BillyHills Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 3 for Thursday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbaballsb Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Towcester 3:45 KILDISART This race is very open so proceed with caution, but this horse has been woking as well as anything in Paulings yard so far and he has said on his stable tour that he really fancies this horse to have a big season. Its come from a decent irish PTP race and has a strong rating. I have no doubt that the price of 10/1 is a great EW shout and will be backed in. Alot of trainers that are in form in the race but this horse must go close, Very close. I see the danger in the race as Thomas Shelby, very green on debut but may need it abit sharper than tomorrow. 2pt EW Bet BillyHills 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 12,45 towc Lunar flow 98.91 Double court 98.87 Denny Kerrel 98,83 Lunar flow is hard to assess ...could stil be on the upgrade and this is a weak race so if he's fit after a break to do himself justice then certainly has the ability to take this ...if he fails then most likely double court will benefit but that ones looking a bit exposed now so I'll stick with lunar flow and hope he's ready Lunar flow 3pts ew 5/1 bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris34 Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 12.25 Southwell Its so good to be back at Southwel today and some really competitive races aswell. I am a huge fan of horses have previously run on this surface and several of the inform horses have never run on this surface so struggling to reach my criteria for a bet. Davey Boy has won over 7f around here but has only beaten 1 rival since then in handicaps including one back here over this CD so clearly risky but is tumbling in weights and top yard are persevering. Barista has been holding his form well but his 2 runs on this surface don’t offer much hope. Limerick Lord might be worth giving a chance to on a return to this surface, largely ran respectably throughout a busy summer, had a short break when yard were quiet and 2 latest runs since that break suggest those runs were needed also a step back up in trip a positive move. He won around here over this CD under Shelley off a mark of 60 he is today running off 53, looks a danger to all from a good draw. 2pt win Limerick Lord 6/1 Betway 3.55 Southwell Dont usually bet in apprentice races but one catches my eye in this field. Dr Red Eye is an out and out front runner who is finding winning tough these day. He is drawn in stall 2 on the inside so will need to be sharp out around here, he has run some respectable races over the summer but become somewhat unreliable now has blinkers back reapplied. Has previously gone well around here and this course can suit a horse that can get out infront and has the stamina to stay there which he does have. He has dropped 20lb below his last winning mark and so dangerous to dismiss especially with a promising apprentice taking the saddle claiming a handy further 5lb. 1pt e/w Dr Red Eye 14/1 bet365 6.55 Chelmsford Russian Reward is drawn out in the car park which is not helpful and this is a competitive race but he was a promising 2nd at Kempton over 7f doing the best of those held up in a slowly run affair. Again not much pace in this race but it is a large field so hopefully something will make this competitive. The step up back to a mile also looks a good move and 3rd run back from a break so should be competitive. 2lb ahead of the handicapper at present. The draw stats are negative for win purposes (limited stats available for large fields like this) although there have been 5 placed efforts from 17 runs from this stall. 1pt e/w Russian Reward 8/1 bet365 7.25 Chelmsford Another really competitive affair and thankfully selection for this one is drawn much kinder in stall 2 although to be honest 7f around here has some strange draw stats the wide draw often does well over 7f. Anastazia looked a real progressive and promising sort during the AW season in 2014 when winning 2 handicaps on the trot but that progression levelled out, slowly the handicapper relented and she managed a win at Yarmouth this year. 2lb higher for that win but 4lb below highest winning mark. Possibly didn’t get home last time out over a mile, respectable the time before at Wolves but eye catching run on last start here 3 runs back over CD when doing best of those held up by a long way in a strange race where most were struggling by halfway and nothing really got into with the front 3 pulling clear. Now 2lb lower from that run so could be dangerous to dismiss from a decent draw in a competitive race. 1pt e/w Anastazia 12/1 bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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