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Daily Horse Racing Thread - Selections Here


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NAP - KATIE TOO (Fontwell 12:40 - 7/5, 10Bet)

NB - TRANSIENT BAY (Uttoxeter 2:50 - 5/2, Paddy Power)

TREBLE - FUEL INJECTION (Southwell 3:00 - 7/2, Bet365)

E/W Double - Serenity Now (S3:30) + Thepartysover (F3:40) @ 34/1 Bet Victor

 

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Southwell 3.00 

Excellent aim   98.51

Pull the pin   98.47 

Shawkantango  98 .40 

 

Just fancy a go today .quite a tough race to tackle and southwell isnt a great track but excellent aim looks a good bet today ....has rated 98.41 ...98.47 ...98.48 last 3 runs so is ultra consistent ....jockey is a bit of worry as hasnt had an a.w win so that tempers enthusiasm but undeniable is in good heart and handles southwell so big pluses ....shawkatango returns to aw on a feather weight but has shown little on turf of late ....its possible the return to fibresand will help but risky so cant bet ....bigger danger could be pull the pin who wasnt far behind top rated and seems a better horse at southwell so could close the gap today ...

Excellent aim 2 pts win 9/2 corals

Pull the pin 2 pts win 9/1 betv 

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1.30 Southwell

Basingstoke looks well worth taking a chance on at a large looking price despite the drift in the market. He is a 2 time course and distance winner, one of those wins comes off the back of a long break off a mark of 64. Switched yard after a win in a seller again over CD, and he struggled to do much for this yard. Made just the one run around here last winter after a lengthy absence again and was a respectable 4th. Drops back to 7f again today and returns fresh again, now running off a mark of 51 looks dangerously well handicapped if yard have got him ready for this return.

 

1pt win Basingstoke 11/2 Betfred

 

2.30 Southwell

Greyfriarschorista is another well handicapped individual returning to his favoured fibresand surface. In 2014he was running off marks in the 80’s around here running respectably in handicaps. Off well over a year and starting out for a new yard when not at his best at Chelmsford in a handicap and then a claimer. 6f might be a little short for him especially these days but a return to this surface couldbring about marked improvement and put into this claimer off a very good looking weight.

 

1pt win Greyfriarschorista 13/2 BetFred

 

3.30 Southwell

La Estrella has to be respected back around here on the back of lesser efforts on tapeta and may need a drop back into seller and claimers over the winter to get his record win.

Serenity Now has been in good form recently over hurdles, he also goes well around here but does return here 6lb above last winning mark but sure to go well.

Sinakar is lightly raced 2 good efforts recently look good recent form in this grade but yet to try this surface which is always a worry.

Northside Prince was beaten 1/2length by Frosty Berry last time out over 2f shorter around here, he has a 3lb turnaround in the weights and is the obvious front runner in this. He is well handicapped on his very best form but he has become very unreliable these days.

Frosty Berry has taken a drift in the market today as he did do dramatically last time out when falling out of the stalls and being outpacedat the start. She faced the kickback really well and stormed down the homestraight to win a tad cosily, obviously 6lb higher today makes things tougher but the 2f step up in trip is no problem and looked better and better the further they went last time out if in the same form could prove hard to beat. Also not drawn in the deathbox around here today like last time out.

 

2pt win Frosty Berry 8/1 BetVictor

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5 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

Southwell 3.00 

Excellent aim   98.51

Pull the pin   98.47 

Shawkantango  98 .40 

 

Just fancy a go today .quite a tough race to tackle and southwell isnt a great track but excellent aim looks a good bet today ....has rated 98.41 ...98.47 ...98.48 last 3 runs so is ultra consistent ....jockey is a bit of worry as hasnt had an a.w win so that tempers enthusiasm but undeniable is in good heart and handles southwell so big pluses ....shawkatango returns to aw on a feather weight but has shown little on turf of late ....its possible the return to fibresand will help but risky so cant bet ....bigger danger could be pull the pin who wasnt far behind top rated and seems a better horse at southwell so could close the gap today ...

