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Champions League Home Dogs


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I'm going to test this system, using the same parameters I used for the underdogs system I used (but didn't post on here) for the Euros during the summer. It's similar to my underdog system. Back any CL team that is at home and is odds of 4.0 to 8.0. If a home team is odds of over 8.0, then I will back the draw. I stress that this is a TEST. I am not backing with real money, and anyone who does so is doing it at your risk. Stakes for the test will be £10, all prices from betfair. This midweeks selections up soon.

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Decent first week. Gladbach led for a good while vs barca and Ludogorets missed a penalty when 2-1 down (and of course PSG make it 1-3 a minute later lol) so could have been a stonking week but happy to start with profit.

27.09. zagreb juventus D 6.2 -£10.00 0 4
28.09. celtic man city D 6 £47.50 3 3
28.09. ludogorets psg D 5 -£10.00 1 3
28.09. GLADBACH barcelona H 7.8 -£10.00 1 2
------ WEEKLY TOTAL ------ ------ £17.50 ------
             
------ OVERALL TOTAL ------ ------ £17.50 ------
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  • 3 weeks later...

All quite close but no cigar. How did Lyon lose after missing a penalty and Juve going down to 10 men and being at home? lol

18.10. CLUB BRUGGE porto H 5.2 -£10.00 1 2
18.10. D ZAGREB sevilla H 7.4 -£10.00 0 1
18.10. LYON juventus H 5.8 -£10.00 0 1
19.10. ROSTOV atl madrid D 5.2 -£10.00 0 1
------ WEEKLY TOTAL ------ ------ -£40.00 ------
             
------ OVERALL TOTAL   ------ -£22.50 ------
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  • 2 weeks later...

Nice week for this. Thought arsenal had ruined it with their late winner but I wonder what price the draw was in the Madrid game when they were 2-0 up lol

01.11. BASEL psg H 6.2 -£10.00 1 2
01.11. ludogorets arsenal D 5.8 -£10.00 2 3
01.11. psv b munich D 5.3 -£10.00 1 2
02.11. legia warsaw madrid D 12 £104.50 3 3
------ WEEKLY TOTAL ------ ------ £74.50 ------
             
------ OVERALL TOTAL   ------ £52.00 ------
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  • 3 weeks later...

Again some close run matches here. No winners though. Rostov is a bit of a sickener lol

22.11. CSKA leverkusen H 4.1 -£10.00 1 1
22.11. ZAGREB lyon H 7 -£10.00 0 1
22.11. SPORTING madrid H 5.7 -£10.00 1 2
23.11. rostov b munich D 6.4 -£10.00 3 2
23.11. celtic barcelona D 6.4 -£10.00 0 2
23.11. GLADBACH man city H 4.8 -£10.00 1 1
  WEEKLY TOTAL     -£60.00  
             
------ OVERALL TOTAL   ------ -£8.00 ------
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Typical that there is only 1 selection this week haha. I've added in the asian handicap odds from bet365 for the +1 in the home teams favour. The AH odds are actually 1.625 but my spreadsheet automatically rounds it up haha. Any questions or if anything isn't clear then fire away :ok

07.12. LEGIA WARSAW sporting l H 4.9 £37.07 1.63 £6.25
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  • 9 months later...
  • 2 weeks later...
  • 3 years later...
  • 2 weeks later...

A bit late putting these up. looked them out yesterday and forgot to post them on here lol. Anyway, this week....

 

27.10. lokomotiv mosc b munich DRAW 9.20
  shakhtar inter HOME 4.30
  marseille man city DRAW 5.40
28.10. basaksehir psg DRAW 7.40
  krasnodar chelsea DRAW 4.90
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