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StevieDay1983

Non-League Predictions > Sep 11th - 13th

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Into the next round of matches straight away in the non-league. A full schedule of matches this midweek. What do you guys have tipped? 

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I am really surprised that Harrogate are not favourites at Southport. The home side seem to have come off the rails in their last 2 games against Stockport and Kidderminster. After their 6-0 thumping of Southport, Stockport returned to type losing away from home on Saturday. After two tepid home draws Kidderminster, without 4 first team regulars then proceed actually to score 3 goals in a game and keep a clean sheet. Says how poor Southport were, since conceding 9 goals without reply to the likes of Kidderminster and Stockport is hardly a ringing endorsement.

Harrogate had a couple of disappointing results against high flyers Brackley and Salford but showed they are still in pretty fair form with a 5-1 drubbing of Telford on Saturday. Harrogate seem to be meeting Southport at just the right time and 15/8 looks a massive price (totesport/Betfred) to me. I also feel 9/2 on the handicap (-1 Harrogate) is good value (Coral, Stan James, Ladbrokes).

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So starting from today Punters Lounge will be the only place where you will be able to see my Non-League previews. Saturday's selections had two winners including another winning Nap in Redditch. Over the next couple of nights I have 6 bets including two this evening.
 

Bradford Park Avenue v Boston

Starting off with two Monday night selections and I like the look of the home side here. Boston's away form has been horrendous so far. They have picked up just the 1 point and have conceded a huge 14 goals in their 5 away games so far, including 5 at Blyth on Saturday. Now Bradford have only won once at home so far this season, but after losing their first two home games they have picked up 5 points in their following 3. Looking at their form overall they are unbeaten in 6 games now drawing 3 and winning 3. Bradford should have won on Saturday as well as opponents Nuneaton went down to 10 men and they missed a penalty. The 36/25 with Marathon looks too big to me on a home win.
 
Chelmsford v East Thurrock
East Thurrock would be one of the smallest teams in the National League South, but they have had an incredible start to the season. They remain unbeaten having won 5 and drawn 4 so far this term. That means they are just 2 points behind their hosts this evening having played a game less. Chelmsford currently top the table and look set to at least reach the play-offs again having been beaten in the final last season by Ebbsfleet. They are obviously in very good form themselves, but they have drawn their last 3 matches all against teams in the bottom 8 of the league. Now this game should be much tougher than those and East Thurrock look a huge price at 9/2. I am however going to take them in the draw no bet market at 59/20 with Marathon just have a little bit of security should they draw again given they have drawn 7 games between them.
 
Barrow v Guiseley
It is funny how the fixture list seems to throw fixtures like this as new Guiseley manager Paul Cox returns to Barrow not long after quitting the club. To be fair to Barrow they have been playing pretty well recently and did so again at Tranmere on Saturday only going down to a very late goal. They clearly deserve to be favourites, but I think Guiseley are a value play here. I thought there was instant improvement from them at the weekend when they drew 0-0 against Eastleigh and they should really have won the game. Now they have lost all 4 away games so far conceding 13 and scoring just 1, but I think they will be rising up the table shortly as I rate Cox as a manger and 5/1 (Marathon) is bigger than it should be.
 
Dagenham & Redbridge v Sutton
I think both these sides should have won at the weekend. Sutton had quite a few chances to see off Gateshead but in the end were held to a 1-1 draw. Dagenham lost their first game of the season at Hartlepool, but they had chances to get in front before that and as John Still said after the game they will play worse and win this season. Sutton's away form has been much better and they have won 3 of their 4 away games, but I just fancy with their injury list at the moment they will struggle to get much out of this game. Dagenham have goals in them and Sutton's biggest injury worries come in defence. Marathon go 23/20 about a home win and I am pretty keen on that.
 
Gateshead v Chester
Like Guiseley Chester also sacked their manger early into the season and also like them I thought there was a big improvement from them on Saturday. Caretaker boss Tom Shaw got a big performance from his side and they really should have picked up all 3 points against draw specialists Ebbsfleet. Gateshead haven't won in 4 games now and although they have drawn 3 of them I really don't think they are playing well at the moment. Granted the home side have won 3 of their 4 games at home and they have yet to concede a goal which is a concern when backing the away team, but they are just too big a price. It should be remembered that Chester have only lost 3 games so far this season so its not like there is anything that drastically wrong with the side. Marathon are 47/10 and I would make them at least half that price.
 
