Championship SAM correct score

[justanotherpunter]

I have been encouraged by Grex's SAM system to start  a thread based loosely on the SAM numbers published on the BBC for the Championship games.
I applied the published numbers on the Sheff Wed v Wolves match last night and I was rewarded with a Wolves win and 0-1 score forecast.
I will attempt to forecast the correct score with the published numbers using my own completely untested version.
I will use a stake of £1.00 for all matches and a starting bank of £0.00 to see if the Sheff Wed match was a fluke result or if there is any merit in this.
As stated this is completely untested so use with caution if planning to follow with hard cash.
I will use Betfair and Betdaq to place these matches for now-
Todays selections

Saturday    
16/12/2017 Birmingham v QPR           3.00 Correct score 0-0    9.80 £1.00 £8.80      BF
16/12/2017 Bolton v Burton                 3.00 Correct score 1-1    7.30 £1.00 £6.30      BD
16/12/2017 Brentford v Barnsley         3.00 Correct score 3-1  14.00 £1.00 £13.00    BD
16/12/2017 Bristol City v Notts Forest 3.00 Correct score 2-1   9.10 £1.00 £8.10       BD
16/12/2017 Derby v A Villa                  3.00 Correct score 2-1  11.50 £1.00 £10.50    BD
16/12/2017 Ipswich v Reading            3.00 Correct score 2-2  17.00 £1.00 £16.00    BF
16/12/2017 Leeds v Norwich               3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50      BD
16/12/2017 Millwall v Middlesbrough  3.00 Correct score 2-2   20.00 £1.00 £19.00    BF
16/12/2017 Preston v Sheff Utd          3.00 Correct score 1-1     7.20 £1.00 £6.20      BD
16/12/2017 Sunderland v Fulham       3.00 Correct score 1-1     7.60 £1.00 £6.60      BD
16/12/2017 Cardiff v Hull                     5.30 Correct score 3-1  17.00 £1.00 £16.00    BF

[Grex]

First of all, I have absolutely no problem with you "plagiarising" my thread title 

Until now, I didn't realise that BBC published SAM predictions for the Championship. However, I do wonder where you get the correct score predictions. For the EPL, the SAM predictions for 1-X-2 and correct score are given on the individual match analysis pages e.g. for the Leicester - Palace game......

But for Championship games, BBC only appear to quote the 1-X-2 probability, e.g. for today's Birmingham - QPR game.....

Anyway, good luck 

[justanotherpunter]

Hi Grex- sorry for pinching your idea but I thought I would try it out on the championship as you were not in here

I use https://www.flashscore.com/

click on the match in question link - then click on H2H tab and try to predict the possible outcome from the previous home and away matches and also the historical matches between the 2 teams.

I also use this to try and predict BTTS outcomes.

I hope this helps you out in your quest and I would like to thank you for giving me the idea to try out something new 

We'll see if it can be made to pay somehow and this is the reason for trying 4 threads as they can be dropped quickly if not profitable.

I will also keep an eye on your thread with interest - good luck to you also.

[Grex]

In other words, this has got absolutely nothing to do with the probability predictions of SAM (Sports Analytics Machine).

You are merely making a "intelligent guess" based on previous results. Not exactly a "system" is it, Justanotherpunter?

Perhaps you should change the thread title, and transfer it to the Glory Hunters forum (if it still exists).

Edited December 16, 2017 by Grex

[justanotherpunter]

Hi Grex

as I said in my opening "based loosely on the SAM numbers published on the BBC for the Championship games"

As there is no published score for these matches I have tried to apply my own method whilst referencing SAM figures at the same time.

I quite agree that it is not SAM scores being used - as there is none - so I have adapted to my own system as a test.

