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Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2016/17


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Following on from the original thread started by Muppet77 3 years ago.

https://forum.punterslounge.com/topic/128681-kevin-pullein-saturday-picks-18-yield-96-bets/?do=findComment&comment=127964

Record at the end of last season was: 21 winners and 1 push from 37 bets, a profit of 4.83 points with a yield of 13.04% and overall +23.91 with a yield of 21.93% from 109 bets.

This season gets underway with 1 point on Swansea +3 corners v Burnley at 10/11 with PP

Was already 5/6 by the time I backed it though the change is still to be reflected on Oddschecker. I topped up on >4 corners for Swansea at the 13/10 on offer as that looks big to me. The extent to which their prices are out of line with the market reflect the difference of opinion between the spread firms, with one firm only making Burnley favourites by 0-1 corners and another going 1.5 to 2.5. There's a great bet to be had in there somewhere if you're able to take an educated view.

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An unlucky start to the season with both Swansea corners bets, Kev's +3 and my >4, hitting the bar. Final total was 7-4 in Burnley's favour. The outcome may well have been different but for Swansea's late goal.

I'll get a spreadsheet set up for the new season and start providing updates as usual.

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Celtic land the first winner of the season.

This season (level stakes): 1 winner from 2 bets, a loss of 0.33 points with a yield of -16.67%

This season (advised stakes): As above as both bets so far have been for 1 point

Overall (level stakes) +23.57 with a yield of 21.24% from 111 bets.

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Both of yesterday's bets won, with Southampton needing the +1 to get over the line and Man U winning by 1 card without the start.

This season (level stakes): 3 winner from 4 bets, a profit of 1.52 points with a yield of 37.92%

This season (advised stakes): As above as all bets so far have been for 1 point

Overall (level stakes) +25.42 with a yield of 22.5% from 113 bets.

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Just the 5 corners so the bet wins.

This season (level stakes): 4 winner from 5 bets, a profit of 2.42 points with a yield of 48.33%

This season (advised stakes): All bets advised to 1 point stakes except 1 only to 0.5 point stakes, a profit of 1.97 points with a yield of 43.7%

Overall (level stakes) +26.32 with a yield of 23.09% from 114 bets.

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6-3 to Everton on corners so the first push of the season.

This season (level stakes): 4 winners and a push from 6 bets, a profit of 2.42 points with a yield of 40.28%

This season (advised stakes): All bets advised to 1 point stakes except 2 only to 0.5 point stakes, a profit of 1.97 points with a yield of 39.33%

Overall (level stakes) +26.32 with a yield of 22.89% from 115 bets.

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First loser since the opening weekend with United's easy win doing nothing for the prospects of the bet.

This season (level stakes): 4 winners and a push from 7 bets, a profit of 1.42 points with a yield of 20.24%

This season (advised stakes): All bets advised to 1 point stakes except 2 only to 0.5 point stakes, a profit of 0.97 points with a yield of 16.11%

Overall (level stakes) +25.32 with a yield of 21.83% from 116 bets.

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An unlucky loser this week, with Norwich a couple of cards to the good for much of the game.

This season (level stakes): 4 winners and a push from 8 bets, a profit of 0.42 points with a yield of 5.21%

This season (advised stakes): All bets advised to 1 point stakes except 3 only to 0.5 point stakes, a profit of 0.47 points with a yield of 7.23%

Overall (level stakes) +24.32 with a yield of 20.79% from 117 bets.

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  • 2 weeks later...

A winner this week, as you might hope in a game where a team scored 6!.

This season (level stakes): 5 winners and a push from 9 bets, a profit of 1.37 points with a yield of 15.21%

This season (advised stakes): All bets advised to 1 point stakes except 4 only to 0.5 point stakes, a profit of 0.95 points with a yield of 13.57%

Overall (level stakes) +25.27 with a yield of 21.42% from 118 bets.

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Just the one yellow so another winner this week.

This season (level stakes): 6 winners and a push from 10 bets, a profit of 2.17 points with a yield of 21.69%

This season (advised stakes): 5 bets advised to 1 point stakes and 5 to only 0.5 point stakes, a profit of 1.35 points with a yield of 18%

Overall (level stakes) +26.07 with a yield of 21.91% from 119 bets.

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No joy this week with Palace coming back from 3 corners down to tie 3 each but not quite being able to complete the rally.

This season (level stakes): 6 winners and a push from 11 bets, a profit of 1.17 points with a yield of 10.63%

This season (advised stakes): 5 bets advised to 1 point stakes and 6 to only 0.5 point stakes, a profit of 0.85 points with a yield of 10.53%

Overall (level stakes) +25.07 with a yield of 20.9% from 120 bets.

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Winner this week with an early Derby goal landing the odds.

This season (level stakes): 7 winners and a push from 12 bets, a profit of 2.37 points with a yield of 19.74%

This season (advised stakes): 6 bets advised to 1 point stakes and 6 to only 0.5 point stakes, a profit of 2.04 points with a yield of 22.7%

Overall (level stakes) +26.27 with a yield of 21.71% from 121 bets.

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  • 2 weeks later...

No bet last week, as per usual for International matches. This week's selection:

0.5 point on under 35 bookings points in Stoke v Bournemouth at 8/5 with Hills.

11/10 and 6/5 elsewhere, I also like the 7/5 they offer for under 4 cards (would also pay out if 35 points or 45, i.e. a red and one or two yellows).

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No joy this week, file under "bust by the break".

This season (level stakes): 7 winners and a push from 13 bets, a profit of 1.37 points with a yield of 10.53%

This season (advised stakes): 6 bets advised to 1 point stakes and 7 to only 0.5 point stakes, a profit of 1.54 points with a yield of 16.24%

Overall (level stakes) +25.27 with a yield of 20.72% from 122 bets.

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A winner this week.

This season (level stakes): 8 winners and a push from 14 bets, a profit of 2.52 points with a yield of 17.99%

This season (advised stakes): 6 bets advised to 1 point stakes and 8 to only 0.5 point stakes, a profit of 2.12 points with a yield of 21.2%

Overall (level stakes) +26.42 with a yield of 21.48% from 123 bets.

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