Jump to content
Attention, PL Members! To reinforce security on the forum, we have updated our login process. Please note that you will now need to use your email address to sign in, rather than your forum username. We appreciate your understanding and cooperation.

Mexico > Primera Division > Clausura 2018

Recommended Posts


Tijuana 4 - 1 Pumas

-8 units

Tijuana 4 - 1 Pumas = 5 goals

-2 units

Chivas Guadalajara 1-1 Pachuca = 2 goals

-6 units

Is to remark that in Pachuca match, three shoots hit woodwork, the last one a penalty kick for Pachuca, that Sagal was unable to convert. :@

Day Result: -16 units

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Veracruz vs America
2018, February 19, 01:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

With two victories in the last three matches, the team has seen their opportunities to avoid relegation come back to life, together with Lobos BUAP irregular performance things are starting to get interesting, still their rival in this match is very difficult.

Veracruz will try to build from the good victory against then leader Pumas and give America their first defeat, but they playmaking style of America is very different from Pumas, but Veracruz has the moral boost in their side.

Contrary to expected it is at away where the team has been able to take the points, meanwhile at home they remain winless, and have only score once in three matches.

Unbeaten and top of the league, the team is enjoying a great season, they have taken full advantage of not playing Copa MX and next week will take part of CONCACAF Champions League playing against Costa Rica side Deportivo Saprissa.

At away, America has showed solid defending allowing only one goal in three matches, still are lacking the offensive power they have display at home, with only 2 goals in those three matches in contrast with 12 goals scored in 4 matches at home. Henry Martin has taken advantage of their playmaking style and with five goals is the team scoring leader.

In last four encounters at  Luis “Pirata” Fuente, America has claimed the victory in two of the last four encounters. And for this match they should dominate the actions of the match and enjoy the best scoring changes, Veracruz despite being at home will relay on defending and looking to take the lead via counterattacks.

America should obtain a good result from this match that let them encounter their midweek match without pressure, Veracruz would like to claim a good result, but I do not see that happening.

America -0.25 AH with 8 units @1.99 with Dafabet


Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 2 weeks later...

Toluca vs Pachuca
2018, March 04, 19:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

The team has make a good season so far, remains unbeaten at home, where they have collected two victories and two draws and has showed solid defending only allowing 3 goals in five matches played at home. The team has three consecutive matches winning, only in the match against Mineros Zacatecas in Copa MX the team allowed goals, still the offensive was powerful enough to score more than Mineros and secure qualification for next round.

The team has encounter important opposition at home as Monterrey and Santos Laguna has fallen here in their last two matches played in Liga MX. Also Santos Laguna lost here in Copa MX.

With the pair of Sambueza and Fernando Uribe the team has the offensive power required.

The team has improved lately in Liga MX with four consecutive matches without losing,  two home victories, and away victory against Veracruz and a high voltage against Pachuca.  In the midweek the team lost their last match of Copa MX against Atletico San Luis by 2-1, and despite being tied in points was able to proceed thanks to away goals to next stage of Copa MX.

Keisuke Honda has adapt well to the team, and has also scored goal for the team and remains one of their main key players.

For Pachuca this match will be a very good test for their capabilities for this season. At away the team has only the victory against Veracruz, and had lost against Tigres UANL by 3-2 at the end of January. With draw against America and Chivas.

The previous encounter have been tight matches, and the urgency of Pachuca to win at away will be key for the development of the match, expect constant offensive arrivals.

Toluca should impose conditions, still it will not be an easy thing to do Pachuca has obtained good results here by minimum margin, the discipline will be key, if Toluca can avoid red cards, then they will have control and enjoy the best chances. Considering the handicap take, Toluca is the best option by being at home where they are displaying a great gameplay.

Toluca -0.25 AH with 8 units @ 1.84 at 12Bet

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Santos Laguna vs Monterrey
2018, March 12,  02:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

Santos Laguna
Before this round, the leader of Liga MX, with a good form, three victories in five matches, alive in Copa MX, the team has provided good sensations in overall. Considering Liga MX the team has only two defeats in 10 matches, with six victories. With a great performance at home, with four victories in five matches, remaining unbeaten there, only against Tijuana the team was unable to score. Their defense has perform at a great level, with three clean sheets in those five matches.