Excellent aim 2 pts win 9/2 corals

Pull the pin 2 pts win 9/1 betv 

Excellent aim wins nicely ...and jockey her first win ....nicely done 

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NAP - ACLAIM (Kempton 5:40 - 5/2, Paddy Power)

NB - SILVER QUAY (Lingfield 12:20 - 5/4, Betway)

TREBLE - SPACE WALKER (Leicester 3:35 - 3/1, Bet365)

E/W Double - Trimoulet (K7:10) + Kawaii (K7:40) @ 72/1 Ladbrokes

 

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NAP - SNAIDHM (Punchestown 2:55 - 9/2, Betfair)

NB - MINELLA DADDY (Warwick 3:30 - 6/1, Paddy Power)

TREBLE - SIDBURY HILL (Taunton 2:10 - 3/1, Betfair)

 

 

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NAP - JOSIES ORDERS (Cheltenham 2:20 - 9/2, Paddy Power)

NB - ONE TRACK MIND (Cheltenham 2:55 - 7/2, Betfred)

TREBLE - A HARE BREATH (Cheltenham 1:10 - 9/4, Bet365)

 

 

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5.10 Wolverhampton

Its hard to oppose Baldings runner Brandon Castle, impressive winner at Ffos Las in September and has been running some consistent good efforts off revised mark since. Took a drop back to this trip last time out over CD and was only beaten a short head. 2lb higher today but this looks a slightly easier race and well drawn again. Looks hard to beat.

 

3pt win Brandon Castle 2/1 bet365

 

5.40 Wolverhampton

Hedge End has become dangerously well handicapped, he was hugely progressive in 2013 winning 8 times mainly on the AW last of those off a mark of 74, running off 65 today. Has simply been running to his mark recently but he is one to bear in mind. Hickster improved on recent efforts last time out over this CD not beaten far off this mark, depending on what Marmalad does he could get a soft lead in this field.

Walk Like A Giant was a winner last time out at Kempton over a mile in an apprentice race, steps up in trip which shouldn’t prove a problem, 5lb ahead of the handicapper currently and a 1lb lower than his winning mark in the spring on turf.

Mary Le Bow looks a huge price, clearly improving currently with the tongue tie being fitted, winner over the extended mile around here on penultimate start. Backed that effort up over this slightly longer trip last time out off revised mark going well when getting pinched up at a vital point losing momentum. Probably wouldn’t have won that day but would have been a lot closer. The winner has since won again and on that looks potentially still well treated. A wide draw not helpful but is a hold up sort that could overcome that.

 

2pt win Mary Le Bow 8/1 bet365

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NAP - LITTLE JON (Cheltenham 1:50 - 9/1, Sky Bet)

NB - PEACE AND CO (Cheltenham 3:00 - Evens, Paddy Power)

TREBLE - FLEMENTIME (Cheltenham 3:35 - 12/1, Paddy Power)

 

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NAP - WESTSTREET (Southwell 1:55 - 9/2, Bet365)

NB - INDIAN FILE (Navan 3:05 - 4/1, Sky Bet)

TREBLE - MORNING ROYALTY (Carlisle 12:35 - 2/1, Paddy Power)

 

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Bit late to get these up but I need something to keep me occupied before the UFC later.

6.00 Sha Tin - Dariyan e/w @ 11/1 Bet365

Flintshire is a solid favourite here but on a line through New Bay I think Dariyan is the forgotten horse here. Back at Deauville in August Dariyan was just a length and a half behind New Bay and actually traveled the strongest through the race but hated that heavy ground which blunted his speed. New Bay definitely improved from that but on quick ground I reckon Dariyan would give him a really good battle and it's worth remembering that it was nearly impossible to separate Flintshire who opposes the Aga Khan colt today and New Bay in the Arc. Royer-Dupre has stressed how Dariyan is constantly improving and interestingly his dam actually won this a few years ago. Highland Reel looks exposed to me at this stage and I'm not entirely convinced by Ming Dynasty. He's improving but you just can't help but feel he needs to step up significantly today considering he was a bit fortunate that Migwar was given too much to do the last day. Cannock Chase won really easily in Canada coming from the back off a slow pace and still looks to be improving now running at his ideal trip on quick ground. He looks a bit of value at 16s but since Flintshire is a solid favourite I'll stick with one selection.

