Champions League > March 8th - 16th

[Aidymac]

Odds with Bet365

[owenclass]

Chelsea to win the match but PSG to go through

[owenclass]

Both teams to score in Cheksea PSG match

[owenclass]

What are odds on PSG to go through

[Simeon Borisof]

5 hours ago, owenclass said:

What are odds on PSG to go through

1.36 on PSG;3.00 on Chelsea with be365

[foyar]

For tomorrow I see value on the underdogs to score.

Roma over 0,5

Gent over 0,5

[sandrasuzuki]

PSG vs. Chelsea

PSG is on the verge of repeating history as they try to advance into the next stage of this particular competition. They did it before and since they have the lead, there is a massive chance for them to dominate once again.

Chelsea

After a stunning even steven finish with Stoke, a tired Chelsea can only bank on home court advantage as they try to secure the upper hand against Paris Saint Germain. Somehow, the said result could influence their performance knowing that they were the heavy favorite of the above-mentioned encounter. Indeed, it was disappointing for it showed their inability to protect the lead. This is something that hopefully, they will not experience with their French opponent since they are the ones who are trailing in this tournament.

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Paris Saint Germain previously dominated their quarterfinal match against Chelsea and they are hoping to repeat history. It is not really very surprising to see PSG come into this match with confidence. Aside from the fact that history is on their side, they have also maintained an impressive record in the domestic league. Somehow, this relieves them from the heavy pressure of handling two important matches at the same time.

Tip

Paris Saint Germain at 2.61

Correct score 1-2 at 10

[sandrasuzuki]

Real Madrid vs. Roma

Real Madrid is yet to make another semi-final appearance as they meet Roma in the second leg of this encounter. The Los Blancos snatched a formidable lead during their first encounter. Their 7-1 win over Celta Vigo also plays a major role in terms of continuing their momentum.
 

Real Madrid

Real Madrid is already primed for the competition’s next stage having won the first leg of their encounter against Roma. The squad snatched a 0-2 victory at Italy and certainly, the second leg favors them since they will be playing at their very own territory.

 

The Los Blancos is one of the familiar faces in the Champions League. Last season, they failed to defend their title when they fell out to Juventus during the semi-finals. Such unfortunate event is something that the club will  not allow to happen again, thus, expect an aggressive and fully determined Real Madrid to enter in this match.

 

Roma

Roma will probably capitalize on its major thrashing of Fiorentina to secure points in their upcoming match.

Headed by Stephan El Sharrawy, the club destroyed the Violas with a 4-1 win at home and strengthening their grip of Serie A’s third spot.

Tip
Correct score 4-0 at 16

Total goal 4-6 at 2.25

[clubgowi]

Champions League: Real Madrid - AS Roma

Real won 2-0 in Rome, just as they did in Schalke at the same stage last year, then making hard work of the home leg, losing 4-3 and looking in real trouble several times through a wild and craxy game . They will not want to put themselves through that again and something similar to the previous two second leg home ties a 3-1 and 4-1 win seems more likely this evening. Real have won their last two La Liga games, scoring ten, but conceding in each, Roma are on a roll since losing the first leg and have won three scoring 12 goals, actually the Real game aside they have won seven (22 goals) in a row and will be confident of finding a goal this evening, you would feel that the trip to Udinese on Sunday would now be given priority, but the heavy defeat of Fiorentina on Friday has given them a little breathing space in terms of top three and they can perhaps afford to give this their best shot, at least early.

Roma are much improved under Luciano Spalletti (see preview of the 5-0 win over Palermo below) and will see this perhaps as a true test of how far they have come, they had chances in the first leg, when they played almost exclusively on the break and it is easy to see them getting on the scoresheet again this evening. Having said that, Real have already lost at home to Barcelona and Atletico and will want to avoid a third, or repeat of what happened against Schalke last season, so again, when the dust has settled it has to be with a home win. 3-1/4-1.

