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Search for Value


dosheroonie

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After trying out many different approaches to betting and searching for a winning formula, without any major success or failure, I am now going to try a different approach, details of which I don't really want to go in to. However, I am going to post my bets here. This is partly for the purposes of trying to maintain some discipline to my betting but also as I really enjoy reading other threads on the forum - for example, Twinny's corners thread and Harry Rag's posts spring to mind and I want to contribute something in return. 

The bets are going to be ones where using my (subjective) criteria, I think the price offers some value.All bets will be based on stats and any picks will be where in my opinion there is value in the price on offer.

Bets will be on football only but could be from any league so selections could be posted at any time but always before kick off - no live betting. I will be looking for best odds but will only quote odds from bookies where I have an account and where I have placed my bet. You may well be able to find a higher price elsewhere.

I am going in with small stakes only as this is very much a trial and could easily go pear shaped lol but a limited trial I have been doing over the last few months has shown promising results.

Bets will be either 1 or 2 units from a starting bank of 100 units. Stakes will be increased when (if) I get to 10 units profit. I look forward to any feedback anyone may have to offer.

I will be keeping a running total of the results in post #2 which I will try to keep up to date with details of profit and yield (hopefully positive figures lol). Bets will usually be either 1 (HW), 2 (AW) or an Asian handicap price. 

First bet will be

Date League Team 1 Team 2 Bet Odds Stake Bookie
               
25/06/2017 China Guangzhou Evergrande Hebei 2 (+1) 2.02 1

Marathon

 

More bets to follow tomorrow. 

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Picks for early today

25/06/2017 China Guangzhou Evergrande Hebei 2 (+1) 2.02 1 Marathon
25/06/2017 Argentina Banfield Racing Club 1 2.42 2 Chandler
25/06/2017 Japan Shimizu Kofu 2 4.85 0.5 Marathon
25/06/2017 Japan Yokohama Kobe 1 2.5 2 Smarkets
25/06/2017 Japan Hiroshima Omiya Ardija 2 4.85 1 Marathon
25/06/2017 Japan Sagan Tosu Urawa 1 5.6 0.5 Marathon
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Some further bets for this afternoon / evening

7 25/06/2017 Norway Aalesund Odd 1 2.6 2 Smarkets  
8 25/06/2017 Norway Sarpsborg Brann 1 2.32 2 Marathon  
9 25/06/2017 Norway Tromso Sandefjord 2 4.4 1 Smarkets  
10 25/06/2017 Brazil Atletico PR Vitoria 2 5.4 0.5 Marathon  
11 25/06/2017 Brazil Cruzeiro Coritiba 2 7.2 0.5 Marathon  
12 25/06/2017 Brazil Gremio Corinthians 1 1.96 2 Smarkets  
13 25/06/2017 Brazil Ponte Preta Palmeiras 1 3.08 2 Marathon  
14 25/06/2017 Brazil Bahia Flamengo 1 2.94 2 Smarkets  
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First set of results. Not the best of starts.

Bet# Date League Team 1 Team 2 Bet Odds Stake Bookie Result Returns Bank
                       
1 25/06/2017 China Guangzhou Evergrande Hebei 2 (+1) 2.02 1 Marathon L 0.00 99.00
2 25/06/2017 Argentina Banfield Racing Club 1 2.42 2 Chandler L 0.00 97.00
3 25/06/2017 Japan Shimizu Kofu 2 4.85 0.5 Marathon L 0.00 96.50
4 25/06/2017 Japan Yokohama Kobe 1 2.5 2 Smarkets W 5.00 99.50
5 25/06/2017 Japan Hiroshima Omiya Ardija 2 4.85 1 Marathon W 4.85 103.35
6 25/06/2017 Japan Sagan Tosu Urawa 1 5.6 0.5 Marathon W 2.80 105.65
7 25/06/2017 Norway Aalesund Odd 1 2.6 2 Smarkets W 5.20 108.85
8 25/06/2017 Norway Sarpsborg Brann 1 2.32 2 Marathon L 0.00 106.85
9 25/06/2017 Norway Tromso Sandefjord 2 4.4 1 Smarkets L 0.00 105.85
10 25/06/2017 Brazil Atletico PR Vitoria 2 5.4 0.5 Marathon L 0.00 105.35
11 25/06/2017 Brazil Cruzeiro Coritiba 2 7.2 0.5 Marathon L 0.00 104.85
12 25/06/2017 Brazil Gremio Corinthians 1 1.96 2 Smarkets L 0.00 102.85
13 25/06/2017 Brazil Ponte Preta Palmeiras 1 3.08 2 Marathon L 0.00 100.85
14 25/06/2017 Brazil Bahia Flamengo 1 2.94 2 Smarkets L 0.00 98.85
15 25/06/2017 USA Portland Seattle 1 2.15 2 Chandler L 0.00 96.85
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Sundays Bets

02/07/2017 Norway Molde Viking 1 1.69 2 Smarkets
02/07/2017 Norway Brann Valerenga 1 1.82 2 Smarkets
02/07/2017 Norway Odd Sarpsborg 1 2.55 2 Marathon
02/07/2017 Brazil Coritiba Vasco da Gama 1 1.85 2 WHill
02/07/2017 Finland VPS Mariehamm 1 2.54 2 Marathon
02/07/2017 Sweden AIK Ostersunds 1 2.375 2 Chandler
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Next batch of bets

29 08/07/2017 China Jiangsu Suning Shanghai Shenhua 2 3.75 1 B365
30 08/07/2017 Finland Inter Turku Jyvaskala x 5.5 1 B365
31 08/07/2017 Brazil Atletico GO Vitoria 2 (0) 2.39 2 Marathon
32   Brazil Vasco da Gama Flamengo 1 3.92 1 Marathon
33   Finland Rovaniemi HIFK 2 3.1 1 WHill
34   Japan Omiya Ardija Sapporo 2 3.52 1 Marathon
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Results for bets 15 - 28

15 25/06/2017 USA Portland Seattle 1 2.15 2 Chandler L £0.00 £96.85
16 26/06/2017 Finland SJK Kemi 2 6.5 0.5 Marathon L £0.00 £96.35
17 26/06/2017 Argentina Arsenal Sarandi Tigre 2 3.5 1 Chandler L £0.00 £95.35
18 27/06/2017 Finland Mariehamm Inter Turku 1 2.31 2 Marathon W £4.62 £97.97
19 27/06/2017 Argentina Independiente Lanus 2(+0.5) 2.5 2 Smarkets W £5.00 £100.97
20 01/07/2017 USA Real Salt Lake  Orlando  2 (+0.5) 1.96 2 Chandler W £3.92 £102.89
21 01/07/2017 China Hebei Shandong Luneng 1 2.46 2 Smarkets L £0.00 £100.89
22 01/07/2017 Brazil Palmeiras Gemio 1 2.08 2 Chandler W £4.16 £103.05
23 02/07/2017 Norway Molde Viking 1 1.69 2 Smarkets W £3.38 £104.43
24 02/07/2017 Norway Brann Valerenga 1 1.82 2 Smarkets L £0.00 £102.43
25 02/07/2017 Norway Odd Sarpsborg 1 2.55 2 Marathon L £0.00 £100.43
26 02/07/2017 Brazil Coritiba Vasco da Gama 1 1.85 2 WHill L £0.00 £98.43
27 02/07/2017 Finland VPS Mariehamm 1 2.54 2 Marathon L £0.00 £96.43
28 02/07/2017 Sweden AIK Ostersunds 1 2.375 2 Chandler L £0.00 £94.43
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