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Mexico > Primera Division > Clausura 2018

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Tijuana vs Toluca
2018, April 28, 04:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

This game presents an interesting situation, Tijuana is in the 8th position, the last one that gives access to playoffs and closing at home, the team has an important opportunity to achieve the necessary units to ensure their classification, a victory puts it closer of it. And the team has played well at home, with only one defeat in 8 games, achieving five victories, however of the last three at home, although it did not lose, it could only win the last game against some Chivas who rested players thinking about the final of Concachampions.

And before any other team these could be enough arguments, however they face not only the super leader, who is assured the first place, so you might think that they have no interest in this game, but Toluca is one of the teams that when they have a good performance have no regard for rivals, so it is one of the few teams that end up in the first place and win the league, without regard for the so-called "evil of the superlider".

Toluca has only one away defat since mid-February, playing 8 games, winning in 6 games, only the defeat of the Copa MX final and the tie against Atletico Zacatepec that led to the penalties where they managed to get to the mentioned final. With a run of 9 wins in a row, the team could take this game to watch young players, give time to substitutes, try variants, but I do not think that these elements can be causes of defeat, or so high odds for the away team

Prediction
Toluca is a team that knows what it plays, like Tijuana, but I see more prepared Toluca, who played with more calm, while Tijuana is the needy and although they have performed well at home, Toluca's performance as a visitor is superior, I would go with an Asian handicap of 0, but having available a +1 for the visit, I see it as a better option seen what the two teams have given these last days.

Toluca + 1 AH with 8 units @ 1.76 at AsianOdds

Edited by Xcout

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America vs Santos
2018, Abril 29, 04:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

America
Classified to playoffse, the team faces this match only looking to improve its position in the general table, which in the face of the league is an advantage given that the second leg match would be played at home. However, despite the possibility, it does not seem to be the best moment of the team, with a three-match winless streak, only two draws, against Necaxa, where the team gained the advantage and did not know how to maintain it, and a goalless draw. before the Monterrey, to then fall categorically before the Puebla.

If we add the semifinal of the CONCACAF Champions League, the team accumulates five games without winning, losing in Toronto and at home, although they did not lose, it was until the last minute when they managed to tie the score, being eliminated. The team tried to use their offensive power, and although they generated scoring opportunities, the Toronto FC and Necaxa defense managed to stop them thanks to their goalkeepers and defenses.

Like last season, the team suffered at the end of the tournament to make goals, and in the playoffs the thing was no different, and although they reached the semifinals, they failed to score a goal in four games.Matter that the team will try not repeat this time.

Santos
After not playing playoffs last season, the team is the antithesis and is in the second position and although it can not reach the first place Toluca, the defeat against Pumas UNAM last round forces him to make a good match, since it has Monterrey and Tigres UANL close by, which fortunately for Santos, faces each other, but the victory of one of them, together with an adverse result in this match could send it to the 4th position.

The team's momentum is not ideal, after a streak of four wins in a row, which if we also consider Copa MX, extends to seven games without losing. The team has lost the pace and in the last five games has lost four, including the Copa MX final against Necaxa, and while  at home beat Queretaro by 3-0, the team has three games with defeat , accepting at least two goals and although the team scored, it was not enough to achieve at least a draw.

Prediction
An interesting match is expected, the Regio Derby will have been played, so they will know what the result will be, it is possible that Santos Laguna will be enough if the Regio derby ends tied, otherwise the victory would be the only option to keep the second place. On the part of the America only to go for the victory serves them, but in case of losing they would not fall beyond the 6th, that is if Pumas wins his match. So in both cases both teams seek victory and with the offensive style of play that both have, multiple chances of goal are expected, the defenses will have a lot of work.
If something is guaranteed by both teams are the offensive players, both have players who can produce goals, by Santos, Djaniny and Furch, by America, Peralta and Henry Martin. Both teams are in the top 5 best league attacks. So everything will depend on the defense, where although America is one of the best in the tournament, Santos has left something to be desired. With a medium stake in the over 2.5 goals, as I see goal, but if defenses are able to hold long enough and strikers are not in their best moment, it could be too late for this when goals start falling.

Over 2.5 Goals with 6 units @ 1.74 at 5Dimes
America -0.25 AH with 3 units @ 1.79 at AsianOdds

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Tigres vs Monterrey
2018, Abril 29, 02:00 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

Tigres
Another season where Tigres repeats the script, begins relaxed, but improves as the tournament progresses and ends up classified to playoffs, where it is another tournament completely and everything can happen.
Another season where their home is a fort that does not allow defeats, and at away while focused on defense, limits his attack and only won a game, although it should be noted that this focus on defense gave him more draw matches than defeats.

With a negative streak of three games without victory, one of them at home, against Cruz Azul that ended tied 2-2, when Cruz Azul achieved a goal of the last minute, the team has the advantage of closing at home, where, we reiterate , has not lost and shows an offensive power that many envy, at homes gives freedom to Gignac and company to attack, which yields positive dividends.

