February 29 - March 6

[four-leaf]

Rybarikova should beat Errani. She reads Errani all the time and dictates the play.

[Fader]

10 hours ago, liquidglass said:

Hercog is one lazy lousy player. How did she win a match here?

Yeah, pretty crap really. 23% second serve is woeful.

[four-leaf]

Back Anett Kontaveit (+1.5 sets) to beat Sara Errani for a 8/10 stake at 1.74 with Pinnaclesports

Going with Kontaveit. From what I saw of Errani last match and judging from what Kontaveit did to probably a tired Cibulkova this should not be so easy for Errani. She had problems against Rybarikova who was dictating the play all the time and breaking Errani all to many times in the second set and third. Kontaveit can cause troubles also for Errani.

Edited March 3, 2016 by four-leaf

[four-leaf]

Back Johanna Konta (-1.5 sets) to beat Kirsten Flipkens for a 8/10 stake at 2.10 with Paddypower

Konta was seriously concentrated and focused when she faced Wickmayer and she truly deserved her victory in straight sets. Konta had really great tactical aproach to facing everything Wickmayer tried to do. She was all the time one step ahead of Wickmayer and if Flipkens will play like she did against Van Uytvanck she will lose this in straight sets. Flipkens have gone this far partly because of Van Uytvanck was a bit troubled by an injury in third set and certainly not because she was playing super well.

Edit: Konta have faced Flipkens twice and won both in straight sets. Last time in Vancouver ITF final 2015.

Edited March 3, 2016 by four-leaf

[Fader]

I am taking McHale -1.5 games at evens but no time for a write-up 

[Fader]

5pts J.Konta to beat K.Flipkens 2-0 11/10 PaddyPower
Taking Konta to win this with ease. Leads the head-2-heads with both in straight sets, and I think her power and shot placement will win here. I know Flipkens can play on the hard but again, I see her as a clay courter. 

[CzechPunter]

Back Marco Chiudinelli (+2.5 sets) to beat Paolo Lorenzi for a 7/10 stake at 1.86 with Unibet

Back Philipp Kohlschreiber (-5.5) to beat Lukas Rosol for a 7/10 stake at 1.90 with Bet365

Back G.Simon/V.Pospisil - Over 3.5 sets for a 7/10 stake at 1.75 with Unibet

Chiudnelli looks seriously underrated to me, he's not that worse than Lorenzi even given that this will be played on clay. He should be able to grab a set much more often than not. Kohlschreiber should have an easy time against Rosol on the other hand, as the Czech has always been a great match-up for him. Also fancy four or five sets in Simon/Pospisil - both are struggling big time right now, so chances are that neither will be able to win in three.

Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/davis-cup-r1-day-one-tips-the-brits-face-japan-france-plays-against-canada-2016030308

[ogii55]

Zverev - Berdych 4.33 Sportingbet

Zverev is showing his best so far this season specially on indoor hard. He played 50-50 match with Berdych and now he will make his Davis cup debut in front of his country-mates. It will be a huge boost for him and he is one of the guys that loves to play in front of many fans. Berdych still is searching for his form. He went to Dubai after European indoor tournaments while Zverev rested after Marseille and will have more time to explore the specifics of the hall in Germany.

 

 

 

 

 

 

[liquidglass]

1 hour ago, ogii55 said:

Zverev - Berdych 4.33 Sportingbet

Zverev is showing his best so far this season specially on indoor hard. He played 50-50 match with Berdych and now he will make his Davis cup debut in front of his country-mates. It will be a huge boost for him and he is one of the guys that loves to play in front of many fans. Berdych still is searching for his form. He went to Dubai after European indoor tournaments while Zverev rested after Marseille and will have more time to explore the specifics of the hall in Germany.

Of today's matches, this is a bet that I like very much aside from dealing with a head-scratcher as a side dish. I feel almost certain without explanation that the score between Germany and Czech will be 1-1, it follows that I should quite fancy Rosol along with that school of thought. If Kohli wins, then Berdych levels. I believe this will happen the odd way round. Rosol/Zverev to prevail. Good luck!!!!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Fader]

2.5pts A.Weintraub to beat M.Fucsovics 13/5 BetVictor
Having a small bet on Weintraub to win this one. Fucsovics has played far more on the clay than Weintruab and I think the odds are because of the unknown territory of Weintraub more than a higher degree of ability. Weintraub has only played 3 clay matches in the last 3 years and lost 2 of those. Those 2 were French Open matches though and the one match away from a grand slam he has played was a similar setup to this (country play) where he beat Blaz Kavcic (then ranked 121st) that was in 2014. Interestingly, Fucsovics played Kavcic in 2015 and lost 6-0 6-1. Fucsovics though played a hell of alot of clay matches in 2014. Looking through those the best win you'd say was against 105th ranked Kuznetsov. But then looking on the other side he has lost clay matches to players ranked 250+