Real Madrid to win and both teams to score 2.50 general quote, best alternative would have to be "over" 3.5 goals 2.17 asian line

 

[pulsar12]

over 4,5 at 3.5 on Real vs Roma. Roma will play to win this game, they truly believe they are capable of that because of their impressive run on the Seria A after last defeat against RM by 2-0, their attack has been working really well lately with Perotti, Salah and Sharawy. RM has the full squad (except benzema i think). Roma is likely to be without Nainggolan and Rudiger(d)+Rossi are confirmed out. Both teams seems overconfident.

[Mirage]

Vfl Wolfsburg vs KAA Gent:

1pt Both teams to score @ 3/4 with Betfair

These two sides played out a five-goal thriller in the first game and I think there’ll be goals again tonight. Wolfsburg have Jung out but should be able to cover adequately but they’ll be sweating over the fitness of key players Draxler and Kruse. I’d imagine at least one, if not both, will be risked if it is touch-and-go but, either way, they should have enough to progress. Mitrovic will be a big miss for Gent as the Serbian has been an ever-present for them up until now.

The form of these sides are at opposite ends of the scale. Wolfsburg come in to the game having only lost once in seven and that was against Bayern Munich. Overall they have a very good record at home, only losing three times all season with two of those against Munich and the other against Dortmund. Despite that good record, they have conceded on all but six occasions. Gent had a great spell of one defeat in fourteen not so long ago but have since only won twice in seven. They do have a habit of scoring at least one away from home – only failing on 4 occasions all season.

Both of these sides have a good habit of getting on the scoresheet so, for me, the odds on offer represent a little bit of value.

[owenclass]

I fancy Ibrahimovic to score first

[StevieDay1983]

Chelsea vs PSG: Blues need big performance to keep Champions League hopes alive

The Champions League action continues on Wednesday night when Premier League Chelsea look to overturn a 2-1 deficit against Ligue 1 leaders PSG in a 7:45pm kick off at Stamford Bridge. Anything less than a top performance could see the Blues eliminated and their hopes of a trophy this season taking another hit.

THE BET

BTTS “Yes” @ 5/6 with Coral

Full Article: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/football/champions-league/chelsea-vs-psg-tips-blues-need-big-performance-to-keep-champions-league-hopes-alive-2016030704

[Mirage]

Zenit vs Benfica:

1pt Zenit to qualify @ 2/1 with BoyleSports
1pt Zenit to beat Benfica @ 21/20 with Ladbrokes
1pt Both teams to score @ Evens with Paddy Power

I rarely take three bets in one game but it could have been even more – two others narrowly missed the cut.

I think the bookmakers have underestimated Zenit in this match and have overestimated Benfica’s patchwork defence. The hosts come in to this game without Javi Garcia but it’s the visitors who have the bigger problems to deal with. Benfica are without Luisao, Lopez, Jardel, Cesar and Almeida and only Lindelof of their recognised centre-backs is available. Jardel and Cesar have played in every game since the start of the group stage whilst Almeida has played in six of those seven matches. The absence of the ability and, potentially more importantly, experience of Luisao (four appearances) and Lopez (two appearances) will be felt once more.

Whilst Zenit weren’t in a strong group, their home record in the group was impressive. They scored seven and conceded only two in their games against Gent, Lyon and Valencia. They’ve done well in the league when playing host, only losing two of their ten home games so far. Benfica were also in a relatively weak group and did ok away, scoring five and conceding five as they beat Atletico, lost to Galatasaray and drew at Astana. Benfica have been great away from home in the league, winning eleven of the twelve games, drawing the other. They’ve managed to score at least two goals on eight of those twelve occasions.

These two sides met twice in the 2014/15 Champions League and Zenit were victorious on both occasions, winning 2-0 away and 1-0 at home in the group stage.

The main negative against Zenit is the fact that, since December, they’ve only played one competitive game – the first leg. Benfica haven’t had the luxury of having weeks to prepare for these games but they may be a bit sharper than their opponents.

Despite Zenit coming in to this following friendlies rather than competitive matches, I think the prices on them to win and qualify offer value. Zenit’s home record to-date in this year’s competition has to be admired and odds- against on them winning the match looks a good price. Benfica’s defence is there to be got at so Zenit will fancy their chances of scoring at least a couple. One Benfica goal could end Zenit’s hopes of progressing but at 2/1 I’m willing to take a chance on Zenit out-scoring them by a big enough margin. Benfica have a habit of scoring away from home and Zenit need to score at least once, therefore, odds-against on both teams to score looks good value.

