US Open - Chambers Bay > June 18th - 21st

[Aidymac]

On June 15, 2015, Chambers Bay will welcome the U.S. Open as it comes to the Pacific Northwest for the very first time in its history. With massive, rolling fairways, towering dunes, undulating greens and unpredictable coastal winds, the traditional linksland course will provide the world’s best with a test unlike anything played at a U.S. Open. :beer

[BigMozzyDog]

Re: US Open - Chambers Bay > June 18th - 21st I reckon it could be a big week for Mickelson. He's still the best scrambler in the business...

[Crouch Potato]

Re: US Open - Chambers Bay > June 18th - 21st Dustin Johnson just withdrew from the St Jude Classic with "illness". Considering he was +3 through 9 holes, I'm not sure how genuine it is, but it's probably worth keeping an eye on.

[ricay85]

For some reason i have a sneaky feeling for B Snedeker @66's (hills,corals). Have noticed he has improved form of late with strong finishes. I have been backing him for the last 6 weeks at 66's (bfreds have chopped him to 40's some are showing 33's) even if he is placed i will be pleased but if he wins then mega happy and straight to the travel agent. But then again he my miss the cut ! But sometimes you have just got to 'go for it' and follow your hunch.

[Crouch Potato]

Phil Mickelson @ 23 Centrebet Mickelson's form is trending nicely with a 2nd at the Masters followed up by a 4th at Quail Hollow and a 3rd at TPC Southwind. The course will play long and Mickelson's distance off the tee is a critical advantage that you have to have if you are to win this week. Once more, this is going to require a lot of imagination around the greens and that's another area where lefty excels. He's put in the recon at Chambers Bay which Mike Davis has intimated will be important and being a links course it is links form that takes priority over US Open tracks. On that front Mickelson also looks favourable, with his Open win a couple of years back coming a week after he won the Scottish Open. Branden Grace @ 151 Various The Scottish open lefty won was in a playoff and Grace was the loser on that occasion. In addition to this 2nd, he's also won the Alfred Dunhill Links which is played over 3 links courses including St Andrews. He's won twice this season so the form too is there and he hits a low, accurate stinging drive off the tee which I think will be advantageous this week.

[Tedthewolf]

US OPEN ANTI-POST BETS Rickie Fowler E/W 40/1 Corals 1-5~Now he has won again he will win more hopefully that will include a major. Jordan Spieth E/W 40/1 Corals 1-5~Has been heavily backed from this price last year and rightly so ran away with the masters looks sure to feature here went a bit quiet after master win but better effort in last tournament and will be raring to go. Graeme McDowell E/W 66/1 PP 1-5~Has been poor after a bright start to the year has won this before no back number if he is on his game Dustin Johnson 25/1 E/W BF Sportsbook 1-5~This big course will suit him if is head is straight can figure at the top end of the leader board Keegan Bradley 80/1 E/W BET365 1-5~A bit in out sort of player lets hope he is on a going day! Sergio Garcia 33/1 PP E/W 1-5~Having a good year yet to win a major but may just do it this year. 1ST ROUND LEADER RORY McILROY 14/1 PP E/W PAYING 6 PLACES~Is a drifter in the main market god knows why but if he drifts much more i will be hopping on e/w. Back to this market has lead after 1st round many time 14's is to generous to miss in my book.

[owenclass]

I think you have to go for players who loves links golf and also players who played well at Pebble Beach where the US Open was played

[BigMozzyDog]

I think there's a really big priced winner out there this time. Here are my picks: Ernie Els - @201 - Betfred 1/4 1-6 Great player with the best swing in the business. Enjoys links golf, long off the tee and has pedigree when the course is tough. A massive price for me. Bjerregaad - @1001 - Paddy Power 1/4 1-6 A player who's coming into this tournament under the radar. Had a strong Irish in difficult conditions and has gradually shown well this season. A good scrambler and long too. Would need luck to go close but also worth a punt in the top 20 markets. Mickleson - @21 - Betfred 1/4 1-6 I was lucky enough to get on Lefty @46 with Stan James a few weeks ago. I think his ability to make par from almost anywhere will put him right up there. That's all folks...

