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maxi

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Not sure where to put this, ATR or here but as I like to follow slapdash I thought I would put it here to save me switching pages:)

\

Although I trade mainly nowadays, what got me into trading was the original "dobbing" bets of backing then laying in play for half the SP to either double your money or lose it. A more riskier scenario is to back SP then lay @20% of the SP for x4 profit. ie: [email protected] then [email protected] in play to win 4 points. I have been paper trading a system since 24th may which has produced 69.2 profit, full stats:

P+L    69.20
WON    54
LOST    136
R.O.I    136.42%
S/R    28.42%
S/R DAYS    55.74%

 

 

Any decent software linked to excel could be used (gruss, MF, Cymatic, Bet Angel) or just simply trade the ladders. I personally use gruss for this as I am used to their codes.

All selections below MUST BE 6.00 or greater, essentially because 1/5 of 6.00 for example is 1.20 so anything smaller is pointless.

So, to recap Back at SP at 6.00 or greater to lay in running at 20% of price eg: back [email protected]  lay [email protected] win$80 .

 

Todays bets (must be over 6.00sp for records sake):

14:35  Stratford  King Alfonso
16:35  Galway  Western Boy
16:35  Galway  Fergall
16:35  Galway  Swamp Fox
17:20  Goodwood Yorkshiredebut
17:20  Goodwood Fethiye Boy

Apologies for runners being in same race but it is extremely rare. Thanks.

 

PS: I'll add a simple calculator spreadsheet as soon as I figure out how to attach one..lol.

 

edit: I have uploaded a quick spreadsheet calculator. Just put your odds and stake in A2 and B2 and your required % in A5 and C2 and D2 should calculate price and stake required. You can change commission as required. Hope it helps :D . The other columns E2:L2 are just outcomes. There is a small macro to evaluate nearest betfair price.

http://s000.tinyupload.com/index.php?file_id=21720887152431070049

results from yesterday 1 from 4 so:

P+L    70.00
WON    55
LOST    139
R.O.I    136.08%
S/R    28.35%
S/R DAYS    56.45%

 

 

 

Edited by maxi
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03/08/17

14:35  Stratford  King Alfonso 6.62 4.6 L
16:35  Galway  Western Boy 19.00 14.5 L
16:35  Galway  Fergall 39.63 32.00 L
16:35  Galway  Swamp Fox 12.5 1.12 W 3.8
17:20  Goodwood Yorkshiredebut 22.00 12.5 L
17:20  Goodwood Fethiye NR

P+L    69.80
WON    56
LOST    143
R.O.I    135.08%
S/R    28.14%
S/R DAYS    55.56%

 

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04/08/17

Scarlet Dragon    GOO    1:50
Heroes Or Ghosts    BAN    2:35
Zhui Feng    GOO    3:00
Masham Star    GOO    3:00
First Selection    GOO    3:00
Take Cover    GOO    3:35
Toe To Toe    BAN    4:50
Stormey    GAL    5:10
September Issue    BAT    6:05
Moonmeister    GAL    6:50
Heartstone    BAT    8:10
Nuala Tagula    MUS    8:50

 

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Scarlet Dragon    GOO    1:50    6.78    2.5    LOST    
Heroes Or Ghosts    BAN    2:35    6.00    5    LOST    
Zhui Feng    GOO    3:00    16.19    7.4    LOST    
Masham Star    GOO    3:00    17.02    3.5    LOST    
First Selection    GOO    3:00    27.44    24    LOST    
Take Cover    GOO    3:35    12.07    11    LOST    
Toe To Toe    BAN    4:50    11.21    1.68    WON    3.8
Stormey    GAL    5:10    20.16    3.3    WON    3.8
September Issue    BAT    6:05    4.90    1.01    NB    
Moonmeister    GAL    6:50    27.00    21    LOST    
Heartstone    BAT    8:10    13.50    1.47    WON    3.8
Nuala Tagula    MUS    8:50    3.65    1.25    NB

From Start of Thread 3rd Aug        
P+L    4.20    
WON    4.00    
LOST    11.00    
R.O.I    128.00%    
S/R    26.67%    
S/R DAYS    50.00%    

 

From 24thMay    
P+L    74.20
WON    59
LOST    150
R.O.I    135.50%
S/R    28.23%
S/R DAYS    56.25%

Just missed out with Masham Star, needed 3.4...got 3.5.

