Championship, League 1 & League 2 > September

[StevieDay1983]

Odds provided by bet365.

It might be the international break but there is no rest for the wicked in League 1 and League 2. A fair few matches that are tough to call this week. League 1 is only really offering Bolton and Peterborough as firm favourites with League 2 only showing Portsmouth as stand-out favourites. Interested to see where you guys are putting your bets this week.

[Kenton Schweppes]

I wouldn't be confident posting a win on these games. The best prices are to be found in League 2 and leaders Morecambe are being offered at 12/5 at home....what's that all about?

Sky Bet are offering Carlisle at evens at home to Accrington Stanley. Stanley have been dire this time around and Carlisle have had a decentish start, this a decent price, worth taking as I suspect on the high street you won't get this.

After a shaky start Doncaster 6/5 have won their last 3 in the league and they are nicely priced tomorrow away at Crewe, Alex seem to be the draw specialists so the draw might be worth looking at here but I'll plump for Doncaster in this one.

Mansfield host rock bottom Cambridge and are priced at 23/20, bit surprised that Cambridge are bottom if truth be known but they aren't bottom for nothing. Mansfield have yet to string two wins together and secured an impressive away win at Leyton Orient last time out. Home win here.

After opening the season with 2 defeats, last years defeated play off finalists Plymouth are coming into tomorrow on the back of 3 consecutive wins and are priced at 11/10 tomorrow against Cheltenham.

The only other price in this league that is of interest is Colchester at home to Exeter, 21/20 they are priced at, they have made a decent fist of this league since being relegated and if you were unsure on Plymouth you could swap them round.

I'm going to plump for a 4 fold of Carlisle, Doncaster, Mansfield and Colchester pays 18/1 with Sky Bet.

[StevieDay1983]

Reckon Morecambe is anything to do with their takeover this week? Manager and players might be unsettled uncertain that they will still be with the club for much longer?

[BaldEagle1950]

My Fibonacci system bets this weekend are as follows : 

£1 singles : Bolton Win , Oxford Lose , Grimsby Lose.

£2 singles : Wimbledon Lose , Colchester Win.

£3 singles :  Cheltenham Draw.

£5 singles : Northampton & MKDons Draw, Blackpool Draw.

£6 singles :  Crewe & Doncaster Draw.

[Kenton Schweppes]

2 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

Reckon Morecambe is anything to do with their takeover this week? Manager and players might be unsettled uncertain that they will still be with the club for much longer?

I don'the know but whoever they are playing they seem to be priced up at 2/1 plus most weeks, they were 16/5 last week at Accrington. Not sure they'll continue to remain at the top though but not sure what method the bookies are using to price them up.

[malabgd]

Bolton Wanderers v Southend Utd

Bolton Wanderers: Mark Davies (5/0 m), Dorian Dervite (0/0 d), Zach Clough (3/0 f), Max Clayton (0/0 f), Darren Pratley (1/0 m)

Southend Utd: Stephen McLaughlin (5/2 m), Ben Coker (5/0 d)(both doubtful), Michael Timlin (0/0 m), Anthony Wordsworth (0/0 m), Nile Ranger (1/0 f)

 

Bury FC v Port Vale

Bury FC: Kelvin Etuhu (3/1 m), Nathan Cameron (3/0 d)(both doubtful), Neil Danns (3/1 m), Andrew Tutte (0/0 m), Chris Brown (0/0 f), George Miller (0/0 f)

Port Vale: Paulo Tavares (5/0 m, doubtful), Adam Yates (0/0 d), Michael Brown (0/0 m)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

[StevieDay1983]

16 hours ago, BaldEagle1950 said:

My Fibonacci system bets this weekend are as follows : 

£1 singles : Bolton Win , Oxford Lose , Grimsby Lose.

£2 singles : Wimbledon Lose , Colchester Win.

£3 singles :  Cheltenham Draw.

£5 singles : Northampton & MKDons Draw, Blackpool Draw.