[Crouch Potato]

Totally agree on Bjerregaard. I've backed him Top 20 and always First Round Leader as he's off in the 2nd earliest group on Thursday. Worth noting the wind isn't expected to be that bad, compared to say Royal County Down, where Bjerregaard equalled the course record in calmer conditions.

[BigMozzyDog]

Yeah, plus every time my dad asks who I've backed I can just say budgerigar and he knows who I mean. Love the first round leader market at the US Open as there's often a fast starter at a massive price.

[kevshat]

Tournament preview: 1pt ew R.Fowler to win US Open 22/1 Stan James (1/4 1-6) The man I like this week is Rickie Fowler. I think you’ve got to approach this golf course with an ‘I’m going to have fun on it’ attitude rather than an ‘it’s awful I can’t play this course’ one and Fowler certainly has the former. He has the tools to play links golf too. We saw him run Rory McIlroy as close as anyone in The Open last year and if we needed further insurance he ran well at the Irish Open last month. Fowler is an excellent ball striker who can move the ball both ways and he has a wonderful short game which is going to be important this week. At 22/1 he can emulate Martin Kaymer and do the Players/US Open double. 3pts B-H.An Top Asian 10/3 BetVictor 13 Asian players tee the ball up this week but the length of the golf course and the profile of the tournament there are only two I believe can be truly competitive and that is Hideki Matsuyama and Byeong-*** An. In what I believe to be a match I’m going to side with the latter. He has experience of the course having been a semi-finalist in the US Amateur here in 2010 and he is a wonderful driver of the golf ball. He was inside the top 25 in Ireland so he can play links golf and with a superb all round game he can beat Matsuyama to the crown in this market. 1pt ew D.Willett Top Englishman 10/1 Coral (1/5 1-3) 11 Englishman take to the tee this week with the likes of Justin Rose, Lee Westwood, Paul Casey and Ian Poulter getting all the attention but the man who should be feared most is Danny Willett. Willett is playing great golf this year and doesn’t let himself get down when the challenges are tough. In fact if anything I think he relishes the challenges the harder they come. He was superb in really testing conditions in Ireland earlier in the year and has already won a big event in the Nedbank. We know he can compete both in America and in this company because he was a semi-finalist in the WGC Matchplay and shot three under par rounds on debut at Augusta which is no mean feat. He has a good all round game and the right temperament to deliver this week. 1pt ew B.Wiesberger Top Continental European 18/1 Ladbrokes (1/5 1-3) The top Continental European market is a slimline one this week with just 14 men from the continent teeing it up. In all honesty Sergio Garcia has the tools to go well this week but I think it is worth taking him on with someone and the man who has caught my eye is Bernd Wiesberger. The Austrian has been in excellent form recently and only missed out on that Irish Open title in a playoff. If you can get around there under par in those conditions there shouldn’t be a course anywhere that worries you. He made a mess of the first round in Austria last week but confirmed his good form with a wonderful second round and missing the weekend there might not have been the worst thing to happen to him. He’s a long hitter of the ball and the rest of his game is perfectly adequate for this test. With Kaymer likely to have his time taken up elsewhere as defending champion and Henrik Stenson just not quite firing on all cylinders Wiesberger could be the one to take advantage.

[Bamford]

Massive odds at the US Open can play a huge part in the proceedings. Here's some history since 2010: •2014: Erik Compton (400/1) - finished 2nd; Brooks Koepka (200/1) tied 4th •2012: Michael Thompson (500/1) - finished 2nd; David Toms (125/1) & John Peterson (1,000/1) finished tied 4th •2011: Robert Garrigus (300/1), Kevin Chappell (500/1) - both finished 3rd •2010: Gregory Havret (500/1) - finished 2nd Marc Leishman and Branden Grace have been backed well this week. You get the feeling that 'form horse' Kevin Kisner will feature as well - all are at around 100/1. Longer prices such as Robert Streb (winner at Sea Island), Tony Finau (his length has to be an advantage), Retief Goosen (course designer RTJII reckons this will play like Shinnecock) and Scot Marc Warren (featuring in our US Open Predictor at 300/1) all make a level of sense.