Recent form is interesting too. Weintraub has just won a home town Tel Aviv event (on the hard courts) albeit the rankings wasn't anything above himself, he still won the event, where as Fucsovics has won 2 in his last 5. Fucsovics last played on the clay last year in which he lost to a player ranked 254 (Gianessi in straight sets) 

Fucsovics is the favourite here and rightly so based on his experience but neither players are great clay courters and it's only Fucsovics experience on clay that I see as an advantage. Also interesting is, Fucsovics likes the grass courts best and likes the lobs which you'd associate with the fast courts to being able to catch players out. Here it will be the slow clay courts. Where as, Weintraub likes the hard, and likes the backhand. Most would agree a good backhand is important for the clay courts.

[liquidglass]

57 minutes ago, Fader said:

2.5pts A.Weintraub to beat M.Fucsovics 13/5 BetVictor
Having a small bet on Weintraub to win this one. Fucsovics has played far more on the clay than Weintruab and I think the odds are because of the unknown territory of Weintraub more than a higher degree of ability. Weintraub has only played 3 clay matches in the last 3 years and lost 2 of those. Those 2 were French Open matches though and the one match away from a grand slam he has played was a similar setup to this (country play) where he beat Blaz Kavcic (then ranked 121st) that was in 2014. Interestingly, Fucsovics played Kavcic in 2015 and lost 6-0 6-1. Fucsovics though played a hell of alot of clay matches in 2014. Looking through those the best win you'd say was against 105th ranked Kuznetsov. But then looking on the other side he has lost clay matches to players ranked 250+

Recent form is interesting too. Weintraub has just won a home town Tel Aviv event (on the hard courts) albeit the rankings wasn't anything above himself, he still won the event, where as Fucsovics has won 2 in his last 5. Fucsovics last played on the clay last year in which he lost to a player ranked 254 (Gianessi in straight sets) 

Fucsovics is the favourite here and rightly so based on his experience but neither players are great clay courters and it's only Fucsovics experience on clay that I see as an advantage. Also interesting is, Fucsovics likes the grass courts best and likes the lobs which you'd associate with the fast courts to being able to catch players out. Here it will be the slow clay courts. Where as, Weintraub likes the hard, and likes the backhand. Most would agree a good backhand is important for the clay courts.

I have strong faith in your pick considering a number of factors; Normal reasoning applied, Fucsovics should really be the first match on court in a Davis Cup home tie, but he has been put in second due to his current form and a few hidden factors. Nagy is currently leading Sela and looks to have the match in control. I really see a huge chance for Weintraub who should be double determined to level up.

[Fader]

38 minutes ago, liquidglass said:

I have strong faith in your pick considering a number of factors; Normal reasoning applied, Fucsovics should really be the first match on court in a Davis Cup home tie, but he has been put in second due to his current form and a few hidden factors. Nagy is currently leading Sela and looks to have the match in control. I really see a huge chance for Weintraub who should be double determined to level up.

I was very close to not tipping this match. It could go spectacularly wrong. Low stakes on this. Much of it comes from just a hunch.

[ogii55]

Laaksonen - Seppi 11.00 Matchbook

 

The Swiss team came to Italy with high guard. Chiudinelli is playing very well against Lorenzi. Laaksonen has a very good record in Davis Cup and he scored there some surprising wins. One the other side Seppi's form is awful so far this season. Not sure why the coach selected him to play, but I expect a possibility of a surprise.

[four-leaf]

Anett Kontaveit (-1.5) to beat Nicole Gibbs for a 8/10 stake at 1.96 with Pinnaclesports

Kontaveit has been playing well here. She's got herself a very nice chance to go to the semifinals. The head to head is 2-1 for Kontaveit and the only victory for Gibbs came after retirement by Kontaveit. All matches in 2014 when Kontaveit was just 18. This should be a to tough nut to crack for Gibbs. Kontaveit has been made the favourite for a reason. I think she will have her chances to cover this small games handicap.

Edited March 4, 2016 by four-leaf

[CzechPunter]

Back Bernard Tomic to beat John Isner for a 7/10 stake at 1.85 with Unibet

Back Sam Groth to beat Jack Sock for a 7/10 stake at 3.20 with Unibet

The Davis Cup doubles are basically impossible to bet on pre-match with all those last-minute changes, but I do fancy both Australians in the Sunday singles. Isner should be a good match-up for Isner, while I'll also be backing Groth because of the odds. He beat Sock 3-1 in last year's Wimbledon, after all.

Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/davis-cup-r2-day-two-tips-france-italy-and-argentina-lead-2-0-2016030407

[ogii55]

Chiudinelli/Laaksonen - Bolleli/Cecchinato 4.55 Pinnacle

 

The Swiss players showed very good play in their single matches, but were unlucky and lost close matches despite being huge outsiders. They are both fighters and they will put everything to keep their chances. There is a chance for a change in the teams, specially Italian one. Bolleli won Doha doubles with Seppi, while Cecchinato never played a match on Davis Cup. There is a big chance for the match to be void, but if the doubles stand Marco and Henry are with very good chances.

[four-leaf]

Anett Kontaveit (-1.5) to beat Kirsten Flipkens for a 8/10 stake at 1.98 with Pinnaclesports

Going for the same as last time for obvious reasons. Again Kontaveit has been made favourite for a reason. Kontaveit is simply just playing better then Flipkens at the moment and will most likely proceed to the final. I can't see any other outcome then this.

[four-leaf]

Caroline Garcia to beat Heater Watson for a 7/10 stake at 1.62 with Pinnaclesports

Caroline Garcia/Heater Watson over 21.5 games for a 7/10 stake at 1.91 with Pinnaclesports

Garcia beat Watson in Hopman cup 2-1 by 6-3 5-7 6-3 and I expect her to come through this time also. Watson won their other 2 meetings as the one in Wimbledon last season by 8-6 in the decider but now Garcia is on a bit better run then Watson and she did reach the final here last season and I fully expect her to do so again even though this might not be so easy. I also expect a three set match to be played just like the last two times they met since Watson is also playing well here.

[ogii55]

9 hours ago, ogii55 said:

Chiudinelli/Laaksonen - Bolleli/Cecchinato 4.55 Pinnacle

 

The Swiss players showed very good play in their single matches, but were unlucky and lost close matches despite being huge outsiders. They are both fighters and they will put everything to keep their chances. There is a chance for a change in the teams, specially Italian one. Bolleli won Doha doubles with Seppi, while Cecchinato never played a match on Davis Cup. There is a big chance for the match to be void, but if the doubles stand Marco and Henry are with very good chances.

The bet is void, because Seppi teamed up with Bolleli instead of Cecchinato.

However today there was a big surprise on Doubles between Serbia and Kazakhstan. I think it might happen another one on France - Canada match.

Pospisil/Bester vs Tsonga/Gasquet 6.6 Pinnacle

 

Pospisil is by far the best player on doubles here. Ranked 16 in the world he showed good form in teams competition in 2016 and was strong last season. Bester is better on doubles than on singles so we have a pretty nice team. On the other hand Tsonga/Gasquet showed some very good results as a team in Davis Cup, but in far more important ties. Now France is leading 2:0 with almost no chances for Canada to win a single match. Here is their shot - on doubles. Gasquet has some injury problems, while Tsonga wasn't at his best during South America tourney. Both guys are heading to IW and Miami in the next four weeks playing on hard so I am pretty sure they didn't practice so much on clay. I think 6.6 odds for such a match are one of the best values around

[CzechPunter]

Back Mikhail Kukushkin (+2.5 sets) to beat Novak Djokovic for a 5/10 stake at 5.10 with Unibet

Back Andy Murray (-4.5) to beat Kei Nishikori for a 7/10 stake at 1.74 with Unibet

Back Borna Coric (-5.5) to beat Kimmer Coppejans for a 7/10 stake at 1.91 with Unibet

The Murray and Coric bets look straightforward enough, but I also fancy Kukushkin to win a set at odds this massive. Djokovic looked rather poor on Saturday, while Kukushkin has taken sets off the big guys in the past and will play his heart out. Djokovic to win in the end, but the odds for the set handicap are just too big for me to ignore them.

Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/davis-cup-r1-day-three-tips-france-and-italy-advance-the-rest-fights-on-2016030503

[ogii55]

Kukushkin (+2.5 sets) vs Djokovic 5.12 Pinnacle

 

Totally agree with Czech Punter. Kukushkin is a classy Davis cup player, who stunned a lot of favorites and is the main reason for Kazakhstan to be in the World group. He will be well rested and pumped to give everything against Jokovic. In their previous encounter in 2014 he took a set over Nole in two out of three match. Now he's got more chances to steal at least one. Djokovic probably still has some problems with his eyes. He is a fighter and in home Arena he will be more than ready to win this fight, but probably it will be not so easy as it was against #200 in the world Nedonosov in his first match.

