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Premier League > April 2/3

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Odds still absurdly high on Leicester. If it was ManU at #1 spot at home they'd be at 1.19 messa thinks.. Value bets for next circle: Arsenal -1/1,5, City looks good at 1.95 tho i wouldn't trust them too much, Liverpool vs Tottenham should be a goal fest, LP always performs well at Anfield. Upset could be either Palace or Everton, haven't decided yet.

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Lol Leicester are going to be vulnerable this week. Right?  I mean what are the chances of them winning again? 1-0 and scoring in the last few minutes? 

That's precisely the reasoning they have been relying on all season.

Leicester to win 1-0 or more. Possibly even 3-0 or 4-0 if they fancy it. Southampton could fall apart completely.

Edited by andrewcalo
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Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Will resurgent Blues push manager-less Villains one step closer to relegation?

The relegation battle could become a lot clearer after this weekend when bottom-placed Aston Villa take on a Chelsea side that are unbeaten in the league under manager Guus Hiddink at Villa Park in a 12:45pm kick off this Saturday. A loss for Villa would almost seal their place in the Championship next season and even a win might be too little, too late.


Click Here To Bet On Chelsea To Win Outright @ 1.57 with BetVictor

Click Here To Bet On Asian Handicap: Chelsea -1 @ 1.99 with BetVictor

Click Here To Bet On Chelsea To Win To Nil @ 2.4 with Paddy Power

Full Article: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/football/premier-league/aston-villa-vs-chelsea-tips-will-resurgent-blues-push-manager-less-villains-one-step-closer-to-relegation--2016033104

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Liverpool vs Tottenham: Spurs title credentials set for huge test at Anfield

The Premier League title race reaches another pivotal stage this season when contenders Tottenham travel to Anfield to face Champions League-chasing Liverpool in a 5:30pm kick off this Saturday evening. A win for either side would boost their chances of ending this season on a massive high but a defeat could see them write this season off as a huge disappointment.


Click To Bet On Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 2 with William Hill

Click To Bet On BTTS “Yes” @ 1.77 with Unibet

Click To Bet On Harry Kane To Score Anytime @ 2.6 with Boylesports

Full Article: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/football/premier-league/liverpool-vs-tottenham-tips-spurs-title-credentials-set-for-huge-test-at-anfield-2016033105

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Norwich City v Newcastle Utd

Norwich City: Nathan Redmond (28/5 m, top scorer, doubtful), Alexander Tettey (23/2 m)

Newcastle Utd: Gabriel Obertan (5/0 m), Sylvain Marveaux (0/0 m)(both doubtful), Kevin Mbabu (3/0 d), Jack Colback (23/0 m, suspended), Rob Elliot (21/0 first goalkeeper), Fabricio Coloccini (26/1 d), Paul Dummett (17/1 d), Massadio Haïdara (7/0 d), Tim Krul (8/0 g), Curtis Good (0/0 d)


Stoke City v Swansea City

Stoke City: Glenn Whelan (31/0 m), Mame Biram Diouf (21/4 f), Geoff Cameron (23/0 d)(all doubtful), Xherdan Shaqiri (23/3 f), Ryan Shawcross (14/0 d), Marc Wilson (4/0 d), Glen Johnson (25/0 d), Jonathan Walters (24/5 f, 2nd top scorer), Jack Butland (31/0 first goalkeeper)

Swansea City: Jefferson Montero (17/0 f), Modou Barrow (19/1 f)(both doubtful), Andre Ayew (28/8 f, 2nd top scorer)


Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 50 football leagues and competitions at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

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2 hours ago, MPLouis said:


Because home teams tend to win more games in a season. :loon

Anyway, I seriously doubt any punter will make a profit just by betting on every home team in a season so this rule doesn't make too much betting sense. 

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Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur

Two efficient attacks are facing each other this Saturday afternoon. Both managers will go for a win, so I expect Liverpool and Tottenham to go storming to attack, as it was the case last season. Bearing in mind that both teams play offensive football, I truly believe that Anfield will witness yet another spectacle this time out.

Tip: Over 2.5 goals 7/10

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Leicester vs Southampton: Foxes face massive title hurdle in form of Koeman's Saints

The Premier League title race drama continues this Sunday when current front runners Leicester take on an in-form Southampton side at the King Power Stadium in a 1:30pm kick off. A win will take the Foxes another step closer to the most unlikely of titles but a victory for the Saints will not only put the cat amongst the pigeons in the title battle but will also put Ronald Koeman's side right in the mix for a Champions League spot.