The team will be without Cris Martines and Liga MX scoring leader Djaniny, which was injured and will have some weeks out, but the team is not without scoring players, as Furch will be again on the attack, and the team want to show they are not dependent of Djaniny.

With two consecutives matches without victory, the team was kickoff of Copa MX by Queretaro in penalties. Considering only Liga MX the team has only won once in last five matches with three defeats, two of them away and the last weekend 1-3 to Puebla at home, consider by the media de surprise of the season, it seems the media has not observed Puebla this season.

Monterrey at away has had a better performance recently than at home, with three victories in the last five matches. As in home last five had deliver only one victory, against Leon, and three draws with two defeats.  The team has showed in some matches good defending, that has allowed them to get some victories, but on other matches, the team is just lost at away, as showed against Toluca and Necaxa. For this match it is yet to see how they will perform, but will like to recover from Copa MX elimination.

Monterrey have offensive players with which to generate scoring chances, as Aviles Hurtado, Rogelio Funes More, Carlos Sanche, their only negative point is that they tend to miss penalties. Coach Mohamed will field an alternative team, as he will be without Jonathan Gonzalez, Jose Maria Basanta, Leonel Vagioni and Jonathan Urretaviscaya, still the team will remain with offensive power as stated before.

I expect a match where Santos Laguna should dominate, and attractive match where both teams will enjoy scoring chances, still Monterrey will focus more on defending. Both teams are looking to qualify to the playoffs, now that Monterrey was kick out of Copa MX, the team will put more emphasis on Liga MX, meanwhile Santos Laguna continues in Copa MX which provides them with a boost for this match. Both posses offensive elements that will deliver a very attractive match. From last ten matches, seven has been over 2.5 goals, when playing at Corona Stadium,  five out of five have been over 2.5 goals.  I will back up the trend of goals in this match as I for see the value of this match in the over in that market.

Over 2.5 with  8 units @ 1.84 with 5Dimes

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tijuana vs Morelia
2018, March 18, 03:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

The team latest form has just been terrible, with three consecutive defeats the team has been kickoff of CONCACAF Champions League, in a double header with New York Red Bulls the team did not show anything of their good features, bad defending as they have allowed goals for five consecutive matches, with only 1 goal scored in the last three matches, the offensive seems to have vanished.

Perhaps the most harm was the home defeat in the 1st leg of the CONCACAF CL header, where they lost 2-0 at home, coming from three matches without defeat. Now the team is stronger at home than away, where they have not won a single match, in stark contrast to home where they have four victories out of five matches. So despite the previous defeat at home, the team will look to bounce back from the negative outcome to get a good result.

Monarcas Morelia
The team have been pushed by their good results at home all the way to the 5th position of Liga MX, the team has showed good playmaking and overall offensive punch, as for the fourth match in a row scored twice, only three victories as in the Copa MX elimination round, the team defense was unable to hold the push of Cafetaleros and allowed four goal that shadow the scored two and deliver them to be out of the competition.

The team hits the road, where they have four consecutive defeats, two of them in the Copa MX against Ascenso MX, and twice in Liga MX, against 2nd, America, and 4th place, Tigres UANL, respectively. Therefore the main thing Morelia will be looking is to avoid goals and try to get some points on away, last season the team was a good away, but this season that is no where to be seen.

I expect a match, where Tijuana will focus to improve on their performance and rebound from CONCACAF Champions League elimination, meanwhile I see a Morelia that will look to overcome also a bad streak and the elimination from Copa MX, therefore a tight match, still both teams carry offensive power to score.

The problem for Club Tijuana good performance at home is that they encounter Morelia, which is doing really good recently, and just need to reflect that at away, therefore for this match I consider it will be closer encounter than what the odds offer, and I see the value with Morelia on away, as I do not see them as an easy catch, despite their last away performance and the good home form of Tijuana.

Monarcas Morelia +0.5 AH with 7 units @ 1.98 at Unibet

Under 2.5 with 2 units @ 1.81 at BetCity

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 2 weeks later...

Atlas vs Santos Laguna
2018, March 31, 05:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

After last season the team was able to clinch the last playoffs spot and with that provide a better picture to the season that it really was. For this one, the team has just been a disaster, winless at away, with six defeats in six matches, and only two victories and a draw in six matches at home, the team is at the bottom of the league table, which lead to the departure of Coach Ruben Omar Romano.