I seem to have got lucky again with the Bristol City match showing a profit with a win -

Saturday    
Birmingham v QPR           3.00 Correct score 0-0    9.80 £1.00 £8.80      BF 1-2 lost £1.00
Bolton v Burton                 3.00 Correct score 1-1    7.30 £1.00 £6.30      BD 0-1 lost £1.00
Brentford v Barnsley         3.00 Correct score 3-1  14.00 £1.00 £13.00    BD 0-0 lost £1.00
Bristol City v Notts Forest 3.00 Correct score 2-1   9.10 £1.00 £8.10       BD 2-1 won £7.69
Derby v A Villa                  3.00 Correct score 2-1  11.50 £1.00 £10.50    BD 2-0 lost £1.00
Ipswich v Reading            3.00 Correct score 2-2  17.00 £1.00 £16.00    BF 2-0 lost £1.00
Leeds v Norwich               3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50      BD 1-0 lost £1.00
Millwall v Middlesbrough  3.00 Correct score 2-2   20.00 £1.00 £19.00    BF 2-1 lost £1.00
Preston v Sheff Utd          3.00 Correct score 1-1     7.20 £1.00 £6.20      BD 1-0 lost £1.00
Sunderland v Fulham       3.00 Correct score 1-1     7.60 £1.00 £6.60      BD 1-0 lost £1.00
Cardiff v Hull                     5.30 Correct score 3-1  17.00 £1.00 £16.00    BF  1-0 lost £1.00

Total matches played = 11 - total matches won = 1 - total matches lost = 10

Total won = £7.69 - total lost = £10.00 - total lost = £2.31

Bank £0.00

Selections 11

Won 1

Lost 10

Total lost £2.31

New Bank -£2.31

[justanotherpunter]

Todays selection

Friday                                                                               Odds  Stake  Win
22/12/2017 Norwich v Brentford 7.45 Correct score 2-2  14.50 £1.00 £13.50 BD

[justanotherpunter]

Saturday                                                                                   Odds  Stake  Win
23/12/2017 Bolton v Cardiff                 3.00 Correct score 1-3  23.00 £1.00 £22.00 BD
23/12/2017 Derby v Millwall                 3.00 Correct score 2-0  10.50 £1.00 £9.50   BD
23/12/2017 Fulham v Barnsley            3.00 Correct score 3-0  15.50 £1.00 £14.50 BD
23/12/2017 Leeds v Hull                      3.00 Correct score 3-1  18.00 £1.00 £17.00 BD
23/12/2017 Preston v Notts Forest      3.00 Correct score 3-1  18.50 £1.00 £17.50 BD
23/12/2017 QPR v Bristol City             3.00 Correct score 1-2  11.00 £1.00 £10.00 BF
23/12/2017 Reading v Burton              3.00 Correct score 3-0  15.00 £1.00 £14.00 BD
23/12/2017 Sunderland v Birmingham 3.00 Correct score 2-0  10.50 £1.00 £9.50  BF
23/12/2017 Wolves v Ipswich              3.00 Correct score 4-1    20/1  £1.00 £20.00 B365
23/12/2017 A Villa v Sheff utd             5.30 Correct score 2-1   11.00 £1.00 £10.00 BD
23/12/2017 Sheff Wed v Middlesbrough 3.00 no numbers given

[justanotherpunter]

Not so good in here either -

Friday                                                                      Odds  Stake  Win
Norwich v Brentford           7.45 Correct score 2-2  14.50 £1.00 £13.50 BD 1-2 lost £1.00

Saturday                                                                 Odds  Stake  Win
Bolton v Cardiff                 3.00 Correct score 1-3  23.00 £1.00 £22.00 BD 2-0 lost £1.00
Derby v Millwall                 3.00 Correct score 2-0  10.50 £1.00 £9.50   BD 3-0 lost £1.00
Fulham v Barnsley            3.00 Correct score 3-0  15.50 £1.00 £14.50 BD 2-1 lost £1.00
Leeds v Hull                      3.00 Correct score 3-1  18.00 £1.00 £17.00 BD 1-0 lost £1.00
Preston v Notts Forest      3.00 Correct score 3-1  18.50 £1.00 £17.50 BD 1-1 lost £1.00
QPR v Bristol City             3.00 Correct score 1-2  11.00 £1.00 £10.00 BF 1-1 lost £1.00
Reading v Burton              3.00 Correct score 3-0  15.00 £1.00 £14.00 BD 1-2 lost £1.00
Sunderland v Birmingham 3.00 Correct score 2-0  10.50 £1.00 £9.50  BF 1-1 lost £1.00
Wolves v Ipswich              3.00 Correct score 4-1    20/1  £1.00 £20.00 B365 1-0 lost £1.00
A Villa v Sheff utd             5.30 Correct score 2-1   11.00 £1.00 £10.00 BD 2-2 lost £1.00
Sheff Wed v Middlesbrough 3.00 no numbers given

