plloyd88 Posted November 10, 2015 Share Posted November 10, 2015 It's coming to a very special time of the year...European Rugby! Our first preview looks at Saturday's game between Racing 92 and Glasgow. Think that the Scots are value to spring the surprise of the weekend https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-european-champions-cup-preview-racing-92-v-glasgow-warriors Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted November 11, 2015 Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 Second preview of the weekend takes a look at reigning champs Toulon home tie against Bath. Toulon were very strong at home in Europe last year and I can see this trend continuing https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-european-champions-cup-preview-toulon-v-bath Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Not sure if you'd prefer a separate thread for the Challenge Cup but I've had a quick look at tomorrow's game between Harlequins and Montpellier. I've backed Nagusa to score a try at 7/2 (Hills, Lads or 365) and to score 2 or more at 25/1 with Lads.Better value than buying his try minutes at 13 and not bad on his recent stats. He's scored in 4 of his 7 starts this season (1 brace) and 26 in 66 if you go back 3 complete seasons (3 braces). Whilst Montpellier are away and the underdogs, they're still in for around 18 points on the spreads so I think he's worth an interest at the price.The 5/1 that Skybet offer for Fall to score a try looks big compared to the spread prices but his stats are poor enough to dissuade me. He's only scored in 2 of his 22 starts for Montpellier and wasn't much more prolific at Racing 92. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted November 12, 2015 Author Share Posted November 12, 2015 Id' be better off changing the title of the thread to European rugby but I don't think I can. Sounds like Nagusa has been in decent form this season much like his team. I'd be a little cautious backing a French team away in the second tier European competition as they have a history of self-destructing but given his form and odds it certainly worth a look at. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted November 12, 2015 Author Share Posted November 12, 2015 European rivalries will be relinquished when Leinster host Wasps on Sunday. Reckon that Leinster's superior front row and replacements will be the difference.https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-european-champions-cup-preview-leinster-v-wasps Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Leicester v Stade Francais: Bought Betham's try minutes at 10 with Spreadex.Something of an unknown quantity in terms of how he'll perform on the European club stage, I think that price underestimates the prospects of him scoring a try tonight. Better value, for me, than the best anytime price of 3/1, itself something of a standout. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
owenclass Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 I do fancy Munster tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted November 14, 2015 Author Share Posted November 14, 2015 FYI after last night's attacks in Paris the Racing 92 v Glasgow game has been postponed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 On 11/12/2015, 10:24:35, plloyd88 said: Id' be better off changing the title of the thread to European rugby but I don't think I can. Just edit the first post and the thread title becomes editable then. plloyd88 and harry_rag 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted November 17, 2015 Author Share Posted November 17, 2015 The first of the weekend is up. The odds are yet to be posted by the bookies at the time of writing but I think that Ulster will be slim favourites. I can see a form Saracens side doing just about enough to muscle their way over the line backed by a manic defence, https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-european-champions-cup-preview-ulster-v-saracens harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted November 18, 2015 Author Share Posted November 18, 2015 Latest preivew is an all French affari where I expect Toulouse to bounce back and hammer Oyonnax who have been woeful on the road this season. https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-european-champions-cup-preview-toulouse-v-oyonnax Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted November 19, 2015 Author Share Posted November 19, 2015 Bookies aren't giving Ospreys much of a chance at the weekend but I'm predicting a much closer affair https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-european-champions-cup-preview-clermont-v-ospreys Precipitation: 52% Humidity: 66% Wind: 19 mph Temperature Preci Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 (edited) On 11/17/2015, 10:20:34, plloyd88 said: The first of the weekend is up. The odds are yet to be posted by the bookies at the time of writing but I think that Ulster will be slim favourites. I can see a form Saracens side doing just about enough to muscle their way over the line backed by a manic defence, Good luck, seen them tipped elsewhere as well. I've had a look at the tryscorer markets and bought Ulster hotshots at 17 (25 points per Trimble, Cave, Gilroy or Williams try) My rough calculation makes them worth 18 at least and, given the extent to which they've featured in recent Ulster games, they look worth a buy at the price, although the game has a relatively low total points expectation around the 36 mark. I've also bought Pienaar's try minutes at 4. I'd equate that to getting more like 10/1 about a player who's 15/2 best with the fixed odds firms and think he's worth a small bet at that price on his stats. Finally, I've had a buy of McCloskey's try minutes at 4 as well. 2 in 7 starts this season and a favourable mention in the preview, worth adding to the (admittedly Ulster-biased) portfolio. Edited November 19, 2015 by harry_rag Forgot to say; all bets with Spreadex! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 22, 2015 Share Posted November 22, 2015 Have had a look at the Wasps v Toulon game, particularly the players quoted in the "hotshots" markets. I think both quartets look a little cheap with Spreadex (26 for Piutau, Wade, Halai and Hughes and 29 for Tuisova, Habana and both Armitages). If you don't fancy investing in 4 or 8 players, my single pick would be Wade at 9/4 anytime with Hills with a small bet on him to score 2 or more at 16/1 with Lads. As usual, all bets based on comparison of spreads, fixed odds prices and player stats (and largely unencumbered by any actual knowledge of the game)! I've had something on all of the stated bets. plloyd88 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted November 23, 2015 Author Share Posted November 23, 2015 Had a few try scorers for Wasps Harry, do you end up doing alright? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 23, 2015 Share Posted November 23, 2015 Net profit on the hotshots, small loss as Wade didn't get among the tries, Shame I didn't just go for the Wasps hotshots with hindsight but I couldn't split them pre-game. Lucky I didn't go with the hotshots elsewhere; same price but Daly instead of Hughes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted December 8, 2015 Author Share Posted December 8, 2015 Taking a break from the premier European competition for the moment to preview a game that I feel may present a lot of value. If Montpellier send over half a decent squad to Cardiff there could be money to be made. https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-european-challenge-cup-preview-cardiff-blues-v-montpellier05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted December 9, 2015 Author Share Posted December 9, 2015 A European classic is on the cards Saturday night when old enemies Munster take on Leicester. I think that Munster are a special team in Europe and will cover the meagre 3 point cap. https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-european-champions-cup-preview-munster-v-leicester-2015120904 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted December 11, 2015 Author Share Posted December 11, 2015 Last preview of the weekend, Tloulon v Leinster. Bookies aren't giving Leinster a snowballs chance but I think that they're serious value to stay within the cap https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-european-champions-cup-preview-toulon-v-leinster-2015121104 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
owenclass Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 Well Toulon are struggling so Leinster have got a chance of winning this match Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted December 16, 2015 Author Share Posted December 16, 2015 Northampton will still be licking their wounds from the heavy defeat inflicted by a Dan Carter inspired Racing 92 at the weekend. Value for Racing who have never lost to the Premiership side. https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-european-champions-cup-preview-northampton-saints-v-racing-92-2015121604 harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted December 17, 2015 Share Posted December 17, 2015 I've had a look at the tryscorer prices and gone for the following bets. All look like potential value compared to the alternative fixed odds or spread price and appeal based on the players' stats. Imhoff 3/1 anytime PP and 16/1 2 or more Skybet Masoe 11/2 anytime and 40/1 2 or more WH Buy Tuala's try minutes at 9 with Spreadex Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted December 19, 2015 Author Share Posted December 19, 2015 Unlucky last night Harry. It wasn't for want of attack, two excellent defences just cancelled each other out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted December 19, 2015 Author Share Posted December 19, 2015 Fancy Clermont to punish Exeter tomorrow for their loss last weekend. Clermont looking a good deal stronger whereas Exeter's injuries have continued to pile up https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-european-champions-cup-preview-clermont-auvergne-v-exeter-chiefs-2015121902 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted January 6, 2016 Author Share Posted January 6, 2016 Glasgow travel to Paris to take on Racing this Saturday, the Scottish outfit have been off colour recently but I think that they'll give Racing some what of a test and stay within the cap. https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-champions-cup-preview-racing-92-v-glasgow-warriors-2016010601 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted January 7, 2016 Author Share Posted January 7, 2016 Bath have a tough ask this Sunday when they travel to France to face Toulon. the bookies have the French giants as 16 point favourites which I think is a shade generous. I'm expecting last year's Premiership finalists to give them a run for their money. https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-champions-cup-preview-toulon-v-bath-2016010706 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
potus Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 What on earth are Oyonnax playing at throwing away a 23-0 half time lead? What an absolute joke. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 On 1/10/2016, 2:53:44, potus said: What on earth are Oyonnax playing at throwing away a 23-0 half time lead? What an absolute joke. That's French sides for you, Paddy jackson and Ruan Pienaar were excellent when they came on but still that type of lead should never be surrendered. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted January 12, 2016 Author Share Posted January 12, 2016 The bookies think that Ospreys will run Clermont close this weekend but the French side look to be picking up some momentum as of late. Think there's value in backing them to beat the cap. https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-european-champions-cup-preview-ospreys-v-clermont-2016011204 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plloyd88 Posted January 13, 2016 Author Share Posted January 13, 2016 Ulster were well and truly beaten when they faced Saracens back in November but I think that the Ulstermen will make be much more competitive this time round. https://www.punterslounge.com/rugby-union-betting-european-champions-cup-preview-saracens-v-ulster-2016011304 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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