£6 singles :  Crewe & Doncaster Draw.

Fascinating to see how these bets work out for you, @BaldEagle1950. Who do you support as a matter of interest?

[gogetta]

22 hours ago, Kenton Schweppes said:

I wouldn't be confident posting a win on these games. The best prices are to be found in League 2 and leaders Morecambe are being offered at 12/5 at home....what's that all about?

Sky Bet are offering Carlisle at evens at home to Accrington Stanley. Stanley have been dire this time around and Carlisle have had a decentish start, this a decent price, worth taking as I suspect on the high street you won't get this.

After a shaky start Doncaster 6/5 have won their last 3 in the league and they are nicely priced tomorrow away at Crewe, Alex seem to be the draw specialists so the draw might be worth looking at here but I'll plump for Doncaster in this one.

Mansfield host rock bottom Cambridge and are priced at 23/20, bit surprised that Cambridge are bottom if truth be known but they aren't bottom for nothing. Mansfield have yet to string two wins together and secured an impressive away win at Leyton Orient last time out. Home win here.

After opening the season with 2 defeats, last years defeated play off finalists Plymouth are coming into tomorrow on the back of 3 consecutive wins and are priced at 11/10 tomorrow against Cheltenham.

The only other price in this league that is of interest is Colchester at home to Exeter, 21/20 they are priced at, they have made a decent fist of this league since being relegated and if you were unsure on Plymouth you could swap them round.

I'm going to plump for a 4 fold of Carlisle, Doncaster, Mansfield and Colchester pays 18/1 with Sky Bet.

You're spot on about the League 2 prices! Colchester tends to be strong at home but Exeter is unpredictable away. My selections:

Carlisle vs Accrington - Home win

Plymouth vs Cheltenham - Home win

Yeovil vs Blackpool - Draw

[clubgowi]

England League 2: Luton - Wycombe

I was surprised that Luton Town managed to keep hold of all their promising youngsters in the transfer window, that shows great ambition , infact, they strengthened with the good looking additions of winger Alex Gilliead (Newcastle United) and left-back Jack Senior (Huddersfield Town), Gilliead played a full season at L2 last season and should hit the ground running, adding goals and assists. The Hatters now look a very strong squad and anything less than a serious promotion push is going to be viewed as failure. They are a big club at this level and I spoke about that ahead of a trip to Dagenham last season under old boss John Still .........

"Town are a very big club in League 2 terms and simply have to be, at the very least, challenging for promotion, a run of four games without a win ( five in all competitions) has left them down in 15th place and whilst that is "only" six points adrift of the play off spots, this feels very much like draw a line in the sand time and a match the Hatters have to find a way to win.

In comparison, Daggers are tiny, operate on small crowds and a similar sized budget and the fact that they have been a Football League club for nine years and even enjoyed one single season in League 1 is almost solely down to one man and that is Luton boss John Still, who vitually single handedly overhauled the club from top to bottom, saved them from relegation out of the Conference, took them into the FL and then even L1 and did so on a playing budget most managers would have looked at and thought it was the expenses for the ball boys and tea ladies ! Daggers have always stayed within budget, which meant even by Conference standards it is small and they have to sell to even stick to that and what Still did at the club was simply amazing. He knows everyone at Dagenham and I am talking about everyone, including probably half the supporters by name, actually Still knows almost everyove in football, but his heart, or at least a large part of it remains in this corner of East London and speaking about returning this week, it has been almost too painful and he said he just wants to go, play and leave as soon as possible. I guess it is like seeing an old girlfriend you still have feelings for .

It is not his first return, Town took four points from the h2h meetings last year, drawing 0-0 here, where they played an hour with ten men following a hotly disputed sending off and were later denied what looked a stonewall penalty, that and Town's need for all three points will ensure that there is not too much sympathy, at least on the pitch and the visiting supporters who are going to form at least 50% (1,200 advance tickets sold) of the crowd, can make the trip home happy. Team news is not overly important, the Town squad is on another level, but it is worth noting that Craig Mackail-Smith has busted a gut to get fit for this, he was more or less the first signing that Still made at Dagenham, joining from what was basically 8th tier football (!), he went on to make two big money moves and a good living from football and turned down the offer of League 1 football from at least two clubs to play for his former boss once more. CMS is desperate to play one more time at tiny Victoria Road.

