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Conflict Cup


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3rd & 1st @ 3\1

Silky Wilkie 14.20 Nottingham 1 Pt Win @ Evens (bog)

Bagged his third win this year with a career best in 13-runner apprentice handicap at Haydock (5f, good to firm) 5 days ago. Escapes a penalty here so he rates a big player. 

Popong 16.50 Tramore 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Useful chaser. Twelve runs since last win in 2020 but he arrives on the back of good runner-up efforts in handicaps this summer (Bacardys well behind her in Munster Natrional latest). Perhaps this can be her day again. 

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4th & 2nd yesterday

The Green Man 15.13 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog)

Fairly useful gelding. 3/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, good second of 7 in handicap at Newmarket (6f, good to firm) 28 days ago. Difficult to oppose. 

Goodnight Girl 14.55 Curragh 1 Pt Win @ 7\2 (bog)

C&D winner. Respectable fifth of 17 in handicap (33/1) at this course (6.3f, good to soft) 28 days ago. Expected to be bang there. 

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1st @ 11\10 & 6th

Timestamp 15.45 Chelmsford 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Promising individual. Tongue strap on for first time, career best when winning 7-runner handicap (12/1) at this C&D 5 days ago despite being slowly away. Will take some stopping under a penalty. 

Katie Tay 17.10 Tramore 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Twice-raced maiden. 13/2, ninth of 15 in bumper at Punchestown (16.4f, good to soft) 110 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Emmet Mullins. One to monitor closely in the betting. 

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1st @ 11\8 & 1st @ 11\8 

Talamanca 14.20 Catterick 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

4/1, career best when winning 8-runner nursery at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 7 days ago, suited by return to sprinting/switch to front-running tactics. No surprise to see him out under a penalty and likely to prove tough to beat with a repeat. 

Moe Sedway 19.00 Roscommon 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

Fairly useful gelding who just failed to get up when third of 14 in maiden at Tipperary (7.4f, good to firm, 2/1) 10 days ago. Has best chance on form. 

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  • 2 weeks later...

15th August (before I went on holidays) 1st @ 6\4 & 1st @ 13\8 :)

How Exciting 14.20 Musselburgh 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

Lightly-raced maiden. 9/2, good second of 8 in nursery at Beverley (5f, good to firm) 13 days ago. Could be up to going one better in a thin race. 

Jesse Evans 19.40 Bellewstown 1 Pt Win @ Evens

Lightly-raced winner on Flat. Useful winner at 17f over hurdles. Good second of 20 in handicap hurdle at Galway (16f, good, 9/1) 27 days ago. Big shout. 

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Pair of 4th's yesterday

Aphelios 15.45 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

First run since leaving Harry & Roger Charlton when good second of 6 in handicap (5/4) at Chelmsford City (6f) 9 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Leading contender. 

Midnight Toker 13.50 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 6\4  (bog)

Lightly-raced maiden. 3/1, ninth of 10 in maiden at this course (5f, good) 89 days ago, finding little. However, did shape with some promise previously and, having been gelded, he may do better now entering nurseries. 

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1st @ 6\4 & 3rd yesterday 

Canterbury Bell 18.18 Hamilton 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 (bog)

2 wins from 3 runs this year. 5/2 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, career best when dead-heating for first in 6-runner handicap at Newmarket (10f, good) 13 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Shortlist material from 4 lb higher mark. 

Library 16.50 Tipperary 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog)

Promising type. Second of 7 in maiden at Leopardstown (7.1f, good, 5/6) 15 days ago, doing too much too soon. Will go on improving for top yard. 

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6th & 1st @ 11\10 yesterday

Taritino 16.41 Redcar 1 Pt Win @ Evens (bog)

Much improved from debut to get off the mark switched to turf when winning 9-runner minor event at this course (7f, good to firm, 11/1) just under 6 weeks ago, making all and dominating down the centre of the track. Could well be more to come so he's high on the shortlist. 

Juncture 15.40 Curragh 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Useful filly. Good ¾-length second of 7 to Boundless Ocean in Desmond Stakes (3/1) at Leopardstown (8f, good) 16 days ago, clear of rest. Yard in good form. Another bold show likely.

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8th & 3rd yesterday

Dowally 17.00 Beverley 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

Highland Reel filly. Closely related to several winners, including 9f winner Norma and 1¼m-1½m winner Nigel and half-sister to useful 1½m-1¾m winner Stanley. Dam 2-y-o 1m winner. 17/2, second of 11 in novice event at Kempton (8f) on debut 12 days ago, rallying. Likely to improve.

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Update

Year 6

image.png.fa4ef2f0e9e5123e0ed58ab0ba0e5d46.png

Bad reading for Year 6. Still think I can turn GB around but this will probably be the last year for the Irish selections. 

