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StevieDay1983

EFL Trophy Predictions > Dec 5th & 6th

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It is not a tough competition to crack. You just have to count.

The competition changed format last year, but many of the same issues presented. There are still many League One and Two sides that take the competition seriously, and many that do not; added to that, now, we've got academy sides that have to adhere to different rules (maximum numbers vs minimum numbers, with regard to who must be named to a side).

Another constant is that oddsmakers automatically install favorites based on league position, even though league position doesn't mean a hell of a lot when you have no idea what sort of 11s will be out there. And many times, you see the odds shrink on favorites as bettors pile on, usually because the underdog's manager says something like, "Our first priority is the league."

The thing that has remained constant is an extraordinary number of underdogs win in regulation. Last season I won 10 units in this round...the underdogs (all on away) went 4-3-2, and I was on most of them. Avoiding academy sides away (they haven't surprised, at least so far), that means I will be on Chesterfield and FGA today. I will wait to see how the odds move.

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