richard-westwood Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 (edited) 135 donc Muntadab 99.17 Right win 99,16 Robero 99.14 Sea Fox 99.13 Only really like this race so far but top 4 all have chances on recent form .....muntadab ran a blinder last time but is penalised against the improving right win but it will be close ....robero and sea Fox both come here off poor recent runs but last but none runs give them outstanding chances on revised terms ....gonna have to Dutch for a change and have all 4 run for me Muntadab 8.28pts win 6/1 bet365 Right touch 6.24 pts win 8/1 bet365 Sea go 3.24 pts win 18/1 lads Robero 2.23 pts win 25/1 lads 38 Pts profit any winner Edited November 10, 2017 by richard-westwood nenad986 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted November 10, 2017 Share Posted November 10, 2017 215 Aintree Virgilio 7/2 Coral/Laddies This one was entered in the Charlie Hall last week but was pulled out due to the ground, he has been redirected to here and although stepping back in trip he could go well and get his season off to a flyer. He loves it here having won 3 times and he's ready to go according to the trainer. nenad986 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 10, 2017 Author Share Posted November 10, 2017 335 winc badger Chase Double shuffle 99.11 Mr mix 99.09 Yala enki 99.06 Naturally a tough open race .......double shuffles jockey claim puts him on a competitive mark for this .....Mr mix is also coming here with a strong hand so warrants respect under these conditions Double shuffle 5pts ew 14/1 pp Mr mix 5ots ew 9/1 bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 10, 2017 Author Share Posted November 10, 2017 450 wolv Fairway to heaven 98.87 Nutini 98.84 Kylukey 98.83 Fairway to heaven looks a decent ew bet here .....ran a cracker here at wolv and still looks well hcapped based on that run ....let's go on the double hunt again Fairway to heaven 10pts e,w 5/1 will h EviL ZippY 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertob Posted November 11, 2017 Share Posted November 11, 2017 2.40 Doncaster: Gillies Fillies' Stakes (Listed), 1m 2f The favourite, albeit most likely with the best form in the book, looks a reasonably short price compared to Time Chaser, currently trading as the second fav. Both fillies remain lightly raced with potential upside, however I feel Time Chaser has more upside and is a better price at the same time. She is a full-sister to the very smart Time Test, so taking that as an indicator, there is a good chance Time Chaser might still do a bit better than her current official rating of 91 suggests. She won three on the bounce from debuting in April until stepping up into a class 2 Handicap in September at Haydock, after producing two fine performances to win at Sandown, over a mile and ten furlongs on fast to soft ground respectively. Beaten in third a long way the last time in heavy conditions, I feel there are valid excused for this slightly disappointing showing. Time Chaser certainly did not receive an overly smart ride that day. She probably did a bit too much right after the start and also in the middle part of the race, while racing wide without cover all the way. That is a deadly combination in heavy conditions. The impressive winner, in comparison, was tucked away at the end of the field until he made his winning move. A decent draw and champion jockey Jim Crowley on board may help to see her ridden a bit more intelligently. It's soft ground again. She probably likes it a bit better but has proven to act on it. A step up to listed level seems fair judged on what she has done so far. She is not out of her depth here. Selection: 10pts win - Time Chaser @ 7/2 Bet365 ...... 3.15 Doncaster: November Handicap, 1m 4f A full 23 runner strong field. It couldn't be any more competitive. Nonetheless I feel bottom weight Al Destoor is a bit overpriced. True, he's never won over 12f and his pedigree does not necessarily says he should, but he's still been placed twice in three tries over the trip and has shown excellent form in softish conditions over trips up to 1m 2.5f. Al Destoor also is an incredibly consistent animal. He rarely runs a bad race. So given the trip is not totally out of his reach, he loves the ground conditions and has a feather weight on his back, I think it is not out of this world to see him going close. The 7 year old didn't have a too hard season either and looked still in fine shape when runner-up at Chester back in September. The aid of excellent Franny Norton in the saddle is a bonus. Selection: 10pts win - Al Destoor @ 25/1 Skybet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 11, 2017 Author Share Posted November 11, 2017 315 donc November hcap Saunter 99,12 Chelsea lad 99.11 These two are a little clear here .....Saunter is the form horse ..has good form over 12f so shoukd run a big race ...the 9/1 ew looks very decent value .....Chelsea lad is a dark horse ....would have a much higher rating had this been 10f so unknown quantity tackling 12f hence been downgrade ...but if he gets it then the 22/1 woukd be huge !! ....worth a speculative ew bet Saunter 5pts ew 9/1 betvic Chelsea lad 5pts ew 22/1 bet365 EviL ZippY and Saint R 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 11, 2017 Author Share Posted November 11, 2017 20 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 135 donc Muntadab 99.17 Right win 99,16 Robero 99.14 Sea Fox 99.13 Only really like this race so far but top 4 all have chances on recent form .....muntadab ran a blinder last time but is penalised against the improving right win but it will be close ....robero and sea Fox both come here off poor recent runs but last but none runs give them outstanding chances on revised terms ....gonna have to Dutch for a change and have all 4 run for me Muntadab 8.28pts win 6/1 bet365 Right touch 6.24 pts win 8/1 bet365 Sea go 3.24 pts win 18/1 lads Robero 2.23 pts win 25/1 lads 38 Pts profit any winner right win 4th and robero 6th ......just faded at the finish Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 11, 2017 Author Share Posted November 11, 2017 (edited) 4 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 315 donc November hcap Saunter 99,12 Chelsea lad 99.11 These two are a little clear here .....Saunter is the form horse ..has good form over 12f so shoukd run a big race ...the 9/1 ew looks very decent value .....Chelsea lad is a dark horse ....would have a much higher rating had this been 10f so unknown quantity tackling 12f hence been downgrade ...but if he gets it then the 22/1 woukd be huge !! ....worth a speculative ew bet Saunter 5pts ew 9/1 betvic Chelsea lad 5pts ew 22/1 bet365 1st and 2nd !! ......I can't make it any more accurate than that ..98.7 pts returned ...and I'm absolutely blown away it spotted Chelsea lad ....that's one fantastic result given his profile and form figures ...well pleased with that one Edited November 11, 2017 by richard-westwood nenad986 and vikki37 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 11, 2017 Author Share Posted November 11, 2017 16 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 335 winc badger Chase Double shuffle 99.11 Mr mix 99.09 Yala enki 99.06 Naturally a tough open race .......double shuffles jockey claim puts him on a competitive mark for this .....Mr mix is also coming here with a strong hand so warrants respect under these conditions Double shuffle 5pts ew 14/1 pp Mr mix 5ots ew 9/1 bet365 Double shuffle was non runner Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 11, 2017 Author Share Posted November 11, 2017 May as well play tonight as I'm free to rate 750 wolv Luang prabang 98.84 Spiritual star 98.82 Energia flavio 98.80 L uang rating over CD so has to run well tonight surely .....Spiritual stars rating is from Lingfield but ran very well in defeat that day and bookies seemed to have been a bit silly pricing at 20/1 .....energia flavio has chances but not sure wants this distance as best form at 7f ....but could run well Luang prabang 10pts win 100/30 pp Spiritual star 5pts ew 20/1 pp nenad986 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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