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Monthly Naps - Sunday March 19th

BillyHills
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robertob

robertob

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3.10 Navan: Handicap Hurdle

An open enough looking contest given the fact that none of the runners has ever won off their current rating or higher. Top weight Grand Partner must be taken serious o has to be fine flat performer Benkei on his handicap debut.

But I take a chance with Concordin who seems to be a bit overpriced. Already a nine year old but for his age with reasonable mileage on the clock. He didn't really enjoy chasing but has looked as good as ever since reverted to hurdling. 

A fine third on his seasonal reappearance in November followed up by a strong staying performance at Leopardstown in a very competitive Handicap at the Christmas Festival. Subsequently he finished a long beaten fourth off a career highest mark in a mud fest at Gowran Park, but the form is better than it reads on paper. 

Concordin travelled strongly and was about to make a big move when the field turned for home when suddenly one of the leaders slipped and fell. A miracle it was Concordin didn't came down too. But he certainly lost all momentum. Not knocked over in the closing stages he finished fourth but his chances were clearly ruined by the incident around the 3f marker. 

The drop to 2m tomorrow seems odd, given he looks like a grinder, who needed every inch of the 2m 2f at Leopardstown. But it makes sense given the desperate ground to be expected at Navan, a track that has a very stiff and tough finish where emphasise is definitely more on stamina, particularly in testing conditions. That should really help Concordin's cause. 

Selection:
10pts win - Concordin @ 9/2 WH

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BARNSLEYCHOP

BARNSLEYCHOP

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3.35 Ffos

NEVER EQUALLED @ 9/1 Bet365

Ran in some decent novice events against horses that have moved on to better things and was by no means disgraced, has been Chasing without success since but makes handicap debut back over hurdles today off a fair mark. Soft ground is what he needs, has a track win to his name and this race has plenty of deadwood in it so should be there at the business end.

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bluemal

bluemal

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Ffos 15:35: Verygoodverygood @ 10/1 bet365 e/w thanks

Verygoodverygood.....from Nigel Twiston-Davies yard the 6yo is a C&D winner good , he also been successful in one other hurdle races at 2m 3f on good to soft ground the other being at Chepstow , Those two wins came back to back in his 2nd and 3rd race for yard as he only arrived at yard in October last year from Paul Morgan yard ,

His six runs so far for Nigel 3115,11,3 with his last 3 place coming at Leicester 46 days ago 2m 4f heavy when Third of 12 behind Allee Bleue beaten 31 lengths he had visor on for first time but yard today are going with tongue strap and visor with Sam Twiston-Davies coming in to ride horse as his only ride on horse was his last race for Paul Morgan yard when he came 2nd

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