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Monthly Comp - Sunday April 16th


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430 Southwell

Gnaad NAP 7/4 BetVic/ Betfair
Was quite impressive here two starts back and on the back of that was very well backed to follow up at Lingfield. He got messed about that day and couldn't get on the speed which seemed to work so well previously. Back here in a small field I fancy he can reproduce his course form and will be hard to peg back.

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5.05 Southwell: Class 6 Handicap, 1m 4f

Keith Dalgleish's Dirty Randy is an interesting handicap debutante. He didn't show a lot in three maidens last season which all came in quick succession, hinting connections were keen to get the runs into him to qualify for a hopefully lenient opening mark.

The Handicapper - that is fair to say - has not taken any chances and allotted Dirty Randy a rating of 60, which, for what he has done so far, is harsh. Shouldn't the handicapper allocate marks for what horses have actually achieved without taking into account whether improvement may come in the future over different trips and surfaces? 

Well, anyway, let's focus on the race. Given Dirty Randy was never going to be a miler but more with a future over middle distance trips he might still have a fairly good chance to outrun his opening mark.

A drastic step up in trip to 12f should see him certainly in better light than in those maiden races. He hails from a successful family that generally tends to do better with age and the further they go, so it's fair to assume Dirty Randy could develop into a decent horse. 

He was never to enjoy the fast All-Weather surface at Newcastle, however his sire has shown his offspring can outrun the odds at the slower and more demanding Southwell fibresand. 

So things fall right here for Dirty Randy in that sense, with trip and track likely to suit. He likely to be sharp enough on his seasonal reappearance, with cheek-pieces fitted for the first time. A fine 5lb claimer makes life a bit easier. 

The Dalglish yard goes pretty well at the moment and it looks significant that Dirty Randy has two more entries for next week, which may suggest they hope for a strong run here to turn him out quickly again.

Selection:
Dirty Randy @ 5/1 PP

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Plumpton 3:45 Bleu Et Noir @ 16/1 bet365 e/w thanks

Bleu Et Noir sounds blue that will do , from Tim Vaughan yard the 6yo has won three hurdle races from 2m to 2m 1f on good to firm and good to soft ground with those three wins coming this season,

He last ran 34 days ago and although sixth the yard was glad to see him get round as he fell in previous race, That sixth place came at Stratford over 2m soft when he led and soon 8 lengths clear, ridden and headed nearly 3f out and dropped out rapidly to finish 14.5 lengths,

With conditions more in his favour today and young Alan Johns coming back into ride horse again after Richard Johnson rode him at Stratford, Alan Johns been the jockey in those three wins and still gets a 3lb allowance

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