Coach Gerardo Espinoza will take the position, internal in this moment, he knows a good close of the tournament could provide him with a good shot for a permanent position on the team.

In last five matches at home in Liga MX, the team had won two, against Cruz Azul and Puebla, draw against Necaxa and lost to Toluca and Monterrey. Performance that the team will be looking to improve in their last three matches at home.

On the bright side, the team defense has not been that bad, as many matches the difference has been just one goal, in five matches with one goal scored the team would have more draws and even one more victory from their lone draw against Necaxa, which would have the team with 14 points, and would be only 3 points behind playoffs spots.

For this match, a team with a very different attitude is expected, is yet to see how the team will play and which players will be on the lineup, one advantage the team have is they posses many youth players eager to earn a place on the team for next season and also the experience players know that if they do not provide strong arguments they could depart the team, expect a dynamic team looking to provide a good performance.

Santos Laguna
The leader of Liga MX, with only two defeats in twelve matches, still on away the team has an average performance with three victories in six matches for a 50% performance, and is the second best away record to date this season.

For this match, the team could see goal scorer leader Djaniny Tavares return to the team, after twelve days away from the team, time during with the team played twice, winning 1-0 both matches against Queretaro and Santos.

The team has an streak of five match winning, a streak that mixes Copa MX with Liga MX matches. Just considering Liga MX, the team has four consecutive matches winning after the away defeat to Toluca in February.

Coach Siboldi has been able to manage a squad that between injuries and playing Copa MX has been able to be leader of Liga MX and be alive in Copa MX, with the possible return of Djaniny, the team only adds up a key player for this remaining matches.

Their defense has been also important, shadowed by the offensive power of their strikers, has three clean-sheets in the last five matches, two of them in Copa MX. Just sometimes they allowed goals, thanks to their good offensive the final score is most of the time in Santos favor.

Expect an intense and attractive match, it is yet not see which players Atlas will field but their team ethos has remain to provide good playmaking above all. Meanwhile Santos has also look to provide a good match and take the points..

A match that due to the recent changes in Atlas, is more level than what the numbers show, still I consider Santos is being strong and with the return of their main scorer, the attack of Furch and Djaniny will provide enough problems for any defense. Therefore the value resides on Santos, we take the asian handicap in case of a draw, as despite atlas only having one draw, the multiple changes could work for them, still I see Santos Laguna stronger in every aspect.

Santos Laguna -0.25 AH with 7 units @ 1.97 at AsianOdds

Both Score No Draw with 3 units @ 2.75 at WilliamHil

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Necaxa vs America
2018, April 08, 04:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

The team has been making a great season considering the initial expectations, in midweek the team was able to reach the final of Copa MX beating Santos Laguna with a last minute goal to avoid penalties, and will play the final against Toluca in the coming midweek.

In Liga MX, the team is outside playoffs positions, only two points behind the last spots, the team has showed solid defending, allowing only 11 goals in 13 matches, with a rather similar performance at home than away, in both the team has draw mor matches than wins or defeats, with more goals scored at away than at home.

The team has only one defeat in the last matches in Liga MX, stil in the recent five, the team has been unable to win, and has claimed four draws 1-1. Here has been key GK Barovero, which has deliver very good performances to claim points where otherwise would be defeats.

The team has alternate results at home, considering Liga MX, taking into consideration all competitions, in the last six matches at home has won four, draw one and lost against Santos Laguna, which they precisely beat in the last match to proceed to Copa MX final.

The team has a morale boost after achieving qualification to the final and also that America has not beat them since 2007. But the last two have been 1-1 draws.

Unbeaten at away this season, with one victory and four draws, the team has showed solid defending only allowing three goals, still only scoring four, quite a contraste with their home performance, as they have scored 17 goals at home, getting five victories out of eight matches there.

The team suffer a hard defeat during the week, as they lost 3-1 against Toronto, in a match where the bad pitch and the environmental conditions acted against them, but above that, the quick transitions of Toronto in counterattacks, still the team dominated the match but could not convert many scoring chances into goals.

The team remains on the top four of Liga MX, with chances to secure playoffs with a victory in this match.  Currently the team has a streak of five matches without defeat in away in Liga MX, with four consecutive draws, the last three by identical 1-1 scorelines.

The team will not rest any player for the midweek match against Toronto at Azteca Stadium and will field key players GK Marchesin, MF Uribe, and FWs Oribe Peralta and Henry Martin.