7.50 Sha Tin - Esoterique e/w @ 20/1 Bet365

Able Friend looked unstoppable on his reappearance over 6f but really disappointed next time back over a mile. For that reason he looks very short at the prices. Japanese star Maurice looks a lovely prospect but there have been concerns about how hard a race he had just a few weeks ago. At the prices Esoterique is the one that sticks out. She has had a tough season which may explain her poor performance last time in the Breeders Cup but I think she has excuses. The ground was soft enough that day and Andre Fabre has constantly stressed her preference for quick ground. She also was held up off a slow pace and never really had a chance before that. There is a slight concern she won't run to form after a long season but at 16s this is taken into account and on form  (narrowly beaten by Solow and Muhaarar while beating Territories and Integral) she is in with a big chance.

8.30 Sha Tin - Free Eagle @ 4/1 Bet365

Free Eagle was only beaten a length and a half by Golden Horn in the Irish Champion on ground far too slow for him despite getting quite a bad bump from the winner before again running into more trouble in the Arc. That's the best piece of form on offer and I actually think he could improve again. Weld loves sending his horses abroad and no doubt he had an autumn campaign planned for this lightly raced type so in peak condition, on fast ground and hopefully no interference I can see Free Eagle putting in a career best run.

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Free Eagle was disappointing but Esoterique just missed out on the places and Dariyan ran well to finish third. He got outpaced for a bit down the back and when he was making his challenge had to check left costing momentum yet only finished a length and a half behind Flintshire without Soumillon asking too much of him in the final furlong. He saw the track for the first time in April and looks like the typical French type to improve again at 4. He's a horse to follow next year I think.

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NAP - THEO'S CHARM (Plumpton 12:10 - 5/4, Ladbrokes)

NB - COSMIC RAY (Wolverhampton 5:10 - 2/1, Bet365)

TREBLE - HEATH HUNTER (Ffos Las 2:40 - 6/5, Bet365)

 

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12.30 Southwell

Daylight looks extremely short in the market considering he hasn’t convinced on 3 runs on this surface and is probably best tried elsewhere this winter.

Afkar won on first try for this yard, a 4lb rise fair but that win came at Kempton, has had one chance around here in a weak maiden when a short priced favourite and could only manage a distant 3rd so some doubts there despite potentially well treated with this yard becoming known for rejuvenating old sorts.

Only Ten Percent goes well here with 3 course and distance wins, in total 6 wins around here from 21 starts. Decent winner last time out at Kempton, 3lb rise looks very fair given the second has gone in since off a 3lb higher mark too. Stepping back up to 7f for the first time since 2013.

Cadeaux Pearl was a winner over this CD last week a 6lb a penalty could be enough to stall him again, still well handicapped on very best form but potentially not the horse he once was and unlikely to get such an easy time of things in this got a soft lead entering the straight last time out. The 2nd has since won off same mark and 3rd was 3rd again behind the 2nd so form looks solid enough but not guaranteed to back that effort up.

Danish Duke had little to spare over this CD at end of November, 2lb rise fair but that race hasn’t worked out that strong but may still have more to offer over this course.

Tellovoi might be worth a second chance, he has improved for the switch back to this surface. Slowly away last time out over an inadequate 6f but still finished well to finish a decent 2nd, prior to that a solid effort over a mile when looking a bit stretched the return to 7f could be the key and if away on terms much better drawn today. Somehow gets to run off same mark today and course record is 2 wins 2 places from 6 starts.

 

2pt win Tellovoi 4/1 bet365

 

1.00 Southwell

Small field but despite that no shortage of front runners and several last time out maiden winners.

Capelita hasn’t been seen for 3 months since winning a maiden over 7f at Kempton, not winning out of turn there but had chances in handicaps off similar and lower marks which has to be a worry here, also yet to try this surface. Demands respect all the same from this trainer over this course.

Noblest is another maiden winner but around here over 7f in what looks a weak maiden, makes handicap debut on what looks a harsh mark based on that but still room for improvement.

What Could She Be is another winner of a weak CD maiden, didn’t need to be at best to beat the tricky Nosey Barker. Handicapper has taken a dim view of that win and raised him 5lb which now looks harsh back in handicap.

Tigers Home looks to be the one to beat off bottom weight, she is going from strength to strength around here this winter. Only just held off revised mark last time out over CD, based on that looks several lb ahead of the handicapper at present having pulled well clear of the 3rd. Clearly remains unexposed and improving on this surface.

