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StevieDay1983

Premier League Predictions > Aug 11th - 13th

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Bournemouth DNB against West Bromwich looks great to me, best odds around 2.30 @ Marathonbet for instance.

I think Bournemouth has much more attacking power and potential to perform better than WBA. Players like Ibe, King, Fraser, Afobe etc. will create plenty of goalscoring chances for them. Also, McAuley is missing from the WBA starting XI which I think is a big drawback for them. Also, WBA has performed weakly in their pre-season matches, having won only 2 of those (against Walsall and Burton in July).

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17 hours ago, Judeksi said:

Bournemouth DNB against West Bromwich looks great to me, best odds around 2.30 @ Marathonbet for instance.

I think Bournemouth has much more attacking power and potential to perform better than WBA. Players like Ibe, King, Fraser, Afobe etc. will create plenty of goalscoring chances for them. Also, McAuley is missing from the WBA starting XI which I think is a big drawback for them. Also, WBA has performed weakly in their pre-season matches, having won only 2 of those (against Walsall and Burton in July).

i totally agree with you. usually tony pulis team take a while to get around to his defensive tactics and first match of the season is a testing ground. i see bournemouth being on the front foot and going for the win

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Arsenal v Leicester City

Arsenal (last season): Shkodran Mustafi (26/2 d), Per Mertesacker (1/0 d), Mesut Özil (33/8 m), Aaron Ramsey (23/1 m), Francis Coquelin (29/0 m)(all doubtful), Laurent Koscielny (33/2 d, suspended), Alexis Sánchez (38/24 f, top scorer), Gabriel Paulista (19/0 d), Jack Wilshere (2/0 m), Joel Campbell (0/0 f), Santi Cazorla (8/2 m)

Leicester City (last season): Robert Huth (33/2 d), Vicente Iborra (m, newcomer), Daniel Drinkwater (29/1 m)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

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Just some random thoughts...

Arsenal v Leicester

I have no idea how this one could pan out. Arsenal obvious favourites and they added Lacazette who is huge player but Leicester is not bad team at all and they showed they can perfrorm very well under Shakespeare. I'm not saying there will be surprise but at least away team over 0.5 @1.55 or BTTS @1.72 should be considered.

Watford v Liverpool

Again, Liverpool brought in Salah who is immense but Coutinho situation is becoming more and more serious and Watford are not bad team at all, especially with Silva at helm. Liverpool defense is shaky with Matip, Lovren and Klavan their only senior CB options. Here I'll be also looking at home team over 0.5 goals @1.62 

Chelsea v Burnley

Sure home win, will place this on acca or two. Burnley were force at Turf Moor last season with 10-3-6 record but away were terrible, with 1-4-14.

BHA v Man City

So many new additions at City, and very quality players too. They are going for the title this season and have to win games like this, home or away. City HT/FT are 1.85 and -1.5 are 1.82, those are my picks.

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On 07/08/2017 at 8:05 PM, sajtion said:

i think burnley is going to beat chelsea 3-2 because i don't think chelsea is ready for new season at all. they can't replace costa with morata. he is going to flop in premiership. they sold matic who was crucial to their defense. hazard is probably negotiating with real madrid already and the team haven't signed enough players. i am taking double chance on burnley also because they will score 

I really can't see that happening, sajtion. Burnley have sold their best defender and their main source of goals last season. I think if one team will struggle to hit the ground running it will be them. I think Chelsea will win 1-0 or 2-0. I think Conte will opt for Batshuayi up top because he's looked decent in pre-season and Morata might not be match fit yet to start. Chelsea to win to nil for me.

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On 2017-08-01 at 11:18 AM, StevieDay1983 said:

Question to anyone that's supporting or backing Manchester United this season. Is signing Matic the missing piece in the jigsaw puzzle? Are the Red Devils now the team to beat and will they begin their campaign with a solid win on the opening weekend? Is it worth backing a win to nil?

I would never back United to nil. There is certainly a positive atmosphere around the team that hasent been present since SAF left. But there is still too much incompetence in the defensive positioning.
I have watched the friendlies and its obvious that Lindelöf is not accustomed yet. Meanwhile Baily (the best centerback we have) is injured,  Rojo is injured and Smalling and Jones are still unreliable and shaky. 

Mourinho tried playing with 3 at the back against Real Madrid and it was absolutly horrible. They got back in to the game only after going back to 4-5-1.
So either he will try it again or have a hard time selecting a left back. Darmian? Blind? I would not bet on a clean sheet with that.

Im also impressed with West Hams squad this season, I think they will do well and finish at 8-4 place.

