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StevieDay1983

Premier League Predictions > Aug 11th - 13th

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Bournemouth DNB against West Bromwich looks great to me, best odds around 2.30 @ Marathonbet for instance.

I think Bournemouth has much more attacking power and potential to perform better than WBA. Players like Ibe, King, Fraser, Afobe etc. will create plenty of goalscoring chances for them. Also, McAuley is missing from the WBA starting XI which I think is a big drawback for them. Also, WBA has performed weakly in their pre-season matches, having won only 2 of those (against Walsall and Burton in July).

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17 hours ago, Judeksi said:

Bournemouth DNB against West Bromwich looks great to me, best odds around 2.30 @ Marathonbet for instance.

I think Bournemouth has much more attacking power and potential to perform better than WBA. Players like Ibe, King, Fraser, Afobe etc. will create plenty of goalscoring chances for them. Also, McAuley is missing from the WBA starting XI which I think is a big drawback for them. Also, WBA has performed weakly in their pre-season matches, having won only 2 of those (against Walsall and Burton in July).

i totally agree with you. usually tony pulis team take a while to get around to his defensive tactics and first match of the season is a testing ground. i see bournemouth being on the front foot and going for the win

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Arsenal v Leicester City

Arsenal (last season): Shkodran Mustafi (26/2 d), Per Mertesacker (1/0 d), Mesut Özil (33/8 m), Aaron Ramsey (23/1 m), Francis Coquelin (29/0 m)(all doubtful), Laurent Koscielny (33/2 d, suspended), Alexis Sánchez (38/24 f, top scorer), Gabriel Paulista (19/0 d), Jack Wilshere (2/0 m), Joel Campbell (0/0 f), Santi Cazorla (8/2 m)

Leicester City (last season): Robert Huth (33/2 d), Vicente Iborra (m, newcomer), Daniel Drinkwater (29/1 m)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

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Just some random thoughts...

Arsenal v Leicester

I have no idea how this one could pan out. Arsenal obvious favourites and they added Lacazette who is huge player but Leicester is not bad team at all and they showed they can perfrorm very well under Shakespeare. I'm not saying there will be surprise but at least away team over 0.5 @1.55 or BTTS @1.72 should be considered.

Watford v Liverpool

Again, Liverpool brought in Salah who is immense but Coutinho situation is becoming more and more serious and Watford are not bad team at all, especially with Silva at helm. Liverpool defense is shaky with Matip, Lovren and Klavan their only senior CB options. Here I'll be also looking at home team over 0.5 goals @1.62 

Chelsea v Burnley

Sure home win, will place this on acca or two. Burnley were force at Turf Moor last season with 10-3-6 record but away were terrible, with 1-4-14.

BHA v Man City

So many new additions at City, and very quality players too. They are going for the title this season and have to win games like this, home or away. City HT/FT are 1.85 and -1.5 are 1.82, those are my picks.

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On 07/08/2017 at 8:05 PM, sajtion said:

i think burnley is going to beat chelsea 3-2 because i don't think chelsea is ready for new season at all. they can't replace costa with morata. he is going to flop in premiership. they sold matic who was crucial to their defense. hazard is probably negotiating with real madrid already and the team haven't signed enough players. i am taking double chance on burnley also because they will score 

I really can't see that happening, sajtion. Burnley have sold their best defender and their main source of goals last season. I think if one team will struggle to hit the ground running it will be them. I think Chelsea will win 1-0 or 2-0. I think Conte will opt for Batshuayi up top because he's looked decent in pre-season and Morata might not be match fit yet to start. Chelsea to win to nil for me.

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On 2017-08-01 at 11:18 AM, StevieDay1983 said:

Question to anyone that's supporting or backing Manchester United this season. Is signing Matic the missing piece in the jigsaw puzzle? Are the Red Devils now the team to beat and will they begin their campaign with a solid win on the opening weekend? Is it worth backing a win to nil?

I would never back United to nil. There is certainly a positive atmosphere around the team that hasent been present since SAF left. But there is still too much incompetence in the defensive positioning.
I have watched the friendlies and its obvious that Lindelöf is not accustomed yet. Meanwhile Baily (the best centerback we have) is injured,  Rojo is injured and Smalling and Jones are still unreliable and shaky. 

Mourinho tried playing with 3 at the back against Real Madrid and it was absolutly horrible. They got back in to the game only after going back to 4-5-1.
So either he will try it again or have a hard time selecting a left back. Darmian? Blind? I would not bet on a clean sheet with that.

Im also impressed with West Hams squad this season, I think they will do well and finish at 8-4 place.