Southport v Harrogate
The prices in this game really do baffle me. Southport have had two disastrous results after such a good start to the season. I think this can be put down to some key injuries and suspensions and it is clear that past the best 11 there isn't much strength in depth in the squad. Stockport put 6 past them on Tuesday night and then Kidderminster were comfortable 3-0 wins when they hosted them on Saturday. They now have to face Harrogate who have looked like a team who will be challenging for the title this season. They have scored 29 goals already and sit top of the table having only lost one game. They were one of my winners on Saturday when they won 5-1 after going a goal at AFC Telford. How on earth they aren't even favourites for this game is staggering and Bet365's 9/5 is a huge price. I make them the Nap's of next couple of nights.
 
Bradford Park Avenue 1pt
East Thurrock 1pt draw no bet
Guiseley 1pt
Dagenham & Redbridge 3pts
Chester 1pt
Harrogate 4pts

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Just wanted to say that I have joined this forum today on the strength of following your twitter account for a couple of seasons

Didnt know this forum existed but keen to follow the non league one as have been betting in the lower steps or a fee years now

Thanks for the heads up and looking forward to gaining more knowledge from regular contributors

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I watch Brackley and have watched them vs both Kidderminster and Tamworth this season. The former we're pretty rudderless and seems John Eustace doesn't really get it according to some of their fans, while Tamworth we're really classy - definitely top half and pushing for the playoffs ...I'm taking Tamworth here.

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4 hours ago, murther said:

Just wanted to say that I have joined this forum today on the strength of following your twitter account for a couple of seasons

Didnt know this forum existed but keen to follow the non league one as have been betting in the lower steps or a fee years now

Thanks for the heads up and looking forward to gaining more knowledge from regular contributors

:welcome to PL @murther :ok 

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15 hours ago, tsikitsiki said:

I watch Brackley and have watched them vs both Kidderminster and Tamworth this season. The former we're pretty rudderless and seems John Eustace doesn't really get it according to some of their fans, while Tamworth we're really classy - definitely top half and pushing for the playoffs ...I'm taking Tamworth here.

 

Agree completely - the bookies amazingly have Kidderminster as favourites here! They have no settled defence whatsoever and are struggling to come to terms with the ludicrous decision to release last year's skipper and centre back, Keith Lowe (now performing excellently at Macclesfield). That followed the transfer of Jordan Tunnicliffe and Zaine Francis-Angol to Fylde, plus the release of Jarryd Hodgkiss to Macclesfield. They brought in Daly from Solihull Moors but after a handful of games he had already had enough and decided to return to Solihull! They signed Lee Vaughan from Tranmere but he is unfit and won't feature until November at least. Shambles.

I don't read anything into last weekend's 3-0 win at hapless Southport, since the previous home draws against Boston and Curzon Ashton were tepid in the extreme, and it was a poor game at Haig Avenue between two very poor sides.

I expect Harriers' old boys, Reece Styche and Daryl Knights,  to invoke the law of sod this evening and think 2/1 for a home win is cracking value. Also 17/4 for Tamworth (-1 handicap) looks worth a punt too.

Only slight concern is the potentially wet and windy weather forecast this evening (which could be especially a factor for Harrogate at Southport which can be bleak on the balmiest of days).

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1 hour ago, Darran said:

Tamworth continue to drift and are now 23/10 with Bet365.

In the same way East Thurrock mysteriously drifted last night Tamworth are now out to 5/2. The gamble continues on Kiddie and Harrogate who are now no bigger than 7/5,

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Tamworth v Kiddie

I am going to add Tamworth to the bets tonight I think there have been some very valid points mentioned elsewhere in the thread. Tamworth's home form is the joint 2nd best in the division having won all four home matches since losing their first. Kiddie have had some tough away trips to be fair to them, but there has to be doubts about them repeating last year's play-off finish on what they have shown so far. Tamworth seem to be using their 3G pitch to their advantage and 47/20 is way too big a price and who knows given the way the market is going they might drift more.

Tamworth 1pt @ 47/20 with Marathon

Edited by Darran
5/2 had gone by the time I posted

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Harrogate had gone odds on in the end so I'm sure everyone on here was part of the gamble and it was fairly comfortable as well. Great shout with Tamworth as well and a great drift as well. So a very pleasing couple of nights and great to have plenty of discussion and one of the most viewed threads of the season.

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