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Conflict Cup


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Bahama Moon 16.30 Warwick 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

Fairly useful on the Flat and definitely has a race in him in this sphere. Has had a wind operation which might enable him to get the job done now. 

Chacun Pour Soi 14.40 Naas 1 Pt Win @ Evns (bog)

Fairly useful form over jumps in France in 2015/16, successful over hurdles and third in 17f maiden chase (good form). Shouldn't want for fitness starting out in very winnable race. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Bahama Moon 16.30 Warwick 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

4th - held up in rear, headway when mistake 3 out, mistake 2 out, stayed on same pace

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Chacun Pour Soi 14.40 Naas 1 Pt Win @ Evns (bog)

1st @ Evns - made all, jumped well, 6 lengths clear halfway, extended advantage before 3 out and in command in straight, kept on well, very easily

Myplaceatmidnight 14.20 Plumpton 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

Fairly useful bumper winner who improved on opening hurdles exploits to score convincingly at Wincanton in January. Useful efforts in defeat there twice since and sets decent standard back in novice. 

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On 3/10/2019 at 10:18 PM, Xtc12 said:

Myplaceatmidnight 14.20 Plumpton 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

1st @ 6\4 -  made all, pushed along and not fluent 2 out, ran on, comfortable

With Caution 19.45 Wolves 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Unbeaten after 2 starts, landing the odds in a 7-runner minor event at this C&D 15 days ago, forging clear. Should improve again.

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

With Caution 19.45 Wolves 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

2nd - tracked winner, pushed along 2f out, no impression final furlong, eased

Ulster 17.45 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Good start to career, winning pair of 1½m novices here. Further progress when narrowly denied in 14f Wolverhampton handicap 15 days ago. 4 lb rise looks fair given front 2 were 9 lengths clear. 

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On 3/12/2019 at 11:13 PM, Xtc12 said:

Ulster 17.45 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

2nd -  led, ridden inside final furlong, headed towards finish

Sense of Direction 19.30 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

Promising individual. 11/1, third of 9 in minor event at this C&D on debut 60 days ago. Sets a clear standard.

 

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Sideways 15.15 Fakenham 1 Pt WIn @ 13\8 (bog)

Irish point winner who found some improvement for fitting of cheekpieces, successful here and at Sedgefield in January. Respectable efforts since and looks to have further races in him. 

Isosceles 20.45 Dundalk 1 Pt WIn @ 5\2 (bog)

Won 13-runner maiden at this C&D (9/1) 42 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Should have even more to offer. 

 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Sideways 15.15 Fakenham 1 Pt WIn @ 13\8 (bog)

1st @ 13\8 - tracked leaders, tracked leader 4 out, led next, ridden and all out

22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Isosceles 20.45 Dundalk 1 Pt WIn @ 5\2 (bog)

7th - 

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The Cob 17.50 Uttoxeter 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

12/1, showed plenty of ability when second on Ffos Las debut (heavy) in January. Similar conditions again and taken to go one better.

Mala Beach 16.50 Down Royal 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Smart chaser. C&D winner. Well-beaten eighth of 11 to Presenting Percy in John Mulhern Galmoy Hurdle (28/1) at Gowran (24f, soft) 51 days ago. Switches from hurdles to chase.

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On 3/15/2019 at 11:14 PM, Xtc12 said:

The Cob 17.50 Uttoxeter 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

3rd -  held up in touch in last, raced a bit keenly, effort 3f out, 3rd over 2f out, no impression over 1f out, one pace

On 3/15/2019 at 11:14 PM, Xtc12 said:

Mala Beach 16.50 Down Royal 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

2nd - led and disputed, headed 4th and chased leader, pushed along before 3 out where left in lead, joined and pushed along 2 out, ridden before last where narrowly headed, no extra run-in and kept on same pace

Wazowski 16.25 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 9\2 (bog)

Good claims on the pick of his efforts from earlier in the season having walked over at Sedgefield a fortnight ago after a wind operation. 

Christopher Robin 13.45 Wexford 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Fairly useful Flat winner. Thrice-raced maiden over hurdles. 7/2, thirteenth of 20 in juvenile hurdle at Navan (16f, soft) 15 days ago. Big player judged on effort at Gowran on penultimate start. 

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13 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Wazowski 16.25 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 9\2 (bog)

2nd - mid-division, took closer order before 4 out, effort 2 out, stayed on into 2nd after last, kept on well

13 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Christopher Robin 13.45 Wexford 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

1st @ 5\2 - mid-division early, 6th at 4th, soon improved, slight mistake 7th, pushed along approaching straight, on terms from before last, gained narrow lead near side and stayed on well run-in

Well thats the end of year 2, will come back with the review.

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Started this two years ago today for a little bit of fun after the battle between GB and Ireland at Cheltenham. Little did I realise that I would still be in profit 2 years later. 

Overall :

5c8ed4c2c958c_CCCEndofYear2.JPG.5c52ca75bbea58acce6b280d2494efee.JPG

Well looking at the results GB are starting to pull away on all counts.

GB having the most wins and a higher strike rate.