[pulsar12]

Zenit - Benfica: Both teams have their defensive lines shattered with many regulars out. Zenit will miss fayzulin,javi garcia,criscito, garay,smolnikov. Benfica will miss: Luisao,lisandro,jardel,almeida and julio cesar (gk). Note that Ederson gk will replace Julio Cesar and did a very good job on last match against Sporting, but is just one match sample I have from him. Both teams with no misses on their attacks, Benfica has very good attack as a team and from Zenit Hulk should pose a significant threat. Expect unpredictable game with potential to be high-scoring. 

over2,5 > 2.00 (50% stake)

over4,5 > 7.00 (20% stake)

Any team to score more than 2 before HT > 25 (10% stake)

home team to score more than 3 and win > 20(10% stake)

away team to score more than 3 and win > 50(10% stake)

[Mirage]

Chelsea vs PSG:

1pt Both teams to score @ 3/4 with Betfair

Both of these sides should go in to tonight’s game looking to score as one Chelsea goal puts PSG on the brink and vice versa. This is the third season in a row that the sides have met in the knockout stages and both sides have found the net on three of the four previous occasions.

Chelsea are unbeaten in their last ten at home and in eight of those games they’ve scored and conceded at least one. PSG have found the back of the net in eight of their last nine away ties.

Chelsea are still missing Terry and Zouma whilst PSG have doubts over key men Verratti and Matuidi. These potenital weak points plus the firepower each possess and their need to score makes the 3/4 look just big enough to be worth taking.

[Messi10]

Zenit vs Benfica

For me the play of the night is on Zenit to win 3-1. Zenit rested everyone for their away game on the weekend (the first after the winter break in the Russian premier league). Benfica's defence is decimated, and portuguese sides in general travel very poorly.

AVB + Zenit seem highly motivated for the champions league, and they did win their 3 group stage games at home. 

Unlike a lot of punters I see goals in this game, as Zenit have to attack. 

The correct score of 3-1 is an incredibly generous 20/1.

 

Chelsea vs PSG

The first leg was a really good match, Chelsea played probably as well as they had all season, and made life tough for PSG. PSG's 2 goals actually came during their worst spells in the match. On balance PSG winning 2-1 was probably fair given the possession they had in the match.

Injury concerns for PSG's midfield and for Chelsea's centre backs. 

I'd advise waiting until team news is announced 1 hour before kickoff before you decide how to bet this.

A friend of mine made a lot of money doing exactly that in the Chelsea Stoke game in the league on the weekend, backed the draw after he saw the Chelsea line-up.

Have a look whether Hiddink plays Matic, Mikel and Cesc in a 4-3-3, or a 4-2-3-1 with 3 attacking players (probably Pedro, Hazard and Willian) behind Costa. 

See if Veratti and Matuidi are playing for PSG, if they both play, there's a fair argument to back PSG to win the game with both teams scoring. If they're both out I think it opens the door for Chelsea.

We will say, my 2 cent x

[StevieDay1983]

Manchester City vs Dynamo Kiev: City aiming to get back to winning ways

The Champions League last 16 second legs continue this week with Premier League title contenders Manchester City taking on Ukrainian side Dynamo Kiev at the Etihad Stadium this Tuesday night in a 7:45pm kick off. City hold a 3-1 lead from the first leg but will be hoping to seal qualification to the Quarter Finals with a win after Saturday's disappointing 0-0 draw at relegation strugglers Norwich in the league.

THE BET

European Handicap: Manchester City -1 @ 6/4 with Coral

Full Article: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/football/champions-league/manchester-city-vs-dynamo-kiev-tips-city-aiming-to-get-back-to-winning-ways-2016031305

[owenclass]

Barcelona to beat Arsenal by two goals

[StevieDay1983]

22 hours ago, owenclass said:

Barcelona to beat Arsenal by two goals

Yes, Arsenal looking completely shot now under an ailing Wenger. I'm going one step further and backing Barcelona at -2!