A match where America will dominate the actions, Necaxa playing style under Ignacio Ambriz is focusing primarly on defense, very keen on not letting goals and using counterattack to get their goals, in case of need the team can go on the offensive, but the coach do this only when needed. America on away also focus on more on defense when on away, still I sense their offensive power being able to get something.
Despite not winning in several matches in Aguascalientes, America has deliver good performances and has been close, as Necaxa had to comeback from behind to draw. I sense it is a match that is more level as Necaxa comes in a good form and America also, despite the defeat in Toronto, as in Liga MX they have perform well at away, and coming back to better environemtnal conditions will be in favor of America. Therefore I sense the value on the away side, still cover as the most frequent result in this encounter has been a draw.

America 0 AH with 7 points @ 2.03 at AsianOdds
Under 2.5 with 2 points @ 1.70 at Marathonbet
Draw with 1 point @ 3.25 at Pinnacle

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Lobos BUAP vs Necaxa
2018, April 15, 00:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

Lobos BUAP
Last place of the league, eliminated from playoffs with three rounds to go, the team can not give up as they are immerse on the fight to avoid relegation, still with the possibility in their hands, the teams knows this match is key, and if things where not bad enough, a very difficult team infront.

The team fired their coach recently, and one of its aides remained in the team and took the managerial position, something that the players did not liked, still they could not make anything about it. And in the two matches the team have encounter since, the bright side can be made that they just lost by one goal against Cruz Azul as against Toluca, still the team needs victories, anything else is not good enough.

Lobos BUAP has tried to be an offensive and good playmaking team, last season provide them with good result that just had them outside of playoffs but two points, but this season has just been the opposite, still the team continues with that idea in mind, having to carry with many defeats at away this season, still in many of them the team was able to score, but the victory did not come that way.

And last two matches at home have been hard defeats, after having a four matches unbeaten streak, still two draws in that span did not provide them with more points that could had the team save right now, instead the team focus this match with the pressure at its highest point, as if they do not win, they have to wait for other teams results to see how the panorama would look for the following round.

Defender Maza Rodriguez is suspended and will not dispute this match, together with injured Lucero Alvarez, important absences for the wolves.

With an streak of 8 matches unbeaten, the team won at midweek Copa MX final to Toluca in an attractive match, where a Toluca goal was invalid due to offside and Necaxa clinched the title thanks to an odd own goal of Toluca, where the defender tried to clear the ball, but end up sending it inside the goal he had to defend, and despite Toluca efforts, Necaxa defense did not allowed a goal to tie the match.

The team focus has been Copa MX, where the four victories of the streak had come, at Liga MX, the team has four consecutive 1-1 draws, either at home or at away, the team has been able to remain unbeaten. Still outside of playoffs positions, the team knows they need to improve their performance if they want to participate in this season playoffs and avoid missing out, as last season, that two points keep them from taking part in them.

Necaxa brightest side is their attack, as Carlos Gonzalez together with Martin Barragan, backed up by Victor Davila have been able to score or help score at least a goal in the last 14 matches, and highlights when coach Ambriz has display a defensive playmaking, focusing on the destruction and not allowing goals than in creating them but, at some moments, and when in case of need, the team is able to produce offensive playmaking and produce important goals.

The detail could be pointed to the defense, where they have allowed goals in many matches, and if it was not for that good attack we would be talking about a very different situation, still the work of GK Barbero has been key for the team not receiving more goals, together with Igor Lichnosvky and Brayan Antonio Beckeles.

Ventura Alvarado will miss this match, together with injured Matias Fernandez, that despite his lack of goals, is always a threat in free kicks.

An opposites match, Lobos BUAP at the bottom of the table, trying to provide an offensive playmaking, which last season provide good results, and this one just nothing good for the team, infront of Necaxa, recent Copa MX champions, near playoffs spots and playing very compact and concise, knowing they objectives. Lobos BUAP is the team in need, therefore the best situation for Necaxa defensive and counterattacking style.
Necaxa momentum by winning Copa MX is very positive and with the high morale of the team, they are in prime positive to encounter this match, their tight defense and strong attack have a good opportunity as they just need to wait for the time to bring out the desperation in Lobos BUAP and take advantage of that to have the best scoring chances. Still with their tendency to draw, I prefer to have the draw cover in some instance with the asian handicap.