Should I be happy with a 2.54% R on I from 1111 bets. ??

Year 2

5c8ed7119c4ee_CCFinalYear2.JPG.61fa6b366e1a66007fa6c74e27a0801c.JPG

Strike rates not bad in both UK and Ire, but Ireland hammered me in Year 2. 

If you are following the doubles we are still ahead. :beereven after a poor year 2.

5c8ed7ea90913_CCDoublesYear2Table.JPG.533ca86de5b3ffeb0254aa20848b98b0.JPG

 

Most consecutive winners overall: GB 6 from 2nd April 2018 and 8th May 2019 - Ire 4 on five occasions - Daily Doubles 3 on 2 occasions

Most consecutive losers overall : GB 11 from 15th August 2018 - Ire 11 from 5th October 2019  - Daily Doubles 27 from 19th Sept. 2018

Highest Price Winner Overall : GB 4\1 Dotted Swiss 3rd April 2018 - Ire 1 @ 9\1 Smokey Joe Joe 6th January 2018 - Daily Doubles 2 @ 15.78 6th & 7th April 2017.

Lets hope for a better Year 3

 

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Grey Atlantic Way 16.15 Exeter 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

Irish raider who is still a maiden but best effort yet on return from a break when third at Wincanton 11 days ago, finishing a long way clear with 2 unexposed ones. Has to be taken seriously. 

Milan Native 15.30 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Promising sort. 1 win from 3 runs this season. 3½ lengths third of 6 to Chosen Mate in Gr 2 hurdle (6/1) at Naas (16f, good) 22 days ago. Significantly up in trip. One to keep on right side.

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Grey Atlantic Way 16.15 Exeter 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

8th - always towards rear

22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Milan Native 15.30 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

2nd -  tracked leaders disputing 3rd, went 2nd entering straight, pushed along in 2nd 2 out, ridden and disputed lead at last, headed narrowly inside final furlong, kept on same pace close home

Ballasalla 16.20 Wetherby 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog)

Left hurdle efforts behind when runner-up on Carlisle chase bow in December. Just denied both starts since and clearly has a handicap in him. 

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On 3/18/2019 at 10:05 PM, Xtc12 said:

Ballasalla 16.20 Wetherby 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog)

UR -  keen raced wide close up, tracked leaders 11th, not fluent and lost place 14th, rallied 4 out, 2 lengths down in 3rd when landed awkwardly and unseated rider 3 out

On 3/20/2019 at 8:42 AM, Xtc12 said:

Peppay Le Pugh 14.00  Market Rasen 1 pt win @ 11/10 (bog)

2nd - keen held up, headway 3 out, soon chased winner, ridden and no impression from last

I'm to Blame   15.45 Sedgefield 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Has met with defeat just once and made it 3 from 3 at Sedgefield with an all-the-way victory in small-field C&D handicap last month. Up 9 lb and in class now but got to be respected again. 

La Tektor 15.15 Cork 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Promising sort. Tongue strap on for 1st time, second of 19 in novice hurdle (25/1) at Gowran (16f, soft) on hurdles bow 12 days ago, staying on well. Will prove suited by 2½m and sure to progress. 

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11 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

I'm to Blame   15.45 Sedgefield 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

2nd -  tracked leader, progress to challenge when hampered soon after 3 out, every chance when hung left approaching next, hampered and switched right after last, hung right soon after, no extra

11 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

La Tektor 15.15 Cork 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

2nd - settled mid-division, 7th halfway, improved into 4th entering straight, ridden in 2nd 3 out, slight mistake 2 out, no impression before last where slight mistake, kept on same pace

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Chosen World 19.00 Newcastle 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

15/8, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at this C&D 30 days ago, soon clear. A much-improved performer here of late (all 3 wins over C&D) and big shout again up 7 lb.

Luna's Luck 17.10 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 (bog)

Fair gelding. C&D winner. Winner here in October. 8/1, bit below form sixth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 42 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Has to be taken seriously down in grade. 

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On 3/21/2019 at 11:03 PM, Xtc12 said:

Chosen World 19.00 Newcastle 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

2nd -  in touch, headway 2f out, pushed along and stayed on one pace final furlong

On 3/21/2019 at 11:03 PM, Xtc12 said:

Luna's Luck 17.10 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 (bog)

1st @ 9\4 - tracked leaders, 3rd halfway, headway early straight and ridden to lead under 2f out, headed over 1f out, under pressure and kept on well inside final furlong to lead again closing stages

Kings Advice 20.30 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

First run since leaving E. J. O'Neill when won 7-runner handicap at Lingfield (12f, AW, 11/8) on UK debut 21 days ago, readily. Shortlist material. 

Rathnure Rebel 17.15 Thurles 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Useful winner at 24f over hurdles. Promising second of 15 in novice chase (16/1) at Gowran (20f, soft) 14 days ago. May do better yet. 

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Kings Advice 20.30 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

1st @ 6\4 - tracked leader, led 10f out, clear inside final furlong, ran on well

14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Rathnure Rebel 17.15 Thurles 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Non Runner

Charmant 14.55 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Fairly useful hurdler but has looked something else upon tackling fences this term, winning for a third time in 4 starts at Ayr (extended 2m) recently. Big shout again if staying this new trip. 

