CzechPunter

Australian Open 2018

Recommended Posts

Gilles Muller to beat Pablo Carreno Busta at 2.30 with bet365

Gilles should be able to win plenty of cheap points on his serve applying pressure to Pablo to hold serve on his own. I predict that Pablo will get broken by Gilles while Gilles being able to hold his serve most of the times. In the heat it may be crucial for Pablo to hold his serve or he will drop set after set. Hoping for a successful bet this time.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Grigor Dimitrov vs Andrey Rublev

Rublev to win 7/4 paddy power

Over 38.5 games 4/5 paddy power

I like the look of Rublev as he has the game to make it tough for his opponent who himself had a tough match in the previous round. So Rublev can take advantage and pull off a sort of shock result

Edited by owenclass

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Marta Kostyuk/Elina Svitolina Under 16.5 games at 2.40 Unibet, Under 17.5 games Bet365

Easiest money tonight. Elina will run her race here and won't let the 15 year old get close to breaking her serve. We're talking about oceans of difference between these two right now. Marta can make herself ready to play the junior tournament next week after a successful proweek. Simply, Marta doesn't stand a chance here.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

J.Benneteau/F.Fognini - Over 36.5 games at 1.80 with Marathonbet

I can understand why the line is so low here, as it is possible that we are going to see a really straightforward set at some point, but I still think that there's some value on the overs. Fognini is the more talented lad and the rightful favourite, but I can't see Benneteau giving him an inch after that glorious victory over Goffin. Given the quality of the players, I have to take the line regardless of the outcome.

Juan Martin del Potro to beat Tomas Berdych at 1.76 with Marathonbet

Although Juan Martin should've done a better job against Khachanov by beating him in three, I have to go with him in this one. I'm not surprised that Berdych is here, but let's be honest, he is yet to be tested. He lost against Struff in Doha, then shocked everyone by winning the TB Tens, then dropped sets against overawed De Minaur and aging GGL. Unless he starts to have some fitness issues, del Potro should be the winner of this big-hitting battle.

Maximilian Marterer to beat Tennys Sandgren at 1.70 with Marathonbet

This looks more like a Challenger-level match than a match that's taking place quite deep into a Grand Slam, but there you go. In any case, I have a fairly large preference for Marterer here, as he's had to go through some matches to be here. Sandgren, on the other hand, has beaten two walking byes, the only thing that he did was that he didn't fall apart mentally when seeing Wawrinka on the other side of the net. Marterer is a legitimate player for the future imo, so I'll go with him.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Is anyone else considering to bet on chung to beat Zverev? 2.60 looks a bit high to me given Zverev is not proven in these conditions and Chung is playing some good tennis recently. And for sunday, odds on Seppi seem a bit generous as well. Edmund played a five setter today (Seppi too but against Karlovic) and took a MTO early in the match. The italian has beaten federer and kyrgios in australia so conditions suit him. He's on good form so honestly I think he has every chance to get past edmund on sunday.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If Zverev plays like he did against Gojo in the first two sets, he's going to win. If not, he's going to struggle. I mean, neither guy has been too impressive recently, Chung hasn't done all that much either, he only beat the out-of-form Isner before the AO and then the tired Medvedev in the previous round. Perhaps slight value on Chung, perhaps.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

L.Safarova - K.Pliskova Over 20.5 at 1.65
From my point of view they both play similar tennis. Pretty aggressive,solid service but not so good on return and defense. 
Each of the 7 previous matches went over this line. And line could easily be covered in two sets as well. 
Also - i will definitely try option Tie Break in the match - Yes @3.70 
 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Juan Martin Del Potro to beat Tomas Berdych at 1.72 with bet365

Agree with Czech on this one.

Maximilian Marterer to beat Tennys Sandgren at 1.61 with bet365

Agree with Czech here to although both at lower odds.

Marton Fucsovics/Nicolas Kicker under 33.5 games at 1.90 with bet365

This is a must try for me. Marton is by far the better hardcourt player here and he's in good form to. He beat Sam Querrey easily while Nico Kicker only defeated Lukas Lacko in 4. When they met in Pune a few weeks ago Marton won 6-0 6-3 so I fully expect something similar here. Had the opportunity to see Marton play live in Stockholm qualies last season and I can tell you he was in form then and he's hard to break and still in form now. I know I did go against him in Pune when he faced Benoit Paire but he's a different level then Nico. I really don't think Nico will stand a chance here.

