MPLouis Posted February 10, 2016 Author Share Posted February 10, 2016 (edited) Weds 10th Feb 17.00 Celtic U19 v Valencia U19 Celtic qualified for this match by beating HJK and Puskas Akademia, Valencia finished second in their group containing Lyon, Gent and Zenit. So I think Valencia had tougher opponents. Celtic's shots on target stats are better than Valencia's (although I think Celtic's possibly inferior opponents should be taken into account). Celtic have quite a good home record at this level. In recent years, they have played Marseille, Sporting, PSV, Barcelona, Ajax and Milan at home in Glasgow in different competitions, and their record is: Won 3 Drawn 1 Lost 2 Home advantage seems to count for more at this level, so I think that should be factored in. Celtic do represent some value at odds of over 4.0 today, I think Celtic U19 or draw 2.2 Bet365 Stake: 5 points Previews from Celtic website: http://www.celticfc.net/news/10022 http://www.celticfc.net/news/10026 Edited February 10, 2016 by MPLouis forgot stake Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted February 10, 2016 Author Share Posted February 10, 2016 11 hours ago, MPLouis said: Weds 10th Feb 16.00 Midtjylland U19 v Atletico Madrid U19 I think Atletico could be a little value here. Their shots on target stats are a lot better than Midtjylland's. They came second in a group with Benfica, Galatasaray and Astana. In recent years, they have won 6 and drawn 2 of their last 10 away games at this level, winning away at Zenit, Olympiakos, Malmo, Juventus, Galatasaray and Astana. Midtylland beat Saburtalo Tbilisi and Legia in their Domestic Champions path ties. Midtylland were Danish youth champions last season. I think Atletico should win by a few goals here, and are reasonable value at current handicap prices Atletico U19 -1AH 1.72 Marathon Stake: 5 points Result at 90 mins: 4-4 Bet lost Stake: 5 points Return: nil Profit/loss = -5 points From what I saw, Midtjylland were the better side and deserved to go through, which they did by winning on penalties. I thought Atletico were quite poor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted February 10, 2016 Author Share Posted February 10, 2016 11 hours ago, MPLouis said: Weds 10th Feb 17.00 Celtic U19 v Valencia U19 Celtic qualified for this match by beating HJK and Puskas Akademia, Valencia finished second in their group containing Lyon, Gent and Zenit. So I think Valencia had tougher opponents. Celtic's shots on target stats are better than Valencia's (although I think Celtic's possibly inferior opponents should be taken into account). Celtic have quite a good home record at this level. In recent years, they have played Marseille, Sporting, PSV, Barcelona, Ajax and Milan at home in Glasgow in different competitions, and their record is: Won 3 Drawn 1 Lost 2 Home advantage seems to count for more at this level, so I think that should be factored in. Celtic do represent some value at odds of over 4.0 today, I think Celtic U19 or draw 2.2 Bet365 Stake: 5 points Previews from Celtic website: http://www.celticfc.net/news/10022 http://www.celticfc.net/news/10026 Result at 90 mins: 1-1 Bet won Stake: 5 points Return: 11 points Profit/loss = +6 points From the stats and commentary on Celtic's twitter feed, it sounded as though Valencia had the better of the game, so Celtic may have been a bit lucky. Valencia won the tie on penalties. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 uefa.com reports on Wedneday's five playoff games, won by Valencia, Real Madrid, Midtjylland, Pribram and Roma http://www.uefa.com/uefayouthleague/news/newsid=2330903.