Necaxa 0.25 AH with 8 units @ 1.99 at Pinnacle

Draw with 1 units @3.58 at 1xBet

Correct Score -1-1 with 1 unit @ 7 at Coolbet

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Morelia vs Toluca
2018, April 15, 03:30 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

The team has had an irregular performance, despite a good pace at home, the team has cost him get consecutive victories, however that does not take away the quality of the team, highlighting Diego Valdez in the midfield, which provides goals and passes, as well as striker Raul Ruidiaz.

His performance at home is quite favorable, getting the victory in five games, of seven disputed, however the other two have been defeats, one of them just the last game played at home, against Chivas. It should be noted that before them, had four games with victory, three of them with a score of 2-1. The team has offensive power, as was seen in the last game against Leon, where Raul Ruidiaz exploded with a triplet, which confirms his quality, and his goals were already pending.

The team will seek to recover from the defeat suffered at home, and the performance against Leon provides elements to consider it possible, but the defense subtracts the same, given that in the last 10 games, in 9 of them has allowed a goal.

A hard moral blow to the team at midweek, when they lost the title of Copa MX in the final against Necaxa, in a game in which they scored, but out of place, so the goal did not rise to the scoreboard. And if that was not negative, granted the advantage of Necaxa through an own goal, which led them to seek the tie, but could not and lost the title.

The team is the leader of Liga MX, and changing the spirits after the terrible result to continue in that position is the task facing the coach Cristante, Toluca had 11 games without losing, showing a great performance at home or away, specially on away where they had five consecutive visits and victory in all of them, in one of them in the penalty shootout to proceed to the aforementioned final.

Before the last defeat of this particular match in Morelos Stadium, Toluca had gone four games without defeat, getting the victory in two of them, while the other two games were draws.

Hard psychic blow having lost the final, but that does not take away the offensive power of the team, with Sambueza and Fernando Uribe, as well as the defensive solidity granted by Alfredo Talavera, whose defense in the last 10 games has barely allowed 1 goal per meeting.

Match that will be intense because of the style of play of both teams, which is based on possession and offensive play, so it could cancel each other, but I trust that there will be arrivals in both goals, the need however is part of Morelia than looking to secure his ticket to the liguilla, while Toluca has it already secure and I hope the coach Cristante will get the players to maintain order and carry out their game plan, therefore I see the value first on Both Teams to Score and then Toluca with Asian Handicap

BTTS with 6 units @ 1.80 at Bethard
Toluca -0.25 AH with 3 units @ 2.09 at Pinnacle

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Santos Laguna vs Pumas UNAM
2018, April 23, 01:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

Santos Laguna
In the second position of Liga MX, with the qualification to the guaranteed league only trying to maintain the second position, since Toluca could secure the first place before this match is disputed. The home team has been very solid, winning 6 of 7 matches and maintaining unbeaten by having tied the other. In conjunction with Toluca and Cruz Azul of the best defenses at home.

His recent performance has been affected by the away matches, where he has two Liga MX games losing consecutively, a surprise match against Atlas and another against Pachuca in which although he scored, he could not achieve the tie and charge with the defeat in both, in addition to losing the final of Copa MX against Necaxa, where a goal of last minute was the one that determined that Necaxa was champion, hard psychic blow. However, at home the team won against Queretaro to take the victory by a comfortable 3-0.

The team is the second best attack of the League, led by Djaniny, but with wide variations to have J. Furch and Jonathan Rodriguez, the team has offensive variants that give alternatives to the coach as the game goes. The team will look to return to winning ways at home after the loss to Pachuca.

Pumas UNAM
The Pumas are close to the posts, and for the moment they depend only on what they do, however a draw or defeat would make them depend on other results to enter the playoffs.

The team opened the league forcefully chaining six games without defeat, with four victories that had him in first place, but then the team went into a pothole that led him to chain 8 games without knowing the victory, with some ties and be out of posts of liguilla, fortunately for the team in the last game to beat the Puebla thanks to their forwards Nicolas Castillo, made a hattrick, and M. Alustiza scored to keep the team's options alive.

It should be noted that Nicolas Castillo is behind Djaniny in terms of the league's goal scorers, despite having played more games than Djaniny, the problem is that he can go on to chase several games without scoring, but when he scores it is possible that I'll do it again in the same game.

