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StevieDay1983

Premier League Predictions > Oct 28th - 30th

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It was yet another rollercoaster weekend of action in the Premier League this past weekend. Shock results, managers hanging onto their jobs by a thread, and other teams continuing to thrive. It's another big week coming up and the highlight match is Manchester United versus Tottenham.

Let's hear your tips for this round of action. Every match counts for something more than normal this weekend. It could be one of those defining weekends of the season.

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Leicester v Everton

Sun 2017-10-29
Keoman fired - Puel Hired ! bet reviewed


Will David Unsworth have a positive effect on Everton ? Probable answer is yes, but ... how much? Unsworth Quote ... "I'm proud of the performance, they were terrific " after loss to Chelsea 2nd team. What nonsense, to be proud of defeat ! Played against a Chelsea 2nd line-up and lost.

So Southampton finished 8th last season under Puel. The fact is that with 46 points, they were closer to relegation that the top 7. Everton were 7th in the league with 61 points. They played a dour, dull brand of football, winning just 6 games in 19 at home. Only Middlesbrough and Sunderland won fewer home league games. They scored just 17 goals at home all season, only Sunderland scored fewer (16). 

Everton are just atrocious. I am totally surprised by their form, and the way in which they are playing. I never expected it this season. I have watched them 5 times this season and they have been awful in almost every game. Forget the fact that they never replaced Lukaku. They should still have defensive structure ! Be boring, and draw a game 0-0. Once in a while, win 1-0. Just don't get thrashed 4 or 5 every week ! 

Can they get anything at Leicester ? I am not sure. They have no away form, not winning a league game in their last 10 away days. Picking up 4 points from a possible 30 is terrible. 

Leicester, have 1 win under the caretaker manager.  Under Puel it will probably be 2

 
Home Win - Odds 2.4  

 

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My thoughts:

I am thinking about my classical Man City 1st half.. -0,75 looks fine at @1,99. 

Spurs being without Kane is a huge blow for Poch, but United with their "way" of football.. it can easily stay at goalless draw.:unsure

Morata should be back for Conte.. odds on Chelsea straight win are going higher and higher.. smells value. :) 

There is one more match where I see value and that is Watford - Stoke. I think that everything above 2,05 on home side is valuable.

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Liverpool FC v Huddersfield

Liverpool FC: Philippe Coutinho (5/2 m, doubtful), Danny Ward (0/0 g), Sadio Mané (5/3 f, 2nd top scorer), Nathaniel Clyne (0/0 d), Adam Lallana (0/0 m), Adam Bogdan (0/0 g)

Huddersfield: Philip Billing (7/0 m), Michael Hefele (1/0 d), Jon Stankovic (0/0 d), Kasey Palmer (3/0 m)

 

Watford FC v Stoke City

Watford FC: Roberto Pereyra (6/1 m), Sebastian Prödl (2/0 d), Isaac Success (0/0 f), Nathaniel Chalobah (5/0 m), Younes Kaboul (2/0 d), Craig Cathcart (0/0 d), Tommie Hoban (0/0 d)

Stoke City: Peter Crouch (6/2 f, doubtful), Bruno Martins Indi (6/0 d), Stephen Ireland (0/0 m)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

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Manchester Utd V Tottenham Hotspur

X @ 3.40 Bet365

This is a match that will show us what Man U are really made of. Tottenham are ofcourse weaker without Harry Kane and their defending against West Ham midweek was shambolic but they are still a force to be reckoned with in my view. If Man U win this it will be a great result for them as they are not exactly firing on all cylinders as of late. I could forgive those who are looking at the home team on -0.25 line here but I think X maybe the way to go as both teams have extremely close ELO rating right now.

 

Crystal Palace V West Ham Utd

X @ 3.30 Bet365

Watching the outcome of Palace games is bad comedy at the minute. A draw would have been the just outcome at Newcastle last week while the game at Ashton Gate midweek can only be described as bizarre. Results are not matching performances with a physics defying breakdown of cause and effect at play. The shit is getting so spooky I'm starting to think a draw at home to West Ham would be a good result. Picking a winner here seems like suicide as both teams are playing in the twilight zone, if you put a gun to my head I would lean slightly towards West Ham here but markets are accurate with asian lines for this game. Very little ELO disparity between the two so I will go for X here.

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Manchester Utd V Tottenham Hotspur (bonus)

Christian Eriksen to score from outside the box @ 17.0 Betfair

Betfair are doing a price boost on this specialist selection. Free-kicks and shooting from downtown will probably be one of the main routes to goal for Spurs tommorow in the absence of Harry Kane. I expect Man U to be defensively robust in open play so the onus will be on a player like Eriksen to find the back of the net and it may well have to be from distance considering the opposition. Betfair obviously have faith in Man U's defence (they've only conceeded 4 this season) but this is a special offer that could backfire for the bookie. I will chuck some loose change at it.

