Offramp Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 A Reverse Forecast at Skybet, where they pay up to 5 places. 16:20 at York Bollin Neil 12/1 & Battle Angel 10/1 £10 Reverse Forecast = £20. The Equaliser and LEE-GRAYS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 2.30 fontwell stormbomber 18/1 £10 3places e/w/e bet365 The Equaliser and peanut peanut 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-05 13:00 Fontwell Oneonechop 2.18 2021-09-05 13:30 Fontwell Writteninthesand 1.69 2021-09-05 15:25 Perth Yccs Portocervo 2.18 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 100.76 80.76 alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 York 2.40 BERGERAC 8/1 £20 win BSP The Equaliser, Ironjoe, LEE-GRAYS and 1 other 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 17 hours ago, Valiant Thor said: AUG +62.14 SEPT +19.20 SOPHIES STAR 5.89pts MINELLA TRUMP 6.63pts PAGAN 3.06pts GREAT EMBASSADOR 4.42PTS 20pts staked ...B365 2 for profit SOPHIES STAR 5.89pts......................NR +5.89 MINELLA TRUMP 6.63pts...............WON +13.26 PAGAN 3.06pts.................................LOST GREAT EMBASSADOR 4.42PTS.......WON +13.26 STAKED 20..RETURNED....32.41...PROFIT +12.41 AUG +62.14 SEPT +31.61 peanut peanut, MCLARKE, The Equaliser and 2 others 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 5 hours ago, gbettle said: event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-05 13:00 Fontwell Oneonechop 2.18 2021-09-05 13:30 Fontwell Writteninthesand 1.69 2021-09-05 15:25 Perth Yccs Portocervo 2.18 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 100.76 80.76 event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-05 13:00 Fontwell Oneonechop 2.18 3 2021-09-05 13:30 Fontwell Writteninthesand 1.69 2 2021-09-05 15:25 Perth Yccs Portocervo 2.18 2 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 0.00 -20.00 Month bets outlay return profit 8 31 620 703.98 83.98 9 5 100 0 -100.00 alexcaruso808 and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 8 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said: 2.30 fontwell stormbomber 18/1 £10 3places e/w/e bet365 lost +£61.67 sept +£1398.67 oct 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 6 hours ago, MCLARKE said: York 2.40 BERGERAC 8/1 £20 win BSP Won. BSP 8.39. Monthly profit + £64.84. The Equaliser, peanut peanut, gbettle and 1 other 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigwilliam Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 17 hours ago, Nigwilliam said: Yk 210 Profit And Loss 4/1 420 Bollin Neil 14/1 2 X £10 win skybet. Lost 3rd, 4th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 AUG +62.14 SEPT +31.61 DRUMLEE WATAR..7.59pts JOHNNY BOOM.....4.82pts GLORIOUS RIO.......7.59pts 20pts Staked B365 1 winner small profit/break even The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Offramp Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 On 9/5/2021 at 8:54 AM, Offramp said: A Reverse Forecast at Skybet, where they pay up to 5 places. 16:20 at York Bollin Neil 12/1 & Battle Angel 10/1 £10 Reverse Forecast = £20. Bollin Neil cam in at 4th... But I'm afraid that even if Skybet paid out on the first 11 places I wouldn't have get a penny. Battle Angel came in at 12th. The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 4.35 Galway General clermont 6/1 £10 e/w bet365 The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-06 14:10 Newton Abbot Kilmington Rose 1.57 2021-09-06 14:40 Newton Abbot Wagner 1.62 2021-09-06 17:05 Galway Jazzaway 1.65 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 60.02 40.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigwilliam Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 Newc 555 East Coast Road 7/1 800 Qaaraat 13/2 2 x £10 win skybet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 Newcastle 6.55 HURRY UP HEDLEY 4/1 £20 win BSP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Offramp Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 20:30 Newcastle TRIPLE JAY 11/4 at Skybet £20 to win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 9 hours ago, gbettle said: event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-06 14:10 Newton Abbot Kilmington Rose 1.57 2021-09-06 14:40 Newton Abbot Wagner 1.62 2021-09-06 17:05 Galway Jazzaway 1.65 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 60.02 40.02 event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-06 14:10 Newton Abbot Kilmington Rose 1.57 1 2021-09-06 14:40 Newton Abbot Wagner 1.62 2 2021-09-06 17:05 Galway Jazzaway 1.65 PU Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 0.00 -20.00 Month bets outlay return profit 8 31 620 703.98 83.98 9 6 120 0 -120.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 On 9/5/2021 at 7:17 PM, Valiant Thor said: AUG +62.14 SEPT +31.61 DRUMLEE WATAR..7.59pts JOHNNY BOOM.....4.82pts GLORIOUS RIO.......7.59pts 20pts Staked B365 1 winner small profit/break even DRUMLEE WATAR..7.59pts...NR ...+7.59 JOHNNY BOOM.....4.82pts...LOST...2nd GLORIOUS RIO.......7.59pts...WON...