Brazil Serie A & B > Jul 28th - 31st

[StevieDay1983]

[StevieDay1983]

The Brazilian football betting chat is only gaining momentum and it's great to see. Here are the latest odds and ratings for this coming weekend. What do you guys reckon? @sandrostocco, @gogetta, @alexbolt84, and @AndreBR. Also, welcome back @thegeneral55!

To answer your question in the previous thread, to learn more about the ELO ratings, check out this section...

https://forum.punterslounge.com/forum/234-elo-ratings-discussion/

[Bagzi]

Botafogo RJ - São Paulo

21:00CET

Undoubtedly Botafogo is having a great time, Jair Ventura has his team in hand, getting success in every kind of change he makes in the team, and São Paulo starting a job in full, with new coach and new players. Another important factor that I have to take into account is the numbers, Botafogo has one of the best defenses of the competition, despite playing a lot counter attack and giving the ball to his opponent, the club only conceded 14 goals, One goal per game. On the other side we have São Paulo being the worst visitor, tricolor gotonly 1 point playing as a guest, and lost all other games. And lastly, the wear and tear of the week, Sao Paulo takes advantage in only one item for that match, and the physical part is this question, since the tricolor had every week of rest while Botafogo had a busy shedule and a huge Mid-week wear. Despite the physical fact, Sao Paulo has shown no danger to its opponents outside of Morumbi, and Botafogo takes a very cautious posture, giving the ball to his opponent and being fatal against attacks. I hope this will be a game in which Sao Paulo will have possession of and in the desperation to get the result will give what Botafogo most like, the one against attack and then I see Botafogo as a favorite for the match.

Botafogo RJ -0.25 @2.16 sbobet 4/10

[sandrostocco]

Evento: Campeonato Brasileiro
Jogo: Botafogo vs Sao Paulo
Data/Horário: 29/07 - 16:00hs BRL
Aposta: Botafogo DNB
Odds Bet365: @1,72
Unidades: 1

Evento: Campeonato Brasileiro
Jogo: Palmeiras vs Avai 
Data/Horário: 29/07 - 19:00hs BRL
Aposta: Avai Handicap +1,5
Odds Bet365: @2,05
Unidades: 0,5

Evento: Campeonato Brasileiro
Jogo: Corinthians vs Flamengo 
Data/Horário: 30/07 - 16:00hs BRL
Aposta: Corinthians ML
Odds Bet365: @2,15
Unidades: 2

Evento: Campeonato Brasileiro
Jogo: Bahia vs Sport 
Data/Horário: 30/07 - 16:00hs BRL
Aposta: Sport Handicap +0,5
Odds Bet365: @2,30
Unidades: 2

[Bagzi]

Chapecoense SC - Atletico GO

16:00CET

For this game we have a very irregular team that is the case of Chape, and another team with no consistency at all and with only one regularity, which is to suffer negative results. The fragility of the defenses leads me to believe in a huge chance of goals for this duel, in addition to the need to win both teams, Atletico GO has nothing more to lose, the team has to risk, a point away from home no longer Enough and the team tends to be aggressive even with all its limitations, in contrast Chape has the budget of the Condá Arena and wants to maintain the sequence of victories, will also launch the attack and seek its result in view that a victory against The flashlight is must. Adding the goals taken from both defenses we have a number of 57 goals conceded (28 Chapecoense, 29 Atlético GO), having here the worst defense and the 3rd worst defense, which makes me very confident with a match full of goals and why not Of both sides, since confidence and solidity is not the best for the defenses.

Chapecoense SC ML@1.54 sbobet 3/10

[Bagzi]

Gremio - Santos

21:00CET

6 points game and two teams that are at the top of the championship. Santos despite his efficiency in the Village and even when he sends his games in Pacaembu, he can not keep the good performances out of case, in contrast to the Grêmio emerges as always a great client, making the Arena his cauldron and there is where the Grêimo gets his best results. Without Renato and without Vechio the Santos loses a lot in the exit of ball and happens to depend exclusively on Lucas Lima, already the Grêmio loses only Michel that gives place to Maicon and Barrios that gives place to Pedro Rocha that has entered and account of the message. Due to all the circumstances for the match, I see an advantage on the Gremista side and a win for the tricolor because Corinthians have a tricky game against Flamengo and Grêmio can reduce to 5 points the difference in case of victory and Grêmio will not let this opportunity to pass.

Gremio ML @1.64 sbobet 3/10

[AndreBR]

Total: -1,69 Unit
-----------------------------

Day 31-07

Vasco x Atlético-PR

• Btts @2.05 (2 Unit)

Quote

Likes Lineups:

Vasco: M. Silva; Gilberton, Jomar, Rafael Marques, Ramon; Jean, Bruno Paulista, Guilherme Costa, Matheus Pet, Paulinho; Paulo Vitor (Thalles)

Atlético-PR: Weverton; Cascardo, Paulo André, Wanderson, Sidcley; Esteban Pavez, Matheus Rossetto, Lucho González; Nikão, Lucas Fernandes (Gedoz) and Ribamar (Pablo)

Game scheduled for Raulino de Oliveira, since San Januário is still interdicted by court order.

