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Non-League Predictions > Sep 16th & 17th


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It's FA Cup Qualifying weekend again but there is a selection of non-league fixtures from the National League, Northern Premier League, Isthmian Premier Division, and Southern League Premier to check over and offer some thoughts on. FA Cup fixtures now have their odds available too.

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So after a cracking mid-week with big profits, plus landing a huge gamble on Harrogate, we move on to Saturday's action. At the moment I am just going to preview the National League as I await other bookies to price up the FA Cup action, but once they do that will follow. The National League has been a bizarre league so fair this season with some really strange results and so it will be minimum stakes this weekend, but 3 bets appeal at the prices.

Leyton Orient v Hartlepool

No surprise that BT Sport have chosen to show this game between the two relegated sides on Saturday lunchtime. Orient bar the two defeats on 3G pitches started strongly whereas Hartlepool looked desperate and only had 2 points from their first six. Things have reversed though as Orient have lost their last two and Hartlepool won three on the bounce before drawing at Wrexham on Tuesday night. I have written that Orient had a kind fixture list to start with and that might just have masked the issues that are still there after the issues over the summer. Defensively in the last two games they have been shocking and that could well continue on Saturday. Craig Harrison must have been pretty close to getting the sack after the first six games, but that first win at Guiseley has kicked started their season. An impressive performance against Maidstone followed and then they were the first team to defeat Dagenham last Saturday. I don't understand the prices for this game and Marathon's 14/5 about an away win is way too big.

Dover v Chester

Dover went top on Saturday after winning at Aldershot, but they then followed that up with a defeat at home to Boreham Wood and rather strangely for a team who was top after 9 games they have only picked up 5 points at home this season. That has to be a concern for anyone wanting to take short odds about them in this match and after putting them up on Tuesday night I am happy to go with Chester again. After going 2 down to Gateshead they showed great spirit to get it back to 2-2 and they could have won the game although Gateshead ended up scoring a winner. They were the first goals Gateshead have conceded at home this season and the two performances since the change of manager have been encouraging. Skybet are biggest about an away win at 5/1.

Woking v Sutton

Given Sutton's dire away form last season it is amazing that they have already won more away than they did last term. They lost their first away game at Eastleigh, but have won the other 4 including when getting a very late winner at Dagenham on Tuesday night. I thought they were going to struggle there, but they did well to win and I think they can beat Woking on Saturday. The fact Woking have the 2nd best home form in the division is more proof of how strange this league has been so far this season, but they have had some kind home fixtures and think Sutton will pose a much tougher test. Sutton are just under 6/4 with Marathon and I would have them nearer evens myself.

Hartlepool 1pt @ 14/5 with Marathon

Chester 1pt @ 5/1 with Skybet

Sutton 1pt at 73/50 with Marathon

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13 hours ago, Darran said:

Sort of good news as BetVictor have priced up although they closed my account long ago so I can't get on with them. Hopefully others will follow.

When they close your account I take it is because you have made too much profit on bets? How do they go about that and what do they say?

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My experience is that one day you try to log in to your account and it either does not recognise your details or you are invited to call customer service on their free number

You will have no access to your account as they advise you that it is a trader's decision so make sure iyou have a spreadsheet of any outstanding bets especially outtights as you will have to ask for the money to be sent to you. They will not do it automatically

there isno recourse in this decision

There are ways to open another account but if I told you I would have to...... well you know the answer to that

portant........always know what unsettled bets you have as you can be gubbed  at anytime for no rhyme or reason and always ask for a statement of your account to be sent to your email Address

my account was closed after landing a £25 outright bet that Sholing would win the fa vase when they did in 2013/14 at 66/1.

i received no email advice only that I was unable to log in to make further wagers

Edited by murther
Further clarification
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  • StevieDay1983 changed the title to Non-League Predictions > Sep 16th & 17th

Right, I've now managed to get hold of a comprehensive list of odds for the FA Cup matches. I have had to do it through Oddschecker so the source of the odds are not available but if you visit Oddschecker then you can find the bookmaker offering the odds in each individual match tab. :ok

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3 hours ago, Cheltenhamwhite said:

When they close your account I take it is because you have made too much profit on bets? How do they go about that and what do they say?

No BetVictor closed my account because I was beating the SP with my horse racing bets. They send you an email telling you they have taken the decision to close your account. I wasn't even winning with them and it happened very suddenly. I had ante-post bets with them which they paid into my account with no bother at all.

Edited by Darran
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Bromley v Solihull Moors,9/10 Marathon Bet.

greetings to one and all on this fine forum.Not a spectactacular choice but as a solid single or acá builder,I am going to take Neil Smiths boys to make it two in a row at Hayes Lane.Torquay will clearly struggle big time this season but a win is a win and on the plastic which I really feel is a factor,Orient and Boreham wood have also lost here and they are not a bad side,on the plastic or not.Brett Williams must be chomping to get going after his hat trick and there should be a good confidence about the home side for the game .