Monterrey
After finishing the tournament leader last season, the team returned to the top positions this season securing at least the 5th position and with the possibility of finishing in second place if obtain a favorable result in this match and that Santos Laguna does not win in  their away match against America. And as that matches is played after this, all they can do is their best effort and then see what happens.

With a good performance at home, although it allowed several draws, and although at away had 3 losses, he achieved 4 victories that together have him as a compact and focused group. He arrives with a run of five games without losing in Liga MX, with four wins, only the scoreless draw against America was where he could not get the three points.

Prediction
Another edition of the Regio Derby that paralyzes the city of Monterrey, and more when it faces the 3rd and 4th general to define the final positions and separated by a single point, becomes a momentous game. The final of the last tournament was the Regio Derby, where Tigres won the title thanks to the second leg match at Monterrey stadium, while the first leg was a 1-1 draw that left everything for the second game. Both teams have enough offensive elements to have an attractive round trip, Monterrey will focus on defense when visiting, which will give control to Tigres and therefore the offensive initiative, but Monterrey has good counterattack. And is looking for Revenge, altought many said that for a true revenge will be only in the final.
Considering that the performance of Monterrey at away is acceptable and that Tigres UANL at home has a very good performance, I see the match closed and very even. I think the value is in the market of both teams to score, given that while there is offensive power could end the game tied 1-1. And considering the games of the two teams in the Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon, the last five, both teams have scored, so I hope that the need to improve in the table is motivation to give an offensive game by both teams, and that there will be goals.

Both Teams To Score with 5 units @ 1.80 at Bethard
Over 2.5 with 2 units @ 2.04 at Pinnacle
Tigres -0.25 AH with 3 units @ 2.06 at AsianOdds

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Results:

America 1 - 0 Santos = 1 Goal

- 6 units

America 1 - 0 Santos

+ 2.37 units

Tigres UANL 2 - 2 Monterrey  = BTTS YES

+ 4 units

Tigres UANL 2 - 2 Monterrey  = 4 Goals

+ 4.08 units

Tigres UANL 2 - 2 Monterrey

- 1.5 units

Day Result: + 2.95 units

 

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Morelia vs Toluca
2018, May 4, 04:30 hrs (CET Time)
Liga MX

Morelia
Failed to win their last match at home against Necaxa, the team came back from behind twice, to claim a point that thanks to Pachuca inability to beat Atlas, have them in playoffs as the last qualifing team.

Playoffs tend to be a different thing that regular league, still Monarcas haven't show in the last five matches credible elements to take the 1st position of the league. Three defeats, two of the at home, against Toluca and Chivas, together with a defeat at away against Cruz Azul have the team with weak arguments to confront this double header with Toluca.

Still the team isn't toothless, with Raul Ruidiaz and Diego Valdes the team have offensive element to try to seek semifinals. But all will depende on how their defense performs against one of the top five attacks in the league.  With six matches allowing at least a goal, the team will be looking first to avoid conceding.

Toluca
Finish top of the league, despite lossing last match against Tijuana by the minimum margin, match where the team rotate players where key players MF Sambueza, FW Uribe and GK Talavera among others get rested, preparing for playoffs. The defeat broke a streak of 9 matches winning, still that match was taken to prepare for the playoffs, as the objective of the team is the title, as last year in their 100th anniversary they did not achieve it.

The team is not afraid to encounter playoffs as the so call 'curse of the leader' has been a moot point for them, as they had before claim the title when entering playoffs as first place, something that few other teams have been able to do.

The best away team of the league, disputing 10 matches at away and taking six victories. With only one defeat at home, the team looks in pole position toget to semifinals. In the last four the team has claim three cleansheets showing solid defending with GK Talavera on the starting lineup.

Prediction
Despite Morelia being at home, Toluca has showed that being at home or away they display and offensive playmaking with key players as Sambueza and Uribe and having a solid defense the team should dominate the actions, still a close match will be as Morelia will try to make the most of the opportunity of achieving playoffs.
Toluca finished as the best defense and with their key players rested the team should get a good result in this match, since a draw or victory would be great for the secong leg at Nemesio Diez Riega Stadium, the asian handicap is the chosen market for this best with the away side.

Toluca 0 AH with 8 units @ 1.70 at BetCity
Both Teams To Score with 2 units @ 1.91 at 1xBet

 

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Results:

Morelia 2 - 2 Toluca

0 units

Morelia 2 - 2 Toluca

+ 1.82 units

Day Result: + 1.82 units

Toluca did its part dominate the actions, still Morelia was able to came from behind, strange mistake from Toluca defense, and even take the lead from an incredible luck goal, fortunately Toluca level things before the end of the match. A very dynamic match with plenty of scoring chances.

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