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StevieDay1983

2017 UK General Election

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Political betting is growing with every passing election so thought we'd get the odds up for the upcoming UK General Election. Let's try to keep political views to a minimum and look at it from a punter's view point.

Personally, I can see Conservatives at least winning comfortably. I'm still not sure if they will win by a landslide or if they will see their majority weaken. However, the basic stances are still in place from the last election. Scotland is still very supportive of the SNP over Labour. Until that changes, Labour will face an uphill battle to win a majority. Conservatives are still strongly backed across England after Brexit.

In Wales, it's a bit more mystifying because, firstly, the majority of the country voted for Brexit despite large areas benefiting greatly from European Union funding. Secondly, even though it is likely that the Conservatives will increase taxes and have already stated a number of policies that are not necessarily favourable towards the working class, the working class areas seem to be adamant that a vote for Conservative is a protest vote against the Labour-led Welsh Assembly. This sums up the problem with Welsh politics. Nobody really has a clue how it works or which party would benefit them the most.

So, basically, even though the media is reporting the Conservatives have suffered a huge points drop in the opinion polls I still think Theresa May will easily secure her party's majority. That's exactly why she's called the General Election now. She knows the Brexit negotiations will open up a hornet's nest so she wants to secure her party's position in power before it all hits the fan.

The best value odds might potentially be Conservative minority if people decide to back parties such as SNP, Plaid Cymru, and UKIP to protest against Conservative policies but I can't see it. The bookies have this nailed down.

Anyone thinking differently?

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