April 20 - April 26

[CzechPunter]

:ok

[matrixman]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Looking at the draw for Bucharest, would not be surprised to see some good ole unseeded or qualie dirt rats make the QF or SF.

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Borna Coric to win ATP Bucharest for a 1/10 stake at 51.00 with Bet365 Back Lukas Rosol to win ATP Bucharest for a 2/10 stake at 15.00 with Bet365 I pretty much agree that Bucharest isn't the ideal place for the big names to shine. Coric has to make his break somewhere, while Rosol has an excellent record in this event, so I'll be putting my trust in them next week. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/atp-bucharest-betting-an-unexpected-name-could-win-in-romania-next-week

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back David Ferrer to win ATP Barcelona for a 3/10 stake at 9.00 with BetVictor Nadal has a really tough draw, Nishikori hasn't played for a while, so why not Ferrer? At 9.00, he certainly looks worth a punt to me. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/atp-barcelona-betting-david-ferrer-can-prove-his-worth-in-barcelona-next-week

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Simona Halep to win WTA Stuttgart for a 5/10 stake at 4.00 with Bet365 Not only is Halep in the easier half of the draw, but she's also lost just three matches since the start of the season, so I'd have her as the favorite for the title in Stuttgart, not Sharapova (although laying her off in a Halep-Sharapova final might be good idea). Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/wta-stuttgart-betting-simona-halep-can-dominate-the-proceedings-in-germany

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Teimuraz Gabashvili to beat Pablo Carreno-Busta for a 7/10 stake at 2.10 with Betway One match bet for tomorrow as well. Gabashvili was superb in Houston, beating Isner and winning the doubles section in style, so I'd have him as the favorite against Carreno-Busta, who's on a giant losing streak at the moment. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/gabashvili-vs-carreno-busta-betting-teimuraz-gabashvili-to-defeat-the-struggling-spaniard-on-monday

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Barbora Strycova (+1.5 sets) to beat Garbine Muguruza for a 7/10 stake at 1.98 with 10Bet Not a big gap between the two and Muguruza still has a tendency to throw away sets here and there, so I quite like the odds for the plus set handicap here. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/strycova-vs-muguruza-betting-the-experienced-czech-can-win-a-set-against-garbine-muguruza-in-stuttgart

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Ricardas Berankis to beat Albert Montanes for a 7/10 stake at 2.40 with Betway A coin-flip at worst I'd say, Montanes has been dreadful recently and the decline seems to be systematic. Berankis has at least won the doubles in Houston. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/berankis-vs-montanes-betting-ricardas-berankis-a-slice-of-value-against-montanes-tomorrow

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Joao Sousa to beat Aleksandr Dolgopolov for a 6/10 stake at 3.80 with Bwin Dolgopolov the obvious favorite here, but I think that Sousa could be a tough match-up for him, especially if the Ukrainian has one of his worse days in terms of unforced errors, as Sousa will make him play that one extra shot. At 3.80, this is definitely worth a shot. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/sousa-vs-dolgopolov-betting-joao-sousa-looks-worth-backing-once-again

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Mikhail Kukushkin (+1.5 sets) to beat Tommy Robredo for a 5/10 stake at 2.50 with Paddy Power Back Mikhail Kukushkin to beat Tommy Robredo for a 2/10 stake at 5.50 with Bet365 This seems to be priced more on names and reputations, not on the actual tennis stuff that matters. I, for one, wouldn't have Kukushkin above 3.75 tomorrow. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/kukushkin-vs-robredo-betting-mikhail-kukushkin-value-to-upset-the-experienced-spaniard

[Torque]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Thomaz Bellucci (+1.5 sets) to beat Roberto Bautista Agut @ 1.970 Pinnacle Thomaz Bellucci (+4 games) to beat Roberto Bautista Agut @ 1.934 Pinnacle I opposed Bautista Agut last week and I see no reason not to do so again, as the Spaniard doesn't look as though he's at the top of his game to me. The same could be said of Bellucci as he was on a horrible run prior to Miami a few weeks ago, but he managed to pick up a couple of decent wins there and he already has a win at this tournament so it could be that he is starting to come into some form. The Brazilian has had success on European clay in the past and although Bautista Agut is at home I think this has the potential to be close, and so I'll take these handicap lines.

[Twinky99]

Re: April 20 - April 26 hey guys, gabashvili played well yesterday. How do you rate his chances against Nishikori? Thanks!