[Tedthewolf]

A couple more bets for me McILROY 8/1 PP e/w 1-6 Think he will be very hard to beat seems he really likes this course and unlike most people in this thread i think the winner will come from those at the front of the market having said that i don't fancy "lefty" at all. I can see him tear the course up on the first day his body language says to me he is itching at the bit to get at it. Think Spieth will also be in the mix have also had a small win bet on him to be first round leader at 32 on BF. Can't wait to see what really unfolds good luck all.

[owenclass]

Rickie Fowler to be Top American 9/1 paddy power I like the look of him as he likes playing on tough courses and this a tough course especially with the conditions because it is a links type of course which Fowler knows how to play on Rickie Fowler First round leader 30/1 paddy power These are good odds for someone who knows how to play in these type of conditions and also he is in good form Hideki Matsuyama First round leader 30/1 paddy power He is having a great season he is looking like a top player and can do well here

[bookiebasher]

I read Graeme McDowell in the racing post yesterday and he thought the winning score could be as high as 10 over par as the course is that hard ??....I,m thinking of lumping on Bet 365.s 7/4 that the winning score is 2 over or more... What do the golfing experts think ???

[bookiebasher]

So the 7/4 with bet365 looks good then for 2 or more over...might have to jump on it lol..

[jackierubberleg]

Charley Hoffman EW 100/1 B 365. Place 1,2,3,4,5,6. Charley Hoffman, a winner on the tour this season is not quite fully tuned but I beleive he is near. Throw in 5 top tens this year and he is showing his potential albeit with the tendency to skid of track now and again. The big Calaforian has the distance to challange here if not the accuracy, which may be the better of those skills around the quarry. With such a muddling tournament to predict he may well have the game to slip past the carnage that may materialise at a fairly reasonable price.

[kevshat]

One more tournament bet for me before the off. 5pts Winning score to be over par 13/8 Skybet I'm amazed over par is this price. On what I would call normal golf courses, compared to this one at least, over par has been the winning score in four of the last eight tournaments if we exclude Rory McIlroy's win in 2011. I'm only excluding that because the course was so soft there was nothing the USGA could do to toughen it up like they like to do. In fact since 2005, again excluding 2011, only 10 players have shot under par in a US Open and three of those were last year so shooting under par is never easy in a US Open. Now add this course into the mix and that is where my confidence is strengthened further. Some of the top names in the game have written this course off as awful. I've heard comments such as 'links golf on crack' and 'it is golf on acid' so clearly an easy test shouldn't be expected and like has been posted above Gmac has gone on record as saying he thinks 10 over par could win. I watched a periscope he did earlier in the week and he said even par 'will win easily'. As a former US Open and a links specialist if he thinks that then we should really take notice. No rain is forecast this week and the golf course is completely in the hands of the USGA who really like to protect par. From all the pictures and periscope's I've seen the course looks rock hard and being brutally honest scorched to the point that it looks really poor. It is a course the longer hitters will have the better chance on but the longer hits often leads to less accuracy so I'm all over the winning score being over par this week. Anyone who shoots four rounds of level par or better around this track deserves all the credit they will get. I don't see it happening though.

[kevshat]

Yeah I heard that. What that doesn't say is what the other one shot on the holes that one of them birdied though! With over par winning in 4 of the last 8 events on courses which are regulars on the US Open circuit and even the PGA Tour circuit in some cases I'm happy to take my chances here at the price.

[kevshat]

True, but it does mean that 9 of the 18 holes were birdied, so it may not be as tough as we are led to believe.. Some experts in the US are predicting a winning score of +2, +3.. Others are saying -2, -5... I guess we will know where we stand after Round 1. Good luck mate.