Despite the previous victory, the team needs to improve in defense, since they have played 10 games allowing at least one goal, and against an offensive team like Santos Laguna it is difficult for them to achieve not conceding a goal, and more when Santos Laguna goes of local.


A strong home side Santos will focus on playmaking and taking advantage of the need of Pumas, and as time proceed the open spaces are going to be deadly for Santos counterattacks, it all will depend on Pumas attack, as if Nicolas Castillo is able to score first, then the whole match dynamic might change, but with a Santos offensive, the goals are sure to be present.
This is an encounter that has brought great games, of the last six games between them played in Torreón, 6 of them have finished with more than 2.5 goals. And considering the last five games between them, without considering who was local, 4 of 5 have ended with more than 2.5 goals. So a tendency has been that the teams are present on the scoreboard.

Over 2.75 goals with 6 units @ 1.83 at Pinnacle
Santos Laguna with 3 units @ 1.91 at Pinnacle

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Morelia vs Necaxa
2018, April 28, 02:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

The team was very irregular, victories or defeats, it was the teams with the least matches and although at home they achieved more victories than defeats, it was at away where they had more defeats.

It is in the recent performance where they are suffering, with only an away victory against Leon, and a draw visiting Xolos de Tijuana, losing to Chivas at the end of March, which accumulates to the two consecutive losses against Toluca and Cruz Azul, matches in what they could not even score and allowed goals. What puts him in a complicated situation, because although it remains in liquida sports, it is not seen with what arguments can they maintained there.

Fortunately for them, the return of Raul Ruidiaz to the starting XI after his suspension in the game against Cruz Azul, which will give offensive elements to the team to achieve the much-needed goal.

With 10 games undefeated, the team is close to playoffs, they have been the team that has tied more this season with 9 draws in 16 games, at home only achieved a victory, but nevertheless at away the team has been very positive result with 3 wins and only 1 defeat, having the best defense of the visit with only 5 goals allowed, and scoring 11 goals in those 8 games.

At away has 7 games without defeat, with four 1-1 draws in that period. And although the draws have allowed them to go adding units, they are the reason that they are still out of playoffs positions and that they do not only depend on what they can do, since in principle they must not lose the game, preferably to win it and then wait to see if they played playoffs as they would depende on the result of the rest of the games of this round.

The team has the ability to react, but above all to avoid losing the style of play despite going under in the score and maintain the focus on not allowing goals and counter attack to be present on the scoreboard.


Key meeting for the aspirations of reaching the league of both teams, for Morelia the victory guarantees him to be in playoffs, any other result leaves them at the expectancy of the games of the weekend. For Necaxa there is no other way to do his best and tie or win, then depend on the results of the other matches to know if it was enough. Situation for which I see a tense and worked match by both teams, although the positive dynamic comes from the Necaxa, Morelia will try to make their home key to entering playoffs.
In 3 of the last 4 matches played between them at Morelos Stadium, the two teams have scored so you can expect a game with goals. Added to that of the last five, without considering which is home team, four have finished with more than 2.5 goals, with a 2-1 score in favor of the home side on three occasions. With the return of Ruidiaz, Morelia is expected to wake up and score and be present on the scoreline, and together Necaxa has 16 consecutive games making itself present on the scoreboard. Maybe there will be more than 2 goals, or be another 1-1 draw as usual Necaxa, so I see as the best option in this match that both teams score.

Both Teams To Score with 8 points @ 1.77 at Bethard


Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tijuana vs Toluca
2018, April 28, 04:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

This game presents an interesting situation, Tijuana is in the 8th position, the last one that gives access to playoffs and closing at home, the team has an important opportunity to achieve the necessary units to ensure their classification, a victory puts it closer of it. And the team has played well at home, with only one defeat in 8 games, achieving five victories, however of the last three at home, although it did not lose, it could only win the last game against some Chivas who rested players thinking about the final of Concachampions.

And before any other team these could be enough arguments, however they face not only the super leader, who is assured the first place, so you might think that they have no interest in this game, but Toluca is one of the teams that when they have a good performance have no regard for rivals, so it is one of the few teams that end up in the first place and win the league, without regard for the so-called "evil of the superlider".