Total matches played = 11 - total matches won = 0 - total matches lost = 11

Total won = £0.00 - total lost = £11.00 - total lost = £11.00

Bank -£2.31

Selections 22

Won 1

Lost 21

Total lost £11.00

New Bank -£13.31

[justanotherpunter]

Todays matches

Friday                                                                           Odds  Stake  Win
29/12/2017 Cardiff v Preston  7.45 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BF
29/12/2017 Millwall v QPR     7.45 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BD

Saturday to follow -

[justanotherpunter]

Saturdays matches -

Saturday                                                                                        Odds  Stake  Win
30/12/2017 Barnsley v Reading             3.00 Correct score 1-1   7.20 £1.00 £6.20 BF
30/12/2017 Birmingham v Leeds           3.00 Correct score 1-2  12.00 £1.00 £11.00 BF
30/12/2017 Brentford v Sheff Wed        3.00 Correct score 3-1  16.50 £1.00 £15.50 BD
30/12/2017 Burton v Norwich                3.00 Correct score 1-2  10.00 £1.00 £9.00 BD
30/12/2017 Hull v Fulham                     3.00 Correct score 2-2  14.50 £1.00 £13.50 BF
30/12/2017 Ipswich v Derby                  3.00 Correct score 1-1    7.20 £1.00 £6.20 BD
30/12/2017 Middlesbrough v A Villa      3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BF
30/12/2017 Notts Forest v Sunderland 3.00 Correct score 1-0     9.60 £1.00 £8.60 BF
30/12/2017 Sheff Utd v Bolton              3.00 Correct score 3-0   13.50 £1.00 £12.50 BD
30/12/2017 Bristol City v Wolves          5.30 Correct score 1-2   11.00 £1.00 £10.00 BD

[justanotherpunter]

Better showing in here -

Friday                                                                                           Odds  Stake  Win
29/12/2017 Cardiff v Preston                 7.45 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BF 0-1 lost £1.00
29/12/2017 Millwall v QPR                     7.45 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BD 1-0 lost £1.00

Saturday                                                                                        Odds  Stake  Win
30/12/2017 Barnsley v Reading             3.00 Correct score 1-1   7.20 £1.00 £6.20 BF 1-1 won £5.89 
30/12/2017 Birmingham v Leeds           3.00 Correct score 1-2  12.00 £1.00 £11.00 BF 1-0 lost £1.00
30/12/2017 Brentford v Sheff Wed        3.00 Correct score 3-1  16.50 £1.00 £15.50 BD 2-0 lost £1.00
30/12/2017 Burton v Norwich                3.00 Correct score 1-2  10.00 £1.00 £9.00 BD 0-0 lost £1.00
30/12/2017 Hull v Fulham                     3.00 Correct score 2-2  14.50 £1.00 £13.50 BF 2-2 won £12.82 
30/12/2017 Ipswich v Derby                  3.00 Correct score 1-1    7.20 £1.00 £6.20 BD 1-2 lost £1.00
30/12/2017 Middlesbrough v A Villa      3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BF 0-1 lost £1.00
30/12/2017 Notts Forest v Sunderland 3.00 Correct score 1-0     9.60 £1.00 £8.60 BF 0-1 lost £1.00
30/12/2017 Sheff Utd v Bolton              3.00 Correct score 3-0   13.50 £1.00 £12.50 BD 0-1 lost £1.00
30/12/2017 Bristol City v Wolves          5.30 Correct score 1-2   11.00 £1.00 £10.00 BD 1-2 won £9.50 

Total matches played = 12 - total matches won = 3 - total matches lost = 9

Total won = £28.21 - total lost = £9.00 - total won = £19.21

Bank -£13.31

Selections 34

Won 4

Lost 30

Total won £19.21

New Bank £5.90

Bank is actually in profit for first time 

[justanotherpunter]

