Snert Posted June 27, 2017 Author Share Posted June 27, 2017 Soaring Spirits drifted to 9/2 and lost Bath 8.00 Pixeleen is my top rated but looks a mean price (13/8) for a horse that hasn't won for almost 2 years. Belledesert looks less consistent but on a good day matches Pixeleens rating. Under the Covers is not far behind but she hasn't had many races for a 4yo so hard to say whether she will improve again. I have my doubts so I'm going with Belledesert at 4/1 - 9/2. There's a lot of rain about which doesn't make life any easier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted June 29, 2017 Author Share Posted June 29, 2017 Picked the first 3 but backed the wrong one. Newmarket 4.25 Khamaary Poor price (5/2 - 11/4) but should be hard to beat Newbury 5.50 Delfie Lane Took a step forward last run over 6f and 7f should suit - looks a solid e/w bet at 9/2 - 5/1. Pursuing Steed is behind on my ratings but he won his last 2 and could progress so I can't write him off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted June 29, 2017 Author Share Posted June 29, 2017 Khamaary was easy to beat, while Pursuing Speed beat Delfie Lane ino second place. No bet on Friday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 1, 2017 Author Share Posted July 1, 2017 York 3.35 In an open looking race I think Mohab looks a good e/w bet at 10-1 For the TV races the best I can do are two favourites but they should give us a run for our money Newcastle 2.25 Don't Touch 7/2 Newmarket 3.15 Home of the Brave 5/2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 2, 2017 Author Share Posted July 2, 2017 Home of the Brave was the only winner yesterday and nothing for today Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 3, 2017 Author Share Posted July 3, 2017 Not much of interest today but I think Morache Music (5/4) is one to take on at Windsor 6.30. Vincentti is capable on his day but is this his day ? A seller with 5 runners is not a race I would usually bother with but there's nothing else for me today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 4, 2017 Author Share Posted July 4, 2017 Vincentti finished 2nd Harwoods Volante looks a fair e/w chance today in the 4.30 at Hamilton - currently around 12/1 - 14/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 5, 2017 Author Share Posted July 5, 2017 Another second yesterday - going for another e/w bet today Kempton 6.10 Mishaal 8/1 - 9/1 - looks a good e/w bet as he seems to be running into form Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 6, 2017 Author Share Posted July 6, 2017 Mishaal was a N/R yesterday Newbury 8.05 Angel of Darkness e/w 7-1 Tundra won her previous race in a slow time so I think she's worth taking on and Angel of Darkness has looked progressive so far and shouldn't need to improve much to win this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 7, 2017 Author Share Posted July 7, 2017 poor result yesterday Chelmsford 9.00 Fang 12-1 Has a chance on my ratings and 12-1 looks too big - making it a fair e/w bet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 8, 2017 Author Share Posted July 8, 2017 No luck yesterday and although there is a lot of racing today I can't find a decent bet anywhere Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 9, 2017 Author Share Posted July 9, 2017 Struggling to find a bet today again Ayr 4.55 Control Centre I don't have a rating for the hot-looking favourite ( Nothing to Lose ) as he's been runing in Ireland. Control Centre is my second top rated behind Dark Profit This rating was over 6f but he ran at 7f a couple of times as a 2yo so I think he'll be ok. Dark Profit got his high rating while winning his last race and I'm not convinced he can reach this again today At the current price of 14-1 I think Control Centre is worth an e/w bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 10, 2017 Author Share Posted July 10, 2017 Control Centre should stay at 6f judged on that race - Nothing to lose won Ayr 2.45 Have to back the promising 3yo against the older ones here. He won't have to improve much to win this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 11, 2017 Author Share Posted July 11, 2017 Forgot to name the horse yesterday (Muscika) - just as well it was a poor run Hoping for better today Pontefract 3.40 Cool Bahamian - I'll be surprised if he's not involved in the finish. Currently 5/1 - 6/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 12, 2017 Author Share Posted July 12, 2017 Cool Bahamian lost Catterick 5.35 Great Colaci - I'll be surprised - again - if not involved Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 13, 2017 Author Share Posted July 13, 2017 Another flop yesterday A couple of possibles today - both have been out of form recently but if they bounce back to anywhere near their best should have a good chance, both around 7-1 Carlisle 4.20 Picks Pinta Epsom 8.50 Huntsmans Close Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 