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StevieDay1983

Eredivisie Predictions > Aug 11th - 13th

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The first round of Eredivisie games for the 2017/18 season is scheduled for this weekend. Feyenoord will be looking to defend their title. They laboured to a 4-2 win on pens against Vitesse after a 1-1 draw over 90 minutes. All the big teams are fancied for solid wins here with PSV, Ajax, Vitesse, and Feyenoord all offered at low odds.

@Niceguy, @bettingtime, @winnerwinner. @tit@n, @Pep004, @jamiedavies02, @betcatalog, @Marc Kearney, and @MuineBheag, are you guys planning to bet on this weekend of action?

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Can't help it as a Dutchmen so I have to bet on Eredivisie too :p

For this round I fancy AZ +1.50 @1.90 against PSV real hard. PSV lost several good players (Propper, Moreno, Guardado, Willems) and maybe others are going as well, but probably not before the season opener. The effect of these losses? Well I simply refer to the Osijek matches (0-1 and 1-0 losses). No creativity, problems scoring goals (as was the problem in prep matches). Against AZ, who did well to keep the team in tact, in the season opener I think the handicap is too big. I forsee a draw here or a narrow loss for AZ, but I can't imagine they will loose with 2+ goals. Don't forget that the preparation of AZ was decent/good (wins against Udinese, Brugge, Malaga and Cambuur / loss against Panathinaikos).

I also fancy Ajax -1 @1.70 against Heracles. I did see a good Ajax for moments against both Nice mathces. Strong play, pressure, threats, chances etc. Furthermore most of the preparation opponents were decent/good teams. Weder Bremen (L), Genk (D), PAOK (W), Lyon (L), Hull (D). Ajax is definately ready for this first match (although they still want re-inforcements in defending department, which they are working on due the fact they signed a defender today). Heracles on the other hand is definately not ready for this match up. All 'serious' matches in preparation were lost (Viktoria Koln [Regionalliga], Granada, Emmen), while the team had a dramatic performance against Emmen. Ajax shall not slip 3 points here. I expect them to win easy, but because of the fact it's (1) a season opener, (2) away, (3) still dealing with the news around Nouri I can't take the -1.25+ AH available.

This is all for this round.

Simeon Borisof likes this

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At least both odds are dropping. AZ +1.50 is @1.71 average now. Thats 19 cents drop. Main line is now +1.25. Ajax -1.00 @1.72 also had a line change to -1.25 @1.74. -1.00 is not really available anymore.

Most of the times this means I was on the good side of the analysis. No matter the exact outcome. Odds were simply too high. I'm already happy!

 

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PSV - AZ 3:2. What a weird match. All in all I think PSV was the better team here (though both teams alternated for dominace/control/threats every 10-15 minutes), but it really could have been 3-0, 0-3, 2-2 etc. Both teams missed a lot of chances. Most remarkable feat; PSV did play 2 levels above the Osijek matches. So that is something to keep in mind in the fortcoming matches. Anyhow, I'm happy. Up to Heracles Ajax!

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