Todays selection -

Friday                                                                                    Odds  Stake  Win
12/01/2018 Sheff Utd v Sheff Wed 7.45 Correct score 3-1  19.00 £1.00 £18.00 BF

[justanotherpunter]

Friday                                                                 Odds  Stake  Win
Sheff Utd v Sheff Wed 7.45 Correct score 3-1  19.00 £1.00 £18.00 BF 0-0 lost £1.00

Total matches played = 1 - total matches won = 0 - total matches lost = 1

Total won = £0.00 - total lost = £1.00 - total lost = £1.00

Bank £5.90

Selections 35

Won 4

Lost 31

Total lost £1.00

New Bank £4.90

Todays selection -

Saturday                                                                                Odds  Stake  Win
13/01/2018 Cardiff v Sunderland 12.30 Correct score 3-1  18.50 £1.00 £17.50        BF

more to follow

[justanotherpunter]

Saturday                                                                                   Odds  Stake  Win
13/01/2018 Barnsley v Wolves           3.00 Correct score 0-3  13.50 £1.00 £12.50 BD
13/01/2018 Birmingham v Derby        3.00 Correct score 1-2  11.50 £1.00 £10.50 BF
13/01/2018 Brentford v Bolton            3.00 Correct score 3-0  14.00 £1.00 £13.00 BF
13/01/2018 Bristol City v Norwich       3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BF
13/01/2018 Burton v QPR                  3.00 Correct score 1-1     7.00 £1.00 £6.00 BD
13/01/2018 Hull v Reading                 3.00 Correct score 2-1   10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BF
13/01/2018 Ipswich v Leeds               3.00 Correct score 1-1     7.20 £1.00 £6.20 BF
13/01/2018 Middlesbrough v Fulham 3.00 Correct score 2-1     9.80 £1.00 £8.80 BD
13/01/2018 Millwall v Preston            3.00 Correct score 1-1      7.40 £1.00 £6.40 BD
13/01/2018 Notts Forest v A Villa      5.30 Correct score 2-2    19.00 £1.00 £18.00 BF

[justanotherpunter]

Saturday                                                                                Odds  Stake  Win
13/01/2018 Cardiff v Sunderland 12.30 Correct score 3-1  18.50 £1.00 £17.50        BF 0-0 lost £1.00

13/01/2018 Barnsley v Wolves           3.00 Correct score 0-3  13.50 £1.00 £12.50 BD 0-0 lost £1.00
13/01/2018 Birmingham v Derby        3.00 Correct score 1-2  11.50 £1.00 £10.50 BF 0-3 lost £1.00
13/01/2018 Brentford v Bolton            3.00 Correct score 3-0  14.00 £1.00 £13.00 BF 2-0 lost £1.00
13/01/2018 Bristol City v Norwich       3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BF 0-1 lost £1.00
13/01/2018 Burton v QPR                  3.00 Correct score 1-1     7.00 £1.00 £6.00 BD 1-3 lost £1.00
13/01/2018 Hull v Reading                 3.00 Correct score 2-1   10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BF 0-0 lost £1.00
13/01/2018 Ipswich v Leeds               3.00 Correct score 1-1     7.20 £1.00 £6.20 BF 1-0 lost £1.00
13/01/2018 Middlesbrough v Fulham 3.00 Correct score 2-1     9.80 £1.00 £8.80 BD 0-1 lost £1.00
13/01/2018 Millwall v Preston            3.00 Correct score 1-1      7.40 £1.00 £6.40 BD 1-1 won £6.08
13/01/2018 Notts Forest v A Villa      5.30 Correct score 2-2    19.00 £1.00 £18.00 BF 0-1 lost £1.00

Total matches played = 11 - total matches won = 1 - total matches lost = 10

Total won = £6.08 - total lost = £10.00 - total lost = £3.92

Bank £4.90

Selections 46

Won 5

Lost 41

Total lost £3.92

New Bank £0.98

[justanotherpunter]

Todays selection -

Friday                                                                              Odds  Stake  Win
19/01/2018 Derby v Bristol City 7.45 Correct score 2-1  10.00 £1.00 £9.00 BD 

[justanotherpunter]

