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US Open 16th~19th June


Tedthewolf

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Oakmont is a 'bear' of a golf course according to Brandt Snedeker. I take it from that he means it has real-teeth. It's a pure poa annua greened course which are rarities (most have a level of bentgrass in them) and plenty of golfers simply hate these putting surfaces. There will be rain on Thursday which will soften this course, but this won't be a 2011 Rory birdie-fest.

 

I thought closely about Kuchar, Garcia and young Matthew Fitzpatrick. Chris Wood might be an option as might Martin Kaymer. However players who can hit plenty of greens, save par from the fairway rough and minimise 3-putts will get the job done.

 

So Day (7), Fowler (33), Snedeker (70) and Leishman (90).

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Best player to figure on hardest course

Jason Day can confirm his status as the world’s number one by winning the US Open this week. Phil Mickelson believes Oakmont Country Club in Pennsylvania that stages the event is the hardest tournament course in the world and Tiger Woods has commented in the past that a five handicap amateur would struggle to break 100. The second major of the season is the most brutal and only the bravest can survive the mental onslaught. Par is a great score and birdies are like gold dust.

To read the full preview please visit: http://punts.pl/rRHIVm

Edited by IanH
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Ratings for the US Open:

US Open Oakmont Country Club,Pennsylvania
    Par 70 7,219 yards  
           
Code  Player  FORM US OPEN SKILLS TOTAL
           
1 Matt Kuchar 64 66 19 82.67
2 Charl Schwartzel 31 61 26 65.78
3 Dustin Johnson 59 51 8 65.33
4 Jason Dufner 43 54 16 63.00
5 Phil Mickelson 50 46 16 62.22
6 Jason Day 34 61 16 61.89
7 Rory McIlroy 48 47 13 60.11
8 Justin Rose 30 52 22 57.78
9 Sergio Garcia 23 52 21 53.22
10 Rickie Fowler 18 36 39 51.78
11 Adam Scott 26 48 18 51.33
12 Jordan Spieth 43 41 8 50.89
13 Brandt Snedeker 8 58 14 44.67
14 Hideki Matsuyama 29 29 22 44.44
15 Kevin Chappell 35 41 0 42.44
16 Webb Simpson 32 42 0 41.11
17 Brooks Koepka 44 22 6 40.00
18 Patrick Reed 37 16 19 39.89
19 Martin Kaymer 15 53 0 37.78
20 Daniel Berger 50 4 10 35.33
21 Greame McDowell 13 49 0 34.44
22 Jim Furyk 16 46 0 34.44
23 Russell Knox 16 6 38 33.56
24 Tony Finau 47 13 0 33.33
25 Henrik Stenson 0 39 18 31.44
26 Lee Westwood 0 56 0 31.11
27 Danny Lee 54 0 0 30.00
28 Louis Oosthuizen 8 29 11 26.56
29 Paul Casey 18 16 12 25.33
30 Marc Leishman 27 0 18 25.22
31 Billy Horschel 8 32 0 22.22
32 Harrris English 39 0 0 21.67
33 Branden Grace 2 18 16 20.22
34 Bubba Watson 10 8 18 20.00
35 JB Holmes 26 10 0 20.00
36 Kevin Na 3 27 6 19.78
37 Zach Johnson 20 14 0 18.89
38 Emiliano Grillo 24 0 10 18.67
39 Bill Haas 7 6 20 18.11
40 Jimmy Walker 19 12 0 17.22
41 Shane Lowry 11 15 0 14.44
42 Charley Hoffman 19 6 0 13.89
43 Kevin Kisner 11 14 0 13.89
45 Chris Kirk 9 4 10 12.78
45 Ryan Moore 10 8 0 10.00
46 Byeong-Hun An 16 0 0 8.89
47 Justin Thomas 15 0 0 8.33
48 Danny Willett 0 1 0 0.56
49 Chris Wood 0 0 0 0.00
50 Matthew Fitzpatrick 0 0 0 0.00
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Anirban Lahiri for me at 250/1 with Paddy Power.

A hugely underrated player who has a top five finish in him. Oakmont is tough tea to green, but it is the ability to read these tricky greens that will be key. That could cost some top players here. Lahiri top on the European Tour this year when you combine GIR and putts per round stats. He could go pretty well.

I'm also on Soren Kjeldsen, Daniel Summerhays and Phil Mickleson.

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An old wise head might be what is needed this week on this course and one who may fit the bill could be Jeff maggert for top twenty Finnish at 40/1 with betfred. Could also pay to include in first round leader betting also as he has a early wish tee time when hopefully conditions may be more favourable.he has performed credibly before at the venue in the year angel Cabrera won the us open so could be value at huge odds 500/1 with coral first five places

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Thanks to IanH for the ratings as they helped me to decide who to back. I place a high premium on form and also course/tournament form and I also consider price. With those things in mind I'm taking the following players from the top end of the market on the exchanges at a point each.

  • Rose @ 36.00
  • Mickelson @ 36.00
  • Scott @ 38.00
  • Kuchar @ 44.00
  • Garcia @ 55.00

:hope

Edited by Torque
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I'll be taking Willett to do well this week along with Rose. Willett has a chance to replicate Spieth by winning back to back majors and I think 50/1 is too big a price for that despite the unlikelyhood. Rose looks to be over his injuries and raring to go so I will be taking a punt on him too. Spieth must be up there and for me, I see him being 1st round leader. 18/1 seems too big for me in that market. In the match-ups I've picked out 2 nice ones. Reed is tipped to do well this week by many and Id favour him over Kuchar or Bubba right now. Berger is a good up and coming prospect and can post higher than Wiesberger & Mannasero.

Outrights : 
1pt D.Willett to win US Open 50/1 BetVictor
1pt J.Rose to win US Open 33/1 Coral

1st Round leaders : 
1.5pts J.Spieth 1st round leader 18/1 Betfred
0.5pts Z.Johnson 1st round leader 80/1 Betvictor

Match-ups : 
2.5pts P.REED / M.Kuchar / B.Watson 21/10 Coral
2.5pts D.BERGER / B.Wiesberger / M.Mannasero 1/1 Bet365
 

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