[StevieDay1983]

Barcelona vs Arsenal: Gunners staring Champions League elimination in the face

Arsenal face an almost impossible task this Wednesday night when they travel to the Nou Camp to play Barcelona in the second leg of their Champions League last 16 clash with the prospect of trying to overturn a 2-0 deficit from the first leg. An exit from this competition would mean Arsene Wenger would likely need to win the Premier League to save his job so the pressure is building.

THE BET

European Handicap: Barcelona -2 @ 6/4 with Boylesports

Full Article: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/football/champions-league/barcelona-vs-arsenal-tips-gunners-staring-champions-league-elimination-in-the-face-2016031403

[malabgd]

Manchester City v Dynamo Kiev

Manchester City: Toure (25/6 m, 2nd top scorer, probably in), Delph (12/2 m), Nasri (7/1 m), De Bruyne (19/5 m)

Dynamo Kiev: Danilo Silva (11/1 d, doubtful), Rybka (6/0 g), Morozyuk (6/0 m), Rybalka (12/0 m), Moraes (13/5 f)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 50 football leagues and competitions at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

[vasilli07]

Probably another a moral victory for Arsenal like how they always do. A 2-1/3-2 loss or even a draw. I seriously doubt Barca will beat them by 3 goals(unless Arsenal field their reserves) which they don't need to.

[vasilli07]

Doing a quick check on results about Barca winning the 1st leg over the past 5 seasons stats, only Leverkusen managed to lose by more than 2 goals in the 2nd leg.

[clubgowi]

Champions League Manchester City - Dynamo Kiev

This looks job done for City after their 3-1 win in Kiev, but the hosts are not playing well and that game aside, they have beaten only Aston Villa since the start of last month, with a couple of heavy defeats along the way. Main focus will clearly be the Champions League of course, but they also have to finish top 4 as a minimum and ensure participation in the competition next season and currently in 4th and with West Ham just two points adrift and Manchester United (whom they play in the derby game on Sunday) just another two further back, there is every chance that they will play tonight with one eye on that game.

Kiev were rusty in the first leg, that was to have been expected, they had not played a competitive game in eleven weeks,they have now had four games since the winter break and will be approaching full fitness and ready to show their best.

Dynamo currently lead Shakhtar Donetsk, who are flying in the Europa League, by three points at the top of the Ukrainian domestic league, where Kiev are unbeaten on the road 8-1-0, conceding just three goals. In the CL they won 2-0 at both Porto and Maccabi Tel Aviv and were 1-1 at Stamford Bridge with eight minutes left to play, before conceding a late winner. They did not venture forward much there until after the break, but of course cannot afford to wait that long this evening, they looked dangerous when they did and in Andriy Yarmolenko they have a world class player who has 110 goals and 72 assists for Kiev in less than 300 appearance and from out wide, he has been in the form of his life in the last two seasons and has scored in each of his last three starts.

City are vulnerable, Dynamo MUCH better than they showed in the first leg and the edge in fitness/freshnest has probably swung their way now. City have conceded in their last nine Champions League starts and at the Etihad in their last 14 ! They have conceded two or more in ten of those (!), including to BMG, Plzen, CSKA Moscow (twice) and Ajax and if Dynamo look at that record, they will fancy their chances of scoring a couple of goals, even if ultimately it might not be enough.

Dynamo Kiev to score two or more goals 4.0-4.33 general quote, given that they have to gamble and that City can progress if they concede twice regardless of what they do themselves and that they have allowed two in 71.42% (10/14)of competition home games ( which equates to odds of 1.40), how can that possible be correct ?

Manchester City to win and both teams to score 3.0 general quote
 

[MPLouis]

17 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

An exit from this competition would mean Arsene Wenger would likely need to win the Premier League to save his job so the pressure is building.

I don't think there's much pressure on Arsenal in this game. The consensus is they already blew it in the first leg, so there is no expectation now.

I think they may do better than expected, and Barcelona could play within themselves. I could see anything from a draw to a big Barcelona win.