14, 2017 Author Share Posted July 14, 2017 Both placed yesterday 12/1 and 7/1 Another 2 outside picks today 7.25 Kibaar Up against a hot favourite in Longroom who could win again but if he falters then Kibaar has a decent record here and at 9/1 - 10/1 looks a fair e/w bet 8.00 Slemy Has been poor all season so far so it's a bit of a stretch to think he might hit form today but might be worth a small bet at 9/1 - 10/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 15, 2017 Author Share Posted July 15, 2017 A couple of duds yesterday Hamilton 7.05 Manshood around 3/1 generally 0-9 so far but a repeat of his latest run should be enough to get him off the mark. Of the TV races Newmarket 4.35 This is one to watch rather than bet on for me as I think Caravaggio might finally get beat with Limato and The Tin Man heading my list but I might be underestimating Caravaggio.York 4.15 With some rain forecast I think Cotai Glory is the safest bet (around 6/1-13/2) while Copper Knight could spring a surprise at a fair e/w price (10/1 - 12/1) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 17, 2017 Author Share Posted July 17, 2017 Manshood won - no flat racing here yesterday and nothing much catches my eye today so no bet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 18, 2017 Author Share Posted July 18, 2017 Thirsk 8.10 Cabal e/w around 10/1 Not much catching my eye again today but In an open looking race she shouldn't be far away. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 19, 2017 Author Share Posted July 19, 2017 Cabal well beaten Catterick 3.50 Straightothepoint around 4/1 Meshardal and Scoffllaw peaked last time out with a higher than usual rating which usually suggests a drop back to normal and this would give my choice the advantage today. As these are the 3 main contenders on my ratings it looks a fair bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 20, 2017 Author Share Posted July 20, 2017 Meshardal still running very well and won yesterday A couple of e/w bets today Chepstow 4.00 Juan Horsepower This race looks wide open to me and 10/1 - 12/1 looks a fair bet Chepstow 4.30 Toni's a Star The main thing I worry about here is the Jockey - but it's a very poor quality race and it's the horse that counts - I hope. 8/1 generally Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 21, 2017 Author Share Posted July 21, 2017 Toni's a star won, Juan Horsepower lost Hamilton 7.20 King Robert e/w Very little of interest today - Naggers looks a worthy favourite but 5/2 looks way too mean and a small place bet or e/w bet on King Robert looks better value to me (betfair currently 6.2 for 3 places). I don't expect him to win but at 20/1 - 25/1 the place odds look tempting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 22, 2017 Author Share Posted July 22, 2017 Grasping at straws yesterday and it didn't come off. Only 2 races of interest today - Newmarket 3.15 Curious Fox Should have a good chance here Haydock 5.55 Rose Eclair A bit of a gamble that she hits form - might not, but could win if she does Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 23, 2017 Author Share Posted July 23, 2017 Curious Fox won - Rose Eclair still out of form No bet today - not much to choose from for me. BillyHills 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 24, 2017 Author Share Posted July 24, 2017 Beverley 7.55 Navarone looks a 3yo on the up and should have a good chance here - around 7/2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edt123 Posted July 24, 2017 Share Posted July 24, 2017 Speeds combined with sectionals is excellent over shorter distances, but you cant account for the rough and tumble of racing, luck getting out the gate and tactics over longer distances, plus the ones that suddenly get over their problems and trounce you. You need something else to help you also. Does anyone take heed of price movements? I am not too sure what to make of it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 25, 2017 Author Share Posted July 25, 2017 Yeah, speed ratings are just one factor - but for me they are the major factor. The other things you mention are just part of racing and happen all the time. Price movements are something I've not looked into. Nothing stands out today but I think a big run is likely from Udontdodou in the 7.00 at Chelmsford at 9/2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 26, 2017 Author Share Posted July 26, 2017 Only 3rd yesterday Nothing stands out today again so no bets Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted July 27, 2017 Author Share Posted July 27, 2017 Another day with nothing obvious but a couple of speculative ones Yarmouth 3.50 Wild Approach Only 6 runners so 5/1 looks tempting Doncaster 8.20 Dandyleekie Needs to bounce back after a poor run but should have as good a chance as any - around 5-1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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