Torque Posted March 12, 2019 Author Share Posted March 12, 2019 I think that's me and tennis done. If there wasn't something wrong with Djokovic I'll be surprised and if there was I had no way of knowing about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sawyer Posted March 18, 2019 Share Posted March 18, 2019 Good luck with lays! Well, just a suggestion. Cash out every 20 wins and you'll be making great profit. Good luck! Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted March 18, 2019 Author Share Posted March 18, 2019 I've cashed out my initial stake a few times but that's all. There's been times when I could have cashed out with a decent profit, but that's never been the aim of this thread. Anyway, it turns out that Djokovic has been getting heavily involved in tennis politics and it's been suggested that might explain his poor performance against Kohlschreiber. I know that he's a member of the ATP Player Council but I never expected that role could affect his performances and results - I'll have to bear that kind of thing in mind for the future. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 8, 2019 Author Share Posted May 8, 2019 Back again. Bet 1. Djokovic to beat Chardy @ 1.11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 9, 2019 Author Share Posted May 9, 2019 Djokovic won. Next stake £110.78 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 9, 2019 Author Share Posted May 9, 2019 Bet 2. Nadal to beat Tiafoe @ 1.08 Betfair Sportsbook Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 9, 2019 Author Share Posted May 9, 2019 Nadal won. Next stake £120.01 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 9, 2019 Author Share Posted May 9, 2019 Lightning has already struck twice with Liverpool and Spurs. I'm banking on it not striking a third time. Bet 3. Chelsea to qualify against Eintracht Frankfurt @ 1.12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 9, 2019 Author Share Posted May 9, 2019 Quick goal from Frankfurt. Maybe it will strike for a third time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 9, 2019 Author Share Posted May 9, 2019 Chelsea qualified. On penalties. After going behind on penalties. Got very lucky there. I'm off for a lie down... Next stake £134.12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 10, 2019 Author Share Posted May 10, 2019 Bet 4. Halep to beat Bencic @ 1.15 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 10, 2019 Author Share Posted May 10, 2019 Halep won. Next stake 153.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 10, 2019 Author Share Posted May 10, 2019 Bet 5. Nadal to beat Wawrinka @ 1.25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 10, 2019 Author Share Posted May 10, 2019 Nadal won. Next stake £191.53 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 11, 2019 Author Share Posted May 11, 2019 Bet 6. Lay Genoa to beat Atalanta @ 25.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 11, 2019 Author Share Posted May 11, 2019 Atalanta score a 2nd immediately. Not quite fully matched so put the remaining amount on them to win @ 1.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 11, 2019 Author Share Posted May 11, 2019 If Genoa come back to win then I'll lose full stake, if it ends in a draw I'll lose about twenty. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 11, 2019 Author Share Posted May 11, 2019 Atalanta won. Next stake 199.31 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 11, 2019 Author Share Posted May 11, 2019 Bet 7. Nadal to beat Tsitsipas @ 1.15 Betfair Sportsbook Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted May 11, 2019 Author Share Posted May 11, 2019 Nadal lost. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted July 19, 2019 Author Share Posted July 19, 2019 With a new football season around the corner I'm going to have another try at this. I'm going to mainly focus on laying the away team in football and backing the big favourites in tennis. I want to see how long I can go without hitting a loser so I probably wont bet all that often - which is probably a good thing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted August 8, 2019 Author Share Posted August 8, 2019 The Premier League returns on Friday and ahead of that I've made some decisions about how I'm going to approach this latest attempt. One of the things that makes doing something like this so difficult is temptation. There are so many opportunities each day which can lead to betting impulsively without thinking clearly about whether a bet is really worth taking, and so the first thing I'll be doing this time is adopting a portfolio approach similar to those used in investing. I have a list of bet types and any bets I place will come from this list, which will mean there's no chance of taking something at the last minute that isn't properly researched and considered. It will also help to cut through the noise of all the possible bets that are out there and provide a clear focus. Secondly, I'm going to keep things very simple by betting on obvious things. I've found there's a tendency to second-guess when looking to back football teams or tennis players that are on good runs, thinking that those runs have got to end at some point - which they have, but at the same time that has to be a better approach than backing a team or player in poor form because they're due a good result. In my experience, and it ties in with Gambler's Fallacy, good or bad form is more likely to persist than change and I'd rather lose backing good form than bad. Thirdly, to succeed in this I need winners and it's the