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Ashtee

2016 AFL ROUND 2

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Richmond @ 1.68

Probable responce from Collingwood but should proove to have the talent advantage and will be looking to lift intensity off last week's game. Interestingly, Collingwood have now won just two of last twelve matches.

Melbourne -39.5 @ 2.08

Punters seem to be having trouble visualising Melbourne beating anyone by this much but they have new found momentum and major advantage in team strength .

Gold Coast +33.5 @ 1.92

General exectation Fremantle will respond but I have doubts about their real capabilities. Finished last season as the worst team in the eight, before unimpressive through the NAB Challenge and last week. Seen to have lost their way trying to develop a higher scoring style and rule changes maybe don't suit. Gold Coast impress thus far and I expect the shrewdly coached team will be primed for it. Could easily regret not having half of bet straight up.

West Coast 1.83 & -2.5 @ 1.93

Stronger, better balanced line-up. Motivation should be strong enough to match Hawks on the rebound.

Carlton +36.0 @ 1.92

Coach should have them tracking well again and look to be building their game. Need to be a little careful of Sydney's Round-1 form and despite their top end talent, they don't have such a big advantage in team strength. Are likely to find Carlton difficult to completely shake off.

 

 

Edited by Ashtee

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Agree with them, except maybe richmond. agree collingwood are poor but not sure richmond are significantly better. tempted by under due to a lack of class for both teams, but played over in most games so far.

GWS could have won last week if they kicked better, but despite this i thought they looked pretty terrible. they no longer look so talented to me. i will probably play geelong.

i think port are better than adelaide. either on port on the line or 1-39.
 

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It's one of my theories to just back all the overs in Round-1 but I never seem to do it (were low last year (ave173), BTW). 6-3 last week.

Port Adelaide @ 1.67

Was planning to hold out for Hartlett fitness test in case it leads to better price but current price is too much under pressure. I think they should proove much too good and I make them much shorter than this, despite Crows can keep it close.

 

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12 hours ago, Ashtee said:

It's one of my theories to just back all the overs in Round-1 but I never seem to do it (were low last year (ave173), BTW). 6-3 last week.

Port Adelaide @ 1.67

Was planning to hold out for Hartlett fitness test in case it leads to better price but current price is too much under pressure. I think they should proove much too good and I make them much shorter than this, despite Crows can keep it close.

 

Hartlett and Schulz out for Port. You do not take favorites often Ash, big surprise here. Crows home game.

I have a +10.5 bet on the Crows at $1.90

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1 hour ago, crowbot said:

Hartlett and Schulz out for Port. You do not take favorites often Ash, big surprise here. Crows home game.

I have a +10.5 bet on the Crows at $1.90

Simply that, at the time of the bet, Port should have Adelaide well and truely covered even without Hartlett but wasn't expecting Schulz for first gamer. Gives Crows a chance. Agree with home game factor too - I usually give weight to it.

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