[malabgd]

FC Barcelona v Arsenal

FC Barcelona: Piqué (22/1 d, suspended), Rafinha (3/0 m), Sandro (10/0 f)

Arsenal: Čech (28/0 first goalkeeper), Ramsey (25/5 m), Cazorla (14/0 m), Oxlade-Chamberlain (22/1 m), Rosický (0/0 m), Wilshere (0/0 m), Arteta (8/0 m)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 50 football leagues and competitions at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

[MPLouis]

23 hours ago, clubgowi said:

Champions League Manchester City - Dynamo Kiev

This looks job done for City after their 3-1 win in Kiev, but the hosts are not playing well and that game aside, they have beaten only Aston Villa since the start of last month, with a couple of heavy defeats along the way. Main focus will clearly be the Champions League of course, but they also have to finish top 4 as a minimum and ensure participation in the competition next season and currently in 4th and with West Ham just two points adrift and Manchester United (whom they play in the derby game on Sunday) just another two further back, there is every chance that they will play tonight with one eye on that game.

Kiev were rusty in the first leg, that was to have been expected, they had not played a competitive game in eleven weeks,they have now had four games since the winter break and will be approaching full fitness and ready to show their best.

Dynamo currently lead Shakhtar Donetsk, who are flying in the Europa League, by three points at the top of the Ukrainian domestic league, where Kiev are unbeaten on the road 8-1-0, conceding just three goals. In the CL they won 2-0 at both Porto and Maccabi Tel Aviv and were 1-1 at Stamford Bridge with eight minutes left to play, before conceding a late winner. They did not venture forward much there until after the break, but of course cannot afford to wait that long this evening, they looked dangerous when they did and in Andriy Yarmolenko they have a world class player who has 110 goals and 72 assists for Kiev in less than 300 appearance and from out wide, he has been in the form of his life in the last two seasons and has scored in each of his last three starts.

City are vulnerable, Dynamo MUCH better than they showed in the first leg and the edge in fitness/freshnest has probably swung their way now. City have conceded in their last nine Champions League starts and at the Etihad in their last 14 ! They have conceded two or more in ten of those (!), including to BMG, Plzen, CSKA Moscow (twice) and Ajax and if Dynamo look at that record, they will fancy their chances of scoring a couple of goals, even if ultimately it might not be enough.

Dynamo Kiev to score two or more goals 4.0-4.33 general quote, given that they have to gamble and that City can progress if they concede twice regardless of what they do themselves and that they have allowed two in 71.42% (10/14)of competition home games ( which equates to odds of 1.40), how can that possible be correct ?

Manchester City to win and both teams to score 3.0 general quote
 

I liked this tip, but as we know now, bizarrely, the game ended 0-0. I didn't see it, but reading the Dynamo manager's comments on the UEFA website, it really sounds as though he was satisfied with a 0-0 draw.  I think the expectation was that Kyiv would be fairly open and try to score, leaving space for City to score on the break. But the game seems to have been 'closed' rather than open. I don't think anyone would have predicted 0-0.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/35805814

http://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/season=2016/matches/round=2000635/match=2015770/postmatch/quotes/index.html

[Fader]

5pts Barcelona -3 corner handicap Vs Arsenal Evens Skybet
I'll be going with the corners with this match. Arsenal away never get alot of corners. Last 5 for example in the prem league 

• Lost to Spurs 9-2
• Won to Man United 2-3
• Lost to Bournemouth 7-3
• Drew with Stoke 6-6
• Lost to Liverpool 9-3

Even when they beat Hull 4-0 in the cup they only managed 4 corners. Average of 3.4 in last 5 league. It's probably not fair to compare with Barcelona's home corners because they smash everyone but in the first leg of this match for example, at Arsenal, Barcelona won the corner market 7-1 (-5) 

I was expecting -5 / -6 for evens. I would assume it's only 3 because they feel Arsenal have to "come out and attack" but Barcelona are not a team to sit back, they will play all out like they always do, so I'm happy to take this. Good luck, all.

[recklessrookie]

arghh pretty sure I selected Arsenal +2 on the Asian handicap on Betfred yet my bet is marked as lost, the odds were 5/6, is there any where of seeing a odds history?

 

Im almost certain that it was the Asian handicap as theres no other way id take Arsenal at +2 for Odds on.

Edited March 16, 2016 by recklessrookie