Mexico > Primera Division > Apertura 2017

[Marc Kearney]

Round 3
05.08. 10:00	Monarcas	Santos Laguna
05.08. 12:00	Club Tijuana	Monterrey
06.08. 08:00	Lobos BUAP	Pachuca
06.08. 10:00	U.A.N.L.- Tigres	Queretaro
06.08. 10:06	Club Leon	Cruz Azul
06.08. 12:00	Club America	U.N.A.M.- Pumas
06.08. 12:06	Guadalajara Chivas	Necaxa
07.08. 03:00	Toluca	Atlas
07.08. 09:30	Veracruz	Puebla

[Xcout]

Queretaro FC vs Monarcas Morelia
2017,August,13 00:00

Liga MX

Queretaro FC

After a start the look promising winning Supercopa MX to America and beating them at home the team has gone the other way, loosing 0-4 in home against Lobos BUAP and then some draws, in Copa MX the team could qualify to next stage and altough thanks to the opener victory remain in the middle of the table, they could soon be facing thight situations, the team seeks to be balance, but their performance have not  seen, still last week draw against Tigres says good things might come.

Monarcas Morelia

If Monarcas season is not as bright as it seems is because three consecutive 1-1 matches have not let them collect the points they deserve with regards of the created scoring chances. Unbeaten this season the team just need his scorer Raul Ruidiaz, to do just that score the needed goals to reflect in points what they have been doing in the field.

Prediction

This will not be an easy match for either team, but Morelia has showed more offensive power at least in creating the chances than Queretaro, who have the responsability as they are in home, but will more careful, therefore the value is on the level handicap, towards the away team.

Monarcas Morelia 0AH with 6 units @ 2.55 at Unibet

 

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Result:

Queretaro 2 -1 Monarcas Morelia

-6 units

Until minute 80 Monarcas was winning 0-1, but the constant arrivals of Queretaro finally provide them with goals, in a corner kick and a free kick got two goals to claim the victory.

[Xcout]

Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna
2017,September 17, 00:00
Liga MX

Cruz Azul
A rather irregular tournament, still the team remains unbeaten with 6 draws in 8 matches, but counting Liga MX and Copa MX, the team has 16 matches unbeaten. In last three matches at home, the team has claimed two victories, both by 2-1 against Atlas and Tigres, and draw 1-1 with Monterrey.

The team has the second best defence of Liga MX, still on the offensive side, the team needs to improve on this aspect if they aspire to be able to qualify to playoffs.

Santos Laguna
With only one victory in eight matches but thanks to five draws the team is not on the bottom of the league, but very close to it.  But in the last five the team has just one defeat, on Copa MX, 1-0 to Guadalajara. On Liga MX the team has three matches without defeat, but just one victory.

Despite their irregularity, the team was able to achieve qualification to Copa MX round of sixteen thanks to their midweek victory to FC Juarez.

Prediction
Cruz Azul should dominate the match, with the most scoring chances with them, in their favour is that Santos Laguna played on midweek, meanwhile Cruz Azul did not, so they will be rested and ready for this match, together with their rather good performance as they have not lost.

Cruz Azul with  6 units @1.91 at 5Dimes

[Xcout]

Necaxa vs Puebla    
2017,September 17,04:00
Liga MX

Necaxa

Lost the 1st position of the group in the midweek match against Monarcas Morelia, still proceed as both teams where already qualified to next stage, on Liga MX remains in 8th position, but with a rather irregular performance. After with match the team will have a double encounter with Santos Laguna, on in Copa MX and one in Liga MX both matches in Santos Laguna home. Being home for this match should propel the team for a good performance.

Puebla

Eliminated from Copa MX after a midweek defeat to a team from Ascenso MX, Atlante, which has left Puebla to focus on Liga MX, where they are on the bottom of the general table with just one victoy, an away victory 0-1 against Chivas Guadalajara, which help them break a five matches without victory, still not the team has another four matches without a victory, with just an scoreless draw against Cruz Azul as the highlight. Only in one match of the last five has the team not received at least a goal, in the match against Guadalajara.