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26

hey guys' date=' gabashvili played well yesterday. How do you rate his chances against Nishikori? Thanks![/quote'] Depends on which Nishikori turns up. If he is still rusty, Gabashvili might have a shot. Probably worth watching the first couple of games before jumping in, can't see any value in the pre-match odds. Gabashvili wasn't THAT great yesterday, he missed plenty of chances. A better player than Carreno-Busta would've punished him for that, but the Spaniard was quite awful in his own right.

[Machibist]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Agree with Czech, he was good but not that good...on important points busta just sprayed UE and gave him the match. Maybe worthy if Kei has slow start.

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 A quick observation - Muguruza was outstanding today, should have a shot against Halep tomorrow. I'll stick to the outright and hope for the best, but I certainly wouldn't want to back the Romanian tomorrow at short odds.

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Elias Ymer to beat Nick Kyrgios for a 7/10 stake at 3.12 with BetVictor Kyrgios has done absolutely nothing on European clay so far in his career, so perhaps Ymer could give him a fair fight tomorrow, especially after beating Thiemo De Bakker in an epic. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/ymer-vs-kyrgios-betting-elias-ymer-could-make-the-australian-s-comeback-tougher-than-expected

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Pablo Andujar to beat Leonardo Mayer for a 7/10 stake at 2.10 with Betway Andujar was superb yesterday after a slow start, while Mayer hasn't played for a while, so I'll go with the Spaniard at odds against. He isn't much worse than the Argentinian in any case. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/andujar-vs-mayer-betting-pablo-andujar-can-build-on-his-first-round-performance-in-barcelona

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Joao Sousa to beat Santiago Giraldo for a 7/10 stake at 2.88 with BetVictor Another bet on Sousa, same reasoning as in the previous two cases. Giraldo nothing special recently either. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/sousa-vs-giraldo-betting-joao-sousa-to-upset-the-colombian-on-wednesday

[delfino]

Re: April 20 - April 26 I dont fancy Ymer at all. I remember Kyrgios 2 years ago he defeated Stepanek 3-0 on Roland Garros first round....Now the Australian is much more mature and stronger player. Personally i wouldent go against Kyrgios here

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Madison Brengle to beat Petra Kvitova for a 6/10 stake at 4.00 with BetVictor Kvitova wasn't all that great in the Fed Cup and the change to clay may cause her quite a few problems in my opinion, so I'm happy to back the American here at odds this big. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/brengle-vs-kvitova-betting-madison-brengle-to-deliver-the-upset-of-the-round-in-stuttgart

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Santiago Giraldo to beat Kei Nishikori for a 5/10 stake at 7.00 with BetVictor Another massive price that I like, this just needs to be taken in my opinion. Nishikori is obviously going to win this much more often than not, but 7.00 for a player like Giraldo? Doesn't make much sense to me. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/giraldo-vs-nishikori-betting-santiago-giraldo-looks-overpriced-against-the-number-one-seed

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Victor Estrella to beat Martin Klizan for a 7/10 stake at 2.70 with BetVictor Not only is Estrella on a superb run at the moment, but he also demolished Klizan 6-2 6-2 in Quite a few months ago, so I feel that there's a lot of value in backing him tomorrow. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/estrella-vs-klizan-betting-victor-estrella-can-continue-to-live-his-dream-in-barcelona

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Fabio Fognini (+1.5 sets) to beat Rafael Nadal for a 7/10 stake at 2.95 with Unibet Nadal is better now than he was back in Rio de Janeiro, but I still have plenty of doubts and his performance against Almagro didn't convince me either, so I'll go with the set handicap tomorrow at odds that are pretty nice in my view. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/fognini-vs-nadal-betting-fabio-fognini-can-shine-against-nadal-for-the-second-time-in-a-row