Cheers :ok It does but practice and the main thing are different beasts. There was a photo doing the rounds that Fowler and Mickelson were lining each others putts up which obviously they won't be doing in the main event. I suspect the USGA have kept a couple of surprises up their sleeve too. They hate under par winning and after Kaymer tore their course a new hole last year I'm expecting them to take no prisoners this year.

[Tedthewolf]

Interesting views Bet365 are offering a market for the number of players that will be under par after 72 holes. 1 and under 21/10 (has driffted from 4/5) over 4 11/8 ( backed in from 7/4) 2 0r 3 players 4/1 so they clearly thing there is going to be players under power. I am really tempted by the 21/10 market but something in the back of my head thinks several will be under par at the finish.

[kevshat]

Opening round 3 ball bets. 3pts M.Warren to beat J.Dufner & M.Every 2/1 Ladbrokes Match tees off at 16.50 BST. My mantra for three ball bets today is to take players with links experience against those with not so much links experience and who are poor scramblers and Marc Warren has landed in a lovely group here. Both Jason Dufner and Matt Every rank outside the top 100 for scrambling on the PGA Tour and while they have other credentials which make them the players they are neither are what you would call long and certainly in Dufner's case isn't a good putter either. Marc Warren is rapidly heading towards the overrated draw in my eyes but this test should suit him a lot more than his playing partners and I would imagine that he'll be comfortable here. Dufner can be a bit mardy so if things don't go his way early he could easily save the mental energies for weeks that are more to his liking while even though Matt Every keeps taming Bay Hill this course might not suit him. Warren looks good at this price. 3pts D.Willett to beat R.Palmer & J.Luiten 7/4 Ladbrokes Match tees off at 21.44 BST. Willett doesn't quite fit the same profile as Warren in terms of the weakness of his opponents but I do think he will prove the strongest in this three ball. Ryan Palmer's feelings on this course have been well documented and I really do believe a liking for this golf course is necessary this week. He may go well under tournament conditions but he's not for me and I'm not convinced Joost Luiten is long enough for this course. We know Danny Willett has a wonderful temperament. You don't place where he did in Ireland recently if you don't and he was seemingly enjoying himself on a long week at the Matchplay when others were starting to tire so I think Willett will be fine here. He has the all round game to cope with the test of this course and if things don't go his way he has the ability to put that behind him and get on with the job. Someone who does that the best this week will place high up and Willett's temperament, as well as his game, can see him lead this group home today. 4pts S.Lowry to beat B.Martin & S.Gallacher 6/4 Betway Match tees off at 22.39 BST. Shane Lowry has a nice draw here in terms of winning this three ball. Stephen Gallacher's pre-tournament preparations went all wrong when his caddie went belly up in a practice round and has ended up in a cast which could keep him out of the tournament. He will have a local caddie if his regular one can't do the job but all the plans he and his regular caddie will have put in place will largely go out of the window. The local guy might know the course but not the man so it isn't ideal. Gallacher's form isn't ideal either so I'm happy to reduce this down to a match between Lowry and Martin. Ben Martin is down at 142 in the scrambling stats on the PGA Tour and he won't have played too much links golf in his career. I'm actually a fan of Ben Martin but this doesn't seem like his sort of test. Lowry grew up in these conditions and he looked relaxed during a practice round with McDowell earlier in the week. That should turn into the lowest score in this group today.

[BillyHills]

Interesting views Bet365 are offering a market for the number of players that will be under par after 72 holes. 1 and under 21/10 (has driffted from 4/5) over 4 11/8 ( backed in from 7/4) 2 0r 3 players 4/1 so they clearly thing there is going to be players under power. I am really tempted by the 21/10 market but something in the back of my head thinks several will be under par at the finish.