Edited by DW_United

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6 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

I really can't see that happening, sajtion. Burnley have sold their best defender and their main source of goals last season. I think if one team will struggle to hit the ground running it will be them. I think Chelsea will win 1-0 or 2-0. I think Conte will opt for Batshuayi up top because he's looked decent in pre-season and Morata might not be match fit yet to start. Chelsea to win to nil for me.

yeah i think you might be right. burnley will go down this year but conte is not happy with his team. it will be interesting to see how things will turn out for chelsea tomorrow. conte is a defensive manager and even if chelsea are still short of players they will probably get the win in end.

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18 hours ago, The Sexless Innkeeper said:

Watford v Liverpool

Again, Liverpool brought in Salah who is immense but Coutinho situation is becoming more and more serious and Watford are not bad team at all, especially with Silva at helm. Liverpool defense is shaky with Matip, Lovren and Klavan their only senior CB options. Here I'll be also looking at home team over 0.5 goals @1.62

I agree that Liverpool's defence looks shaky, but I wonder who's going to do Watford's goals when Deeney is out? I think he's a very important striker for them and Watford has struggled to score goals for all pre-season: just 5 goals in 6 matches. Ok, Andre Gray comes from Burnley to help Watford, but I don't rate him as high as Deeney, and Gray has to settle in to the squad first too.

To me it feels that Watford will suffer at least in the beginning of the season, they need Deeney back as soon as possible. Liverpool has a long list of players who can score goals from left and right, and they looked really dangerous in the pre-season. To me the bet for this match could be Liverpool with the -1,5 handicap, I think they can easily outscore Watford tonight.

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premier League

Liverpool have won their last 4 away games in Premier League.

Man City have won their last 4 games in Premier League.

Southampton have failed to score in their last 5 home games in Premier League.

You can find interesting 24 Football Betting Streaks for 12.08.2017 on this link ... Euro Football Rumours: Streaks for 12.08.2017

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2 hours ago, Judeksi said:

I agree that Liverpool's defence looks shaky, but I wonder who's going to do Watford's goals when Deeney is out? I think he's a very important striker for them and Watford has struggled to score goals for all pre-season: just 5 goals in 6 matches. Ok, Andre Gray comes from Burnley to help Watford, but I don't rate him as high as Deeney, and Gray has to settle in to the squad first too.

To me it feels that Watford will suffer at least in the beginning of the season, they need Deeney back as soon as possible. Liverpool has a long list of players who can score goals from left and right, and they looked really dangerous in the pre-season. To me the bet for this match could be Liverpool with the -1,5 handicap, I think they can easily outscore Watford tonight.

Liverpool still remain a side that I feel could slip up against the so-called "weaker" teams. Klopp certainly gets his players pumped for the big games and he loves it when teams attack but he's still not shown evidence of being able to solve puzzles teams give him when they sit back and force the Reds to apply the pressure. I had expected Klopp to do more business in the transfer window and I think the failure to do so combined with the anticipated potential loss of Coutinho could be a problem. Not saying they'll do awfully but I don't think they will finish higher than 4th unless they seriously invest in some more creativity in the middle and another centre back. It will be tough here. Watford have a very good squad this season and I'm tipping them as dark horses to finish top 10. I can't call this one. I'm going to shirk it and say a draw.

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I think that Citizens will start season with really high tempo. I am pretty sure that Brighton's defence won't hold too long. I know that a goal from home team can complicate things, but I am pretty sure that Pep will start with 100% and that City will be in front already in the first half.

PICK: Manchester City 1st half -0,5 @1,84 

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EVERTON v STOKE

 

What effect will losing Lukaku have on goal production ? I think his goals will be sorely missed this season, and Man United got a good deal. Everton are trying to make the step up into the big 4 or 5, but it is a tough nut to crack. They are strengthening, but the big teams are also adding resources. How good is Koeman, when compared to Pep, Jose and Conte ? I am not sure... 

Have Everton really bought that well ? It remains to be seen, but it feels similar to van Gaal's time at United, when many average/good players were bought. At the level Everton wish to get to, you need world class players. They have added very good depth to the squad, but I am not sure they have the quality to beat the top teams. Everton, with many new arrivals will take time to get going. They may struggle for goals for the 1st month of the season. 

There has been a clear out at SToke, and I think they will battle this season. Goals hard to come by, especially on the road. What is Mark Hughes's plan ? I just don't see an open goal feast here, in what will probably be a tight game. 

 

I like the NO to both to score here at odds of 1.9

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2 hours ago, DW_United said:

I Agree, too many question marks lying over Liverpool. I found 2.0 for Watford +1. Placed a bet with medium stakes. I think there is fair value as I dont think Liverpool will win with more than 1 goal

Left it bloody late didn't they! :lol

Still, will take that as an early kick-off win!

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Hmm...