Prediction

Necaxa should bounce back to the victory in home, still this could be an uninteresting match, as the midfield could get clogged and few scoring chances. Necaxa posses more quality, but both teams seem level, and Puebla being on the bottom just made them more dangerous as they are with limit opportunities.

Necaxa -0.25 AH with 7 units @1.99 at Pinnacle

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Result:

Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Santos Laguna

+5.46 units

Necaxa 1 - 1 Puebla

-3.5 units

[Xcout]

Toluca vs Queretaro

2017,September 17 19:00

Liga MX

Toluca

Seeking to return to the top of the table as the results of the round have send them to 7th position, with only one defeat, the team has not that pressure of being unbeaten, still at home they are with three victories and one draw. In last five they only miss with a scoreless draw against Necaxa, besides that victories.

Good defending and playmaking style, the only dark mark in their recent form is the defeat at Monterrey by 4-1, besides that scoreless draw on away. But in home two victories to continue with a great step in Copa Mx and Liga Mx.

Queretaro

From a promision beggining claiming Supercopa MX, to being winless in the last six, with two home defeats, they even where almost eliminated from Copa MX, as they draw with Cimarrones Sonora from Ascenso MX 2-2 and had to wait for other results in order to be in the knockout stage of this edition, a year ago the team won the cup.

Despite this, on away the team has a streak of 8 matches unbeaten, which began precisely here in Toluca with a 1-2 victory last tournament, but in last five only draws obtained, sometimes they are ahead, once they came from being, where it is not a scoreless draw.

The only bright side is that they are able to score and this might be the match to go back to victory, but maybe next one in the knockout stage of Copa MX, or when they return home, but not this match.

Prediction

Toluca should claim a victory as their recent form points towards it, and would like to avenge Queretaro for beating them here, still Queretaro will not make it an easy feat, but Toluca's coach Cristante for sure has a great tactic to keep them in control.

Toluca with  8 units @ 1.95 at Tempobet

[TOTTI3]

Chivas vs Lobos = 1 (1.72) stake 7/10


Chivas position 12° points 9
Lobos position 10° points 11


Preview:
Chivas:
absent: Jair Pereira (defender 8/1).
Lobos:
absent: L. Alvarez (goalkeeper 2/0);
in doubt: L.Quinones (striker 5/1);
suspended: J.Quinones (striker 7/6).


Chivas doubled the last home game against Pumas with a score of 1-1 while Lobos wins home against Veracruz with a score of 0-1. Both teams are almost cluttered but the home team needs victory to get away from the relegation zone.The best home team results confirm the downward sign 1 many books.

 

[TOTTI3]

LOBOS BUAP vs Club Leon = over (1.50) stake 10/10


Lobos BUAP position 9°  points 14
Club Leon position 6° points 16


Preview:
Lobos:
injured: Alvarez (goalkeeper 2/0); L.Quinones (5/1 striker).
Club Leon:
injured: Piris (defender 1/0);
in doubt: Burdisso (defender 0/0); Ceramic (3/0 striker).

The Lobos has a score in the home of w1-d1-l2 goals scored 8 goals scored 10 while club Leon has a score off w3-d0-l1 goal goal 7 goals scored 4. Both teams play a very offensive kick leaving very often the defense of the opposing teams.The home team scored 18 goals with 17 in 10 games with an average of 3.5 goals per game while the away team in the last 10 games scored 16 goals and scored 15 goals with an average of 3.1 goals per game. So in the end I think it's a lot of goals, seeing the progress of the two teams.

 

 

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Result:

Toluca 3-2 Queretaro

+7.6 Units

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Toluca
Despite the late goal defeat at home against America, the team remains the top part of the table, it was a head defeat as it meant losing the unbeaten status at home, but also that liberates some pressure, moreover a streak of five matches without defeat, taking four victories in that stretch, which they would seek to return to.

For the FIFA International Round, the team did not had any callup and focus on training, contrary to other teams that even went abroad to play friendlies.

At home the team has won 5 or 7 matches, with only one draw and one defeat. Despite being on the team with more passes on attack area, and sending the most ball inside the box, the team is not one of the most effective.

