about it, and big dogs just don't win here. My database goes back to 2009, and overall dogs of over 8.0 are 0-4-23 in that time, including 0-0-6 in the round of 16.

The two live dogs historically speaking are Stockport and Workington, priced where dogs in this round have won about a third of the time. So at 3.8 and 4.5, they're probably worth a go.

In the Conf N/S I'm waiting to see whether Gainsborough remain a home-dog play; Nuneaton must remain at 2.0 or below for me to be interested in back the dog.

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59 minutes ago, allthethings said:

FA Trophy...got done answering a question I'd always wondered about it, and big dogs just don't win here. My database goes back to 2009, and overall dogs of over 8.0 are 0-4-23 in that time, including 0-0-6 in the round of 16.

The two live dogs historically speaking are Stockport and Workington, priced where dogs in this round have won about a third of the time. So at 3.8 and 4.5, they're probably worth a go.

In the Conf N/S I'm waiting to see whether Gainsborough remain a home-dog play; Nuneaton must remain at 2.0 or below for me to be interested in back the dog.

Gainsborough is a play, and so is Chippenham...and Barrow is flirting with getting some of my money also; Brackley dropped to 2.01, has a bit more to drop.

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