Everton has drawn their last 4 season's opening match

Stoke 6 consecutive under 2.5 from their last 6 season's opening match

Unclear what impact will Rooney has on the Everton but considering Stoke's dodgy performance, I am inclined towards the statistics as above and pick under 2.5 for this match

 

Edited by mrclubbie

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26 minutes ago, StevieDay1983 said:

Left it bloody late didn't they! :lol

Still, will take that as an early kick-off win!

Didnt see the game. But looks like another crazy one. What fantastic start of the league!
I was content with getting my monet back at 2-3, still felt like a value bet. But that late equaliser made the day

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On 07/08/2017 at 8:05 PM, sajtion said:

i think burnley is going to beat chelsea 3-2 because i don't think chelsea is ready for new season at all. they can't replace costa with morata. he is going to flop in premiership. they sold matic who was crucial to their defense. hazard is probably negotiating with real madrid already and the team haven't signed enough players. i am taking double chance on burnley also because they will score 

 

On 11/08/2017 at 2:39 PM, StevieDay1983 said:

I really can't see that happening, sajtion. Burnley have sold their best defender and their main source of goals last season. I think if one team will struggle to hit the ground running it will be them. I think Chelsea will win 1-0 or 2-0. I think Conte will opt for Batshuayi up top because he's looked decent in pre-season and Morata might not be match fit yet to start. Chelsea to win to nil for me.

 

happened exactly like i thought it would

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Is anybody else tempted by Newcastle today?
I think Totenham might do a weak season this year and can end up somewhere around the middle of the table.
They will have a weak spot at the wings today, with Walker sold to City and Trippier and Rose out.
Can Newcastle exploit it? Im thinking about Newcastle (Asian) +0,5 (2.35) or DNB 4.1 with low stakes.

Edit: Looks like Kyle Walker-Peters and Ben Davies are going to play as fullback. It will be intresting to see if they can handle Atsu/Perez/Gayle

Edited by DW_United

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i think benitez is a good manager and newcastle are a good team. This will be a interesting game, maybe will be similar to the man city game, only i think newcastle can trouble spurs more than Brighton did city.

harry kane to score.

over 2.5

spurs nick it

 

 

 

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    • No upsets on the main stage today, but I'm surprised how poor Federer is this week. Saving energy?
    • 1745 royal ascot. or is it ascot heath?  1pt win count octave
    • Ascot 5.20 Dreamfield @ 5/2 Bet365
    • England vs Panama The result in the Belgium versus Tunisia game means that if England win against Panama in this 1pm BST kick-off this Sunday at the Nizhny Novgorod Stadium in Nizhny Novgorod then it will put themselves and Belgium into the last 16. It will also eliminate both Tunisia and Panama. England were far from at their best in their opening 2-1 win against Tunisia but a few positives came from the game. Harry Kane showed that he can score goals on the big stage. The England players showed they could rise above an injustice such as the penalty that never was when Kane was powerslammed to the ground in the box. It also showed the fight within this England side that they kept going until the bitter end. Panama were defensively resolute for the first 45 minutes of their World Cup campaign in their opener with Belgium. Sadly, the second 45 minutes will likely be a half they will want to forget. The 3-0 score-line actually flattering them in the end with the amount of chances Belgium had. It does not bode well for this game where England showed in the first 20 minutes against Tunisia just how dangerous they are going forward. There are rumours circulating within the English media that Marcus Rashford will start up top with Kane. That would be a bold move but I think it's necessary. Panama will have only defence on their minds. They are just happy to be at this tournament. Qualification to the 2nd Round is not even within their trail of thought so 11 players behind the ball in the final third will be a dangerous but likely strategy for the CONCACAF side. I'm going to have to back a dominant England win here. England haven't really put teams to the sword properly under Gareth Southgate. During qualification for this tournament, their biggest wins were 3-0 against Scotland and 4-0 against Malta. Even in that Malta game three of the goals came in the final 5 minutes. The result here will depend on how England approach the game. If they go full throttle then it could be 4-0 or 5-0. However, it's likely Southgate will be reluctant to see his players use more energy than necessary in a game they probably see as a given. Panama are no Iceland. Panama are far worse. I think England will look to get an early goal or two then sit back and play keep ball. Save the energy levels for the Belgium game and beyond. I wouldn't be surprised if England only win this 1-0 or 2-0. I certainly can't see them conceding though. England to win to nil @ 1.67 with BetStars Marcus Rashford Anytime Scorer @ 2.33 with UniBet
    • 15.40 Ascot North Wind 80/1 Bet365 each-way ty
    • South Korea vs Mexico The Mexicans have a lightweight team like the Koreans, but I think the Osório team's position is more aggressive, very different from what it was against the German national team. Koreans need the positive result, an hour will have to give way. Even if it is closed for a certain time, Mexico has the resources to wrap up this defense of South Korea that is not the best. I believe in at least two goals for the Mexican team in the match. Mexico Over 1.5 @1.98  (NetBet) - unit: 1  
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