+20.87 STAKED...20...RETURNED...28.46...PROFIT...8.46 AUG +62.14 SEPT +40.10 The Equaliser, MCLARKE, peanut peanut and 2 others 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 (edited) On 9/5/2021 at 7:17 PM, Valiant Thor said: AUG +62.14 SEPT +31.61 DRUMLEE WATAR..7.59pts JOHNNY BOOM.....4.82pts GLORIOUS RIO.......7.59pts 20pts Staked B365 1 winner small profit/break even Very unlucky with Johnny Boom beaten a nose Edited September 6, 2021 by The Equaliser Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 (edited) 3 minutes ago, The Equaliser said: Very unlucky with Johnny Boom beaten a nose I dont believe in luck Everything is quantifiable Edited September 6, 2021 by Valiant Thor MCLARKE, harry_rag and The Equaliser 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigwilliam Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 9 hours ago, Nigwilliam said: Newc 555 East Coast Road 7/1 800 Qaaraat 13/2 2 x £10 win skybet. Lost. East Coast Road last, btn 52 lengths, Quaaraat. 7th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 21 minutes ago, Valiant Thor said: I dont believe in luck Everything is quantifiable That’s got my head whirling! Luck definitely exists in my opinion, and may play a part in the outcome of an individual bet (as in bad bets can win and good bets can lose) but, in the long run, you get what you deserve. Most punters fail to appreciate how much the outcome of a sporting event is determined by luck rather than the skill of the participants (hence the fallacy of “buying money”). I don’t know if literally everything is quantifiable but I agree that most things are, though most punters only scratch the surface of actually doing so. I think one of the most productive things you could do is quantify how much the result of any given event is determined by the skill of the participants and how much by luck. So I think you have to believe in luck if only to quantify it! I definitely think that most punters tend to attribute winning bets to their skill and judgement and losing ones to bad luck. kevsul and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, harry_rag said: That’s got my head whirling! Luck definitely exists in my opinion, and may play a part in the outcome of an individual bet (as in bad bets can win and good bets can lose) but, in the long run, you get what you deserve. Most punters fail to appreciate how much the outcome of a sporting event is determined by luck rather than the skill of the participants (hence the fallacy of “buying money”). I don’t know if literally everything is quantifiable but I agree that most things are, though most punters only scratch the surface of actually doing so. I think one of the most productive things you could do is quantify how much the result of any given event is determined by the skill of the participants and how much by luck. So I think you have to believe in luck if only to quantify it! I definitely think that most punters tend to attribute winning bets to their skill and judgement and losing ones to bad luck. People especial punters use luck as an emotional crutch IMO The horse in question where 'unlucky' was mentioned was Johnny Boom which lost by a nose, why is that classed as unlucky does that mean the other horse was lucky, there could be numerous reasons , horse tiring jockey went to soon or too late etc . An event can only be expressed as a static %age chance in your /mine opinion before the event and then only using past and some present available data. Once the event starts it then becomes dynamic , just because we cant quantify what happens in its dynamic state does not make it luck or bad luck whatever the final event happens to be, it is what it is so get over it. Its similar to a punter bemoaning his 2/7 shot losing as his last £ goes down the pan . (they still lose 23% of the time) but that never entered his perception of how things would turn out , so blames everyone but himself for backing it, harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 I think we’re on the same page but I was finding the notion of trying to quantify luck slightly paradoxical. Maybe i should think of that as chance or randomness as opposed to luck! Valiant Thor and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted September 6, 2021 Share Posted September 6, 2021 (edited) AUG +62.14 SEPT +40.10 ROCK MELODY...10.48pts FLAUNT...............9.52pts 20pts staked B365 1 winner for profit Edited September 6, 2021 by Valiant Thor wrong dutch stakes Wildgarden and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigwilliam Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 Good 405 Themaxwecan 5/2 skybet £20 win. The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbettle Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-07 13:00 Catterick Cover Name 1.33 2021-09-07 17:07 Goodwood King Vega 1.24 2021-09-07 18:30 Galway Haparanda 1.79 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 46.01 26.01 The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 (edited) 22 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said: 4.35 Galway General clermont 6/1 £10 e/w bet365 lost +£41.67 sept +£1378.67 oct 2020 Edited September 7, 2021 by LEE-GRAYS Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 7.00 Galway Final endeavour 16/1 £10 e/w bet365 peanut peanut and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Offramp Posted September 7, 2021 Share Posted September 7, 2021 Skybet (and others) pay out 5 places instead of 3 at the 17:00 at Galway. I am putting money on MUTADAAWEL. That horse is 40/1. £10 each way = £20, I don't expect the horse to win... LEE-GRAYS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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