Edited by DW_United

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6 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

I really can't see that happening, sajtion. Burnley have sold their best defender and their main source of goals last season. I think if one team will struggle to hit the ground running it will be them. I think Chelsea will win 1-0 or 2-0. I think Conte will opt for Batshuayi up top because he's looked decent in pre-season and Morata might not be match fit yet to start. Chelsea to win to nil for me.

yeah i think you might be right. burnley will go down this year but conte is not happy with his team. it will be interesting to see how things will turn out for chelsea tomorrow. conte is a defensive manager and even if chelsea are still short of players they will probably get the win in end.

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18 hours ago, The Sexless Innkeeper said:

Watford v Liverpool

Again, Liverpool brought in Salah who is immense but Coutinho situation is becoming more and more serious and Watford are not bad team at all, especially with Silva at helm. Liverpool defense is shaky with Matip, Lovren and Klavan their only senior CB options. Here I'll be also looking at home team over 0.5 goals @1.62

I agree that Liverpool's defence looks shaky, but I wonder who's going to do Watford's goals when Deeney is out? I think he's a very important striker for them and Watford has struggled to score goals for all pre-season: just 5 goals in 6 matches. Ok, Andre Gray comes from Burnley to help Watford, but I don't rate him as high as Deeney, and Gray has to settle in to the squad first too.

To me it feels that Watford will suffer at least in the beginning of the season, they need Deeney back as soon as possible. Liverpool has a long list of players who can score goals from left and right, and they looked really dangerous in the pre-season. To me the bet for this match could be Liverpool with the -1,5 handicap, I think they can easily outscore Watford tonight.

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premier League

Liverpool have won their last 4 away games in Premier League.

Man City have won their last 4 games in Premier League.

Southampton have failed to score in their last 5 home games in Premier League.

You can find interesting 24 Football Betting Streaks for 12.08.2017 on this link ... Euro Football Rumours: Streaks for 12.08.2017

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2 hours ago, Judeksi said:

I agree that Liverpool's defence looks shaky, but I wonder who's going to do Watford's goals when Deeney is out? I think he's a very important striker for them and Watford has struggled to score goals for all pre-season: just 5 goals in 6 matches. Ok, Andre Gray comes from Burnley to help Watford, but I don't rate him as high as Deeney, and Gray has to settle in to the squad first too.

To me it feels that Watford will suffer at least in the beginning of the season, they need Deeney back as soon as possible. Liverpool has a long list of players who can score goals from left and right, and they looked really dangerous in the pre-season. To me the bet for this match could be Liverpool with the -1,5 handicap, I think they can easily outscore Watford tonight.

Liverpool still remain a side that I feel could slip up against the so-called "weaker" teams. Klopp certainly gets his players pumped for the big games and he loves it when teams attack but he's still not shown evidence of being able to solve puzzles teams give him when they sit back and force the Reds to apply the pressure. I had expected Klopp to do more business in the transfer window and I think the failure to do so combined with the anticipated potential loss of Coutinho could be a problem. Not saying they'll do awfully but I don't think they will finish higher than 4th unless they seriously invest in some more creativity in the middle and another centre back. It will be tough here. Watford have a very good squad this season and I'm tipping them as dark horses to finish top 10. I can't call this one. I'm going to shirk it and say a draw.

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I think that Citizens will start season with really high tempo. I am pretty sure that Brighton's defence won't hold too long. I know that a goal from home team can complicate things, but I am pretty sure that Pep will start with 100% and that City will be in front already in the first half.

PICK: Manchester City 1st half -0,5 @1,84 

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EVERTON v STOKE

 

What effect will losing Lukaku have on goal production ? I think his goals will be sorely missed this season, and Man United got a good deal. Everton are trying to make the step up into the big 4 or 5, but it is a tough nut to crack. They are strengthening, but the big teams are also adding resources. How good is Koeman, when compared to Pep, Jose and Conte ? I am not sure... 

Have Everton really bought that well ? It remains to be seen, but it feels similar to van Gaal's time at United, when many average/good players were bought. At the level Everton wish to get to, you need world class players. They have added very good depth to the squad, but I am not sure they have the quality to beat the top teams. Everton, with many new arrivals will take time to get going. They may struggle for goals for the 1st month of the season. 

There has been a clear out at SToke, and I think they will battle this season. Goals hard to come by, especially on the road. What is Mark Hughes's plan ? I just don't see an open goal feast here, in what will probably be a tight game. 

 

I like the NO to both to score here at odds of 1.9

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2 hours ago, DW_United said:

I Agree, too many question marks lying over Liverpool. I found 2.0 for Watford +1. Placed a bet with medium stakes. I think there is fair value as I dont think Liverpool will win with more than 1 goal

Left it bloody late didn't they! :lol

Still, will take that as an early kick-off win!

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Hmm...