Bouchard - Svitolina 2.15 Pinnacle

 

Bouchard is playing impresivlly here. She beat very easy all her opponents, who were far better than those of Svitolina (all her rivals were out of top 100). The Ukrainian had some problems with back injuries and she also had a new bandage on her leg. The H2H is for Svitolina, but their only final as juniors at Wimbledon was won by Bouchard.

 

 

 

 

 

 

[potus]

3 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Back Mikhail Kukushkin (+2.5 sets) to beat Novak Djokovic for a 5/10 stake at 5.10 with Unibet

Back Andy Murray (-4.5) to beat Kei Nishikori for a 7/10 stake at 1.74 with Unibet

Back Borna Coric (-5.5) to beat Kimmer Coppejans for a 7/10 stake at 1.91 with Unibet

The Murray and Coric bets look straightforward enough, but I also fancy Kukushkin to win a set at odds this massive. Djokovic looked rather poor on Saturday, while Kukushkin has taken sets off the big guys in the past and will play his heart out. Djokovic to win in the end, but the odds for the set handicap are just too big for me to ignore them.

Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/davis-cup-r1-day-three-tips-france-and-italy-advance-the-rest-fights-on-2016030503

I still cannot believe that Andy Murray played ahead of Dom Inglot on Saturday, I don't see that as a good decision at all for several reasons.

 

Also 2/7 on Murray to beat Nishikori wouldn't look tempting at the best of times but certainly not when Murray hasn't played an opponent of any note for over a month. I've made a load of money in the past year on Andy Murray in the Davis Cup but this is one occasion to leave well alone. Kei has to have a real shot at an upset here.

[four-leaf]

7 hours ago, potus said:

I still cannot believe that Andy Murray played ahead of Dom Inglot on Saturday, I don't see that as a good decision at all for several reasons.

 

Also 2/7 on Murray to beat Nishikori wouldn't look tempting at the best of times but certainly not when Murray hasn't played an opponent of any note for over a month. I've made a load of money in the past year on Andy Murray in the Davis Cup but this is one occasion to leave well alone. Kei has to have a real shot at an upset here.

I hope you are wrong to leave Murray/Nishikori alone. Nishikori has'nt played very well at all lately. And why is it not a good decision to place Murray ahead of Inglot? Murray/Murray played before in DC doubles so why not again? Andy went ahead of Inglot in the DC final.

Edited March 6, 2016 by four-leaf

[four-leaf]

Heater Watson/Kirsten Flipkens over 2.5 sets for a 7/10 stake at 2.25 with Bet365

This is quite sure to be an even contest. Flipkens leads the head to head 2-0 but their last one went the distance 6-3 1-6 7-6 and I expect the same this time also since both are playing really well this tournament. Watson is like a wall getting everything back but she will face her hardest match in this tournament here and could defenitely be forced to play three sets. Not very easy to be sure about who is going to win so this is the best pick for me.

Edited March 6, 2016 by four-leaf

[potus]

3 hours ago, four-leaf said:

I hope you are wrong to leave Murray/Nishikori alone. Nishikori has'nt played very well at all lately. And why is it not a good decision to place Murray ahead of Inglot? Murray/Murray played before in DC doubles so why not again? Andy went ahead of Inglot in the DC final.

It looked an easy win for Great Britain so it was a great chance to give Dom Inglot some more Davis Cup experience to prepare him should he be needed in more difficult matches in future. 

 

There's no reason for Andy Murray to play all three days unless he has to. Pretty disrespectful to Inglot who is a doubles specialist.

 

On the other hand though, Leon Smith has worked wonders with this team so who are any of us to criticise.

[ogii55]

Rublev - Mathieu 2.5 Betway

 

Rublev is making great tournament so far. He is serving solidly and has a rest day yesterday. The Frenchmen struggles against Metkic and has huge problems in his service games with a lot of break points chances for Metkic. The match is pretty much 50/50 with better odds for Rublev.

[Lawrence0831]

16 hours ago, ogii55 said:

 

 

Bouchard is playing impresivlly here. She beat very easy all her opponents, who were far better than those of Svitolina (all her rivals were out of top 100). The Ukrainian had some problems with back injuries and she also had a new bandage on her leg. The H2H is for Svitolina, but their only final as juniors at Wimbledon was won by Bouchard.

 

Poor Bouchard. Doesn't know how to play when approaching the championship !!!

 

 

 

 

 

[ogii55]

4 hours ago, Lawrence0831 said:

 

Agree, she had too many chances to finish the job... but at the end it's just the winner who counts However the odds were above 2.00 so the value was nice in a match like that that was 50/50 at least