 

 

Edited by Mindfulness

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The match will be tough, since the two teams are very good at defense, especially Mourinho, the big matches are facing very closed, not giving places to its opponents, I expect a match where the defenses will dominate and will not get a lot of gossip
MANCHESTER UNITED vs TOTTENHAM @@ +2.50 Under, odds 1.85

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premier League

Man City have won their last 12 games against West Brom in all competitions.
Man Utd have won 75% of their last 15 home games against Tottenham in all competitions.
Tottenham have won their last 6 away games in Premier League.

You can find interesting 47 Football Betting Streaks for 28.10.2017 on this link ... http://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-streaks-28-10-2017

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Seems to be quite a number of absentees/injuries for Watford match.

Not much goals (and meetings) from both sides in recent years.

03/01/17 Stoke 2-0 Watford

27/11/16 Watford 0-1 Stoke

19/03/16 Watford 1-2 Stoke

24/10/15 Stoke 0-2 Watford

15/08/08 Watford 0-0 Stoke

09/12/07 Stoke 0-0 Watford

14/01/06 Watford 1-0 Stoke

10/09/05 Stoke 0-3 Watford

30/04/05 Stoke 0-1 Watford

04/12/04 Watford 0-1 Stoke

Under 2.5 for me

 

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Man United v Tottenham

Sat 2017-10-28


Even though they are second in the table I have not been impressed with Man United this season. The away game against Huddersfield was the first time they have fallen behind and been tested. They failed the test. Though the football is better than under van Gaal, it is still too slow, methodical and ponderous. It feels like they play with the handbrake on ! Tactically Mourinho looks stale ... 

The home record is excellent this season, but the quality of the the opponent has been poor. Bournemouth, Leicester, Brighton and WBA should (and were) all be beaten. Spurs is a different ballgame. 

You simply cannot play an attacking game in front of the defense every game. You have to put your opponent under pressure, make them work, catch them unprepared, and run at them. United are not really doing any of these things. There is no plan 'B', and the attack looks hesitant and unsure. 

For me Man United are miles off the pace. Tottenham and Man City are playing far better football. Would I offer Mata a new contract ? No ! He is not the solution to the midfield problems. 

I cannot see Man United winning this game. Mourinho is overly negative in big games, and has been lacking tactically. He is scared to lose, and it inhibits your ability to win. 

Spurs will really test them here. The bet I like is the Tottenham WIN, DRAW NO BET. This means that if Spurs win, you win your bet. Draw, you have your money returned. I think odds of 2.37 are excellent. The away double chance is also an option here. 

I think that United are vulnerable in defense (due to injury), and are suspect against pace. For me the loss/es of Jones/Bailly are huge, as I don't rate any of Smalling, Blind or Lindelof. 

Away win Draw no Bet - Odds 2.37 

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2 minutes ago, neilovan said:

Man United v Tottenham

Sat 2017-10-28


Even though they are second in the table I have not been impressed with Man United this season. The away game against Huddersfield was the first time they have fallen behind and been tested. They failed the test. Though the football is better than under van Gaal, it is still too slow, methodical and ponderous. It feels like they play with the handbrake on ! Tactically Mourinho looks stale ... 

The home record is excellent this season, but the quality of the the opponent has been poor. Bournemouth, Leicester, Brighton and WBA should (and were) all be beaten. Spurs is a different ballgame. 

You simply cannot play an attacking game in front of the defense every game. You have to put your opponent under pressure, make them work, catch them unprepared, and run at them. United are not really doing any of these things. There is no plan 'B', and the attack looks hesitant and unsure. 

For me Man United are miles off the pace. Tottenham and Man City are playing far better football. Would I offer Mata a new contract ? No ! He is not the solution to the midfield problems. 

I cannot see Man United winning this game. Mourinho is overly negative in big games, and has been lacking tactically. He is scared to lose, and it inhibits your ability to win. 

Spurs will really test them here. The bet I like is the Tottenham WIN, DRAW NO BET. This means that if Spurs win, you win your bet. Draw, you have your money returned. I think odds of 2.37 are excellent. The away double chance is also an option here. 

I think that United are vulnerable in defense (due to injury), and are suspect against pace. For me the loss/es of Jones/Bailly are huge, as I don't rate any of Smalling, Blind or Lindelof. 

Away win Draw no Bet - Odds 2.37 

Agree totally.

The price for the Tottenham win is far too high here, even without Kane playing. Tottenham or draw at 1.70 is very much a value bet and is where my cash is going today. 

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