Club Rugby Weekend > Mar 11th & 12th

[StevieDay1983]

A host of club fixtures this weekend which is surprising due to the Six Nations games but I suppose the club game must continue. Just surprised to see some key European games on this weekend rather than being on last weekend. What do you reckon, @harry_rag?

[Labrador]

Hopefully this is the right place for some Southern Hemisphere Super Rugby stuff.

There's a big clash in NZ between Chiefs and Hurricanes at Hamilton. It's expected to be a close run affair. The striking point for me is the desperate weather which is widely forecast to persist all day with the rain set to get heavier from 6pm (kick off is 7.35pm - which is very early morning GMT). Points have been racked up big time in the opening 2 rounds, but that was against very weak opponents like Sunwolves. This is a real clash of heavyweights in likely poor conditions. I've gone with the spreads in selling match multi-points at 515 with Spreadex. The best fixed odds total points lines are arguably under 42.5 (6/5) and under 41.5 (13/10), although there are bigger prices for the more adventurous. The last 2 matches in Hamilton between Chiefs and Hurricanes yielded 34 points and 40 points. If the weather men are correct, it could be a real arm-wrestle tomorrow with tries at a premium.

Western Force were a bit of a surprise package last week in overcoming Reds at home. Their star was right winger, Chance Peni, whose stats indicated that he beat most defenders in round 2, including scoring Force's try. The Force have an all Aussie affair in Canberra tomorrow against Brumbies. The weather should be very good for plenty of tries and points. Cook Islander Chance Peni has cut his teeth in Rugby League where he scored loads of tries. Hopefully he's in the mood against Brumbies and rates a bet for to score anytime at 15/8 (skybet).

[Labrador]

Was indeed very wet in Hamilton but, annoyingly, 10 points scored in the last 2 minutes of the game chopped the multi-points profit to 32 (make up was 483).

Chance Peni did the business, going over just after HT.

[harry_rag]

Well done on both, if unlucky with the multis return. Peni caught my eye last week (unfortunate choice of phrase given his name) when I backed Rona. Price this week didn't quite tempt me to follow you in.

[harry_rag]

If you fancy a bet on the Exeter/Harlequins LV cup game, the following have tempted me to put some money down.

Buy S. Simmonds try minutes at 11 with SPIN (7/2 anytime ok if you don't "speak spread"), and anytime bets on Townsend at 5/1 with PP, Marchant at 7/2 with Hills and Chisholm at 4/1 with Lads

One should get you your money back (though I'm at the mercy of when it's scored for Simmonds).

Edited March 12, 2017 by harry_rag
corrected a typo

[harry_rag]

In the Clermont v Montpellier game I've bought Clermont hotshots for 2 points at 29 with SPIN (25 points per Grosso, Penaud, Strettle and Abendanon try)

29-32 with SX so effectively a "spread free" trade and one I'm happy to make when my "true" price is a fraction short of 32. All 4 players look reasonable enough to me, with the youngster Penaud the closest to a makeweight, but it would be no surprise to see him score his first club try today.

[harry_rag]

Phew, was expecting this to end up a "should have had a day off" day a 77th minute try for Simmonds and a Strettle try for Clermont means I managed to show a profit over the 2 games.