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Jimmy2shoes

Monthly Naps Comp - Thursday 20th April 2017

33 posts in this topic

300 Newmarket

Brando NAP 11/8 Bet365
Highly regarded sprinter and expected to contest at the very top level this season This looks a good race to start with and hopefully can go on to better things. Won 3 times last season including the Ayr Gold Cup off a mark of 110. Ended up running 3rd to The TIn Man at Ascot and anything like that will do here.

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CHELTENHAM 4 20 Scotchtown @ 11/1 bet365 e/w thanks

A easy pick today Scotchtown.....from Nigel Twiston-Davies yard the 5yo only had the seven races to date but the last race the 5lb rise seems to be to much for him as he finished 7th of 8 runners at Newbury 3m Handicap Hurdle beaten 30 lengths was up there till 3 out but faded after that,

He's been successful in two hurdle races at 2m 4f and 2m 5f on good and soft ground and yard had 68 days to beef him up in stamina and fitness as he's still got that 5lb rise to 135 mark, the yard are bring Jamie Bargary who claims 3lb who was the jockey when he won those two races

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4.40 Lingfeld: Class 6 Handicap, 1m

An open and rather competitive race for this grade, though the short favourite could improve yet again after a couple of big performances and therefore might have too much on his plate for this lot.

Nonetheless I'm more interested in potential improver Caledonian Gold. The four year old mare is still without a win, however is totally unexposed over the one mile trip and has dropped to a career lowest rating, despite running to solid form the last handful of starts over shorter trips. 

She has tried this sort of trip only once last season when she failed miserably, which was more down to her pulling way too hard in the early stages of the race. She looked one paced over 7f in all her races though, still always running to the line at least, suggesting that now where she is potentially wiser and more mature that she really wants an extra furlong. 

The very fact that the dam won a race over 10 furlongs on the Lingfield All-Weather gives enough confidence to suggest that this step up in distance can help. And if it does edge out a bit of improvement then Caledonian Gold could easily take advantage of her falling mark.

The yard seems to expect a performance as the jockey booking of Robert Winston looks significant. A "job jockey" I would call it, he has only two rides on the card, the next one after this race nearly two hours later, and he has a very healthy strike rate for this yard either, suggesting he's not making the trip in the afternoon just for fun.

Selection:
Caledonian Gold @ 15/2 Bet365

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3.25 Ripon

BEST TRIP @ 25/1 Skybet

Elder statesman of the bunch but not without chances back in class 4 company over 6f which is where his previous two wins have come the last off a mark 4lb higher than today. Back after a break but won first time up for this trainer after a similar break. Has a good draw and the pace to take advantage if ready to go, claimer takes off useful 7lb

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