Rasheeq    GOO    1:50
Arch Villain    GOO    2:25
Jimmy Two Times    GAL    3:05
Miningrocks    THI    3:25
Mr Lupton    DON    3:55
Throckley    THI    4:00
Salateen    NMK    4:25
Just Hiss    DON    4:30
Loving Your Work    LIN    6:15
Alpha Delphini    HAM    7:30

Edited by maxi
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Just noticed the rules pertaining selections in unedited post so here we go:

Rasheeq    GOO    1:50
Arch Villain    GOO    2:25
Jimmy Two Times    GAL    3:05
Miningrocks    THI    3:25
Mr Lupton    DON    3:55
Throckley    THI    4:00
Salateen    NMK    4:25
Just Hiss    DON    4:30
Loving Your Work    LIN    6:15
Alpha Delphini    HAM    7:30

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I'll use a bank of 500 points using a 1/100th of the bank compounding aggressively. As such, the stake will always be the highest stake achieved.So with +4.2pts achieved we stand at:

BANK    521.00
P+L    21.00
NEXT STAKE    5.21

:ok

 

Edited by maxi
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Rasheeq    GOO    1:50    11.94    19    LOST    -1
Arch Villain    GOO    2:25              NR    
Jimmy Two Times    GAL    3:05    31.16    30    LOST    -1
Miningrocks    THI    3:25    6.60    5.7    LOST    -1
Mr Lupton    DON    3:55    2.82    2.26    NB    
Throckley    THI    4:00    16.87    11    LOST    -1
Salateen    NMK    4:25    4.30    1.25    NB    
Just Hiss    DON    4:30    10.50    6.6    LOST    -1
Loving Your Work    LIN    6:15    7.43    4    LOST    -1
Alpha Delphini    HAM    7:30    3.06    1.3    NB    

From Start of Thread 3rd Aug        
P+L    -1.80    
WON    4.00    
LOST    17.00    
R.O.I    91.43%    
S/R    19.05%    
S/R DAYS    33.33%    
BANK    489.74    
P+L    -10.26    
NEXT STAKE    5.21

From 24thMay    
P+L    68.20
WON    59
LOST    156
R.O.I    131.72%
S/R    27.44%
S/R DAYS    55.38%

 

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Breakable    CHS    3:40    5.58    1.01    NB    
Tithonus    GAL    3:55    9.13    6.2    LOST    -1
Mr Lupton    CHS    4:15              NR    

From Start of Thread 3rd Aug        
P+L    -2.80    
WON    4.00    
LOST    18.00    
R.O.I    87.27%    
S/R    18.18%    
S/R DAYS    25.00%    
BANK    484.53    
P+L    -15.47    
NEXT STAKE    5.21    

 

From 24thMay    
P+L    67.20
WON    59
LOST    157
R.O.I    131.11%
S/R    27.31%
S/R DAYS    54.55%

http://s000.tinyupload.com/index.php?file_id=21720887152431070049

 

Edited by maxi
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Merry Banter    RIP    5:15    12.50    3.2    LOST    -1
Harome    RIP    5:15    25.27    3    WON    3.8
Tonis A Star    CRL    5:30    8.00    5    LOST    -1
Ripoll    WDR    6:15    4.55    2.02    NB    

From Start of Thread 3rd Aug        
P+L    -1.00    
WON    5.00    
LOST    20.00    
R.O.I    96.00%    
S/R    20.00%    
S/R DAYS    40.00%    
BANK    493.91    
P+L    -6.09    
NEXT STAKE    5.21    

From 24thMay    
P+L    69.00
WON    60
LOST    159
R.O.I    131.51%
S/R    27.40%
S/R DAYS    55.22%

http://s000.tinyupload.com/index.php?file_id=21720887152431070049


 

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Mango Chutney    CAT    4:15    3.50    2.88    NB
Childesplay    LEI    4:30    3.62    1.07    NB
Curious Fox    NOT    6:35    4.27    5.3    NB
Heartstone    CFD    7:20    30.35    20    LOST

From Start of Thread 3rd Aug        
P+L    -2.00    
WON    5.00    
LOST    21.00    
R.O.I    92.31%    
S/R    19.23%    
S/R DAYS    33.33%    
BANK    488.70    
P+L    -11.30    
NEXT STAKE    5.21    

From 24thMay    
P+L    68.00
WON    60
LOST    160
R.O.I    130.91%
S/R    27.27%
S/R DAYS    54.41%

 

spreadsheet calculator

http://s000.tinyupload.com/index.php?file_id=21720887152431070049

 

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Wiley Post    BRI    2:30              NR    
Chickenfortea    HAY    2:50    7.20    5.2    LOST    -1
Southern Belle    HAY    3:50    14.27    8.2    LOST    -1
Iseemist    HAY    3:50    32.00    11.5    LOST    -1
Frank Bridge    SAN    7:45    3.62    3.05    NB    
Whiteout    LEO    7:50    6.80    1.7    LOST    -1
Symbolic Star    NCS    8:00    11.48    8.2    LOST    -1

From Start of Thread 3rd Aug        
P+L    -7.00    
WON    5.00    
LOST    26.00    
R.O.I    77.42%    
S/R    16.13%    
S/R DAYS    28.57%    
BANK    462.65    
P+L    -37.35    
NEXT STAKE    5.21    