For the Irish selections the first year showed a profit of 14.1 %, but since then every year has been at a loss, the worse was Year 2 with a loss of 22.75 Pts / -8.4 %. This years stats for Ireland above shows that year 6 will be worse again. I actually have just come off my worse run of 14 consecutive losses.

Overall

image.png.fd7282ea24ea73b4e8767fa027945d84.png

As can be seen the overall strike rate for GB is 38.6% but the Year 6 strike rate is down to 34.29%, 4.3% below the average.

Doubles

image.png.81048cbc6e65338a02a02ab8948e3536.png

Just in case anybody follows the doubles. Yes due to the consistently bad run of the Irish selections Year 6 is a disaster.

 

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8th & 3rd yesterday

Nigwa 16.51 Ripon 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Sea The Stars filly who has shaped promisingly when twice second in minor events at Nottingham, beaten only a neck on latter occasion 25 days ago. One to beat on form. 

A Mere Bagatelle 16.45 Downpatrick 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

Promising type. Creditable fourth of 15 in handicap hurdle (9/2) at Bellewstown (16.4f, good to firm) 6 days ago. Open to improvement back over the larger obstacles here. 

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1st @ 5\4 & 4th today

Castan 14.35 Ripon 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

Winning nursery debut at Musselburgh in July. Not in quite the same form when third of 8 at Carlisle (5f, good) 11 days ago but he remains well treated on the Musselburgh effort.

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2nd today

Rolypolymoly 18.40 Worcester 1 Pt Win @ Evens (bog)

Fair maiden on the Flat up to 1¼m who has made a good start over hurdles, building on his Stratford second when forging clear at Uttoxeter last month. Another bold show looks assured.

Mister Mister 13.55 Gowran Park 1 pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Highly promising sort. Fifth of 7 in maiden (7/2) at Killarney (8.1f, good to soft) on debut 51 days ago, not knocked about. Obvious claims. 

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1st @ Evens & 3rd today

Raecius Felix 14.30 Sedgefield 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Arrives in good order and his second at Cartmel 5 days ago has been boosted by the third since. Leading claims. 

Harry's Legacy 18.50 Clonmel 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 (bog)

2 wins from 4 runs this year. Latest win at Killarney in July. 4/1, good fourth of 14 in handicap at Killarney (14.2f, good to soft) 14 days ago, slowly away. Excellent claims back up in trip. 

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1st @ 11\8 & 3rd today

Old News 15.25 Newcastle 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

C&D winner. 9/2, creditable second of 10 over C&D 14 days ago. Capable of winning off his current mark. 

Ocean Jewel 16.05 Down Royal 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) 

Promising individual. 10/3, sixth of 19 in maiden at the Curragh (6f, good) on debut 20 days ago. Sets a good standard. 

 

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4th & 1st @ 2\1 yesterday

Dubai Honour 14.05 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ Evens (bog)

Big improver over 1¼m at 3, winning pair of Group 2s in France and second in Group 1 Champion Stakes in the autumn. Just edged out in Group 2 York Stakes on penultimate start and not disgraced when fourth in last month's Juddmonte International. Solid claims on AW debut down in class. 

Search For A Myth 14.45 Wexford 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

Creditable second of 20 in handicap hurdle at Cork (18.8f, good to soft, 11/2) 33 days ago, conceding first run. Hood on 1st time. Has to be taken seriously. 

 

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Pair of 2nd's yesterday

Dynamic Kate 13.30 Fontwell 1 Pt Win @ Evens (bog)

howed much improved form to finally get off the mark in 9-runner handicap hurdle (7/2) over C&D last month and backed it up with a solid effort in second at Worcester. Should go well again. 

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1st @ Evens today

Jive King 14.05 Brighton 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog)

Thrice-raced colt. Second of 8 in minor event at Chepstow (7.1f, good to firm, 5/1) 7 days ago. Reproduction of that near-miss would probably suffice here. 

The Shunter 17.15 Galway 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

Smart chaser. Excellent third of 8 in minor event at Killarney (16.8f, good to soft, 9/2) 18 days ago, unsuited by emphasis on speed. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Holds strong claims.

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1st @ 11\10 & 6th today

Band of Steel 14.30 Goodwood 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

Golden Horn colt who knew his job and made a positive start when runner-up at Chelmsford on debut. That piece of form is the best on offer and he's open to improvement. 

Hotter than Hades 19.40 Galway 1 Pt Win @ 3\1  (bog)

Lightly-raced filly. 33/1, excellent 8 lengths second of 5 to Cairde Go Deo in listed race at Navan (13f, good). Off 115 days. Sets a solid standard. 

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5th & 13th today 

Royal Prospect 14.50 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

7-y-o who arrives here in good order, making it 2 wins from last 3 starts when taking 10-runner C&D handicap 8 days ago. travelling smoothly and pulling clear with runner-up. Can feature again under a 4 lb penalty. 