best football teams and tennis players that win the most and that are in the habit of winning (or not losing) and that's where I want my money to go. I'll be backing match line only in tennis, as ultimately what counts is to win the match, and I'll be laying in football so that I've got draw cover as one point is always better than none. Finally, as I've done before I'll continue to post my thoughts on the bets I might take. Having to justify each and every bet I place should make it less likely that I get involved in something I end up regretting. With that said though, I'm going to need a lot of luck to do this as I've never got much further than a quarter of the way LEE-GRAYS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RomfordPele Posted August 9, 2019 Share Posted August 9, 2019 Looking forward to this Torque, this has always been one of my favourite challenges and I hope you smash it this time! Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted August 9, 2019 Author Share Posted August 9, 2019 Cheers @RomfordPele So it's Liverpool v Norwich tonight in what looks like an obvious starter, but by now I know there's no such thing. Everyone has this down as an easy win for Liverpool and whilst it probably will be, there are enough reasons for me to leave it alone ahead of the start. In the first place, it's the first game of the season and so there's no form to go on outside of friendlies and the Community Shield which I don't think carries the same weight as a league fixture. Secondly, a number of Liverpool's most important players haven't had much rest since the end of last season due to playing international football and that arguably impacted on their friendly results which weren't great. Thirdly, Norwich are a bit of an unknown quantity in terms of how they'll approach playing in the Premier League. In the Championship, they played attacking football and it seemed as though they were happy enough to concede in matches as long as they scored more. They'll probably continue to play like that, and if they do then that plays right into Liverpool's hands and they could be on the end of a big defeat. If they're more measured though, and given that they still have the wave of confidence behind them generated by getting promoted, they could be more competitive and pose Liverpool more problems by making it hard for the Reds to break them down. Taking all the above into account, if I do get involved it'll be during play and only if Liverpool name what I consider to be the spine of their team - that's Alisson in goal, Van Dijk in defence, Fabinho in midfield and Salah up front. I'll be looking to see if they start well and also if Norwich are looking to attack or defend to try to get a point or nick a win. If Liverpool start well and Norwich look like they haven't come to park the bus then I'll try to lay Norwich if the price isn't too high, and that includes if Norwich take the lead at any point in the first half. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted August 9, 2019 Author Share Posted August 9, 2019 Liverpool 2-0 up in the first twenty minutes. Moving on, nothing to see here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted August 9, 2019 Author Share Posted August 9, 2019 After tonight's false start, attentions turn to tomorrow's matches. One of the bet types on my list is unders in matches involving Burnley, as during the last few seasons they've been strong defensively without being prolific at the other end. That's a trend which should continue this season and so I'll be looking at their matches for possible bets, although as was the case tonight I'm not going to do anything ahead of the first fixture of the season for them. I'll find out what team Burnley are putting out tomorrow, and if it includes Pope in goal and Tarkowski and Mee at centre back then I'll consider a bet during play if it's looking like a tight game. It could be that Southampton play quite expansively this season which would put me off an unders bet, so I need to see how they're playing as well. They have plenty of pace in attack and also a new striker so a cautious approach is probably best. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted August 10, 2019 Author Share Posted August 10, 2019 The teams are in and Pope, Tarkowski and Mee are there. That should be a very difficult triangle for Southampton to get past. For their part, the Saints look set up to attack. 2 wing-backs and 3 forward players means this could be an open game. Let's see how the first fifteen minutes or so pan out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted August 10, 2019 Author Share Posted August 10, 2019 Southampton with the wind at their backs are making the early running, although Burnley just scored only for it to be ruled out. I'll make a final decision about whether to bet on the unders at half-time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted August 10, 2019 Author Share Posted August 10, 2019 0-0 at half-time. Under 3.5 goals is too short to take and under 2.5 goals a little too long. It's looking like there'll be less than three goals in this one, so assuming it stays 0-0 I'm going to back the under 2.5 line when it gets closer to 10 to 1 on. If there's an early goal in the second half the under 3.5 line might go up and I'll take that instead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted August 10, 2019 Author Share Posted August 10, 2019 Bet 1. Under 2.5 goals between Burnley and Southampton @ 1.11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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