Todays selections -

Saturday                                                                               Odds  Stake  Win
20/01/2018 A Villa v Barnsley        3.00 Correct score 4-0   20/1  £1.00 £20.00 365
20/01/2018 Bolton v Ipswich          3.00 Correct score 2-2  20.00 £1.00 £19.00 BF
20/01/2018 Fulham v Burton          3.00 Correct score 4-0   16/1  £1.00 £16.00 365
20/01/2018 Leeds v Millwall           3.00 Correct score 1-0    8.00 £1.00 £7.00 BF
20/01/2018 Norwich v Sheff Utd     3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BD
20/01/2018 Preston v Birmingham 3.00 Correct score 3-0  18.00 £1.00 £17.00 BD
20/01/2018 QPR v Middlesbrough 3.00 Correct score 1-2  11.00 £1.00 £10.00 BF
20/01/2018 Reading v Brentford    3.00 Correct score 1-2  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BD
20/01/2018 Sunderland v Hull        3.00 Correct score 2-2  19.50 £1.00 £18.50 BF
20/01/2018 Wolves v Notts Forest 3.00 Correct score 4-0   16/1  £1.00 £16.00 365
20/01/2018 Sheff Wed v Cardiff     5.30 Correct score 1-1    7.00 £1.00 £6.00 BF

[justanotherpunter]

No luck this weekend -

Friday                                                                Odds  Stake  Win
Derby v Bristol City      7.45 Correct score 2-1  10.00 £1.00 £9.00 BD 0-0 lost £1.00

Saturday                                                             Odds  Stake  Win
A Villa v Barnsley        3.00 Correct score 4-0   20/1  £1.00 £20.00 365 3-1 lost £1.00
Bolton v Ipswich          3.00 Correct score 2-2  20.00 £1.00 £19.00 BF 1-1 lost £1.00
Fulham v Burton          3.00 Correct score 4-0   16/1  £1.00 £16.00 365 6-0 lost £1.00
Leeds v Millwall           3.00 Correct score 1-0    8.00 £1.00 £7.00 BF 3-4 lost £1.00
Norwich v Sheff Utd     3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BD 1-2 lost £1.00
Preston v Birmingham 3.00 Correct score 3-0  18.00 £1.00 £17.00 BD 1-1 lost £1.00
QPR v Middlesbrough 3.00 Correct score 1-2  11.00 £1.00 £10.00 BF 0-3 lost £1.00
Reading v Brentford    3.00 Correct score 1-2  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BD 0-1 lost £1.00
Sunderland v Hull        3.00 Correct score 2-2  19.50 £1.00 £18.50 BF 1-0 lost £1.00
Wolves v Notts Forest 3.00 Correct score 4-0   16/1  £1.00 £16.00 365 0-2 lost £1.00
Sheff Wed v Cardiff     5.30 Correct score 1-1    7.00 £1.00 £6.00 BF 0-0 lost £1.00

Total matches played = 12 - total matches won = 0 - total matches lost = 12

Total won = £0.00 - total lost = £12.00 - total lost = £12.00

Bank £0.98

Selections 58

Won 5

Lost 53

Total lost £12.00

New Bank -£11.02

[justanotherpunter]

Todays selections -

Tuesday               
30/01/2018 Birmingham v Sunderland   7.45 Correct score 2-0   11.50 £0.74 £7.77 BD
30/01/2018 Birmingham v Sunderland   7.45 Correct score 2-0   10.50 £0.50 £4.75 BF
30/01/2018 Burton v Reading                 7.45 Correct score 1-1    6.80 £1.00 £5.80 BF
30/01/2018 Hull v Leeds                         7.45 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £0.50 £4.75 BF
30/01/2018 Hull v Leeds                         7.45 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £0.50 £4.75 BD
30/01/2018 Middlesbrough v Sheff Wed 7.45 Correct score 3-1  19.50 £1.00 £18.50 BD
30/01/2018 Millwall v Derby                    7.45 Correct score 2-2  17.00 £1.00 £16.00 BF
30/01/2018 Notts Forest v Preston         7.45 Correct score 1-1    7.00 £1.00 £6.00 BD
30/01/2018 Sheff Utd v A Villa                7.45 Correct score 2-1  12.50 £0.50 £5.75 BF
30/01/2018 Sheff Utd v A Villa                7.45 Correct score 2-1  13.50 £0.66 £8.25 BD

apologies for the delay in posting - due to betdaq being a desperate platform I topped up on betfair as can be seen above.

