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Monthly Naps Comp, ''Thursday'' 18th Feb 2016


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Leicester 3.55 - Valid Point 8/1 EW Corals

 

I need all the runners to participate in this one to make it a worthy bet but there isnt much else there for me tomorrow. This horse has bolted up the last two times he has run at Leicester and whilst this is undoubtedly a more competitive race he looks a little overpriced to me with Stilletto coming off a fall (albeit when travelling well but doesnt always find loads), and Prideofthecastle a potential bounce candidate. A couple of the others arent the greatest of jumpers either, albeit the selection isnt always the fluentest either having unseated last time (partly hampered). The yard are in decent knick at the moment too.

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15:40 Kelso: Mr Blue Nose @ 18/1 betway e/w thanks

Mr Blue Nose.....from Simon Waugh yard the 6yo only came to this new yard 5 days ago after only having seven rules races without any success , but me being a blue nose supporting Rangers up here in Scotland I just canny let this one go bye , probably a donkey from Blackpool's beach , The new yard not had much time to work on him and being off a race track for 395 days this could be a fact finding mission for yard , He's been unplaced in all three starts over hurdles but last race was signs of he's starting to get to know the game when at Exeter over 2m 5f (soft) in January last year he finished 6th but only beat 9 lengths , With new yard and new owner, also first time this Jockey Callum Bewley will have rode the horse you never know what can happen Callum is also claiming 5lbs off

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3.40 KELSO

TAKINGRISKS @ 7/2 Betfred

Was a little bit lucky last time out but may have won regardless of the leader falling at the last. Only had 3 runs under rules so has plenty of improvement in him. Has shown enough on Heavy ground to suggest it won't inconvenience him here. Harding takes the ride in preference of stables other horse. Stable historically does well in February and is 2/4 so far this month.

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3.45 Clonmel - Altiepix @ 11/4 Bet365

Taken well to fences but I think this horse has been running over the wrong trip and the step back to 2m 4f will suit down to the ground. However because of that he has dropped down to 117 which is 5lbs lower than his hurdles mark and now running over the appropriate distance I think this 6 year old can make some progress over the larger obstacles. As a Gigginstown pointer he will be expected to do better in this sphere and Elliott seems to have found a weak enough race for him tomorrow.

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440 Fontwell: Claire Pet 15/8  SJ/BetVic/PP

Irish import running for Dr Richard Newland for the first time. Was rated 109 after a maiden hurdle victory but career went on stall after trying fences. Back over hurdles this season and ran two very promising races before being sold to the Doctor. Has found a good opportunity here, likes the ground, stays well and has put a 10b claimer on just to make sure. The danger is the fav Lee Side Lady who has won here before and was second last time at Fakenham in a poor race.

 

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Kels 3.05 - Soll - win at 7/4 bog betvictor

Grand National Trial

The likely favourite here is Unioniste for the Nicholls team. He ran his best race for a while last time out to finish 3rd but he's looked very in and out for a while now and puts in a few bad ones. Even last time he was out the back and struggling before running on through tiring horses. I'm not sure he can be trusted to run his race and he's only had 12 days to recover from that run at Sandown

Corrin Wood appears to have declined markedly in the last couple of years

Neptune Equester is a game old horse aged 13 who is a real course specialist but usually runs in lesser races than this and even on heavy ground he might be outpaced over today's trip......his last two wins have been over 4 miles. However he's in good form and loves it here

Soll is the top rated on official figures, acts on heavy and won last time out. All his career wins have come in the 3 months January to March so this is his time of year. My main concern is that 6 of is 7 wins have come in double figure fields and there's only 4 runners today. It might be that he needs cover or a strong pace to run at........but his one win in a small field was gained by making all and I think that could be the best tactic today unless one of the others strides out

 

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Previous selection NR so

3.40 KELSO

PILGRIMS BAY @ 5/1 Bet 365

Pipe is a very infrequent visitor to Kelso so his runners have to be noted.  This one looked a stayer on the upgrade and it may not been his mark that stopped him last time it could have been he ran into a decent horse, having said that he still finished second and runs off the same mark today.  Pipes horses have been a little disappointing this month considering his record in February in recent years but he did have an impressive winner in Scotland yesterday.

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17 hours ago, arsenalfh said:

3.45 Clonmel - Altiepix @ 11/4 Bet365

Taken well to fences but I think this horse has been running over the wrong trip and the step back to 2m 4f will suit down to the ground. However because of that he has dropped down to 117 which is 5lbs lower than his hurdles mark and now running over the appropriate distance I think this 6 year old can make some progress over the larger obstacles. As a Gigginstown pointer he will be expected to do better in this sphere and Elliott seems to have found a weak enough race for him tomorrow.

Anyone see this today? Altiepix set a really good gallop on testing ground but looked beaten coming to the 2nd last with Tipped Up Harry travelling the best in the lead with Kileena House also making progress into 2nd. Then Tipped Up Harry made a bad mistake at the 2nd last unseating his rider and Altiepix rallied back to regain the lead before a tired Kileena House attempted to jump the last but landed on top of the fence!

I'm getting all the luck at the moment.

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5 winners so far;

Jimmy 16/1 EW R4 35p, Striker 5/1, Arsenal 11/4, Soi Bong 4/1, CD EW 11/2.

:clap

Later;

8 hours ago, gbettle said:

2016-02-18 20:10 ChelmC 1m5f Hcap Bracken Brae

 

6 hours ago, geeuppy said:

7.10 chelmsford - bold prediction ( 1 point win @ sp )

 

5 hours ago, bymatrix said:

Little Lord Nelson 7.40 Chelmsford , 9/1 Stan James

 

4 hours ago, Jediknight said:

Chelmsford 7.10 Supersta (11/4 b365 bog)

 

1 hour ago, thebestthere said:

8.10 Chelmsford Black Iceman 16/1 Bet365

 

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4 hours ago, arsenalfh said:

Anyone see this today? Altiepix set a really good gallop on testing ground but looked beaten coming to the 2nd last with Tipped Up Harry travelling the best in the lead with Kileena House also making progress into 2nd. Then Tipped Up Harry made a bad mistake at the 2nd last unseating his rider and Altiepix rallied back to regain the lead before a tired Kileena House attempted to jump the last but landed on top of the fence!

I'm getting all the luck at the moment.

Watched it fella, some race.

With Luck like that give us a shout with Saturday's Lotto numbers :lol

Strange how a race can change even at that stage.

Well Done :ok

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47 minutes ago, Jimmy2shoes said:

Watched it fella, some race.

With Luck like that give us a shout with Saturday's Lotto numbers :lol

Strange how a race can change even at that stage.

Well Done :ok

Cheers, still can't seem to make any ground up with you at the top!

Back some losers and I'll throw you the lotto numbers. :lol

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