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted February 11, 2016 Author Share Posted February 11, 2016 (edited) The draw for the round of 16 will be made on Monday 15th February. Round 16 games will be on Monday 22nd and Tuesday 23rd February. The sixteen teams are: UEFA Champions League path group winners Paris Saint-Germain (A) PSV Eindhoven (B) Benfica (C) Manchester City (D) Barcelona (E) Dinamo Zagreb (F) Chelsea (G, holders) Lyon (H) Play-off winners Ajax Anderlecht Middlesbrough Midtjylland Příbram Real Madrid (Group A runners-up) Roma (Group E runners-up) Valencia (Group H runners-up) http://www.uefa.com/uefayouthleague/season=2016/draws/round=2000704/index.html Edited February 11, 2016 by MPLouis formatting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted February 15, 2016 Author Share Posted February 15, 2016 Round of 16 draw (matches to be played on 23 or 24 February) PSV (NED) v Roma (ITA) Príbram (CZE) v Benfica (POR) Anderlecht (BEL) v Din Zagreb (CRO) Lyon (FRA) v Ajax (NED) Chelsea (ENG) v Valencia (ESP) Real Madrid (ESP) v Man City (ENG) PSG (FRA) v Middlesbro (ENG) Barcelona (ESP) v Midtjylland (DEN) http://www.uefa.com/uefayouthleague/news/newsid=2331162.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted February 22, 2016 Author Share Posted February 22, 2016 Round of 16 - Tues 23/Weds 24 Feb ... Tuesday 23 February 2016 Home Draw Away BPP FC Barcelona U19 v FC Midtjylland U19 (13:00 GMT) 1.3 5.8 10 104.16 % Chelsea U19 v Valencia U19 (15:00 GMT) 1.56 4.4 5.9 103.78 % Real Madrid CF U19 v Manchester City U19 (17:00 GMT) 2 3.9 3.75 102.31 % Anderlecht U19 v GNK Dinamo Zagreb U19 (18:00 GMT) 1.82 4.1 4.5 101.56 % Wednesday 24 February 2016 Home Draw Away BPP PSV Eindhoven U19 v AS Roma U19 (13:00 GMT) 1.02 1.02 1.02 294.12 % Paris Saint-Germain U19 v Middlesbrough U19 (15:00 GMT) 1.02 1.02 1.02 294.12 % 1. FK Pribram U19 v Benfica U19 (16:00 GMT) 1.02 1.02 1.02 294.12 % Olympique Lyonnais U19 v Ajax U19 (16:00 GMT) 1.02 1.02 1.02 294.12 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted February 22, 2016 Author Share Posted February 22, 2016 Round of 16 - Tues 23/Weds 24 Feb ... Tuesday 23 February 2016 Home Draw Away BPP FC Barcelona U19 v FC Midtjylland U19 (13:00 GMT) 1.3 5.8 10 104.16 % Chelsea U19 v Valencia U19 (15:00 GMT) 1.56 4.4 5.9 103.78 % Real Madrid CF U19 v Manchester City U19 (17:00 GMT) 2 3.9 3.75 102.31 % Anderlecht U19 v GNK Dinamo Zagreb U19 (18:00 GMT) 1.82 4.1 4.5 101.56 % Wednesday 24 February 2016 Home Draw Away BPP PSV Eindhoven U19 v AS Roma U19 (13:00 GMT) 1.02 1.02 1.02 294.12 % Paris Saint-Germain U19 v Middlesbrough U19 (15:00 GMT) 1.02 1.02 1.02 294.12 % 1. FK Pribram U19 v Benfica U19 (16:00 GMT) 1.02 1.02 1.02 294.12 % Olympique Lyonnais U19 v Ajax U19 (16:00 GMT) 1.02 1.02 1.02 294.12 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted February 22, 2016 Author Share Posted February 22, 2016 I'm struggling to see any value bets for Tuesday 23rd's games Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 7, 2016 Author Share Posted March 7, 2016 Quarter Finals Tues 8th March 2016 15.00Real Madrid U19 v Benfica U19 17.00Anderlecht U19 v Barcelona U19 *Anderlecht have been reinstated at the expense of Dinamo Zagreb who were deemed to have fielded an ineligible player Weds 9th March 15.00PSG U19 v Roma U19 Tues 15th March 17.00Chelsea U19 v Ajax U19 http://www.uefa.com/uefayouthleague/news/newsid=2336061.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 7, 2016 Author Share Posted March 7, 2016 Tues 8 Mar 15.00 Real Madrid U19 v Benfica U19 Benfica's odds look too high here. They tend to do well in this competition. The last time the teams met at this level, Benfica won 4-0 away in the semi final in 2014. Unlike some teams, Benfica U19 have recently had good results away as well as home. Their recent away record is similar to Madrid's home one. Benfica won their group and beat Pribram in the Round of 16. Real were second in their group and beat Elfsborg in the playoffs and Man City in the Round of 16. Benfica's shots on target statistics (shots for and against in each match) are better than Real's. Benfica made the quarter finals in 2015 and the final