Vasco comes from an excellent win away from home against the athletic-mg in the Garden. Milton Mendes surprised and put the boys from the base where they decided and that, truth be told, these players have been having a job since the beginning of the year to be launched in the professionals and were not escalated out of sheer desperation. True enough the hill boys have plenty of potential, but they are young and of course are liable to wobble like any boy early in his career. Nene, who until yesterday was the team's main star, was not even related. Escudero who started game against the Rooster, should start in the bank. And the insecure Jomar completes today with Rafael Marques, because Paulão, Breno and Anderson Martins still can not play.

The CAP comes from an elimination in the cup of Brazil before the team. With a 4x0 in the back, it was very difficult to reverse the situation before the structured team gaucho and with that were spared even some players. Thiago heleno has not played the game and yet he will not have much of a chance on the game. Octavio goes on advanced negotiation with Bordaux and also does not play. Thus, reinforcement Esteban Pavez should start playing. These are difficulties that CAP has been going through and the new technician Fabiano Soares, who has already been challenged, needs to change the tire with the car in motion.

Despite all the difficulties in facing the CAP team, I still see potential in the team to leave with a positive result here. Of course Vasco is favorite, but he is a team with many young people and this often ends up paying a price. In addition, the defense of Vasco has not been passing confidence and especially when Jomar plays. I think we can have a frank game here in front of a CAP that needs to do everything to get away from Z4 against a Vasco who knows that today is a fundamental match, a direct confrontation for their pretensions where even being in a comfortable situation at the table, Knows that the main objective is to get away from the relegation zone to the maximum.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Provaveis Escalações:

Vasco: M. Silva; Gilberton, Jomar, Rafael Marques, Ramon; Jean, Bruno Paulista, Guilherme Costa, Matheus Pet, Paulinho; Paulo Vitor (Thalles)

Atlético-PR: Weverton; Cascardo, Paulo André, Wanderson, Sidcley; Esteban Pavez, Matheus Rossetto, Lucho González; Nikão, Lucas Fernandes (Gedoz) e Ribamar (Pablo)

Jogo marcado para o Raulino de Oliveira, já que São Januário segue interditado por ordem judicial.

O Vasco vem de um excelente vitória jogando fora de casa diante do atlético-mg no Horto. Milton Mendes surpreendeu e colocou os garotos da base onde decidiram e que, verdade seja dita, esse jogadores vem tendo um trabalho desde do inicio do ano para serem lançados nos profissionais e não foram escalado por puro desespero. Bem verdade que os meninos da colina tem bastante potencial, mas são jovens e claro estão sujeito a oscilar como qualquer garoto no inicio de carreira. Nenê, que até ontem era principal estrela do time, nem foi relacionado. Escudero que começou jogo contra o Galo, deve começar no banco. E o inseguro Jomar completa a zaga hoje com Rafael Marques, pois o Paulão, Breno e Anderson Martins ainda não têm condições de jogo.

O CAP vem de um eliminação na copa do Brasil diante do grêmio. Com um 4x0 nas costas, era muito dificil reverter a situação diante do estruturado time gaucho e com isso foram poupados até alguns jogadores. Thiago heleno não jogou e e ainda sim não vai ter condições de jogo para o confronto de logo mais. Otávio segue em negocição avançada com o Bordaux e também não jogar. Assim, o reforço Esteban Pavez deve começar jogando. São dificuldades que o CAP vem passando e que o novo técnico Fabiano soares, que já vem sendo contestado, precisa trocar o pneu com o carro em movimento.

Apesar de todas as dificuldades em dar cara ao time do CAP, ainda vejo potencial no time em sair com resultado positivo aqui. Claro que o Vasco é favorito, mas se trta de um time com muitos jovens e isso muita das vezes acaba pagando um preço. Além disso, a defesa do Vasco ainda não vem passando confiança e principalmente quando o Jomar joga. Creio que podemos ter um jogo franco aqui diante de um CAP que precisa fazer de tudo para se afastar do Z4 contra um Vasco que sabe que hoje é uma partida fundamental, um confronto direto para suas pretensões onde mesmo estando em uma situação confortável na tabela, sabe que o principal objetivo é se afastar ao máximo da zona do rebaixamento.

 

Edited July 31, 2017 by AndreBR

[Marc Kearney]

Recommended Bet - Vasco home win

 

Vasco da Gama have been inconsistent this season with seven wins, two draws and seven defeats, but they have claimed two of those victories in the previous four matches when facing weaker opposition and also drew against third placed Santos. Forced to play behind closed doors after a massive brawl between their own fans following their 1-0 home defeat to rivals Flamengo earlier this month, they will be disadvantaged for the next few home games and need take the opportunity to grab the three points against a troubled Atletico Paranaense side.

The Parana outfit haven’t won in five matches following a good recovery from their poor start to the campaign. They have lost twice and secured three draws in that period and are having sacked manager Eduardo Baptista a couple weeks ago. They lost 2-3 at home against Gremio in the cup in midweek.

I back a home win for Vasco da Gama against the Furacao.

Currently Atletico PR are 17th on the table and this game today is massive for them but i just cant see them getting any result even though Vasco have been inconsistent.

[AndreBR]

6 hours ago, AndreBR said:

Total: -1,69 Unit
-----------------------------

Day 31-07

Vasco x Atlético-PR

• Btts @2.05 (2 Unit)

 

Day: - 2 Unit

Total: -3,69 Unit