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gogetta

Argentina Primera Division 2016/2017

64 posts in this topic

 

River Plate vs Rosario Central

 

Boca Juniors’ unexpected 1-1 draw, away to Huracan yesterday, has suddenly swung the title momentum towards River Plate; which can climb to the top of the table if they beat Rosario today and also win their game in hand on Wednesday away to Atletico Tucuman.

The hosts come from a 1-2 home loss to Colombia’s Independiente Medellin on Thursday, in the Copa Libertadores. Despite the fact that River had already qualified for the last 16 and Coach Marcello left seven regulars out of the starting eleven, the loss was still embarrassing as the club was celebrating its 116th birthday.  Coach Gallardo is keen for his team to recover from that mishap and, particularly, to address the team’s lack of concentration in leaving behind spaces for their opponents to capitalize on. Gallardo will repeat the team that won 3-1 away against Boca Juniors and also beat Gimnazia LP 0-3 away on Tuesday.

The visitors, Rosario Central, have a very poor record against the hosts; just five draws and 11 defeats from all their visits in the last two decades, with more recent history indicating three consecutive defeats! But they have been on good form recently; 8 wins, one draw and only one loss in the last ten league games. And they come from a 4-1 home thrashing of Racing. Uruguayan Coach Paolo Montero will make only one change in the team that defeated Racing; Jose Leguizamon will enter for the suspended Paulo Ferrari.

Hosts have no option but to seek a win after Boca’s unexpected slip yesterday. Home win and Under 2.5 goals.

 

Bet Lost: River Plate 0-0 Rosario Central

Edited by gogetta
StevieDay1983 likes this

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Friday 2 June 2017 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Club Atlético Sarmiento v Defensa y Justicia (23:00 BST) 6.7 4.15 1.63 100.37 %
  Saturday 3 June 2017 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Godoy Cruz v Atlético de Rafaela (01:15 BST) 2.16 3.48 3.85 101.01 %
maximize.gif Tigre v Vélez Sársfield (18:00 BST) 2.44 3.2 3.35 102.08 %
maximize.gif Temperley v Talleres de Córdoba (20:15 BST) 12 4.75 2.31 72.68 %
maximize.gif Rosario Central v Colon de Santa Fe (21:15 BST) 1.77 3.62 5.4 102.64 %
maximize.gif Unión de Santa Fe v Newell's Old Boys (23:30 BST) 3 3.08 2.75 102.16 %
  Sunday 4 June 2017 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Lanus v Estudiantes de La Plata (00:00 BST) 2.35 3.18 3.5 102.57 %
maximize.gif San Lorenzo v River Plate (18:00 BST) 2.89 3.25 2.69 102.55 %
maximize.gif Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata v Banfield (20:00 BST) 2.81 3.22 2.78 102.61 %
maximize.gif Belgrano v Arsenal de Sarandi (20:15 BST) 1.95 3.35 4.75 102.19 %
maximize.gif Olimpo v CA Huracan (21:00 BST) 2.2 3.2 3.96 101.96 %
maximize.gif Atlético Tucumán v San Martin-San Juan (22:30 BST) 2.03 3.3 4.3 102.82 %
maximize.gif Boca Juniors v Independiente (23:00 BST) 2.11 3.26 4.1 102.46 %
  Monday 5 June 2017 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Quilmes AC v Patronato (23:00 BST) 2.38 3.05 3.6 102.58 %
  Tuesday 6 June 2017 Home Draw Away BPP
maximize.gif Racing Club v Aldosivi (01:15 BST) 1.5 4 6.5 107.05 %

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Sarmiento vs Defensa

Hosts come from a 4-2 thrashing away to San Martin; thus firmly rooted to the bottom of both the league table as well as the table of averages, and on the verge of relegation. The team needs a miracle to survive: it has not won in the last ten matches (three draws and seven losses), and has conceded ten goals in the last three games. For this game, Coach Fernando ‘Tete’ Quiroz (the fourth coach of the team this season) will miss injured defenders Alexis Niz and Francisco Dutari, while winger Adrian Scifo is suspended. And in a sign that the club is already planning for life outside the top division, Coach Quiroz intends to field a team full of youths against Defensa.