Click Here To Bet On European Handicap: Southampton +1 @ 1.7 with Coral

Click Here To Bet On Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.68 with 888Sport

Click Here To Bet On Draw Outright @ 3.4 with Betfred

Full Article: http://punts.pl/YzE4NDgw

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Manchester United vs Everton: Time running out for Van Gaal's Red Devils to gate crash top four

Two of the biggest under-achievers in the Premier League this season face-off this Sunday in a 4pm kick off when Manchester United host Everton at Old Trafford. The Red Devils desperately need a run of wins to stand any hope of sealing a top four finish and the Toffees will want to finish this mediocre league campaign on a high as they prepare for their FA Cup Semi Final later this month.


Click Here To Bet On European Handicap: Draw (Manchester United -1) @ 4 with Stan James

Click Here To Bet On Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.8 with BetVictor

Full Article: http://punts.pl/98qgeU

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Aston Villa – Chelsea


Aristocrats will visit main outsider of Premier League. It’s interesting to know that last two H2H matches were draws on corners. But this match is unlikely to end with similar result. Aston Villa won only 2 times of 7 last games on corners, but Birmingham’s team haven’t taken any corner in two matches in a row against Liverpool and Stoke City. This “record” will be difficult to be repeated by any Premier League team. At the same time, Players from London won on corners 4 times, 2 times were draws and once the team lost to Red Devils with minimal difference (10-11). In general, Chelsea’s things are improving, not only in terms of gaining points, but also in terms of corners: the team lost only twice in previous 19 game weeks (two times to Manchester United) and got 12 wins. London players were taking not less 7 corners per game during last 8 game weeks. On the other hand, Aston Villa allowed rivals to take 8.25 corners on average in last 4 home games.


So, you can try to bet on guests’ win on corners with 1.43 odds or to bet on their individual total corners over 5.5 with 1.69 odds. Total of 10.5 corners for both teams also seems be covered. It was covered in 5 home games trice and in last 5 away games were covered 4 times. Thus, 2.01 odds on this market seems very attractive.


West Ham United - Crystal Palace


The match between 5th team from the top of the table and 5th team from the bottom is coming. When it comes to H2H, West Ham is ahead because they won 4 of 5 times on corners. However, who knows what game it will be now? Hummers lost 3 of 4 last games on corners, on the other hand, Palace players won 4 of 5 matches and once drew with Liverpool on corners. Bookies offer -2 handicap on corners on hosts. If we look at last 7 games of West Ham, then will realize that handicap was covered only once. Crystal Palace could not keep this handicap only once for the same period of the League. If to separate home and away games, indicators won’t be changed dramatically – handicap was covered 2 times in last 6 matches of West Ham and accordingly were kept in 4 of 6 last away games of Crystal Palace.


In this way, plus handicap (+2) on guests on corners looks as smart bet. Who prefers to play risky can try to bet on clear guests’ win.


Bournemouth - Manchester City


It's match between 13th and 4th teams of the League and bookies can’t define a favorite. It’s interesting, isn’t it? Let’s find out what team has stats advantage on corners in Premier League. First round match between these rivals ended quite unexpectedly – Bournemouth won away game on corners with score 7:1 and it’s the biggest defeat on corners for Citizens in this season. Teams have the same indicators in last games – 5 wins in 6 games. Bournemouth hasn’t lost on corners on home field 5 matches in a row. Corners stats of Manchester City at away aren’t impressive: there are 3 defeats on corners in last 4 games. However, I would not make hasty conclusions based on these data. Started from February, Citizens made defeated such strong teams as Manchester United, Tottenham and Leicester. If to consider how many teams want to be on 4th place of the League, it’s expected that Manchester City will play intensive attacking football and is likely to win on corners in this match. As outcome on corners of this game is quite difficult to predict, I suggest trying such type of bet as half with most corners. Average total corners of home matches of Bournemouth in first half is 4.93, Manchester City at away has 4.29 total corners on average in first half. As for second half, total corners of the teams are much higher – 6.21 corners per half.



In this way, you can try to bet on half with most corners– 1st half < 2nd with 1.8 odds or 2nd half  total corners over 5.5 with 1.91 odds.


More stats of corners, cards, referees, goals and others - http://corner-stats.com

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On 23 March 2016 at 22:59:29, andrewcalo said:

Lots of home wins this week likely gents - statistically speaking - only 3 last week - and 3 two weeks before - has to swing the other way this week.

That isn't how football, statistics or betting work. If it was, we'd all be very rich.

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5 hours ago, andrewcalo said:

I studied fractogoly. The statistical likelihood of three home wins or less at this stage in the season is 9 to 1.

I find that stat very hard to believe. Can you explain how you arrived at that please?


What is 'fractology?'

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