From 24thMay    
P+L    63.00
WON    60
LOST    165
R.O.I    128.00%
S/R    26.67%
S/R DAYS    53.62%

Hitting a bad patch atm...well let's hope it is only a bad patch..lol.:eek

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11/08/17

Tawdeea    MUS    4:00 NR
Little Miss Kodi    BRI    4:40 NR

 


12/08/17

Pipers Note    ASC    1:05
Euchen Glen    ASC    1:40
Questo    RED    2:40
Breakable    ASC    2:50
Early Morning    ASC    2:50
Nicholas T    ASC    2:50
Just Hiss    HAY    3:00
Lincoln Rocks    HAY    3:35
Show Palace    HAY    5:05

 

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Pipers Note    ASC    1:05    8.60    7.6    LOST    -1
Euchen Glen    ASC    1:40    8.66    1.01    WON    3.8
Questo    RED    2:40    14.00    2.22    WON    3.8
Breakable    ASC    2:50    7.14    5.5    LOST    -1
Early Morning    ASC    2:50    8.67    6.4    LOST    -1
Nicholas T    ASC    2:50    7.89    3.15    LOST    -1
Just Hiss    HAY    3:00    8.85    9    LOST    -1
Lincoln Rocks    HAY    3:35    10.36    5.6    LOST    -1
Show Palace    HAY    5:05    6.00    1.01    WON    3.8

From Start of Thread 3rd Aug        
P+L    -1.60    
WON    8.00    
LOST    32.00    
R.O.I    96.00%    
S/R    20.00%    
S/R DAYS    37.50%    
BANK    490.78    
P+L    -9.22    
NEXT STAKE    5.21    

From 24thMay    
P+L    68.40
WON    63
LOST    171
R.O.I    129.23%
S/R    26.92%
S/R DAYS    54.29%

 

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13/08/17
Mr Lupton    CUR    4:10    9.60    7    LOST    -1
Wiley Post    WDR    4:35    3.75    2.2    NB    
14/08/17
Little Miss Kodi    WOL    7:50    33.25    22    LOST    -1
A Sure Welcome    WOL    8:20    5.20    1.31    NB    

From Start of Thread 3rd Aug        
P+L    -3.60    
WON    8.00    
LOST    34.00    
R.O.I    91.43%    
S/R    19.05%    
S/R DAYS    30.00%    
BANK    480.36    
P+L    -19.64    
NEXT STAKE    5.21   

 

Couldn't get yesterdays up in time..just as well..:eek

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Fastnet Spin    FFO    2:15    3.15    1.25    NB    
Gracious John    NOT    6:55    7.29    4    LOST    -1
Masham Star    CFD    7:10    6.40    1.31    LOST    -1

From Start of Thread 3rd Aug        
P+L    -5.60    
WON    8.00    
LOST    37.00    
R.O.I    87.56%    
S/R    17.78%    
S/R DAYS    27.27%    
BANK    464.73    
P+L    -35.27    
NEXT STAKE    5.21    

 

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16/08/17

Fethiye Boy    SAL    2:50
Knight Of Noir    NAB    3:30
Quothquan    SAL    4:20
Hurricane Hollow    BEV    5:15
Itshard To No    BAN    6:20
Lomis Law    GOW    7:30
Callaghan    KEM    9:10

 

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6/08/17
Fethiye Boy    SAL    2:50    12.44    7.4    LOST    -1
Knight Of Noir    NAB    3:30              NR    
Quothquan    SAL    4:20              NR    
Hurricane Hollow    BEV    5:15              NR    
Itshard To No    BAN    6:20              NR    
Lomis Law    GOW    7:30    6.15    3    LOST    -1
Callaghan    KEM    9:10    50.00    50    LOST    -1
17/08/17
Danandy    FON    3:00    7.54    4    LOST    -1
Bobble Emerald    FON    4:30    7.00    3.35    LOST    -1
Prouts Pub    FON    4:30    13.21    12.5    LOST    -1

From Start of Thread 3rd Aug        
P+L    -11.60    
WON    8.00    
LOST    42.00    
R.O.I    76.80%    
S/R    16.00%    
S/R DAYS    23.08%    
BANK    438.68    
P+L    -61.32    
NEXT STAKE    5.21   

Well, the last few days of results means it's a long way back for quite some time. Let's hope for better days.:eek

Edited by maxi
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Haqeeba    DUN    3:40              NR    
Nuala Tagula    CAT    7:40    6.00    5.7    LOST    -1
Someone Exciting    CAT    8:10    12.38    1.3    WON    3.8

From Start of Thread 3rd Aug        
P+L    -8.80    
WON    9.00    
LOST    43.00    
R.O.I    83.08%    
S/R    17.31%    
S/R DAYS    28.57%    
BANK    453.27    
P+L    -46.73    
NEXT STAKE    5.21    

 

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