The visitors, on the other hand, are on a momentum: with two draws and six wins in the last eight matches, and has not conceded a goal in the last seven games. They are 13th in the table and arrive for this match after a 1-0 home win against Tigre; and with the ambition of  further climbing the table to classify for the next edition of the Copa Sudamericana.

Hosts are in poor form and appear to have lost the fight for survival; while the visitors are on form and are motivated to get the three points. Away win.

 

Bet Lost: Sarmiento 1-0 Defensa:eyes

Edited by gogetta

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argentinaratings.jpg

Trying my best to keep up with the fixtures and available odds and ratings over past week with games spread to the four winds. Back to a more regular schedule next weekend but here are a couple of games to mull over coming up this week.

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Quilmes vs Patronato

Both teams are battling relegation, though Patronato have a slightly better chance with a better calculated average than the hosts. And after this game, Quilmes’ next two opponents will also be relegation strugglists ie Atletico Rafaela (away) and Arsenal Sarandi (home). In this situation, the hosts would be expected to take the initiative in this match, but their biggest problem is the lack of creative ability; scoring only one goal and conceding five in the last five league matches. Indeed their best player in recent matches has been the goalkeeper Cesar Rigamonti, who has almost single-handedly kept the team’s hopes through incredible saves. As a team, they have generally lacked the individual quality to play against most of the teams in the Primera division; the players do put in effort but it is not enough. They also face another problem at home - the fans tend to convey more anxiety towards the team.

The visitors themselves have gone 11 league games without a win; 6 draws and 5 defeats. They similarly struggle for goals, scoring three and conceding 8 in the last five games. However, they have been very tight defensively when playing away, gaining 4 draws and conceding only 3 goals in their last five away matches.

Hosts have no other option but to win and are expected to take the initiative in a 3-4-3 formation. But defeat would equally complicate the plight of the visitors, whose critical objective in this match is to avoid losing. The visitors will keep faith in their 4-1-4-1 away formation to nullify their opponents while waiting for any opportunity to counter-attack. Draw and Under 2.5 goals.

 

Bet Lost: Quilmes 0-1 Patronato:eyes

Edited by gogetta
StevieDay1983 likes this

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argentinaodds.jpg

Unfortunately, there are no ELO ratings available for these matches just yet. I will look to get them uploaded as soon as they become available. :ok

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Banfield vs Rosario Central

Hosts have displayed orderly and astonishingly reliable performance this season. They are currently in third spot with 51 points, just one point behind River Plate and five points behind table-leaders Boca Juniors; and in line for a spot in next year’s Copa Libertadores, with just three rounds to go! Banfield have been very consistent at home: 10 wins, two draws and just one defeat (against leaders Boca); and come into this game having won all the last five home fixtures. Coach Julio Cesar Falcioni prefers a closed game, counter-attacking through fast transitions through the middle.

Rosario Central seeks to hold down the last spot for next year’s Copa Sudamericana, in a crowded portion of the table. However, Defensa’s home defeat yesterday (1-2 against Independiente) has provided a reprieve for Rosario Central: a draw in today’s game would cement the coveted spot as the remaining rivals (Defensa and Talleres) have to win their remaining two games with large goal difference. Nevertheless, Coach Paolo Montero comes into this game with doubts in the offensive sector – which has stuttered in the last two fixtures (both ended 0-0). Key striker Marco Ruben is out for the season (knee operation). Strike-partner Teofilo Gutierez played 45 minutes in Colombia’s friendly against Cameroon in Spain and returned on Wednesday, requiring physical assessment prior to this game. Without his reference target-man and with a struggling offensive, Coach Montero’s primary objective was to tactically adapt to the circumstances – through a re-organized defence to allow for fluid attack via the wings.

Both coaches’ primary objective is to hold on to their current positions in the league table. With chasing pack breathing down their necks, the hosts have no option but to take the initiative; against a Rosario side with a stuttering attack at the moment while avoiding defeat will also fit its objective. Under 2.5 goals.

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