binomial Posted November 27, 2015 Share Posted November 27, 2015 Cairns -3 Cairns only lost two regular season home games last season and are 3/3 this season. Adelaide are 1/4 on the road with a win over the mighty kings. Hodgson is out although this is not a huge deal as they still have Johnson, Petrie and Walker. Adelaide will be keen for to revenge the loss from the other day but I like Cairns -3 NZ +4. Its along way to travel and they have put in a fair few stinkers in Perth over the years but have won two of the last 3. Wesley is still out and martin is in. I think NZ are a couple of steps ahead of everyone at the moment and if Webster continues to shoot well they will be more than difficult to beat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted November 27, 2015 Author Share Posted November 27, 2015 Just sat there and laughed last night! When your having a rough trot and Khazzouh is close to nailing the 3pt shot the night before, it was a given that steindl hits on a second chance attempt. Never safe taking on Townsville at the spread - well done, binomial! I took NZ Beakers, also. 2.45 is a big price about the best team in the comp at present. If Webster is subdued or can't live up to 39pts then others are ready to step up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted November 27, 2015 Share Posted November 27, 2015 in the sydney game the jump ball possession arrow to illawarra in the last few seconds was not that easy to take. it could easily have been called a foul on ogilivy instead of a jump as he reached across and slapped his arm. that late three from steindl was pretty ridiculous, but if townsville had shot the ball poorly instead of terribly they would have won by more than 10. also having a smaller flutter on NZ +4.5 and over 163.5 $3.60. could easily be a tense tussle but the pressure is not really on these teams as i see it so may be more up and down. I noticed if Cairns lose they will be 4W and 7L and Adelaide 7W and 6L. They haven't played many home games so it would not be complete panic stations but you would think they would be pretty motivated not to drop this one, making me like them more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted November 28, 2015 Share Posted November 28, 2015 probably should give up on NBL, feeling pretty dumb money but... Illawarra v Townsville over 170 Think this should be a bit higher, Illawarra have been in the 90s every home game and the coach wants them over a 100. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted November 28, 2015 Author Share Posted November 28, 2015 Usually just the time to not give up ... I've taken Townsville @ 3.73 @ +7.5 @ 1.94 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted November 28, 2015 Author Share Posted November 28, 2015 1 hour ago, Ashtee said: Usually just the time to not give up ... I've taken Townsville @ 3.73 @ +7.5 @ 1.94 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 2, 2015 Share Posted December 2, 2015 played NZ game over 164.5 previous two recent games went over this and last game Perth 1/13 3P and NZ missed lots of free throws and short range shots last meeting Cairns -4 Caiirrns game under 161 Townsville looked their best last time Conklin didn't play, but there best performances were also against the top teams who took them lightly. the mid and lower teams have won handily more often than not. Cairns would have to see this as pretty much last chance so should make an effort. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 noticed i am now 0/4 backing Cairns and will probably jump off them just as they turn it around. Illawarra ML Illawarra game over 174 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 great coding. nothing happens when i press submit so i keep pressing. im not sure they could "upgrade" to worse software if they tried. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted December 3, 2015 Share Posted December 3, 2015 Well perhaps lose the arrogance and give more details in the correct section? It's a small bug, the post does go through and it will be fixed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted December 3, 2015 Author Share Posted December 3, 2015 5 hours ago, binomial said: noticed i am now 0/4 backing Cairns and will probably jump off them just as they turn it around. Illawarra ML Illawarra game over 174 Top bounce back tonight! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 Adelaide +6.5. Don't match up well but tough spot for Perth who would of spent most of yesterday travelling along way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted December 4, 2015 Author Share Posted December 4, 2015 For similar reasons I've tried Adelaide @ 3.45 @ +6.5 @ 1.90. Seem to be playing with improved belief lately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 Decided to play Sydney +4.5 althigh expext to be punished. They played Illawarra tough which can be seen in a better light after last night possibly and Childress should be better for the run. Garlepp played well last week which makes a difference because previously they generally had some dead wood on the floor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted December 5, 2015 Author Share Posted December 5, 2015 Tonight, NZ Breakers -6.0 @ 1.92. A challenge for Crocs to reproduce same standard as Wednesday but then again, what hope am I of landing a NBL wager? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 back to getting mauled but feel a little hard done by with Childress being injured again and coach Fearne finally giving Torey Craig more minutes,albeit only 25, which was enough for him to dominate the game. Adelaide bring nothing to Perth accept Joey Wright's endless whining at the refs even when they are down 20+ with a minute or so to go. its not the refs pal. Townsville game over 164 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 I am close to playing this as much as anything on Townsville's WLL pattern. But breakers have been rubbish on the road holding me back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 5, 2015 Share Posted December 5, 2015 Above was meant to quote: Tonight, NZ Breakers -6.0 @ 1.92. A challenge for Crocs to reproduce same standard as Wednesday but then again, what hope am I of landing a NBL wager? Like this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 (edited) Illawarra -6 Illawarra over 176 Illawarra very consistent at home. cairns have put in some strong away performances but in general have been lacklustre. Illawarra due a bad one i am riding them for now. Edited December 9, 2015 by binomial Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted December 9, 2015 Author Share Posted December 9, 2015 Good luck! I was hoping for a couple less points but Cairns are as dodgy as Illawarra have been but Hawks on strong run of form look more dependable and could be set for a strong second half of season, particuarly with Lisch finding his feet and Martin back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted December 9, 2015 Author Share Posted December 9, 2015 Looked the two more likely results at Illawarra. Tonight Perth @ 1.62 At home and better organised, look too tough for anyone at the moment. Got in just in time, because didn't want shorter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 feel lucky Burston didn't play. Worthington and Loughton got a few rebounds but were pretty hopeless. Craig even though he was ordinary also seems a better option to me than these two, but even the commentator said something to the effect that he wasn't a full member of the team and should not be considered a legitimate option. nice price on perth has moved alot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Played Perth -5 Perth game over 164.5 Adelaide game under 170.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted December 10, 2015 Author Share Posted December 10, 2015 Aware new guy flew in yesterday but I think this is an OK situation for Adelaide to show out, as lacking in motivation they can be. Felt signs they got some mojo back in the Melbourne game. Adelaide @ 1.80 & -2.0 @ 1.94 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 32/38 FT, 46 FG%, 3P% 42% but lose tot the mighty townsville?? NZ -13.5 $2 NZ over 170.5 1.5u thinking this will be a fairly relaxed up and down affair with NZ around 100 and Sydney not around 100. Illawarra -1.5 this feels a bit inflated but feel ok being on the team with Lisch, Penny and Ogilvy they way they are all playing a the moment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted December 11, 2015 Author Share Posted December 11, 2015 Fifteen up and I stupidly called it, when, instead, I should have been making an in-play on Townville knowing that 36ers are perfectionists at snatching defeat from the jaws. Has been obvious for awhile there's some wrong psych about this mob. I remember playing in a sporting team that whenever we're about to win there were some guys notorious for talking like we'd already won and of course, we'd fold accordingly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 i think the low continuity/lack of long term players has a bit to do with it. the blow ins from gold coast have been their the longest bar creek without doing the research, and creek trys to sell himself to afl so isn't exactly heart and soul. NZ and Perth are pretty strong arguments for stability, plus their appears little interest or commitment. the half assed double team back court trap they were trying continually was giving townsville 4 on 3 and easy baskets. also i think they have too many ordinary players and would be better off with a one or two better ones. getting rid of some of ebe, walker, petrie, creek and teys for a couple of better players would be better. several of the wnbl sides seem to be doing fine with pretty much 7 player rotations. Ashtee 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted December 11, 2015 Author Share Posted December 11, 2015 Illawarra +1.5 @ 1.97 Shall jump on board given the shape they are in, despite away conditions. Look more purposful than they had been and are simply better than Cairns. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted December 11, 2015 Author Share Posted December 11, 2015 Hmm, Townsville come back and win, Illawarra lose. Gotta be an easier to make living!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 i lost 4 of 5 bets last night all by less than a basket . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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