Town have been getting into good positions, but not seeing out games well, they have led in two of the last three and were level entering injury time in the other and yet only took one point from those games and that has to stop, a free midweek and the extra day to prepare solely for this will have helped after six games inside 21 days previously and I feel we will see a very focused performance from the visitors today."

Town won that 2-0 ,but Still didn't see the season out and is now back at Daggers, his replacement Nathan Jones had the second half of 15-16 to sort things out and has had plenty of time to build, he has two years left on his contract, but probably knows it has to be this season he makes his mark and he has been given big support by the board.

Wycombe are struggling financially and have not been done andy favours by a massive injury crisis, despite winning in the EPL Trophy in midweek, the squad named highlighted their issues, they could not fill the bench, it included two players they dare not risk and their 43 yo head coach Gareth Ainsworth, who was one of two substituions made.They have around a third of their squad unavailable and they will struggle to take anything from this fixture.

Luton Town -0.5 ball 1.98 asian line/Sportmarket

from Clubgowi newsletter
 

[Kenton Schweppes]

Nowhere near today 

[WinningAdvice]

If you don't mind, who's the favourite to win this season?

[Kenton Schweppes]

1 hour ago, WinningAdvice said:

If you don't mind, who's the favourite to win this season?

League Two was Portsmouth I think and probably Bolton for League One, don't quote me on that though.

[StevieDay1983]

Odds courtesy of bet365.

There are quite a few apparent bankers on the schedule this week. Seven fixtures where the home side are available at shorter than 1.80. Odds of 28.24 if you shove them in a seven fold accumulator which is tempting!

What bets are you guys looking at this weekend in the Football League?

[gogetta]

League Two

Crewe vs Exeter  - BTTS

Luton vs Grimsby  - Under 2.5

Notts County vs Accrington  - Home win

Cambridge Utd  AH+0.5

 

Result:  Crewe 2-0 Exeter

              Luton 1-2 Grimsby

            Notts C 0-2 Accrington

         Plymouth 2-1 Cambridge

Edited September 11, 2016 by gogetta

[aliando]

Really struggling to see beyond a Norwich/Brighton double being decent value.  2 sides who should be fighting out for play off places, if not automatic spots, playing home against two clubs in decline.  My club Cardiff, look set for a looonnng season.  Despite the signing of Ricky Lambert, we look painfully shy up front and dodgy at the back.  Brentford have struggled on the road already this season. With promotion hopes, both teams should be looking for comfortable  home victories after losses, last time out.

Edited September 9, 2016 by aliando

[Kenton Schweppes]

Instantly, there are two prices that stand out like sore thumbs in The Championship as being good value, Bristol City 5/4 at Rotherham and Newcastle 17/10 at Derby. got to fancy Bristol, Rotherham are leaking goals willy nilly, granted the loss of Kodija to Derby is a big loss, bit Rotherham's defence is so porous I think they have more than a decent chance here. Bit mystified by Newcastle's price they seem to be hitting their stride nicely now after a shakey start. Derby have been out splashing the cash on a couple of new strikers in the international break but will it pay instant dividends? Think Pearson is on borrowed time their if he can't turn it round, talk about having a sluggish start to the season.

Going to let you into an interesting stat here that is probably worth a bet tomorrow that I bet no one has picked up, Leeds v Huddersfield, the last 10 fixtures between the 2 clubs has seen over 2.5 goals in every game and Sky Bet are offering over 2.5 goals at evens. I genuinely think this is worth backing. To be honest, on paper, the 6/4 on us looks good and on paper we should win but I would avoid backing us, as anything could happen and generally tends to in this fixture.