[Torque]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Pablo Cuevas (+1.5 sets) to beat Roberto Bautista Agut @ 1.602 Pinnacle Pablo Cuevas (+3 games) to beat Roberto Bautista Agut @ 1.892 Pinnacle I struck out when opposing Bautista Agut in the first round, but Cuevas is a step up in class from Bellucci at the moment in my opinion and so I'm prepared to go against the Spaniard again. I still don't think he's playing all that well and Cuevas has the game on clay to make life difficult for him. The Uruguayan got what I think was a good result in his first match here against another Spaniard in Carballes Baena who is a talented youngster with a preference for clay, so I think he's well set to give Bautista Agut a stern test. Santiago Giraldo (+1.5 sets) to beat Kei Nishikori @ 3.170 Pinnacle Santiago Giraldo (+5.5 games) to beat Kei Nishikori @ 1.909 Pinnacle Agree with Czech on this one - Nishikori should win but he's far too short. One of the reasons for that is probably that the Japanese played Giraldo at this tournament last year and ran out an easy winner, but it's not as though the Colombian is playing all that badly right now and clay is arguably his favourite surface so despite his previous travails in this match-up I think there's value in these lines. Feliciano Lopez to beat Pablo Andujar @ 2.139 Pinnacle Feliciano Lopez (+1.5 games) to beat Pablo Andujar @ 1.917 Pinnacle Lopez is mighty lucky to still be in this tournament as he only just squeezed past Ilhan in the last round on a final set tie-break, whilst Andujar finished strongly in his match with Mayer and so on that basis it's probably right that Andujar is a slight favourite here. However, despite his good form so far in this tournament I can't ignore the poor form Andujar was in before that - he lost six matches in a row prior to getting a solitary win in Casablanca where he normally goes well. Lopez is by far the more consistent player in terms of getting wins and so at above evens to win this he's my pick. Fabio Fognini (+1.5 sets) to beat Rafael Nadal @ 3.280 Pinnacle Fabio Fognini (+5.5 games) to beat Rafael Nadal @ 2.020 Pinnacle I thought Nadal played well against Almagro in his opening match here considering some of his recent performances, but overall so far this season he's been below his best and so I'm not sure these prices are a fair reflection of Fognini's chances. The Italian is maddeningly inconsistent but he beat Nadal earlier in the season on clay, and although it took him three sets to see off the youngster Rublev in the last round I think he'll raise his game for this. He might not be able to get the better of Nadal but if he's in the mood then he can run him close. That's very often the risk with Fognini, but in this case I think it's a risk worth taking. Marcel Granollers (+1.5 sets) to beat Tommy Robredo @ 1.943 Pinnacle Marcel Granollers(+4 games) to beat Tommy Robredo @ 1.925 Pinnacle At first glance, it looks like folly to back Granollers after he was beaten so easily only last week by Robredo but I don't think he was as motivated then as he is now. It certainly seems that way based on his performances here so far, and a straight sets win over Tsonga in the last round should certainly give him a boost. I wont go as far as to say that Granollers can turn things around completely by getting the win here, but I do think he will be far more competitive than he was against Robredo in Monaco.

[liquidglass]

Re: April 20 - April 26

Back Fabio Fognini (+1.5 sets) to beat Rafael Nadal for a 7/10 stake at 2.95 with Unibet Nadal is better now than he was back in Rio de Janeiro, but I still have plenty of doubts and his performance against Almagro didn't convince me either, so I'll go with the set handicap tomorrow at odds that are pretty nice in my view. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/fognini-vs-nadal-betting-fabio-fognini-can-shine-against-nadal-for-the-second-time-in-a-row

I really think Nadal is slowly beginning to serve notice of future intent with respect to progressing towards French Open Form. I really cannot see much resistance from the Fog here. expressly Nadal -5.5

[delfino]

Re: April 20 - April 26 The same story applies today Personally i wouldent go against Klizan, since i rate the Slovakian one class better than Estrella.... Definitely i am out of this. Tennis is more of a luck than anything else. Therefore, if a punter does not feel absolutely confident for a selection, it is wise and advisable to stay away

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Fabio Fognini (-2.5) to beat Pablo Andujar for a 7/10 stake at 1.83 with Paddy Power Fognini has an excellent 5-0 record against Andujar, 10-0 in terms of sets, so I fancy him to cover this handicap line much more often that not. Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/fognini-vs-andujar-betting-fabio-fognini-can-end-andujar-s-run-in-barcelona

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Simone Bolelli to beat Gael Monfils for a 6/10 stake at 4.00 with Bet365 Monfils the obvious favorite, but Monfils has never done too well in Bucharest and his win over Youzhny say exactly nothing, so 4.00 looks a bit too much to me. Definitely worth a shot. Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/bolelli-vs-monfils-betting-simone-bolelli-might-be-worth-a-punt-in-bucharest

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Ivo Karlovic to beat Jiri Vesely for a 7/10 stake at 2.37 with Bet365 I can still remember the match the two played in Dusseldorf last year, Vesely looked hopeless at times in all fairness. He should have a better chance tomorrow, but I wouldn't have this beyond coin-flip odds really. Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/karlovic-vs-vesely-betting-ivo-karlovic-to-frustrate-jiri-vesely-once-again

[CzechPunter]

Re: April 20 - April 26 Back Simona Halep (-3.5) to beat Caroline Wozniacki for a 7/10 stake at 1.72 with Paddy Power A good match-up for Halep I'd say, especially in conditions that aren't all that slow. If she plays like she did against Muguruza and Errani, she should be able to beat the Dane easily enough. Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/halep-vs-wozniacki-betting-simona-halep-can-crush-caroline-wozniacki-in-stuttgart