Toluca has only one away defat since mid-February, playing 8 games, winning in 6 games, only the defeat of the Copa MX final and the tie against Atletico Zacatepec that led to the penalties where they managed to get to the mentioned final. With a run of 9 wins in a row, the team could take this game to watch young players, give time to substitutes, try variants, but I do not think that these elements can be causes of defeat, or so high odds for the away team

Toluca is a team that knows what it plays, like Tijuana, but I see more prepared Toluca, who played with more calm, while Tijuana is the needy and although they have performed well at home, Toluca's performance as a visitor is superior, I would go with an Asian handicap of 0, but having available a +1 for the visit, I see it as a better option seen what the two teams have given these last days.

Toluca + 1 AH with 8 units @ 1.76 at AsianOdds

Edited by Xcout
Link to comment
Share on other sites

America vs Santos
2018, Abril 29, 04:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

Classified to playoffse, the team faces this match only looking to improve its position in the general table, which in the face of the league is an advantage given that the second leg match would be played at home. However, despite the possibility, it does not seem to be the best moment of the team, with a three-match winless streak, only two draws, against Necaxa, where the team gained the advantage and did not know how to maintain it, and a goalless draw. before the Monterrey, to then fall categorically before the Puebla.

If we add the semifinal of the CONCACAF Champions League, the team accumulates five games without winning, losing in Toronto and at home, although they did not lose, it was until the last minute when they managed to tie the score, being eliminated. The team tried to use their offensive power, and although they generated scoring opportunities, the Toronto FC and Necaxa defense managed to stop them thanks to their goalkeepers and defenses.

Like last season, the team suffered at the end of the tournament to make goals, and in the playoffs the thing was no different, and although they reached the semifinals, they failed to score a goal in four games.Matter that the team will try not repeat this time.

After not playing playoffs last season, the team is the antithesis and is in the second position and although it can not reach the first place Toluca, the defeat against Pumas UNAM last round forces him to make a good match, since it has Monterrey and Tigres UANL close by, which fortunately for Santos, faces each other, but the victory of one of them, together with an adverse result in this match could send it to the 4th position.

The team's momentum is not ideal, after a streak of four wins in a row, which if we also consider Copa MX, extends to seven games without losing. The team has lost the pace and in the last five games has lost four, including the Copa MX final against Necaxa, and while  at home beat Queretaro by 3-0, the team has three games with defeat , accepting at least two goals and although the team scored, it was not enough to achieve at least a draw.

An interesting match is expected, the Regio Derby will have been played, so they will know what the result will be, it is possible that Santos Laguna will be enough if the Regio derby ends tied, otherwise the victory would be the only option to keep the second place. On the part of the America only to go for the victory serves them, but in case of losing they would not fall beyond the 6th, that is if Pumas wins his match. So in both cases both teams seek victory and with the offensive style of play that both have, multiple chances of goal are expected, the defenses will have a lot of work.
If something is guaranteed by both teams are the offensive players, both have players who can produce goals, by Santos, Djaniny and Furch, by America, Peralta and Henry Martin. Both teams are in the top 5 best league attacks. So everything will depend on the defense, where although America is one of the best in the tournament, Santos has left something to be desired. With a medium stake in the over 2.5 goals, as I see goal, but if defenses are able to hold long enough and strikers are not in their best moment, it could be too late for this when goals start falling.

Over 2.5 Goals with 6 units @ 1.74 at 5Dimes
America -0.25 AH with 3 units @ 1.79 at AsianOdds

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tigres vs Monterrey
2018, Abril 29, 02:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

Another season where Tigres repeats the script, begins relaxed, but improves as the tournament progresses and ends up classified to playoffs, where it is another tournament completely and everything can happen.
Another season where their home is a fort that does not allow defeats, and at away while focused on defense, limits his attack and only won a game, although it should be noted that this focus on defense gave him more draw matches than defeats.

With a negative streak of three games without victory, one of them at home, against Cruz Azul that ended tied 2-2, when Cruz Azul achieved a goal of the last minute, the team has the advantage of closing at home, where, we reiterate , has not lost and shows an offensive power that many envy, at homes gives freedom to Gignac and company to attack, which yields positive dividends.

After finishing the tournament leader last season, the team returned to the top positions this season securing at least the 5th position and with the possibility of finishing in second place if obtain a favorable result in this match and that Santos Laguna does not win in  their away match against America. And as that matches is played after this, all they can do is their best effort and then see what happens.