The moors are only on 7 points but they have been competitive in quite a few games so I would also fancy both teams to score but I do feel that it's a home win here,and good luck to you all with your bets this weekend.

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Nuneaton v Kings Lynn

The home side are struggling in the National League North this season and given Kings Lynn are near the top of the Evo-Stik Southern Premier we could be looking at a possible upset here. The away side did lose their first game of the season on Tuesday, but I just wonder if they might have had one eye on this game given they have a strong chance of causing an upset. BetVictor are 3/1 about an away win.

Salisbury v Poole

I saw Salisbury in this round last year as Gloucester played them and we were very lucky to get through to the next round with a 2-1 victory. Salisbury played really well and deserved at least a replay and I think they have a good chance of actually going through to the next round this year. Poole have looked a shadow of the side they were last season and have lost 7 of their 11 games letting in 22 goals in the process. Salisbury scored 8 against Slimbridge last week and although this game will obviously be a fair bit tougher I think they have a real chance of causing an upset. Paddy Power go 11/5 about a home win and there is just enough in that price for me.

Southport v Bradford Park Avenue

Harrogate landed the gamble on Tuesday night in some style and I am surprised Southport have been put in at odds on here. As I also mentioned in mid-week BPA are in great form at the moment and they were another winner I put up on Monday night. At 12/5 with Paddy Power BPA look the best bet of the weekend.

Acca

I always like doing an acca at this stage of the competition as you often get mis matches and I think you have a higher than normal chance of landing one. I have 6 teams and the acca pays nearly 2.3/1 with BetVictor. The teams are Bath, Boston, Chelmsford, Dartford, Harrogate and on Sunday Billericay.

Kings Lynn 1pt @ 3/1 with BetVictor/Betfred

Salisbury 1pt @ 11/5 with Paddy Power

Bradford Park Avenue 2pts @ 12/5 with Paddy Power

Bath, Boston, Chelmsford, Dartford, Harrogate and Billericay 1pt acca with BetVictor

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On 14/09/2017 at 9:12 PM, Darran said:

So after a cracking mid-week with big profits, plus landing a huge gamble on Harrogate, we move on to Saturday's action. At the moment I am just going to preview the National League as I await other bookies to price up the FA Cup action, but once they do that will follow. The National League has been a bizarre league so fair this season with some really strange results and so it will be minimum stakes this weekend, but 3 bets appeal at the prices.

Leyton Orient v Hartlepool

No surprise that BT Sport have chosen to show this game between the two relegated sides on Saturday lunchtime. Orient bar the two defeats on 3G pitches started strongly whereas Hartlepool looked desperate and only had 2 points from their first six. Things have reversed though as Orient have lost their last two and Hartlepool won three on the bounce before drawing at Wrexham on Tuesday night. I have written that Orient had a kind fixture list to start with and that might just have masked the issues that are still there after the issues over the summer. Defensively in the last two games they have been shocking and that could well continue on Saturday. Craig Harrison must have been pretty close to getting the sack after the first six games, but that first win at Guiseley has kicked started their season. An impressive performance against Maidstone followed and then they were the first team to defeat Dagenham last Saturday. I don't understand the prices for this game and Marathon's 14/5 about an away win is way too big.

Dover v Chester

Dover went top on Saturday after winning at Aldershot, but they then followed that up with a defeat at home to Boreham Wood and rather strangely for a team who was top after 9 games they have only picked up 5 points at home this season. That has to be a concern for anyone wanting to take short odds about them in this match and after putting them up on Tuesday night I am happy to go with Chester again. After going 2 down to Gateshead they showed great spirit to get it back to 2-2 and they could have won the game although Gateshead ended up scoring a winner. They were the first goals Gateshead have conceded at home this season and the two performances since the change of manager have been encouraging. Skybet are biggest about an away win at 5/1.

Woking v Sutton

Given Sutton's dire away form last season it is amazing that they have already won more away than they did last term. They lost their first away game at Eastleigh, but have won the other 4 including when getting a very late winner at Dagenham on Tuesday night. I thought they were going to struggle there, but they did well to win and I think they can beat Woking on Saturday. The fact Woking have the 2nd best home form in the division is more proof of how strange this league has been so far this season, but they have had some kind home fixtures and think Sutton will pose a much tougher test. Sutton are just under 6/4 with Marathon and I would have them nearer evens myself.

Hartlepool 1pt @ 14/5 with Marathon

Chester 1pt @ 5/1 with Skybet

Sutton 1pt at 73/50 with Marathon

Phase one complete

great tip on Hartlepool who seem now to have found their mojo

Good luck this afternoon

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After 3 mins I thought we were looking at an easy payout and they had quite a few chances to add to the goal before the equalizer. Going down to 10 men was the killer although given what they have been doing to teams in their league I am surprised they couldn't beat a team a league lower. 

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