in 2014. Real made the round of 16 in 2015 in the semi final in 2014. Worth backing Benfica at current odds, I think … Benfica U19 or draw 2.15 Marathon Stake: 10 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 7, 2016 Author Share Posted March 7, 2016 Tues 8 Mar 17.00 Anderlecht U19 v Barcelona U19 Anderlecht got lucky when they were reinstated at the expense of Dinamo Zagreb who were deemed to have fielded an ineligible player in the Round of 16 match. Lucky for Anderlecht, because they lost the game 2-0. They entered this competition as Belgian Youth champions - joining the 'Domestic Champions path'. In earlier games, they beat Brann and Servette, then beat Arsenal in playoff before losing to Zagreb the round of 16 - and being let back in. Barcelona won their group, then beat Midtylland in the round of 16. Anderlecht made the semi-finals in 2015 and were knocked out in the group stage in 2014. Barcelona and won the competition in 2014 and lost to Anderlecht in the round of 16 in 2015. Overall, the clubs have met 3 times at this level in the last 4 years, once in the UEFA Youth League, and twice in the now defunct NextGen series. In the three games, Anderlecht won one and two were draws. Anderlecht's shots on target stats are better than Barcelona's this year. Anderecht's home record is better than Barcelona's away one. Anderlecht get big crowds watching them at the Vanden Stock stadium in Brussels - they had a competition record over 12,000 to watch them beat Barcelona last year. With their better shots record and strong home record, I think Anderlecht are some value at current odds ... Anderlecht U19 or draw 1.83 Marathon Stake: 8 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 8, 2016 Author Share Posted March 8, 2016 Real Madrid U19 v Benfica U19 UEFA preview: http://www.uefa.com/uefayouthleague/season=2016/matches/round=2000705/match=2019572/prematch/preview/index.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 8, 2016 Author Share Posted March 8, 2016 Anderlecht U19 v Barcelona U19 UEFA preview: http://www.uefa.com/uefayouthleague/season=2016/matches/round=2000705/match=2019571/prematch/preview/index.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 8, 2016 Author Share Posted March 8, 2016 Weds 9 Mar 15.00 PSG U19 v Roma U19 Once again, I see possible value backing the underdog here - this time Roma - at current long-looking odds. PSG won group A and narrowly beat Middlesbro at home in the round of 16. Roma were runners up in Group E. They won away to Salzburg in the playoff, then won on penalties at PSV in the round of 16. Roma's shots on target stats in the games so far are better than PSG's. I think Roma's odds should be taken at over 4.6 … Roma +1AH 1.77 Marathon Stake: 8 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 10, 2016 Author Share Posted March 10, 2016 On 3/7/2016, 4:59:45, MPLouis said: Tues 8 Mar 15.00 Real Madrid U19 v Benfica U19 Benfica's odds look too high here. They tend to do well in this competition. The last time the teams met at this level, Benfica won 4-0 away in the semi final in 2014. Unlike some teams, Benfica U19 have recently had good results away as well as home. Their recent away record is similar to Madrid's home one. Benfica won their group and beat Pribram in the Round of 16. Real were second in their group and beat Elfsborg in the playoffs and Man City in the Round of 16. Benfica's shots on target statistics (shots for and against in each match) are better than Real's. Benfica made the quarter finals in 2015 and the final in 2014. Real made the round of 16 in 2015 in the semi final in 2014. Worth backing Benfica at current odds, I think … Benfica U19 or draw 2.15 Marathon Stake: 10 points Result: Real Madrid U19 2 v Benfica U19 0 Bet lost Stake: 10 points Return: nil Profit/loss = -10 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 10, 2016 Author Share Posted March 10, 2016 