[justanotherpunter]

Not very encouraging so far -

Tuesday                                                                      Odds  Stake  Win
Birmingham v Sunderland   7.45 Correct score 2-0   11.50 £0.74 £7.77 BD 3-1 lost £0.74
Birmingham v Sunderland   7.45 Correct score 2-0   10.50 £0.50 £4.75 BF 3-1 lost £0.50
Burton v Reading                 7.45 Correct score 1-1    6.80 £1.00 £5.80 BF 1-3 lost £1.00
Hull v Leeds                         7.45 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £0.50 £4.75 BF 0-0 lost £0.50
Hull v Leeds                         7.45 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £0.50 £4.75 BD 0-0 lost £0.50
Middlesbrough v Sheff Wed 7.45 Correct score 3-1  19.50 £1.00 £18.50 BD 0-0 lost £1.00
Millwall v Derby                    7.45 Correct score 2-2  17.00 £1.00 £16.00 BF 0-0 lost £1.00
Notts Forest v Preston         7.45 Correct score 1-1    7.00 £1.00 £6.00 BD 0-3 lost £1.00
Sheff Utd v A Villa                7.45 Correct score 2-1  12.50 £0.50 £5.75 BF 0-1 lost £0.50
Sheff Utd v A Villa                7.45 Correct score 2-1  13.50 £0.66 £8.25 BD 0-1 lost £0.66

Total matches played = 7 - total matches won = 0 - total matches lost = 7

Total won = £0.00 - total lost = £7.40 - total lost = £7.40

Bank -£11.02

Selections 65

Won 5

Lost 60

Total lost £7.40

New Bank -£18.42

[justanotherpunter]

Todays selection -

Friday                                                                                   Odds  Stake  Win
02/02/2018 Bolton v Bristol City   8.00 Correct score 1-2    10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BD

[justanotherpunter]

Todays selections -

Saturday                                                                                    Odds  Stake  Win
03/02/2018 A Villa v Burton                 3.00 Correct score 4-0   16/1  £1.00 £16.00 365
03/02/2018 Derby v Brentford             3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.00 £1.00 £9.00 BD
03/02/2018 Fulham v Notts Forest      3.00 Correct score 4-1   20/1  £1.00 £20.00 365
03/02/2018 Leeds v Cardiff                 3.00 Correct score 2-2  18.00 £1.00 £17.00 BD
03/02/2018 Norwich v Middlesbrough 3.00 Correct score 2-2  19.50 £1.00 £18.50 BF
03/02/2018 Preston v Hull                   3.00 Correct score 1-0    7.60 £1.00 £6.60 BF
03/02/2018 QPR v Barnsley                3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.00 £1.00 £9.00 BF
03/02/2018 Reading v Millwall             3.00 Correct score 2-1  12.00 £1.00 £11.00 BF
03/02/2018 Sheff Wed v Birmingham  3.00 Correct score 3-1  27.00 £1.00 £26.00 BF
03/02/2018 Sunderland v Ipswich        3.00 Correct score 1-0    8.40 £1.00 £7.40 BF
03/02/2018 Wolves v Sheff Utd            5.30 Correct score 3-0  15.50 £1.00 £14.50 BF

[justanotherpunter]

Friday                                                                       Odds  Stake  Win
Bolton v Bristol City          8.00 Correct score 1-2    10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BD 1-0 lost £1.00

