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Panama vs Haiti


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I think Haiti look a good price here at about 7.They seem to have a pretty decent squad with a lot of players in Europe. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haiti_national_football_team#Current_squad Here is a run down of their best known players http://m.mlssoccer.com/goldcup/2015/haiti Besides those metioned they also have Jeff Louis from Standard Liege who is currently being linked with several big French clubs and Donald Guerrier from Wisla Krakow who apparently has been linked to Dortmund. http://www.foot24.eu/2015/06/13/rennes-et-lille-interesses-par-jeff-louis/ In the last gold cup they went out in the group stages but were desperately unlucky to lose to Honduras, they really dominated that game.Since then they have gotten a lot better.They got a draw against Italy and only lost by a single goal to both Chile and Spain.Their most recent game was a 2-2 draw away to China. Panama did great getting to the final two years ago, but i cant help but thinking they are being a bit over rated here.In their last 18 games since the gold cup they have only won 4.Three of those were against Cuba,Nicaragua and El Salvador.Most recently they got thumped 4-0 by Ecuador. I think that the market is overestimating them.Even in the last gold cup they did beat Mexico twice, but that was a Mexican b team without any of their players based in Europe.In other games they scraped past Martinique with a late penalty and drew 0-0 against a Canadian team without many of their star players. Anyway, this is their squad https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_CONCACAF_Gold_Cup_squads#.C2.A0Panama Any thoughts?

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Why are you taking the last Gold Cup results? In last year Copa Centroamericana, they nearly beat the 3rd best team in the region Costa Rica. They lead 2-0 before 2 late goals pegged them back. They went on to finished the same points in the group with Costa Rica. They were unlucky not to qualify for the finals with -1 goal difference poorer than Costa Rica. If you want to look at friendly results, they even beat Costa Rica in March. That team include star players like Bryan Ruiz and Joel Campbell. As a Haiti, their most recent win was a 2-1 against Cuba, a team which was thrashed 6-1 by Panama in the last Gold Cup.

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To be fair Costa Rica played that Copa Centroamericana without Diaz, Gamboa, Gonzalez, Umana, Navas, Bolanos and Bryan Ruiz. I'm not suggesting that Haiti are better than Panama.Rather that I think it will be a lot closer than the odds suggest. For me Panama are too short imo.

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