Billaway 17.00 Downpatrick 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. Very good third of 12 in hunter chase at Gowran (25f, soft, 14/1) 15 days ago. Should take the beating dropping in grade. 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Charmant 14.55 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Fell - held up in 4th, headway 9th, fell 12th

22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Billaway 17.00 Downpatrick 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

1st @ 11\8 -  disputed lead early, headed 2nd, 3rd 5 out, headway to dispute lead after 3 out, led travelling well 2 out, ridden after last, stayed on well inside final furlong

Top Breeze 18.15 Wolverhampton 1 Pt Win @ Evns (bog)

Winner at Kempton on debut in October. Second of 3 in minor event at Chelmsford City (6f, 2/5). Off 109 days and drop to 5f shouldn't be a problem.

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On 3/24/2019 at 9:59 PM, Xtc12 said:

Top Breeze 18.15 Wolverhampton 1 Pt Win @ Evns (bog)

1st @ Evs - led, headed over 3f out, led again over 1f out, nudged out

Graystown 15.10 Hexham 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Capitalised on a reduced mark with a bit in hand from at Ayr last time and, provided he jumps with a bit more assurance, he should make a bold bid for the follow-up. 

Megalomaniac 14.50 Clonmel 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 6/1, very good fifth of 11 in novice hurdle at Wexford (16f, soft) 9 days ago. Looks the one to beat in a much weaker affair. 

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On 3/25/2019 at 10:13 PM, Xtc12 said:

Graystown 15.10 Hexham 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

3rd -  held up and behind, mistake 9th, steady progress 4 out, pushed along after 2 out, went 3rd last, one pace

On 3/25/2019 at 10:13 PM, Xtc12 said:

Megalomaniac 14.50 Clonmel 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

3rd - soon narrow leader, slight mistake 8th, joined approaching straight, soon pushed along and headed approaching 2 out where jumped left, one pace run-in and dropped to 3rd close home

Harry Callahan 15.35 Lingfield 1 Pt Win @ 10\3 (bog)

5/4, didn't need to improve to win 11-runner minor event at Kempton (12f) 16 days ago by length from Schindlers Ark. Significantly back up in trip. Has to be taken seriously. 

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On 3/26/2019 at 10:23 PM, Xtc12 said:

Harry Callahan 15.35 Lingfield 1 Pt Win @ 10\3 (bog)

3rd -  mid-division, headway over 4f out, led over 2f out, headed over 1f out, no extra final furlong

Dustin Des Mottes 15.15 Warwick 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Good strike rate for Francois Nicolle in France and his second at Ascot in December shows he's on a fair mark. Struggled in stronger events subsequently but the return to calmer waters an obvious plus

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Dustin Des Mottes 15.15 Warwick 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Non Runner

Flowery 15.55 Wetherby 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Very tricky ride but hasn't looked back since joining this yard, scoring easily on chase debut at Sedgefield (19.3f, heavy) a fortnight ago. Leading claims. 

Moments Linger 17.45 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

Foaled March 10. Dawn Approach filly. Dam, 2-y-o 6.5f winner, half-sister to useful 7f-10.4f winner Fionnuar.

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On 3/28/2019 at 9:49 PM, Xtc12 said:

Flowery 15.55 Wetherby 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

1st @ 11\4 - made most, not fluent 4 out, ridden out

On 3/28/2019 at 9:49 PM, Xtc12 said:

Moments Linger 17.45 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

2nd - bumped by rival from stalls, tracked leaders and 4th halfway, pushed along under 2f out, ridden in 3rd on outer 1f out, kept on well inside final furlong

Thunder Buddy 18.00 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

5/2 and cheekpieces on first time, career best when winning 14-runner handicap over C&D 37 days ago, keeping on well. Has to be taken seriously. 

California Daddy 16.00 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Thrice-raced colt. 4/6, second of 7 in maiden at Leopardstown (8f, good to firm). Sets the standard on his juvenile efforts and the one to beat after 9 months off. 

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11 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Thunder Buddy 18.00 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

3rd - tracked leaders, outpaced over 3f out, ridden over 2f out, stayed on to dispute 2nd inside final furlong, no impression with winner

13 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

California Daddy 16.00 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

2nd - soon disputed lead, led over 3f out, headed and kept on without matching winner closing stages

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My Way 14.10 Ascot 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

Useful form over fences in France and back on track over hurdles for Paul Nicholls, second in valuable 21f Kempton handicap earlier this month. Big shout back in a maiden.

Barnes Des Mottes 17.15 Limerick 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

4/1, won 13-runner bumper at Naas (16f, good) on NH debut 50 days ago, bit in hand. Major player.

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

My Way 14.10 Ascot 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

Non Runner

22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Barnes Des Mottes 17.15 Limerick 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

6th -  tracked leaders, 3rd 6f out, ridden approaching straight and no impression under 2f out, no extra inside final furlong

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