Saturday                                                                  Odds  Stake  Win
A Villa v Burton                 3.00 Correct score 4-0   16/1  £1.00 £16.00 365 3-2 lost £1.00
Derby v Brentford             3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.00 £1.00 £9.00 BD 3-0 lost £1.00
Fulham v Notts Forest      3.00 Correct score 4-1   20/1  £1.00 £20.00 365 2-0 lost £1.00
Leeds v Cardiff                 3.00 Correct score 2-2  18.00 £1.00 £17.00 BD 1-4 lost £1.00
Norwich v Middlesbrough 3.00 Correct score 2-2  19.50 £1.00 £18.50 BF 1-0 lost £1.00
Preston v Hull                   3.00 Correct score 1-0    7.60 £1.00 £6.60 BF 2-1 lost £1.00
QPR v Barnsley                3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.00 £1.00 £9.00 BF 1-0 lost £1.00
Reading v Millwall             3.00 Correct score 2-1  12.00 £1.00 £11.00 BF 0-2 lost £1.00
Sheff Wed v Birmingham  3.00 Correct score 3-1  27.00 £1.00 £26.00 BF 1-3 lost £1.00
Sunderland v Ipswich        3.00 Correct score 1-0    8.40 £1.00 £7.40 BF 0-2 lost £1.00
Wolves v Sheff Utd            5.30 Correct score 3-0  15.50 £1.00 £14.50 BF 3-0 won £13.77 

Total matches played = 12 - total matches won = 1 - total matches lost = 11

Total won = £13.77 - total lost = £11.00 - total won = £2.77

Bank -£18.42

Selections 77

Won 6

Lost 71

Total won £2.77

New Bank -£15.65

[justanotherpunter]

Friday                                                                                     Odds  Stake  Win
09/02/2018 Millwall v Cardiff            7.45 Correct score 1-1  7.20 £1.00 £6.20 BD

Saturday                                                                                Odds  Stake  Win
10/02/2018 Barnsley v Sheff Wed 12.15 Correct score 1-0  8.60 £1.00 £7.60 BF

[justanotherpunter]

Todays selections -

I didn't realise this match went off early so I won't include it in final settlement

                                                                                                 Odds  Stake  Win

10/02/2018 Sheff Utd v Leeds            3.00 Correct score 2-0  5.10 £1.00 £4.10 BF in play

                                                                                                  Odds  Stake  Win

10/02/2018 Bolton v Fulham               3.00 Correct score 1-3  19.50 £1.00 £18.50 BF
10/02/2018 Brentford v Preston          3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BF
10/02/2018 Bristol City v Sunderland  3.00 Correct score 3-0  17.00 £1.00 £16.00 BF
10/02/2018 Derby v Norwich               3.00 Correct score 3-1  21.00 £1.00 £20.00 BF
10/02/2018 Ipswich v Burton               3.00 Correct score 4-1   40/1  £1.00 £40.00 365
10/02/2018 Middlesbrough v Reading 3.00 Correct score 3-0  14.00 £1.00 £13.00 BF
10/02/2018 Notts Forest v Hull            3.00 Correct score 1-0    9.60 £1.00 £8.60 BF
10/02/2018 Wolves v QPR                  3.00 Correct score 5-0   33/1  £1.00 £33.00 365

Sunday               
11/02/2018 A Villa v Birmingham      12.00 Correct score 3-0  16.00 £1.00 £15.00 BF

[justanotherpunter]

Despite 1 win due to 6 draws - there was not much luck in play - this thread must be approaching cut off if results do not improve shortly.

I suppose there may be a lay strategy using these numbers??

 

Friday                                                                                     Odds  Stake  Win
Millwall v Cardiff            7.45 Correct score 1-1  7.20 £1.00 £6.20 BD 1-1 won £6.08 

Saturday                                                                                Odds  Stake  Win
Barnsley v Sheff Wed 12.15 Correct score 1-0  8.60 £1.00 £7.60 BF 1-1 lost £1.00

                                                                                                  Odds  Stake  Win

Bolton v Fulham               3.00 Correct score 1-3  19.50 £1.00 £18.50 BF 1-1 lost £1.00
Brentford v Preston          3.00 Correct score 2-1  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BF 1-1 lost £1.00
Bristol City v Sunderland  3.00 Correct score 3-0  17.00 £1.00 £16.00 BF 3-3 lost £1.00
Derby v Norwich               3.00 Correct score 3-1  21.00 £1.00 £20.00 BF 1-1 lost £1.00
Ipswich v Burton               3.00 Correct score 4-1   40/1  £1.00 £40.00 365 0-0 lost £1.00
Middlesbrough v Reading 3.00 Correct score 3-0  14.00 £1.00 £13.00 BF 2-1 lost £1.00
Notts Forest v Hull            3.00 Correct score 1-0    9.60 £1.00 £8.60 BF 0-2 lost £1.00
Wolves v QPR                  3.00 Correct score 5-0   33/1  £1.00 £33.00 365 2-1 lost £1.00