On 3/7/2016, 5:00:22, MPLouis said: Tues 8 Mar 17.00 Anderlecht U19 v Barcelona U19 Anderlecht got lucky when they were reinstated at the expense of Dinamo Zagreb who were deemed to have fielded an ineligible player in the Round of 16 match. Lucky for Anderlecht, because they lost the game 2-0. They entered this competition as Belgian Youth champions - joining the 'Domestic Champions path'. In earlier games, they beat Brann and Servette, then beat Arsenal in playoff before losing to Zagreb the round of 16 - and being let back in. Barcelona won their group, then beat Midtylland in the round of 16. Anderlecht made the semi-finals in 2015 and were knocked out in the group stage in 2014. Barcelona and won the competition in 2014 and lost to Anderlecht in the round of 16 in 2015. Overall, the clubs have met 3 times at this level in the last 4 years, once in the UEFA Youth League, and twice in the now defunct NextGen series. In the three games, Anderlecht won one and two were draws. Anderlecht's shots on target stats are better than Barcelona's this year. Anderecht's home record is better than Barcelona's away one. Anderlecht get big crowds watching them at the Vanden Stock stadium in Brussels - they had a competition record over 12,000 to watch them beat Barcelona last year. With their better shots record and strong home record, I think Anderlecht are some value at current odds ... Anderlecht U19 or draw 1.83 Marathon Stake: 8 points Result: Anderlecht U19 2 Barcelona U19 0 Bet won Stake: 8 points Return: 14.64 points Profit/loss = +6.64 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 10, 2016 Author Share Posted March 10, 2016 On 3/8/2016, 2:02:19, MPLouis said: Weds 9 Mar 15.00 PSG U19 v Roma U19 Once again, I see possible value backing the underdog here - this time Roma - at current long-looking odds. PSG won group A and narrowly beat Middlesbro at home in the round of 16. Roma were runners up in Group E. They won away to Salzburg in the playoff, then won on penalties at PSV in the round of 16. Roma's shots on target stats in the games so far are better than PSG's. I think Roma's odds should be taken at over 4.6 … Roma +1AH 1.77 Marathon Stake: 8 points Result: PSG U19 3 Roma U19 1 Bet lost Stake: 8 points Return: nil Profit/loss = -8 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 15, 2016 Author Share Posted March 15, 2016 Tues 15 Mar 16.00 Chelsea U19 v Ajax U19 Holders Chelsea look attractively priced here at longer odds than Ajax, particularly with home advantage, which counts for quite a bit in this competition. Chelsea AH0 2.24 Marathon Stake: 5 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 15, 2016 Author Share Posted March 15, 2016 Official stream available on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/user/UEFA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 15, 2016 Author Share Posted March 15, 2016 2 hours ago, MPLouis said: Tues 15 Mar 16.00 Chelsea U19 v Ajax U19 Holders Chelsea look attractively priced here at longer odds than Ajax, particularly with home advantage, which counts for quite a bit in this competition. Chelsea AH0 2.24 Marathon Stake: 5 points Result: Chelsea U19 1 Ajax U19 0 Bet won Stake: 5 points Return: 11.2 Profit/loss = +6.2 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted March 16, 2016 Author Share Posted March 16, 2016 Semi Finals: 15th April in Nyon (neutral venue) Real Madrid U19 v PSG U19 Chelsea U19 v Anderlecht U19 http://www.uefa.com/uefayouthleague/news/newsid=2339187.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPLouis Posted April 14, 2016 Author Share Posted April 14, 2016 Friday 15 April 2016 Home Draw Away BPP Chelsea U19 v Anderlecht U19 (12:00 BST) 2.42 3.7 2.92 102.60 % Real Madrid CF U19 v Paris Saint-Germain U19 (16:00 BST) 2.68 3.6 2.64 102.97 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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