Everton has drawn their last 4 season's opening match

Stoke 6 consecutive under 2.5 from their last 6 season's opening match

Unclear what impact will Rooney has on the Everton but considering Stoke's dodgy performance, I am inclined towards the statistics as above and pick under 2.5 for this match

 

Edited by mrclubbie

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26 minutes ago, StevieDay1983 said:

Left it bloody late didn't they! :lol

Still, will take that as an early kick-off win!

Didnt see the game. But looks like another crazy one. What fantastic start of the league!
I was content with getting my monet back at 2-3, still felt like a value bet. But that late equaliser made the day

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On 07/08/2017 at 8:05 PM, sajtion said:

i think burnley is going to beat chelsea 3-2 because i don't think chelsea is ready for new season at all. they can't replace costa with morata. he is going to flop in premiership. they sold matic who was crucial to their defense. hazard is probably negotiating with real madrid already and the team haven't signed enough players. i am taking double chance on burnley also because they will score 

 

On 11/08/2017 at 2:39 PM, StevieDay1983 said:

I really can't see that happening, sajtion. Burnley have sold their best defender and their main source of goals last season. I think if one team will struggle to hit the ground running it will be them. I think Chelsea will win 1-0 or 2-0. I think Conte will opt for Batshuayi up top because he's looked decent in pre-season and Morata might not be match fit yet to start. Chelsea to win to nil for me.

 

happened exactly like i thought it would

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Is anybody else tempted by Newcastle today?
I think Totenham might do a weak season this year and can end up somewhere around the middle of the table.
They will have a weak spot at the wings today, with Walker sold to City and Trippier and Rose out.
Can Newcastle exploit it? Im thinking about Newcastle (Asian) +0,5 (2.35) or DNB 4.1 with low stakes.

Edit: Looks like Kyle Walker-Peters and Ben Davies are going to play as fullback. It will be intresting to see if they can handle Atsu/Perez/Gayle

Edited by DW_United

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i think benitez is a good manager and newcastle are a good team. This will be a interesting game, maybe will be similar to the man city game, only i think newcastle can trouble spurs more than Brighton did city.

harry kane to score.

over 2.5

spurs nick it

 

 

 

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      New customers only. £5 Free Bet & £5 Casino Bonus if your first bet loses. Min bet £10 single at evens (2.00) or higher. T&C's apply.
    • Pinnacle - Excellent Odds! £0
      No welcome offer and currently UK residents cannot bet there due to licensing, but many countries can.
    • £1000 Cashback + 2% Commission at Betdaq! £1000
      Must opt in and use promo code DAQBACK. £1000 cashback offer expires after 30 days.
    • £25 Free Bet Offer at McBookie! £25
      Scottish residents only. First bet must be within 30 days of registering. Min odds of 2.00 (EVENS). Payment restrictions apply. Free bet stake not returned and expires after 7 days.
    • £15 Free Bet at SportingBet! £15
      New customers only. Min deposit £10 at odds of EVENS (2.00). If first bet loses, you'll be refunded up to a £15 free bet. Skrill & Neteller deposits don't qualify. Free bet cannot be withdrawn and expires after 7 days.
    • Join Star Sports New Bookmaker! £0
      Currently no free bet offer, but well worth joining!
    • Boosted Odds at BetBoro! £0
      No sign up offer currently, but boosted odds for all customers.
    • £10 Free Bet at 138.com £10
      New customers only. Deposit and make a first bet of at least £20 at minimum odds of 4/5. Applies to pre-match or in-play single bets only. Should your qualifying bet lose, you will be refunded with a £10 Bonus Token.
    • £30 Free Bet at Dafabet! £30
      New customers only. Min bet of £5/€5 at min odds of 1/2 (1.50). Skrill is excluded for this promotion. Dafabet will match the first bet of qualified player up to a maximum of £/€30 if it does not win, as a free bet.
    • Grosvenor Sports - Double Odds First Bet! £0
      New customers only. Offer applies to Grosvenor Sports bets only. Max stake £20. Bets made with Odds Boost Token. Neteller & Skrill deposits excluded.
    • No Free Bet at Super Lenny £0
      Super Lenny is not offering a free bet currently, but is UK licensed and worth a look.
    • £28 Bonus at Fun88! £28
      Stake 6 qualifying bets of at least £10. Min odds 2.00, Multis 1.40. Min stake to qualify £10. Contact customer support to request your Bonus token and credited within 24 hours. T&C's apply.
    • Up to £1000 Acca Bonus at BetEast! £1000
      ALL customers up to a £1000 acca bonus. 4fold accas minimum. Email to claim within 7 days of settlement. T&C's apply.
    • £30 Bonus at OLE777! £30
      New customers only. Min stake £10 at EVENS (2.00). Place 10 qualifying bets of £30 and receive £30 bonus. T&C's apply.
    • £30 Bonus at TLCBet! £30
      ALL customers! Place 6 qualifying bets of £30. Min odds 2.00 and min stake £10. Bonus will be lowest stake of qualifying bets. T&C's apply.
    • Vernons Sports £0
      No sign up offer currently.
    • LeTou Bookmaker £0
      No welcome offer at present.
    • Marathonbet - Great Odds! £0
      No welcome offer currently.
    • Setantabet - Irish Bookmaker £0
      No welcome offer at the moment.
    • BetVision £0
      No welcome offer.
    • £20 Free Bet at Betfair Exchange! £20
      New customers only, bet up to €/£20 on the Exchange and if your first bet loses, we’ll refund you €/£20 in Cash. Bet must be placed in first 7 days of account opening. T&Cs apply.