Lobos BUAP
With up and downs, the team remains in the mid table, with two away victories that allowed them not to be near relegation issues, but that could change very quickly as they obtain those victories against this season bottom teams of the league, Chivas and Veracruz, and has not fare well against more powerful opposition, still away provide an offensive playmaking.

Thanks to those two away victories his away performance improves in a great way, but consider that they came from a negative streak if five matches without victories, and then after both victories that could signal an improvement, they go and lost 0-3 against Leon.

Important absences for this match, as DF Francisco Rodriguez is suspended, DF Luis Advindacula and MF Pedro Aquino are with Peru on international duty. In the bright side, Luis Quiñones return to the team, but after being separated due to behaviour, so the scorer leader of the team is back, and the team expect him to produce soon, as that would enable the team to remain in Liga MX.

Prediction
A very attractive match as both teams have been involve in matches with over 2.5 goals in four of last five, Toluca defense provokes a lot of fouls and Lobos BUAP has the most expelled players, but also is the team with more shoots made and one of the leading scoring team in Liga MX, despite not having Luis Quiñones in several matches. The performance of Lobos BUAP could improve but not on this match, as they have important absences and is to see how the players received Luis Quiñones in the match dynamic and if the is up to the task or will need time to perform as well as in the start of the league. Toluca better form should propel them to the victory.

Toluca with 8 units @ 1.87 at Marathonbet

Over 2.5 goals with 4 units @ 1.83 at Pinnacle

Edited October 9, 2017 by Xcout

[TOTTI3]

Toluca vs Lobos = over (1.60) stake 8/10


Toluca position 5° point 19
Lobos position 9° points 14


Preview:
Toluca:
injured: Hauche (attacker 6/2); Talavera (goalkeeper 2/0).
Lobos:
injured: Alvarez (goalkeeper 2/0);
absent for international commitments: Advincula (defender 11/2); Aquino (midfielder 9/0).

The Toluca has a score in the home of w5-d1-l1 goals scored 14 goals scored 9 while the Lobos has a score outside of home w3-d1-l2 goals scored 10 goals 7.
The home team is playing a good football especially in their stadium providing excellent performance with an average of 2 goals per game, the last three games are over and over again. The visiting team plays a counter attack on the pitch and may have to leave the attack on it. In the end, these optoid premises were considered for the over-falling play on many books.

 

[Xcout]

Result:

Toluca 3-1 Lobos BUAP

+6.96 units

4 goals

+3.32 units

[Xcout]

Veracruz vs Toluca

2017, November 6, 02:15 hrs

Liga MX

 

Veracruz 

Have an streak of 5 matches without victory, with just one draw against Tijuana. In the last two the team was able to score but their rivals score plenty more to hand them defeats. 

The team has had a bad season, not only they could be in the last position of the league, they are the last place of the relegation table and every match for them is almost a final, they are 7 points behind Queretaro, and only having a great tournament next season is that they might avoid being relegated.

Coach Cardozo, which is an idol in Toluca for his time as a player there, have won the three times he has encounter them, each on with a different team (Queretaro, Jaguares Chiapas, Puebla).

Toluca 

A good start of the season have them near qualification zone for playoffs, despite that they have encounter a negative streak of four matches without victory, three of them in Liga MX, with a home match the next round, where they have a good form, the team encounters this match in order to be in a  better position for that round and achieve qualification to playoffs.

With a streak of seven away matches with out victory, the team shows a clear difference from last season, where they were an away strong side.

This is the last chance for Toluca to avoid leaving  the season without an away victory

Prediction

The quality of Toluca should impose in this match, both teams would like to avoid losing here and might be a very tense match. Still the more obligated due to relegation is Veracruz and as time proceed the might leave open spaces that Toluca should take advantage of them.

Toluca with 6 units@2.19 at Pinnacle

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Result:

Veracruz 0-1 Toluca

7.14 units

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Season Result: 

Balance: +20.98 units  

Win Rate: 71.42% (5 of 7 bets)