Taking these three in a treble at bet365 and hoping for the best.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

If Zverev plays like he did against Gojo in the first two sets, he's going to win. If not, he's going to struggle. I mean, neither guy has been too impressive recently, Chung hasn't done all that much either, he only beat the out-of-form Isner before the AO and then the tired Medvedev in the previous round. Perhaps slight value on Chung, perhaps.

Yeah spot on, it depends on which zverev turns up the one that played against gojo or the one that played agiasnt fabbiano. Chung beat a tired medvedev under almost 40 degrees so it was a bit expected, maybe after all there's no much value on chung. I'll just watch this match, no bet for me.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, LePapo said:

Yeah spot on, it depends on which zverev turns up the one that played against gojo or the one that played agiasnt fabbiano. Chung beat a tired medvedev under almost 40 degrees so it was a bit expected, maybe after all there's no much value on chung. I'll just watch this match, no bet for me.

Well there's other matches so what are you gonna bet on then?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well, that wasn't good. Marterer fell apart mentally after winning the first set and DelPo was lifeless throughout. Benneteau and Fognini played five sets, however, and there were some subtle pluses in regards to the long-term bets - Thiem/Osaka/Garcia are now all ahead of expectations (Berdych too though, unfortunately, but that's a trade-off I'm happy to accept). Again, fingers crossed for Kerber, she really should deliver, but it's obviously a good idea (if you've bet on her to win the quarter) to watch the match and lay things off in-play if she doesn't turn up.

Regarding tonight, I'm having mixed feelings about going for anything. Kyrgios to beat Dimitrov is the obvious bet, but the price isn't exactly big. Apart from that, I can see all the underdogs having a chance, but there isn't anything outstanding. I'm naturally not expecting Diego to have a chance against Rafa, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him pushing the match over thirty games. As for the women, I was eyeing Allertova in some regard, but the scheduling is a bit of a problem. She'll be on Laver as the very last match by the looks of things, which isn't ideal. I'd much prefer to see her as the first match, not with all the pressure of a night match after Rafa and without a certain start time. So yeah, I just feel like sitting out right now.

As for what I've seen tonight: If Halep is tired after that epic showdown, Osaka might have a fighting chance if she serves well (the odds are a joke though right now, 3.00 or something). Nerves might be an issue though. Berdych played a really good match, but, if the odds for Fognini are right, I'll be pulling the trigger. Chung might also give Djokovic a test, he's a legit guy and he doesn't have a history of choking against big names.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Impressive from Berdych, although I don't even consider him anymore to go deep in big tournaments he always manages to find a way to reach at least QF/SF in grand slams and it's been 8 years in a row doing so. He has one more match to play to reach QF but it's a winnable match for him so hats off. Thiem has every chance to reach the QF. I think it would be too much for Chung to beat Djokovic. 

Regarding today's matches, I had thought about no tiebreak in nadal-schwartzman however odds are low imo. I imagine PCB run will end today. Kyrgios-Dimitrov is the best match of the day. I was expecting a more convicing performance from Kyrgios in the last round but he couldn't outplay tsonga and beat him with 3 tiebreaks. It should've been a 5 setter but tsonga threw away a 5-2 lead in the last TB. Dimitrov has a good serve so this match might feature a couple of tiebreaks. This should be a close match and I think there's slight value on dimitrov however not worthy enough to risk my money. And finally I'm backing seppi to get past edmund but with low stakes. Edmund physical condition is in doubt after that 5 setter under almost 40 degrees. I was expecting hotter conditions today to bet a bigger amount here but let's just keep it reasonable. Also the 40/1 on Seppi to reach the last four is alive and kicking so no need to overbet on him.