 

3pt win Tigers Home 9/4 bet365

 

2.40 Kempton

Pensax Lad was impressive at Chelmsford but this clearly demands a lot more off a 6lb higher mark. Red Stripes has been hitting the places recently, unlikely to get the soft lead he needs here with plenty of pace on and drawn wide.

Sandfrankskipsgo will appreciate a strongly run race which he didn’t really get last time out when ended up racing more prominent than usual but still ran an incredibly solid race. Races off the same mark and should strip fitter for the recent run.

 

2pt win Sandfrankskipsgo 6/1 PP

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NAP - ATOMIX (Catterick 3:20 - 7/2, Sky Bet)

NB - LEONARD THOMAS (Kempton 2:10 - 5/1, Bet365)

TREBLE - POWERFUL WIND (Southwell 2:30 - 8/1, Betway)

 

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1.05 Lingfield

Wide open handicap and hard to write many of these off. Encapsulate was behind Snow King last time out hen 3rd in a race which was never going to suit closers, looks potentially similar case again here today. Wide draw today and remains 3lb above last winning mark.

Pacolita drops back in trip today and it would be no surprise to see him raced aggressively again today over this trip, 2lb drop from latest run puts him 2lb under last winning mark could go well.

Welease Bwian needs a good pace to chase and that has to be the worry here, but 2lb below last winning mark and stable going well.

Hamis Al Bin ran ok from 6lb out of handicap last time out and is the same again today but folly to dismiss from this yard at present.

Snow King got a very soft lead of things from about 3f out last time out and could easily get a soft lead in this again, much better drawn today and despite a 7lb rise still looks well handicapped on a repeat of that.

 

2pt win Snow King 5/1 bet365

 

1.40 Lingfield

Hard to oppose Milton Bradley’s runner in this field, his horses have become so well handicapped after a very poor season to date but right now his horses are in hot form.

Scored nicely over CD on penultimate start when getting to the front before battling down in the end, only got a 1lb rise for that and a good second last time out when unable to lead outright. Has more of a chance in this field from a much better draw, and gets to run off the same mark again.

 

2pt win Triple Dream 11/4 bet365

 

7.10 Kempton

Golly Miss Molly has been well backed tonight and somewhat missed the price however she is a really eye catching entry in this race. Yet to try anyway near this far trip wise has done all her winning over 1m4f, she has become well treated dropping back to last winning mark tonight. Didn’t run too bad last time out in a race not run to suit. Luke Morris always a strong booking and has ridden her lots including when she has won. Well drawn and yard going well enough can easily see a big run.

 

2pt win Golly Miss Molly 7/1 coral

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NAP - LOCAL SHOW (Newbury 12:40 - 3/1, Bet365)

NB - PARIS MAGIC (Kempton 5:40 - 13/8, Bet365)

 

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7.10 Chelmsford

Typical class 7 event full of unreliable sorts that need a bit of luck to be winning at times.

Diamond Vine ran a good race last time out and is on his last winning mark, Luke Morris always a strong booking on the AW, yard also going well currently.

Tamarin is still a maiden after 20 runs very in and out but her previous run around here on penultimate start when 2nd gives her a chance in this but latest effort below par.

Compton Prince comes from a yard probably worth backing blind currently with all their horses well handicapped and in cracking form. Sprinters at this level are usually worth sticking with when in form they can rack a sequence up. He ran in a 0-65 last time out from 1lb out the handicap, so effectively off 51 that win very cleverly gets into this class 7 0-50 handicap off a mark of 50 with a 6lb penalty so this is a big drop in grade also won off a mark off 58 before so remains well treated and from a good draw in stall 4.

 

2pt win Compton Prince 3/1 Betfair Sportsbook BOG

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NAP - PATRIOTIC (Southwell 2:30 - 4/1, Bet365)

NB - YOU SAY WHAT (Exeter 3:20 - 9/1, Bet365)

TREBLE - COMPTON PRINCE (Chelmsford City 7:10 - 11/4, Bet365)

 

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NAP - FLY DU CHARMIL (Ascot 12:50 - 2/1, Bet365)

NB - ZEEHAN (Wolverhampton 4:05 - 4/1, Bet365)

TREBLE - ROCK MONTJEU (Southwell 12:00 - 3/1, Betfred)

 

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