Onto League One, only one price catches my eye here and that's Sheffield United at 6/4 at Wimbledon. A bad start but United have won their last two games and one of them an away win at Gillingham, not an easy place to go. They could be worth a closer inspection.

Swiftly onto League Two, I see Morecambe are being offered at another crazy price, why I don't know? Leyton Orient are being offered at 23/10 up at Carlisle and I think that is worth a dabble. Other decent prices are evens on Plymouth and Luton and Mansfield at 11/10.

 

[StevieDay1983]

Some varied selections there, @gogetta. Interested to see how they do. You've had some decent tips in other leagues across the world so let's see if you are as prolific in the Football League!

@aliando, I didn't know you were a Bluebird! Great to see another one on here! I was initially very pessimistic about our dealings during the transfer window but remembered how many signings we've made. I'm still not happy that we've lost Fabio and David Marshall but the signings of Emyr Huws and Joe Bennett are very shrewd. I still think our very weak keeper situation will cost us but I think we have enough to stay mid-table. We won't challenge the play-offs though. If we do then Paul Trollope is a genius.

@Kenton Schweppes, bet you're loving David Wagner winning Manager of the Month. Definitely means your lot are on for a barren September! Hahaha. Some nice tips there. Agree with those first two as well. Bristol City at that price is brilliant. Signing Tammy Abraham on loan was a master stroke.

[Kenton Schweppes]

1 hour ago, StevieDay1983 said:

Some varied selections there, @gogetta. Interested to see how they do. You've had some decent tips in other leagues across the world so let's see if you are as prolific in the Football League!

@aliando, I didn't know you were a Bluebird! Great to see another one on here! I was initially very pessimistic about our dealings during the transfer window but remembered how many signings we've made. I'm still not happy that we've lost Fabio and David Marshall but the signings of Emyr Huws and Joe Bennett are very shrewd. I still think our very weak keeper situation will cost us but I think we have enough to stay mid-table. We won't challenge the play-offs though. If we do then Paul Trollope is a genius.

@Kenton Schweppes, bet you're loving David Wagner winning Manager of the Month. Definitely means your lot are on for a barren September! Hahaha. Some nice tips there. Agree with those first two as well. Bristol City at that price is brilliant. Signing Tammy Abraham on loan was a master stroke.

Ha ha I know, I was hoping he wouldn't get it but if he hadn't have won it they would have had to have been a parliamentary enquiry into it, it was that obvious!! I'm hoping the curse doesn't strike today, anywhere but at Leeds.

[StevieDay1983]

Odds provided by bet365.

Some midweek Championship action for us here. @Kenton Schweppes, can your boys extend their lead at the top of the table. Tough game in Brighton so you'd do well to get a point from that. A fair few home favourites this round. Think Leeds, QPR, and Reading are worth at least a draw no bet. Any other bets you guys are backing?

[Kenton Schweppes]

It's a big ask Stevie mate....but the bookies are being unbelievably generous on us but it is a tough game, I'll admit, but we are a full 8 points in front of Brighton. I'd deffo say we were worth a single tonight.

[MuineBheag]

Sheffield Wednesday looked very good on saturday,could have won by 3 goals or more,easily.They are very strong this season,plus they recruted well before transfer deadline day,have good manager on the bench,today without important missings.Bristol City started season well,but the loss of Kodija will catch up on them sooner then later...

 

Owls looking good at Evens tonight,i will take them without hesitation.

[MuineBheag]

Owls horror show...but with happy end 

[waynecoyne]

what a game

I don't think they will miss Kodjia if Abrahams stays fit- he looks a great prospect

[StevieDay1983]

Tammy Abraham is looking quite the signing. I cannot believe Cardiff's result. 3-0 defeat to Preston. I really think unless Trollope changes formation we are in trouble. 3-5-2 simply isn't working for us. No pace, no creativity, and it's a cliche situation of square pegs in round holes.

[StevieDay1983]

Odds provided by bet365.