1.5 units on Seppi to beat Edmund at 3.15

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Honestly, I don't like any bets for Monday either. Everything looks just about right price-wise, I was hoping to get 2.10 or so for Chung to get a set, but no luck there. I was also hoping for some interesting lines for Fognini/Berdych, but no luck there either :$. I even looked through the doubles, but everything is sort of meh. So yeah, the only match that I'll be interested in is Kerber-Hsieh. Would be a shocker to see Kerber lose in the form she's in, but stranger things have happened.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, owenclass said:

Name the finalists

Angelique Kerber vs Caroline Wozniacki 9/1 paddy power

 

If there are two players that are probably the stand out players of the tournament then it is Kerber and Wozniacki. And at these odds then I think it is a great bet

 

I think Svitolina will account for Woz quite easily

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

F**k Seppi just checked out after the second set. Good run for the outright on him but a bit dissapointed at the same time as he was set and break up in the second set and he was playing better than Edmund. Schwartzman played a good match today just rafa served so well on break points, now against cilic for a place in the last four. For the other round of 16 matches maybe no tiebreaks in Djokovic-Chung is the most attractive bet... but overall prices are right

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Honestly, I don't like any bets for Monday either. Everything looks just about right price-wise, I was hoping to get 2.10 or so for Chung to get a set, but no luck there. I was also hoping for some interesting lines for Fognini/Berdych, but no luck there either :$. I even looked through the doubles, but everything is sort of meh. So yeah, the only match that I'll be interested in is Kerber-Hsieh. Would be a shocker to see Kerber lose in the form she's in, but stranger things have happened.

I think Caroline Garcia is an interesting underdog as well as Naomi Osaka and I think Karolina Pliskova looks spot on to nick a straight sets win so those in a treble looks nice.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Challenger Newport beach qualifiers

Dennis Novikov to beat Raymond Sarmiento at 1.61 with bet365

Dennis was really good against Elias Ymer in Aussie open qualies and he should have to mutch for Raymond.

JC Aragone to beat Luke Bambridge at 1.53 with bet365

JC played well yesterday when he beat Dominik Koepfer. In third set he was down double break 3-0 but came back and in the tie-break he was down 3-0 again but came back and won. He should beat Luke to.

Brayden Schnur to beat (-1.5 sets) Guillermo Olaso at 1.72 with bet365

Brayden was crap yesterday even though he beat Patrik Kypson in straight sets but he's been doing good in the beginning of this season and Guillermo is nothing special really even if he beat Ante Pavic in straight sets yesterday. Should be an easy win for Brayden here. Didn't see Guillermo play when he lost to Christopher Eubanks in straight sets in USA F1 futures but he lost badly and he's never done anything special on hardcourts on the challenger tour and should be losing this match. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now


    • Free Bets
    • Offers
    • Casino

    Offers

    • ALL Cheltenham Festival Races - Non Runner No Bet! Back your bets without worrying! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • Up to £125 US Sports Bonus! 150% Deposit Bonus! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • £10 Free Bet EVERY WEEK! £10 free bet EVERY WEEK in VIPP Club! ALL Customers! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org

    Free Bets

    • £60 in Free Bets! £30 Free Bets & £30 Casino Bonus! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • £30 Free Bet! Matched £30 Free Bet! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • £30 Money Back Offer! Money Back Offer if first bet loses! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • Bet £10 Get £40! £30 Free Bets & £10 Casino Bonus! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • £10 Free Bet at Mr Green! New & Recommended Bookmaker! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • £20 Risk Free Bet! Refunded as £20 CASH! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • £30 Deposit Bonus! 100% Matched Deposit! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • £100 Bet Credits Offer! Up to £100 in Bet Credits from The World's No.1 Bookmaker! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • Bet £5, Get £20 Free Bets! 4 x £5 Free Bets! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • Bet £10, Get £30 Free Bets! PLUS £10 Free Bet Every Week! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • Bet £10, Get £30 Free Bets! PLUS £5 Free Bet Every Week! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • £100 in Free Bets! Up to 5 x £20 Free Bets! New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • Bet £10, Get £40 Free Bets! £30 Free Bets & £10 Casino Bonus. New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org

    Casino

    • £200 Bonus +200 Free Spins! New Players Only. T&C's apply. 18+ New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • £100 Welcome Bonus! New Players Only. T&C's apply. 18+ New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • £100 Deposit Bonus! New Players Only. T&C's apply. 18+ New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
    • £10 No Deposit + £500 Bonus! New Players Only. T&C's apply. 18+ New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org New Customers. T&C's apply. 18+ begambleaware.org

    Betting Tools

    Most Visited

    Shortcuts

    Strategic Partners

  • Popular Members