With a good performance at home, although it allowed several draws, and although at away had 3 losses, he achieved 4 victories that together have him as a compact and focused group. He arrives with a run of five games without losing in Liga MX, with four wins, only the scoreless draw against America was where he could not get the three points.

Another edition of the Regio Derby that paralyzes the city of Monterrey, and more when it faces the 3rd and 4th general to define the final positions and separated by a single point, becomes a momentous game. The final of the last tournament was the Regio Derby, where Tigres won the title thanks to the second leg match at Monterrey stadium, while the first leg was a 1-1 draw that left everything for the second game. Both teams have enough offensive elements to have an attractive round trip, Monterrey will focus on defense when visiting, which will give control to Tigres and therefore the offensive initiative, but Monterrey has good counterattack. And is looking for Revenge, altought many said that for a true revenge will be only in the final.
Considering that the performance of Monterrey at away is acceptable and that Tigres UANL at home has a very good performance, I see the match closed and very even. I think the value is in the market of both teams to score, given that while there is offensive power could end the game tied 1-1. And considering the games of the two teams in the Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon, the last five, both teams have scored, so I hope that the need to improve in the table is motivation to give an offensive game by both teams, and that there will be goals.

Both Teams To Score with 5 units @ 1.80 at Bethard
Over 2.5 with 2 units @ 2.04 at Pinnacle
Tigres -0.25 AH with 3 units @ 2.06 at AsianOdds

Link to comment
Share on other sites


America 1 - 0 Santos = 1 Goal

- 6 units

America 1 - 0 Santos

+ 2.37 units

Tigres UANL 2 - 2 Monterrey  = BTTS YES

+ 4 units

Tigres UANL 2 - 2 Monterrey  = 4 Goals

+ 4.08 units

Tigres UANL 2 - 2 Monterrey

- 1.5 units

Day Result: + 2.95 units


Link to comment
Share on other sites

Morelia vs Toluca
2018, May 4, 04:30 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

Failed to win their last match at home against Necaxa, the team came back from behind twice, to claim a point that thanks to Pachuca inability to beat Atlas, have them in playoffs as the last qualifing team.

Playoffs tend to be a different thing that regular league, still Monarcas haven't show in the last five matches credible elements to take the 1st position of the league. Three defeats, two of the at home, against Toluca and Chivas, together with a defeat at away against Cruz Azul have the team with weak arguments to confront this double header with Toluca.

Still the team isn't toothless, with Raul Ruidiaz and Diego Valdes the team have offensive element to try to seek semifinals. But all will depende on how their defense performs against one of the top five attacks in the league.  With six matches allowing at least a goal, the team will be looking first to avoid conceding.

Finish top of the league, despite lossing last match against Tijuana by the minimum margin, match where the team rotate players where key players MF Sambueza, FW Uribe and GK Talavera among others get rested, preparing for playoffs. The defeat broke a streak of 9 matches winning, still that match was taken to prepare for the playoffs, as the objective of the team is the title, as last year in their 100th anniversary they did not achieve it.

The team is not afraid to encounter playoffs as the so call 'curse of the leader' has been a moot point for them, as they had before claim the title when entering playoffs as first place, something that few other teams have been able to do.

The best away team of the league, disputing 10 matches at away and taking six victories. With only one defeat at home, the team looks in pole position toget to semifinals. In the last four the team has claim three cleansheets showing solid defending with GK Talavera on the starting lineup.

Despite Morelia being at home, Toluca has showed that being at home or away they display and offensive playmaking with key players as Sambueza and Uribe and having a solid defense the team should dominate the actions, still a close match will be as Morelia will try to make the most of the opportunity of achieving playoffs.
Toluca finished as the best defense and with their key players rested the team should get a good result in this match, since a draw or victory would be great for the secong leg at Nemesio Diez Riega Stadium, the asian handicap is the chosen market for this best with the away side.

Toluca 0 AH with 8 units @ 1.70 at BetCity
Both Teams To Score with 2 units @ 1.91 at 1xBet


Link to comment
Share on other sites


Morelia 2 - 2 Toluca

0 units

Morelia 2 - 2 Toluca

+ 1.82 units

Day Result: + 1.82 units

Toluca did its part dominate the actions, still Morelia was able to came from behind, strange mistake from Toluca defense, and even take the lead from an incredible luck goal, fortunately Toluca level things before the end of the match. A very dynamic match with plenty of scoring chances.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Create New...