Sir Puntalot Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 I know punters who just won't entertain picking draws in their bets, but there is some serious value to be had sometimes, in fact a lot of the time! I don't buy into it's a lucky tip because you can back a team to win, they got totally hammered in the match and get away with a lucky goal - isn't that a lucky bet also? Thoughts? Who likes backing draws in what look like competitive matches? StevieDay1983 and andrewcalo 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 If 1 or 2 can be a calculated value selection, then there's no reason X can't be a calculated value selection. As you say, sometimes good value can be had backing the draw. Most people seem to like to back a team to win and so books will sometimes inflate draw odds to attract bets and balance liabilities. Sir Puntalot 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 About luck, I'd say you always need a bit of luck no matter what the bet. Without getting too deep into probabilities and statistics, even if you're betting at 10 to 1 on there's a chance things could go against you and you've got on something the one time out of ten that it doesn't happen as implied by the odds. Sir Puntalot 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andrewcalo Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 A draw is your best bet in football imo. but it's a harder bet to guess because no reasonable team wants to draw a game. All games start in a draw remember. i fund if I can't decide on one team to win after a week of deliberations I'll either say fcuk it or I'll have an a-ha! Moment and realise it's a draw! then it's just a matter if deciding whether there'll be goals or not for the BTTS bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StevieDay1983 Posted April 2, 2017 Share Posted April 2, 2017 I'm with @andrewcalo on this. I find draws can be calculated. Frequently, you can see when two teams might cancel each other out. If sides are struggling to score then a draw is always a good option. I've won money off a draw outright pick quite a lot. In fact, after BTTS five folds, I would say a draw outright bet has given me the most success. andrewcalo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted April 2, 2017 Author Share Posted April 2, 2017 It's very probably I'll start to tip draws over here https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/football as another option, obviously using the ratings as a guide as with all the football tips. 11/4 draw winner today at Leverkusen #justsayin Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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