Sunday               
A Villa v Birmingham      12.00 Correct score 3-0  16.00 £1.00 £15.00 BF 2-0 lost £1.00

                                                                                               Odds  Stake  Win

Sheff Utd v Leeds            3.00 Correct score 2-0  5.10 £1.00 £4.10 BF in play 2-1 lost not included

Total matches played = 11 - total matches won = 1 - total matches lost = 10

Total won = £6.08 - total lost = £10.00 - total lost = £3.92

Bank -£15.65

Selections 88

Won 7

Lost 81

Total lost £3.92

New Bank -£19.57

[justanotherpunter]

Todays selections -

Tuesday                                                                           Odds Stake Win
13/02/2018 Cardiff v Bolton       7.45 Correct score 3-0  14.50 £1.00 £13.50 BF
13/02/2018 Sheff Wed v Derby 7.45 Correct score 1-2  11.50 £1.00 £10.50 BD

[justanotherpunter]

I can hear the bell tolling to let this thread die - results are so unpredictable here - would be as well tossing a dice.

I think if another losing weekend I will call this a day - last chance saloon coming up -

Tuesday                                                        Odds Stake Win
Cardiff v Bolton       7.45 Correct score 3-0  14.50 £1.00 £13.50 BF 2-0 lost £1.00
Sheff Wed v Derby 7.45 Correct score 1-2  11.50 £1.00 £10.50 BD 2-0 lost £1.00

Total matches played = 2 - total matches won = 0 - total matches lost = 2

Total won = £0.00 - total lost = £2.00 - total lost = £2.00

Bank -£19.57

Selections 90

Won 7

Lost 83

Total lost £2.00

New Bank -£21.57

 

[justanotherpunter]

Todays selections -

Saturday                                                                                   Odds Stake Win
17/02/2018 Birmingham v Millwall     3.00 Correct score 2-1  12.50 £1.00 £11.50 BD
17/02/2018 Burton v Notts Forest     3.00 Correct score 1-1    7.00 £1.00 £6.00 BD
17/02/2018 Cardiff v Middlesbrough 3.00 Correct score 1-0    7.20 £1.00 £6.20 BD
17/02/2018 Fulham v A Villa             3.00 Correct score 2-1    9.80 £1.00 £8.80 BF
17/02/2018 Preston v Wolves           3.00 Correct score 1-2  11.50 £1.00 £10.50 BF
17/02/2018 QPR v Bolton                 3.00 Correct score 2-0  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BF
17/02/2018 Sunderland v Brentford  3.00 Correct score 1-2  10.00 £1.00 £9.00 BD

[justanotherpunter]

Saturday                                                                Odds Stake Win
Birmingham v Millwall     3.00 Correct score 2-1  12.50 £1.00 £11.50 BD 0-1 lost £1.00
Burton v Notts Forest     3.00 Correct score 1-1    7.00 £1.00 £6.00 BD 0-0 lost £1.00
Cardiff v Middlesbrough 3.00 Correct score 1-0    7.20 £1.00 £6.20 BD 1-0 won £6.08 
Fulham v A Villa             3.00 Correct score 2-1    9.80 £1.00 £8.80 BF 2-0 lost £1.00
Preston v Wolves           3.00 Correct score 1-2  11.50 £1.00 £10.50 BF 1-1 lost £1.00
QPR v Bolton                 3.00 Correct score 2-0  10.50 £1.00 £9.50 BF 2-0 won £9.02 
Sunderland v Brentford  3.00 Correct score 1-2  10.00 £1.00 £9.00 BD 0-2 lost £1.00

Total matches played = 7 - total matches won = 2 - total matches lost = 5

Total won = £15.10 - total lost = £5.00 - total won = £10.10

Bank -£21.57

Selections 97

Won 9

Lost 88

Total won £10.10

New Bank -£11.47