PL Tips - bad December or poor value?

[Birchy]

Hi all.

New to the forum but have been lurking for a while...

I started backing the tips from the homepage a few weeks ago but am currently showing a loss of -24% ROI to level stakes. I place my bets on the betfair exchange early morning on race day, asking for the prices suggested on the tips page +5% to allow for commission. Unmatched bets are set to take BSP.

Obviously ANY strategy is price critical - if we take poor prices, then we are bleeding away value. So I am wondering if I'm actually taking poor value? Having said that, the strike rate so far is around 25%, so I'm assuming it's just a bad month?

[BillyHills]

No doubt, its been a bad month so far.

Cant tell you the amount of seconds we have had but thats racing and it will happen from time to time. Both the Naps and the Trebles are in profit for December I should point out.

No excuses but we have lost a few key meetings which appear in the 'Top 10 tracks to follow' thread also so all in all its not been profitable.

Taking early prices is key but having said that some of our best winners have been big drifters? So i suppose talking prices in the morning which are not BOG you miss out on the overnight movers and those that drift.

Good luck, i'm sure things will turn around.

Just starting the Tips for Boxing Day, only 11 meetings (over 70 races, lost count!!)