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StevieDay1983

FA Cup Predictions > Jan 16th & 17th

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My plays:

Carlisle 6.12

Stevenage 6.83

Mansfield X 3.59

I took Mansfield earlier at +0.25 at 3.17 odds, before I realized that they'd become an actual home dog above 4.00. Oh, well.

By the way, no one has mentioned that Stevenage beat Doncaster and Reading away in the FAC back when they were in League One. This puts me off a bit...sides don't typically repeat upsets like that. Again, oh well.

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@andrewcalo

Why you think Swansea will win? Read that Carvahal said that he will rotate his squad and the Main Priority is the Premier League. So i think Swansea will rotate heavy and Wolves are with maybe the best Line-Up? Also bad H2H for Swansea against Wolves. Only advantage i see here is the Home Advantage and the fact that after the Game Swansea have 2 more Day´s to rest.

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding FA Cup

Norwich have failed to win their last 8 games in FA Cup.
Chelsea are undefeated in their last 14 games against Norwich in all competitions.
Norwich have failed to score in 83% of their last 6 games in FA Cup.
Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in 71% of their last 7 home games against Norwich in all competitions.
Chelsea have won 86% of their last 7 home games against Norwich in all competitions.

You can find interesting 60 Football Betting Streaks for 17.01.2018 on this link ... http://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-streaks-17-01-2018

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8 hours ago, Neubs said:

@andrewcalo

Why you think Swansea will win? Read that Carvahal said that he will rotate his squad and the Main Priority is the Premier League. So i think Swansea will rotate heavy and Wolves are with maybe the best Line-Up? Also bad H2H for Swansea against Wolves. Only advantage i see here is the Home Advantage and the fact that after the Game Swansea have 2 more Day´s to rest.

We almost won it last time, and would have if the blind ref hadn't sent our man off (red card was later rescinded).

Don't pay to much attention to the press conference in this case - Carvalhal is rotating the squad because he's a new manager trying to get a fix on a first team he likes.

I said at least a draw last time so I'm on that again.

And the Liberty Stadium is not an easy place to get a result on a cold South Wales night.

Edited by andrewcalo

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Chelsea vs Norwich

Going to take a deeper look at this game because it's being shown live on BBC One tonight. Chelsea are being heavily criticised by their own fans for what is being labelled a boring brand of football. There are rumours that Hazard is also trying to engineer a move away from the club as well. Despite the club being in 4th place in the Premier League, still in the Champions League, and still in the FA Cup, and still in the EFL Cup, it's clearly hard to please some fans. This should be a standard outcome for the home side. We all remembered the 4-2 win for Bradford in this competition a few years back. I feel Conte won't allow such complacency. I can see the Blues winning with a solid display here. Chelsea could be without both Fabregas and Cahill but will still have enough strength in depth. Conte will want to make a point here that Chelsea are not to be messed with. It's also always worth including this goal at any opportunity. This effort from Zola came in a match against Norwich in the FA Cup...

Zola Backheel Goal vs Norwich in FA Cup

Chelsea -1 @ 1.83 with Ladbrokes

BTTS "No" @ 1.70 with BetVictor

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FA cup third round replay results

 

2012 2h  2d  1a

2013 4h  1d  1a

2014 4h  3d  4a

2014 5h  1d  3a  

2015 4h  2d  1a   

2016 6h  2d  2a   

2017 5h  0d  4a

 

As y'all can see, we only dropped below the four home wins when there were only 5 replays to play.

 

I think 2 more home wins and a draw tonight, guv.

 

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I'm keen to find a way to get with Chelsea tonight; in recent weeks they've gone off 1/6 v Brighton, 1/7 v Stoke, 3/10 v Leicester and was 4/9 for the initial meeting 11 days ago. I know they'll make changes but 1/3 about the home win seems enormous to me.

Difficult to put a price on Wigan v Bournemouth given the visitors likely to make a host of changes - U1.5 appeals at 11/4 with 5 of last the 6 ties where a L1 side has hosted a PL side going unders with PL side failing to score on all 6 occasions. Wigan have drew their last 3 home matches 0-0 too.

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Below EFL Trophy rather than FA Cup but it doesn't warrant it's own thread so stuck it in here...

Oldam 13/8 against Leicester Academy tonight - 4 players from Leicester Academy 2-1 win away at Scnuthorpe in the last round featured in last nights FA Cup replay - side will be similar to that that faced Fleetwood (4/11), Carlisle (4/9) & Morecambe (10/11) in the group stages.

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