Perseids 16.05 Cork 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Promising type. Second of 10 in maiden (10/1) at Naas (8f, good to soft) on debut 37 days ago. Stable in good form. May well do better. 

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4th & NR yesterday

Destiny's Spirit 13.50 Chepstow 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

Career best when winning 8-runner nursery at this C&D (good to firm, 11/2) 10 days ago, just holding on. Carries 6lb penalty. Has good chance on form. 

Dream Today 18.55 Laytown 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

Creditable second of 12 in handicap (6/1) at Dundalk (6f) 24 days ago. Well handicapped and looks capable of going one better if in the same form. 

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2nd & 1st @ 15\8 today

Oskar High 17.00 Ballinrobe 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

C&D winner. 1 win from 2 runs this season. 20/1, won 16-runner handicap hurdle at Galway (22.5f, good to soft) 4 days ago, going clear. Carries 7 lb penalty but still looks ahead of his mark.

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1st @ 15\8 yesterday

Jadoomi 16.20 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

Returned after 9 months off with success in 9f listed race at Clairefontaine in July and took another small step forward when following up in a weak Group 2 at Goodwood a month later. Yard couldn't be in better form and he's still low mileage so is of obvious interest. 

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1st @ 9\4 yesterday

Ischia 14.35 Chepstow 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Fair filly. 6/4, second of 4 in maiden at Brighton (6f, good) 20 days ago, collared on the line. Should make no mistake here. 

Highfield Princess 14.25 Curragh 1 pt Win @ 2\1  (bog)

High-class mare who has graduated from ordinary races to the top table, reversing with the form with a couple from the Platinum Jubilee when making all in Prix Maurice de Gheest at Deauville. Coped well with drop back to 5f when following up in Nunthorpe at York in impressive fashion. One to beat. 

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4th & 1st @ 2\1 today

Platinum Prince 16.00 Brighton 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

Three wins from 5 runs this year. 9/4, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 7 days ago, despite being slowly away. Has to be taken seriously from unchanged mark. 

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3rd today

Proverb 14.10 Yarmouth 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 (bog)

€11,000 yearling, €32,000 2-y-o, Harry Angel colt. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner. Second of 9 in novice event (4/1) at Windsor (6f, good) on debut 17 days ago, nearest finish. Likely to improve. 

Goodie Two Shoes  15.10 Punchestown 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

Tongue strap on, won 8-runner maiden at Killarney (11.2f, good to soft, 9/4) on debut 64 days ago. Pitched in at deep end here but she could be very useful. 

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Obelix 14.45 Yarmouth 1 Pt Win @ Evens (bog)

From the family of the high class Jakkalberry and shaped with plenty of promise when second of 7 in minor event at Newmarket (7f, good to soft, 6/1) on debut 19 days ago. Sets a high standard. 

Golden Sandbanks 14.35 Sligo 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

Promising type. Won hurdle at Limerick in July and chase at Tramore in August. 6/4, creditable second of 15 in handicap hurdle at Bellewstown (16.4f, good to firm) 22 days ago. Open to improvement back chasing. Leading claims. 

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2nd & 1st @ 11\4 Today ......... New record for me 6 consecutive winners in Ireland :drums

Baltic Voyage 13.20 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

Frankel colt who proved friendless in betting but stepped up markedly on his debut effort when finishing 2.5 lengths fourth in valuable 17-runner York maiden (7f) 4 weeks ago. One to consider on the back of that. 

Miami Girl  15.10 Naas 1 Pt Win @ 2\1  (bog)

Fairly useful filly. 2 wins from 6 runs this year. 4¼ lengths eighth of 12 to Juliet Sierra in Dick Poole Fillies' Stakes at Salisbury (6f, good to firm, 10/1) 14 days ago. Bold show likely. 

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4th & 2nd today 

Mr Yeats  13.35 Newton Abbott 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Won comfortably from 8 lb out of the handicap over C&D 11 days ago. Effectively running off a 1 lb lower mark this afternoon so he ought to take a bit of stopping if in the same form. 

Arinniti 17.25 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Twice-raced filly. First run since leaving Miss Natalia Lupini when second of 14 in maiden at Navan (5.8f, good to soft, 5/6) 13 days ago, clear of rest. 

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Double Up - 1st @ 11\8 & 1st @ 7\4 (R4 20p)

Breckland 16.40 Catterick 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

3 wins from 16 runs this year. 11/4, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at this C&D (heavy) 11 days ago, always in command. Expected to be bang there. 

Hippodrome 14.45 Gowran Park 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

Promising type. Very green when fifth of 9 in maiden at the Curragh (8f, good to firm, 11/1) on debut 28 days ago, running on late. Sort to improve a fair bit so he's the one to beat. 

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