Ashtee Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Pulled a one unit profit out of the first week.I've taken Illawarra @ 2.00 tonight. Demonstated the talent in a couple of tough road assignments last week, albeit losing both, so will be a lot more comfortable at home. Breakers haven't looked like they deserve to be a 2-1 team as yet and the early market seems based somewhat on reputation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 do you know if Lisch is playing? without him they have no guards and i think cedric jackson is likely to abuse them.melbourne went to powder and tried to self destruct more than anything illawara did as i saw it.if lisch is out i am playing breakers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 Read this which sounds pretty definite:Beveridge will be forced to play without both his starting guards for the second straight match against the Breakers, with both also unlikely for the Hawks’ away battle with the Sydney Kings on Sunday. They may instead make a comeback when Illawarra face Perth at home on October 25. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 14, 2015 Author Share Posted October 14, 2015 I did see somewhere (Twitter/FB?) this morning that Lisch is confirmed out, Vukona travelled for NZ but is still proppy and sounds doubtful. Still fancy the line of thought that Breakers form is fairly dodgy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 14, 2015 Author Share Posted October 14, 2015 Sydney -6.5 @ 1.91Form line doesn't look good for Townsville after the breakers result and they are doing all the travelling. Sydney were super impressive without Childress and 6.5 doesn't seem a lot providing they produce an honest home effort. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marc Kearney Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 Fantastic get this evening ash tee. I like that bet for tomorrow night. Kings should be able to win comfortably. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 16, 2015 Author Share Posted October 16, 2015 Sydney bet didn't feel altogether right, despite it looked good on paper. Tonight, Perth -6.5 @ 1.90Unlike Townsville, Breakers form doesn't apppear to be heading anywhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marc Kearney Posted October 16, 2015 Share Posted October 16, 2015 Feel your pain Ashtee. They started off well though blasting out to a 10pt lead but then went downhill lol. was a good try though. I am getting on Melbourne Utd -6.5 in the first game because with the way they are playing at the moment its hard not to back them. i believe they are a team that can go past 6.5 and i expect them to win by like 10-12 maybe even little more. Not only that they are at home also in front of a big crowd tonight so the home fans will be in full voice.as for the later game, well if i can somehow pass the melbourne utd and get some nice profit there then perth -6.5 definately indeed sounds like a nice bet to have a crack on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted October 16, 2015 Share Posted October 16, 2015 sydney look pretty clueless and the coach seems keen for every player to get minutes with every other player. my thinking is that deep rosters are a negative in the 40 minute game. go with 7 players, a feel good veteran and two 15 year olds i say. i have played:Melbourne -6.5Melbourne game over Perth -6.5Perth game under Corey Webster is returning to the breakers which should be enough to make them a contender again. couldn't find anything about when he is available but seems unlikely he will be in perth tonight. GL Marc Kearney 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 17, 2015 Author Share Posted October 17, 2015 Illawarra @ 2.70 & +4 @ 1.98Could expect a responce form Sydney despite less rest but this is still an even money game IMO.Cairns -7.5 @ 1.90Not interested in taking anything less than this deal but I'd expect a strong response from Taipans, while Townsville are bound to be a little weary from their schedule. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 18, 2015 Author Share Posted October 18, 2015 Cairns could be ok if Tragargh, Worthington and Laughton start playing well but they look pretty terrible at the moment to me.Yeah, agree. They come up well on paper, looked quite promising in the opening game but haven't impressed overall. Townsville probably fatigued late that may explain some of the bumbles. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 21, 2015 Author Share Posted October 21, 2015 Price long gone but taken NZ Breakers tonight -4.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 nice get. i am on them at -6.5.also melbourne -11 and melbourne game over. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marc Kearney Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Im at Breakers on -7 . I think considering there poor start to the season i think they can cover this. Well looking back at there first home game of the season this year and they won it by like 8 or 9 so i expect New Zealand to get back onto the winners list this evening. As for Melbourne Utd, they are looking scary with only few games in. I did them last game on the handicap which was at 8 or 9 and that got up just. i see on bet365 in which im using they have the line at a whopping -11.5 :O . i presume you guys are confident of melbourne utd being able to do it? i have belief in them with the way they are playing at the moment plus home ground advantage etcc. nice get. i am on them at -6.5.also melbourne -11 and melbourne game over.How confident are you with the overs Binomial? out of 10? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 21, 2015 Author Share Posted October 21, 2015 Adelaide @ 1.91Form suggests they drop down in grade tonight and look suited at home hungry for a win. In to 1.85 now which is still an excellent deal IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 agreed played Adelaide -1 2uNBL rarely stays predictable for long though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marc Kearney Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 Great get guys. was cruisy in the end. tonight we got 2 games. Perth is the late game and they seem to be massive favourites and the spread is at a huge -11.5 - think they can cover it? poor Townsville have not started off well earlier game is an interesting one. adelaide have to back up now with back to back games, sydney at a nice -4.5 on the spread but outright is at 1.47 . look forward to see what you guys are thinking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Adelaide +5.5Thinking about playing Perth if iffy players are in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 23, 2015 Author Share Posted October 23, 2015 Adelaide @ 2.80 & +4.5 @ 1.99Hopefully fatigue is not too big a factor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 23, 2015 Author Share Posted October 23, 2015 Perth -11.5 @ 1.90The two boys are out for Perth but it looks like Schenscher is absent for Townsville. Maybe a responce from Crocs but the task under fatigue might be too much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 With:-Jawai and Knight picking up injuries - Lisch due back for Illawarra- i thought i heard Martin not playing - Perth have looked great once against Adelaide and terrible twice Illawarra -1 3u might hedge some depending on what happens with injuries and pricesobvious risk of perth bounce back, but even with all their players they don't look that potent offensively compared to illawarra Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Melbourne -5.5 3uMelbourne maybe due a bad performance but i think on form this spread should be double digits. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 24, 2015 Author Share Posted October 24, 2015 Probably would have taken -5.5 Melbourne myself but will leave -6.5 for the reason you mentioned - a little wary of this game. Took Illawarra also, -1.5 @ 1.90 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted October 28, 2015 Share Posted October 28, 2015 Cairns +7.5 $1.85Cairns looked better to me last weekend despite losing comfortably in both games. NZ looked burn the eyes hideous, although the potential is clearly there.Think this is a bit too many until NZ play properly. Townsville v Illawarra over 170.5Illawarra have lots of offence and no defence. They gave up 100+ to a perth team of modest scoring talent..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 28, 2015 Author Share Posted October 28, 2015 (edited) Yeah, Illawara's defence worried me all throughout the Perth game and the bet crashed accordingly. I think they'll toughen up somewhat tonight. Took Illawarra -2.5 @ 1.91 last night.Both Cairns and NZ have mostly unimpressed me. Breakers were good in Perth, then fell back to a team lacking genuine motivation in the win over Sydney. I'm disapointed now that I didn't take Cairns 3.75 last night, so pondering whether to just stay out at current price.Tomorrow, Melbourne -4 @ 1.90 Edited October 28, 2015 by Ashtee Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 28, 2015 Author Share Posted October 28, 2015 Went Cairns @ 3.60 TAB Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marc Kearney Posted October 29, 2015 Share Posted October 29, 2015 Perth have still got a few players out dont they? Plus i see alot of people going on Perth on the +3.5 handicap. I am little rattled, unless Melbourne are rotating theres players for this evening? otherwise i cant seem to think Melbourne utd even winning by like just 2. I think they will win by about 6 or 7 around that which makes the -3.5 tempting but Perth is Perth. I think we have been in the same situation betting on a few perth games and they have screwed us over, lol .Still pondering whether to follow others and get on Perth on the handicap or go the other way and do melbourne utd -3.5 or even 2.5 just incase but everyone feels tonight its going to be very very close.sort of said that last night with cairns and look what happened to them, got a trouncing lol, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted October 29, 2015 Share Posted October 29, 2015 from what i have read martin is in but not prather and warrick is out for melbourne.playing:melbourne -3over 163.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 29, 2015 Author Share Posted October 29, 2015 I think a couple other Perth boys are still carrying injuries, too. They made a special effort to bebound from loss and cover for injuries at Illawarra but I like Melbourne to cover, even wiyhout Warrick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted October 30, 2015 Author Share Posted October 30, 2015 Tonight, Townsville @ 3.34 & +6 @ 1.93 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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