Thing is your totally guessing as none knows how its going to play, bookies are trying to temp you in. Must be better bets out there than trying to forecast a score on an unknown quantity. Just watch and enjoy for a couple of days and then have a wager is my philosophy this time round. Good luck to all who have dabbled so far:ok

[owenclass]

Tiger Woods to miss the cut 10/11 paddy power I fancy this bet as Tiger been awful this year and him trying to play on this course with form he is in i think he might just struggle and at these odds it could be easy money Jordan Spieth to miss the cut 7/2 paddy power Well i know he has a good year so far this year by winning the Masters and a few other tournament but this course and conditions could find him out as he is not used to this type of golf

[Tedthewolf]

Thing is your totally guessing as none knows how its going to play, bookies are trying to temp you in. Must be better bets out there than trying to forecast a score on an unknown quantity. Just watch and enjoy for a couple of days and then have a wager is my philosophy this time round. Good luck to all who have dabbled so far:ok

Sounds a bit like horse racing a first time out maiden race some may have good pedigree but you dont't know how they will actually run/react first time out on a race course better let them run a few times before you start backing them.

[kevshat]

Early 3 ball bet. Hopefully there's more luck around than yesterday :hope. 4pts R.Fowler to beat T.Woods & L.Oosthuizen 6/4 BetVictor Match tees off at 16.28 BST. There was plenty of optimism around Rickie Fowler heading into this tournament, myself included. All the talk was how he was tearing this course up in practice but it all went wrong for him on Thursday and he is playing purely for pride this afternoon. I don't believe he can play as poorly again here though and I'm happy to take him to produce a good round here. We saw last week how the weight of expectation got the better of Bernd Wiesberger in the first round in Austria but then with the pressure off he came back in style and I expect something similar from the Players champion this afternoon. He doesn't become a bad player overnight after all. Speaking of bad players, how bad is Tiger right now? He isn't even awful he's that bad and for me he's a total non runner in this 3 ball barring something bordering on a miraculous turnaround which surely can't happen. None of these three are making the cut but I fancy Fowler to be more up for this round than Oosthuizen is. The South African still has problems with his back and I can't see him wanting to cart a ball around here with much enthusiasm when he won't be here at the weekend. His time will come later in the year but today can be Rickie's time again in terms of scoring the lowest in this group.

[jackierubberleg]

In -Running Justin Rose 25/1 EW 1234. (B365) Watching Justin Rose, he is doing his best to learn as fast as he can, but it aint easy ay CB. However he has had some fine approach shots today and is placing the ball well on the fairway. level par isn't such a bad score at the moment and anywhere around that mark will be welcome to most players going into the weekend. Rose has the experience and his iron play is world class right now. So if Justin begins to get a few to drop,,,, then field beware, this fellow is nothing if not fully determined. PS; Has anyone seen Lord Charley Hoffman Lucan?!

[Soi Bongkot]

Patrick Reed for me hugely talented player, ive also got a small ew on Daniel Summerhays

[BigMozzyDog]

I'm still in the game with Els and Dufner, but after watching a bit of Lovemark last night, I thought I'd follow my gut. Seems a very together young man with a solid game. Two level par rounds for him will win it from here.

[kevshat]

Not my best week :eyes. Will take a 2 ball that is just crying out to be taken today though. 5pts K.Kisner to beat J.Day 5/4 Coral Match tees off at 21.55 BST. In all fairness to Kevin Kisner he could have been a good bet regardless of Jason Day's health but after what happened with Day yesterday the American has to be taken here. Day has been suffering with those symptoms for a while and even if he is absolutely fine starting the round somewhere in his mind must be the worry that he could suffer another attack at any time. I like Day but this would be a really top effort for him to produce another good round this week. I wish him well but I fancy today might be a struggle for him. It certainly is against Kisner because there doesn't appear to be a weakness in Kisner's game. He's long enough to be competitive on the holes you can rip it on and his short game is very good as we saw at Sawgrass. He relishes the big occasion and the big stage suits him down to the ground so it is no surprise that he is featuring strongly this week. Even if you take Day's health out of the picture Kisner is the right bet here. Factor it in and it is just an even stronger bet.