    Casino

    • £300 Bonus + 20 Free Spins at Casumo! £300
      18+. New UK customers only. 100% deposit bonus up to £300. Opt-in required. Minimum deposit £10. 20 Free spins on Starburst game upon registration. 30x wagering requirements apply for bonuses and bonus winnings before withdrawal (game weighting applies). Max bet applies. Terms and conditions apply. Please gamble responsibly,
    • £5 No Deposit Bonus at Energy Casino! £5
      18+ New players only. You must click through Punters Lounge link. Register, then email to get bonus. x50 wagering within 3 days and min £30 withdrawal. Geo restrictions apply. T&C's apply. BeGambleAware.org
    • £250 Bonus & 50 Free Spins! £250
      New players only. 100% deposit bonus up to £250 + 50 Free Spins if depositing min £10. Use Exclusive Code: PUNTER50. NO WAGERING needed on free spins!
    • 10 Free Spins + £200 Bonus! £200
      18+. New customers only, *10 Free Spins on mobile verification (UK Only), 3 day expiry on Free Spins. **100% deposit match up to £200. Available on selected games only. 7-day expiry on Bonus. 40x wagering (max bet £5) before Bonus Balance can be withdrawn. Wagering is with real money first. Game contribution weightings apply to wagering requirements. £10 min deposit + 2.5% fee (min 50p). Not available using Neteller or Skrill. Cash balance withdrawable anytime + £2.50 fee.
    • 25 Free Spins! £0
      New UK&IRL Customers only. Free Spins can only be played on eligible games. No wagering requirements on winnings. SMS verification required. Opt in required, full T&Cs apply
    • 30 Free Spins! £0
      New Customers only. One bonus per customer. 30 free spins added to accounts verified by SMS (x1 wagering). Free spins expire within 10 Days & on selected games only.
    • £100 Bonus - William Hill Live Casino! £100
      Opt-in required. Only first deposit qualifies. 100% deposit bonus up to £100, with 70x wagering on Roulette tables only. Min. deposit £10. Max. bonus £100. Bonus expires 7 days from issue. Player, country, currency, game restrictions and terms apply.
    • Up to £200 Bonus! £200
      New players only. Min deposit £20. Wager 40x before withdrawing. Game weighting applies. Max bonus betting limit – slots: £5, other games: 10% of bonus amount. T&Cs apply.
    • Up to £100 Casino Bonus! £100
      Min deposit £10. x45 wagering, Roulette and blackjack 50% weighting. Bonus Valid 7 days. No using Moneybookers/Skrill or Neteller as a payment method.
    • £50 Bonus + 20 Free Spins £50
      New UK&IRE customers only. Deposits made with e-wallets are not valid. Bonus wagering x35 on eligible games. Max winnings from bonus £500. Spins available after bonus is redeemed/lost. 10 per day with no wagering.
    • £400 Slots bonus + 100 Free Spins £400
      New UK&IRE Players only. Min buy-in £20. Bonus wagering 35x on eligible games. Spins available day after bonus is lost/redeemed, 10 per day for 10 days, no wagering.

    • £10 Risk Free on Liverpool v Man Utd! £10
      New customers only. £10 min bet on 1x2 markets. Refunds given 17th December 12:00. T&C's apply.
    • 2-0 Up - YOU WIN! £0
      Get your bet paid out as a winner if the team you back goes 2 goals ahead. Applies to pre-match single bets on Full Time Result market for applicable competitions. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.
    • Money Back if 1 lets you down! £10
      Applies to UK & Top Euro leagues. Applies to match odds ACCA & Same Game Multi bets only. Max free bet €/£10 per day. T&Cs apply
    • 2-0 up - You Win! £0
      Applies to all Premier League, La Liga and Champions League games until 31st December 2018. T&Cs apply.
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