Barnsley, Huddersfield, and Newcastle as a 7.78 treble is looking tasty given their current form and opponents in the Championship.

League One could be a chance to get a few away wins into your accumulators this week with sides such as Gillingham, Scunthorpe, Millwall, and Bolton all being offered at a fair price.

League Two is a bloody minefield this week. So many games that are too close to call. Plymouth and Portsmouth are the only two sides showing any real consistency lately after a poor start. Too many sides just unable to get a run of results together makes it a near-impossible division to predict right now. Best advice is to bet against Yeovil, Cambridge, and Wycombe!

[Tiffy]

On 13 September 2016 at 15:36:52, Kenton Schweppes said:

It's a big ask Stevie mate....but the bookies are being unbelievably generous on us but it is a tough game, I'll admit, but we are a full 8 points in front of Brighton. I'd deffo say we were worth a single tonight.

I was at this game and was looking forward to watching the league leaders. However, they were poor, I don't know if it was an off night for them, but it looked like they came for a point. They defended well. But offered little goal threat. The funny thing was that they "time wasted" all game, especially the keeper (& at corners too). As soon as Brighton scored they couldn't move quick enough, especially the keeper & they moaned at the ref as Brighton slowed things down.

Their keeper got massive cheers when the video replay showed him fumbling the ball into the net.

At half time I was so bored I was struggling to stay awake as Huddersfield broke the game up, slowed things down & wasted time at every opportunity.

karma, it gets you in the end!

[Kenton Schweppes]

1 minute ago, Tiffy said:

I was at this game and was looking forward to watching the league leaders. However, they were poor, I don't know if it was an off night for them, but it looked like they came for a point. They defended well. But offered little goal threat. The funny thing was that they "time wasted" all game, especially the keeper (& at corners too). As soon as Brighton scored they couldn't move quick enough, especially the keeper & they moaned at the ref as Brighton slowed things down.

Their keeper got massive cheers when the video replay showed him fumbling the ball into the net.

At half time I was so bored I was struggling to stay awake as Huddersfield broke the game up, slowed things down & wasted time at every opportunity.

karma, it gets you in the end!

By all accounts we didn't play so well and like I said, I knew it would be a tough game and I had a feeling we would be defeated but we are a decent team but you have picked up on something which is off a concern to me, our lack of goal threat. Wagner insists on playing with 1 up front and it's not something I'm a fan off. To be honest, the start has surpassed all of our wildest expectations on the terraces at Town but I'm not sure we'll be in the shake up come April/May but I do think we'll finish top 10 and be ready for a promotion assault next season.

 

Took your time in breaking us down though and you only scored through a keeper error....I just hop you don't lose tomorrow at Burton......but I'll be backing you as you're a decent price tomorrow.

[Kenton Schweppes]

Not much time today but I've had a quick look and it's all the B's today....Brentford, Barnsley(I have my reservations over these guys how long is this good start going to continue?) Brighton and Bolton. I'm going to take a few non league acca's too.

[StevieDay1983]

I have big hopes for Barnsley. I've tracked Paul Heckingbottom for a while because he was on the FAW coaching system which I've been involved with and he graduated with the highest badge last year. I think he's a potential future England manager if he can continue as he has started. I think Barnsley are a good bet for the play-offs this season.

[saimon76]

Burton Albion-Brighton 2@2 eurobet

Some Value is already gone and i hope I am not going to leech my blood again in this very good but also unpredictable Championship; but if 1+1=2 today Brighton should have a walk in the park against a team that has make a very good start of the season but is facing an injury disaster today. In fact they will miss the complete defense practically with Flanagan, Macfedzen, Mcrory, Mousinho and Turner all out and all starters less or more.Moreover, O'Grady Beavon and Akins will also miss out (all attackers and forwards).

Mister of home has a very big hedache on how put defense and midfield on today, Brighton is one of the main contenders again this year for PL promotion, and so they have to step up and simply take this 3 pts away and make a decent solid run from now on.Stake 7 for me ! C'mon Brightooonnn!